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221  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: December 19, 2023, 04:03:39 AM
Yeah right. But looking at Man City's current unstable condition in the Premier League. I think this will provide more opportunities for other clubs such as Inter Milan, which was runner up last season.
Manchester City luckily got an easy opponent for a Round of 16 because they will meet one of weakest teams in this round, Copenhagen. Even Copenhagen made big surprise by won over both Galatasaray and Manchester United in their group, they are not strong enough to compare to Manchester City, the current champion of Champions League.

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But of course there are still other strong candidates, such as Bayern and Real Madrid. Even Man City will definitely return to their best performance when Haaland and De Bruyne return to the field. But Man City and Bayern will indeed have opponents who will not make it too difficult for them. But Inter Milan vs Atletico Madrid and Napoli vs Barcelona will definitely be very fierce.
Inter Milan will not have two easy matches with Atletico Madrid which are always competitive and experienced in Champions League in the last decade with Diego Simeone. Inter Milan looks to be stronger not only because they were a runner up in the past season but also because of their form in this season. However, Diego Simeone and Atletico Madrid are experienced enough to bring lot of challenge to Inter Milan.

This will be a chance for two ex-team-mates, Simeone Inzaghi and Diego Simeone meet as coaches. Many years ago they played for Lazio in Serie A and now they will have to fight with each other.

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In fact, I see V.Osimhen returning to his confidence after Napoli has a new coach. But yeah, everything is still uncertain because the match will be held in February and that's still a long time away. So there must have been many things that happened before that that could have changed our point of view at that time.
Both Barcelona and Napoli don't have too good performances in this season and this match is quite balancing. Napoli can beat Barcelona and to be one of underdogs in Champions League like the past season when they went to quarter finals.
222  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: FOMO of bull market on: December 19, 2023, 03:50:58 AM
I think the problem is not the leverage you use. But I think you are using a margin that is too large compared to your total capital. I only use a margin of around 5% of my total capital (Cross).
Cross margin is more risky than Isolated margin.

When you use Cross margin, if your portfolio value drops, you will have big problem as your portfolio value might drop to a threshold of forced liquidation. Like FTT, LUNA drops, you will never be sure that your portfolio will not drop 80% or more when you are sleeping.

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And even I often use 10x - 20x leverage and it's still fine. But actually, with current market conditions, it is natural that many are liquidated. Because there has been a rapid decline. Today's market volatility is truly harder to predict. Even some of my analyzes were wrong. But I rarely trade in the future market. But sometimes do it every once in a while. Or several times a week. Because I don't trading scalping but I prefer to swing trading.
If you are professional in margin trading, I have nothing against about your strategy that works safely for you but for newbies, it is risky to apply this strategy.

Even you a professional, I believe risk is not like 0%.
223  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Ordinal blockchain irking me, causing almost $40 median fee now... on: December 17, 2023, 06:09:59 AM
Its indeed a giant pain in the B. But it appears to come in waves, and I'm also of the opinion that it won't last forever. Its no longer just Ordinals / BRC-20 that is congesting the mempool, however. Regular BTC users are now competing with Bitcoin Stamps, SRC-20, and now also BTNS (Broadcast Token Naming system), of which tens of thousands of transactions have been made for within the last couple months. Certainly renders making normal transactions out the window for the time being.
It actually comes in waves and so far in 2023 that is around its corner of ending, there are three waves of mempool congestions and crazy fees. Those waves are in May, November and December.

Inscriptions, Mempools and Miners. This Glassnode Insight report is in September so it does not have information about what happened in November and December.

This mempool link has more information https://jochen-hoenicke.de/queue/#BTC%20(default%20mempool),1y,weight

This wave of Ordinals caused more congestion in mempools and fee rates jump to highest range in 2023. It is even worse than in December 2017 https://jochen-hoenicke.de/queue/#BTC%20(default%20mempool),all,weight

224  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: I finally sold my computer and bought bitcoin. I don't regret . on: December 17, 2023, 05:59:17 AM
I sold my computer and bought about 0.006 bitcoin.
I hope you have other computers, laptops, devices to use.

0.006 BTC is not too much and you can work to have money for buying that amount of Bitcoin.

After selling your computer, buying bitcoin, where did you store it?

I hope you did not store it on a centralized exchange or an online account.
Reminder: do not keep your money in online accounts

Choose your Bitcoin wallets

I recommend Electrum wallet but verify what you download.
[GUIDE] How to Safely Download and Verify Electrum

225  Economy / Gambling / Re: 👑 CoinRoyale.com - Original Bitcoin Casino | Trusted Since 2013 ✔️ on: December 17, 2023, 03:33:31 AM
When the site only supports Bitcoin payments, it has very limited options, especially during periods of network congestion. If the site does not support multiple cryptocurrencies, it at least encourages users to at least use the Lightning Network for withdrawals.
I stated in my post that users must prepare themselves with Lightning Network too. I am sure not majority of users already used and are familiar with Bitcoin Lightning Network.

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What surprises me is that CoinRoyal is an old active platform and that this is not the first time that the Bitcoin network has been in crisis. This means that it was supposed to be preparing its system for such conditions.

Users, in turn, should be equally prepared and can also ask CoinRoyal to support more currencies in different networks.
I agree with you that the team should have internal discussions and with Product team to figure out solutions. Bitcoin Lightning Network and altcoin blockchain solutions.

I read some articles about security concerns of Bitcoin Lightning Network and I also knew there are very little casinos accept Bitcoin Lightning Network for directly betting. The casino can consider acceptance of Bitcoin Lightning Network for deposits and withdrawals, but for directly betting, I am doubtful about that chance.

The end of Lightning Network. I think Lightning Network will be fixed and improved.
226  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: How do I earn merit? on: December 17, 2023, 03:27:14 AM
Well the main reason why I’d like to earn merit is because I have to wait 360 seconds just to reply + post a topic. Kind of annoying, and the only way to fix that from what I’ve read is to earn more merit. Thank you for replying to this though, gives me a bit more understanding and one more question, to search up a question, do I have to click on the topic that’s for the question that I am looking for? Or am I able to just search it up?
The limit will be lesser when you have more than 14 posts and 14 activity points even you don't get any merit to rank up to Jr. member, you will be able to make a post with a waiting time less than 360 seconds. It will become about 60 seconds between two posts that is enough for you to write a post and post it.

If  your post is not spam, I think compose it in 30 or 60 seconds is possible so the waiting time (60 seconds) is not a big problem. You need 4 more posts to get to that more friendly waiting time.

What are the time limits on posting and the levels??
I know 360 seconds are for new people like me, but was wondering if there was break down somewhere on this.

Code:
waittime = 360;
if(activity >= 15)
        waittime = (int)(90 - activity);
if(activity >= 60)
        waittime=(int)(34.7586 - (0.0793103 * activity));
if(activity >= 100)
        waittime = max((int)(14-(activity/50)), 4);

FAQ: Everything you need to know about forum 'activity, account ranks and merit.
227  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: What thread can earn newcomers merit on: December 16, 2023, 07:17:39 AM
Merit & new rank requirements.
I'm hoping that this system will increase post quality by:
 - Forcing people to post high-quality stuff in order to rank up. If you just post garbage, you will never get even 1 merit point, and you will therefore never be able to put links in your signature, etc.
 - Highlighting good posts with the "Merited by" line.

While we will not be directly moderating this, I encourage people to give merit to posts that are objectively high-quality, not just posts that you agree with.

Merit comes to your good posts and you only need to have good posts, merit will come. If you don't have good posts, finding any thread to earn merit is useless. A
You don't have to beg for merit.
Do not beg for merit excessively.

self-moderated] Report unmerited good posts to Merit Source
[Merit] Share your best posts/threads with Fillippone to be merit assessed
228  Economy / Gambling / Re: Rollbit.com | Crypto's Most Rewarding Casino 👑 on: December 16, 2023, 07:08:38 AM
FOMO will be there once price is starting to pump again so we should not be in that situation since we might placed our position at high price when price is continue to pump that's why as early as we can we should grab the opportunity to buy cheap RLB since its hard to get stress to hold quiet sometime especially if we bought at the top and we wait for some recovery thing that will happen.
FOMO always exists in any market but FOMO leads to losses, not profit for most of people who do it.

Because FOMO like a twin of panic sell, buying with FOMO without any knowledge, research that will consequently lead to panic sell when market turns its direction oppositely. They usually join FOMO games with shit coins without any usable use cases and utility that can contribute to make a value for the coins. Those shit coins are only pump and dump games with no value so that if you FOMO and won't determinant exit the market when market turns bad, you will stuck and maybe see your capital drops to zero.

It is not what RLB token has as Rollbit team are a solid team, with big successful casino and they are continuing to build new products which increase more use cases for the token.
229  Economy / Gambling / Re: 👑 CoinRoyale.com - Original Bitcoin Casino | Trusted Since 2013 ✔️ on: December 16, 2023, 03:51:29 AM
Unfortunately, all of the crypto casinos and neither all of us here on bitcointalk will be able to fix/reduce an issue with the bitcoin transaction fees.
Users can proactively contribute to reduce their transaction fee by using Segwit addresses, and take chances when mempools get clear to move their bitcoin or to consolidate their small inputs.

Why people should be using SegWit addresses
Consolidate your inputs [Guide]

It would have been better to suggest that the system support other currencies or at least support the Lightning Network to speed up transactions. It is better than targeting the entire site as if it is responsible for the network congestion that occurs.
Lightning Network is one of methods to go. It is an off-chain solution but one disadvantage is not all users already use Lightning Network and not all users will be ready to go with Lightning Network.
230  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Don't give attention to unsolicited DM with link to claim a reward. on: December 16, 2023, 03:45:03 AM
Lately, I have been getting some unsolicited private messages on my new Telegram account, while I am not in any Telegram groups to warrant such users getting my account profile to send those PMs.
DM first is risky. You should ignore those strangers and information they sent to you in DMs.

DM first and provides something too good to be true, it is a clearer signal of scam.

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Protect your self guys.
It is on other platforms but you can report them as scammers to Telegram.
Report to @notoscam on Telegram.

The 11 Latest Telegram App Scams To Watch Out For
Telegram Scams
Do this if you don't want to be dragged to different telegram ICOs
Some Telegram tips for newcomers in the crypto community

In bitcointalk, forum protects its members with a warning for message sent from newbies.
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!!! WARNING: This user is a newbie. If you are expecting a message from a more veteran member, then this is an imposter !!!
231  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How to determine the right gas fee? on: December 15, 2023, 01:25:27 PM
Most of you know that gas fees are inputted automatically when making a transaction, but they can be added manually.

Someone just paid 83BTC for transaction fee.
You see the article is transaction fee and you wrote gas fee, two different terms.

What is gas on blockchain? from smart contract blockchain.
Bitcoin transaction fee

Different type of Bitcoin address, different size of the input and output, also how many input(s) and output(s) are affect the fees you need to pay, you can check in this site https://bitcoinops.org/en/tools/calc-size/
You can use https://jlopp.github.io/bitcoin-transaction-size-calculator/ too. It is built by Jameson Lopp.
232  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Newbies and even pro traders making the same mistake but here is how to do it on: December 15, 2023, 07:06:12 AM
1. if you see that the price is starting to fall and you are already at a loss, sell 80-90% of the coin immediately with this action, you will have money reserves, if the remaining 10%-20% falls, you will be able to buy it again with your 80-90% money reserves. (It work like magic - allmost)
People don't feel need and are not brave enough to set an order for selling to cut loss and exit the market. They have to be in the market long enough to know that if they don't exit the market when it starts to fall, they will stuck at top and might have to wait months or years to see that top again. With many altcoins, they never reclaim their all time highs in a new market bull run.

Mostly people refuse to cut off but they will sell at bottom, with more serious loss.

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2.start buying with 1%-2% of your total money allocated for this operation, just make daily purchases of 1%-2% for this coin even if the coin is in an uptrend.
DCA is better in bear market. Even you DCA at a beginning of bear market, but if you have enough patience and are disciplined enough to DCA till a next bull run, with Bitcoin you will get profit. With altcoins, it will be more complicated because some altcoins even will be dead before a new market bull run.
233  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Quickest way to earn merit? on: December 15, 2023, 04:00:58 AM
I'm new here. What's all about this merit count? How is it earned? I'm assuming it's linked to the quality/usefulness of your posts/replies? Their originality maybe? What are usually the subjects you'd get the more merit for posting about?
You will know about it after you are here long enough. Use your time in bitcointalk naturally to explore the forum, rules, rank requirement, merit system. Get familiar with prominent forum members, spend time to read their posts and analyze their merited posts. You will learn a lot from those merited posts, quality ones and will have idea to earn merit for your account.

Writing a welcome message
Merit & new rank requirements
Signature Campaign Guidelines (read this before starting or joining a campaign). Before you can rank up enough to join campaign, you must earn merit and that topic has some warning for shit posters who will not be able to rank up, even will be banned. You can learn some from that topic.

If you use ChatGPT, ask it.
I asked ChatGPT on how to earn merit on Bitcointalk.
234  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Could exchanges leverage on the current market trend to woo new investors? on: December 15, 2023, 03:52:54 AM
Whether this is the truth or not, it is something we can not control. The fact is:
- The having is coming
- The ETF decisions are around the corner
- We are in a Christmas rally
- People are excited
I am more optimistic with halving and its effects for Bitcoin price, a new bull run than ETF decisions. Bitcoin Spot ETF applications can be approved or refused by SEC. and approvals will be a big booster for Bitcoin to take off to the moon. In an opposite decision, SEC. refuse all Bitcoin Spot ETF applications, it won't be a disaster or the end for Bitcoin and it won't be a barrier for its bull run.

By history of past cycles, I believe Bitcoin will still have its bull run even we won't have any Bitcoin Spot ETF approval in 2024 or 2025. I don't worry too much about SEC.'s decisions.
235  Bitcoin / Wallet software / Re: IMPORTANT: Ledger ConnectKit Library has been Compromised with a drainer. on: December 14, 2023, 03:01:07 PM
The Library is used by various dapps for their "Connect Wallet" modal that users can click to connect their wallets to these dapps in other to facilitate interactions. One of the libraries (Ledger's ConnectKit) that is used in most frontends was compromised.

The issue mainly affects users that uses frontends for interactions.
dApps and smart contracts are not smart all all as they can be exploited by scammers.

I don't want to touch them too much and if I use dApp and smart contract with interactions, I will create a new wallet with small fund for it. If anyone use only one wallet, store all fund there but are ready to explore around new platforms, dApps, smart contracts, such interactions are risky and drain all money in that wallet.

I don't mind about Ledger and the advice is general for practice with fund, wallet and any interaction that can steal your money.
236  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: December 14, 2023, 05:35:32 AM
In the match against Cagliari later, if Mazzari can see opportunities well then his squad will have the chance to score more than two goals, also Osimhen, who has not scored a goal in several matches with Napoli in Serie A matches, will have the opportunity to score a goal after successfully scoring a goal for Napoli in the Champions League last night
Napoli will have to reset their targets in this season as they can continue in Champions League and will not give up early. If they have chance, they will try to go as farthest as possible like the last season. In Serie A, they have a different situation as they no longer have chance to defend Scudetto and currently falls beyond top four. In this season they have more challenges from clubs like AS Roma, Lazio, Atalanta for top four position and I also see Bologna and Fiorentina are trying to make surprise.

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however this season they have a bad history when they lost to Empoli by a narrow score and it even happened at their own home which made the management decide to change coaches, but I suspect that will not affect them especially since they are already with a new coach.
In the next match, Napoli will really control the match to make their opponents play more defensively and their forward players should be able to score lots of goals for Napoli to win because this will further lift their mentality to perform better in the many match.
This is their general performances in this season that is worse than the last season. It is understandable when Napoli lost to big clubs in Serie A but they even had poor performances with small clubs. This will be their big issue to compete for top four in Serie A as they will need to have as many points as possible from small clubs. Empoli is one of opponents can give Napoli chance to have three points but let's see how they bring good form from Champions League back to Serie A.
237  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Jamie Dimon said he would close Bitcoin down if he was in government on: December 14, 2023, 05:27:11 AM
He is only a small part of the people who can't come to terms with Bitcoin, his mindset may be right according to him but for the majority of other people never view Bitcoin the way he estimates. I have never seen a big influence in him other than just banning Bitcoin in every business he owns, he also can't intervene with his employees to hate Bitcoin because everyone has their own views on Bitcoin.
His words are just a passing gust of wind, so far Bitcoin has existed for more than a decade but there has not been a single installation that has succeeded in shutting down Bitcoin, let alone the war being carried out by one person.
Jamie Dimon is like a vitamin for Bitcoin growth. The world always are two sided and Bitcoin market is two sided too. There are people who like and support Bitcoin but there are other who dislike and don't support Bitcoin.

Fortunately for Bitcoin, it has strong community with support increases with time. The adoption of Bitcoin has been growing exponentially since 2009 and it as most steadiest and impressive in history.

238  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: December 13, 2023, 11:43:15 PM
Lautaro Martínez is on 14 goals, more than first one on Liga. Very good.
Only Olivier Giroud who is close to Lautaro in the top scorer, he has collected 8 goals. But yes, Lautaro is very good. He started this season quite well, with 14 goals maybe making him the most deserving candidate for this season.
Giroud has 8 goals and Lautaro has 14 goals so their difference is 6 goals. I consider this goal difference is very big as Giroud is not a player who can score three goals in a match too often like Cristiano Ronaldo. He will need a have very consistent goal scoring in next matches to catch Lautaro. In addition, Lautaro seems to have an excellent season and it's hard to see he slow down his goal scoring rate.

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Unfortunately, Victor Osimhen this season is not very productive in scoring, perhaps this is due to his problems with his club. But without Osimhen, in my opinion the competition for the top scorer is not very interesting. The reason is, Lautaro currently does not have a great competitor who can pressure him.
Victor Osimhen and Napoli have mutual correlation and they both affect each other in a decreasing performance. If Osimhem can not score goals, Napoli have more problems with their attacking system with less power. With poor performance of Napoli and team mates, Osimhem has less chances to score goals.

In theory, Napoli must win against Cagliari. Napoli has a better squad and they also will play the match at home. We know that Cagliari is in the 16th place, it is not very far from the relegation zone. From this position, we also know that Cagliari is not in their good performance this season. So, playing against weaker team like Cagliari which isn't in their good performance, Napoli must get full points. However, I agree that we don't underestimate any team in Serie A because the small team can be an obstacle if they can play as a solid team during the match. But I believe that Napoli will beat Cagliari with big scores in the upcoming match.  Wink
Napoli are stronger than Cagliari but in this season, they already lost so many points to non big clubs in Serie A. Those bad matches show that Napoli have many problems and give non big clubs like Cagliari a lot of hope that they can get a point or even 3 points from Napoli. With not too good performances for Cagliari, they will have less chance to beat Napoli but with bad stability of Napoli, Cagliari still have some chances to get a point from this opponent. If they can play well, better than they usually play in this season, their chance to constrain Napoli is not too small.
239  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Could exchanges leverage on the current market trend to woo new investors? on: December 12, 2023, 01:20:18 PM
In less than a month, the crypto global mcap has surged from $1.1B to $1.7B and daily trading volume from the epileptic $40M to now $90M - $100M indicating adoption and inflow of capital into the cryptocurrency market.
Total cryptocurrency market cap is from total cryptocurrencies in the market and you must know a biggest hidden fact: there are more and more cryptocurrencies with time.

More new cryptocurrencies will be created with time and those new cryptocurrencies contribute to total market cap. If you see a cryptocurrency total marketcap increases, you must take into account contributions from new cryptocurrencies. By that I mean the increase of total market cap does not come from increase of previous cryptocurrencies. If you think so and don't count new cryptocurrencies and their market cap, you will have an inaccurate thinking about the market.
240  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024 on: December 12, 2023, 11:08:08 AM
Al Taawon is still better than Al Ettifaq, you can see there is a 7-point difference between the two teams where Al Taawon is better ranked, but as the home team Al Ettifaq is more favored than its opponent, even though Al Taawon won two matches in a row while Al Ettifaq only can get 4 points from their last 5 matches, and in the last eight meetings they can be said to be quite balanced, it's just that betting on Al Ettifaq is not convincing because Al Taawon will try to get points in this match, and I'm not sure too about betting on this match but taking the risk of choosing a draw seems quite good seeing as the home team is quite skilled at making matches end in a draw, because we can see that Al Ettifaq together with Damac and Al Feiha are the teams that get the most draws.
Al Taawon is a big surprise in this season as so far they even get 3 points more than Al Ittihad. Saudi Professional League table shows that Al Taawon even have a same total point like Al Ahli as well. They are only have less points than two top clubs, Al Hilal and Al Nassr and they have safe point differences than clubs in the league from six position and under it.

Al Taawon will try to win this match to continue their fight and race to enter top three or maintain their position in top four of Saudi Professional League. If they can complete this season at either third or fourth position, it is their big achievement in this season. They have to compete with Al Ittihad and because the competitor is strong with so many star players including Benzema, Al Taawon will not want to lose any point to Al Ettifaq.
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