Its not the supply that is questionable so much as the demand growth and utility to wider populations.  If BTC is used and useful then its without doubt we have a rising price because supply doesn't expand.  My view of BTC is as similar to commodities and most commodities will expand production when in demand, this explains why price accelerates so fast upwards in BTC from this unusual constriction vs potentially global demand.

Something like "illegal code"

This is a dangerous territory,  and I believe in future we may see regulations over cryptography, saying what someone may code and what nobody can code.

I expect Some Hotbit customer who notice part i bolded might be angry with the fact they suspend all withdraws. Additionally, legal investigation could take really long time which sucks for both Hotbit and Hotbit customer.

Thanks.  Unfortunately, I will need to cut short what I was writing here—if I ever want to post this.  :-)

To answer that, we first must define “success”.  Is economic success the sole criterion?  Although that is important, I think that economic success is necessary but insufficient.

Bitcoin is freedom-money.  It is authentic cypherpunk-money.  It grew organically as a social phenomenon, in historical circumstances that cannot be artifically duplicated.

If Bitcoin were to fail, I think that “the whole cryptospace” would almost inevitably fail in the way that really matters.

I say this when I own altcoins, and I much like some altcoins:  If Bitcoin were to fail, then any independent altcoin would almost inevitably fail economically.  Bitcoin makes the cryptocurrency market.

If Bitcoin were to fail, I predict that the only “altcoins” that could still succeed would be those backed by massive capital from big banks and VCs.  But those are not legitimate “crypto” in the sense of cypherpunk-money.  Those are merely de facto centralized Fintech payment systems that use some cryptography, and that sell themselves under a veneer of fake “decentralization”.  Some are better in this aspect, some are worse—all of them devolve over time in the direction of giving big banks and insider whales the power that Bitcoin takes away from them.  Worst in this aspect is anything POS, a definitional plutocracy.

Thus, although I disagree with the “maximalist” purity-testing that treats people as sinners for (gasp!) touching a forbidden altcoin, I agree with the proposition that “Bitcoin’s failure will be the whole cryptospace’s failure without any other cryptocoin having to find and achieve success.”  Like it or not.  That is the reality.

I love Bitcoin.  I love it as if it were a living creature.  And I recognize on pragmatic grounds that attempting to replace it would be a fool’s errand, likely resulting in a Pyrrhic victory at best.  Accordingly, I am proud when altcoiners call me a “Bitcoin maxi”; and I tend to agree with them about that.  I say that when I own altcoins, I think that defi has great potential (excluding such garbage as Yield Farming, a classic HYIP scam), and I have some history on this forum of defending the good uses of NFTs.  (Not Bored Ape trash.  The basic idea now called “NFTs” is much older, and it has much undiscovered potential for future applications.)  There are multiple reasons why my signature or personal text has said since 2017:  “There is only one Bitcoin.”

Am I a Bitcoin maximalist?

^  It's a shame that Grasso vs Araujo was cancelled.  That and the main event between Vera and Cruz are the only match ups worthy for a main card imho.  These other ones are good but for prelims.  This event is just like the last event.  Lots of fillers but pretty sure some of the are sleepers...  Besides the main event, Bruno Silva vs GM3 could be good and Landwehr vs Onama.

Anyway, I'm back and forth on who to pick for the main event.  Who you guys got?  Take note that San Diego is where Cruz is from.

And for me the fights you see there and that I have not erased are what for me is not able to look at, 1st was the Marlon Vera VS Dominick Cruz which for me Vera will really need to be more technical here, but will look further in details, 2nd Nate Landwehr VS David Onama, 3rd was Gerald Meerschaert VS Bruno Silva, and lastly the fitting kitten last event that has been canceled, Ariane Lipski VS Priscila Cachoeira,

To be honest I just like to use the force when doing the draft. I find its better to go by pure rankings of who's left rather than second guess them with my own personal tastes. Regardless, with covid and all the injuries, the last couple of years have proven that long-term success is more about ongoing team management.

You could get your Dream Team in the draft but when those guys get knocked out (for one reason or the other), it pays to be timely in finding a worthy replacement.

... and now most have ended up not receiving the 13% and not receiving back even their own money.
And I would not be surprised if Hodlnaut has withdrawn their 6% long ago. Because the whole risk goes to the customers (I'm even surprised they've offered such a big part of the profit to the customers).

I bet there are many more people holding coins on centralized exchanges and similar interest earning platforms thinking - it won't happen to them, they are to big to fall.
Many times this services trick users throwing out decentralized terms, adding swap features and connecting with shitcoin chains BNB and UST, like Hodlnaut did just few months ago.
One thing that I hope from all this services stopping withdrawals and going bankrupt is that it could teach more people about importance of real decentralization.

I'd say since Tonardo Cash is serving an ERC20 tokens which is centralized, I don't believe they can mix those tokens and didn't link with the previous transactions because the validator will know where the token are send to.

Your account will get flagged by centralized exchanges since they're cooperate with money laundering company, they will look with your previous transaction and will know the token came from. If you using a bad privacy mixer, they will know the address is came from a mixer and even you're using a good mixer, they will know you're concealing your transaction.

---

However since Chipmixer is also a centralized mixer, I'm worried since it's possible if Chipmixer get shutdown, or it's possible Chipmixer will only available on Tor network? Obviously google will follow any rules from government.

Probably because more users are using the gambling platform and they prefer to use OWL token on the gambling site. There can be ways the token is promoted on the gambling site that makes people using the gambling site to buy it. As people that are using the gambling site increase, the token market worth will also increase, thus the price as well.

This the good thing of a decentralized platform, ^{(censorship-resistant)} authority can only suspends its website domain or hosting but it can still be used freely.
But since it's dependent to github repo, which can be sanctioned too like they did to Iran and other countries suspending github accounts or blocked the access of github with US request which they will do it lately, after realizing it's useless suspending only the website and not its whole process.
I hope there's also a decentralized code repositories ^{(better if there is already)} for decentralized platform's to preserve its codes.

New policy:  I present myself as a fearsome “Bitcoin maxi” to altcoiners, and I chat about my favourite altcoins to Bitcoiners.  Thus, I can discover who my true friends are.  This optimizes for the human element.  So does intransigent opposition to scams.

I have been intending to write an essay with my own take on Bitcoin maximalism, but I am not sure if this forum is the right place to publish it.

I may be wrong, but it does not seem to me that we should expect any kind of bull market this year, and probably not even in the first two quarters of next year. It is simply too early for that, and the global world market will only feel the real challenges in the coming months. I will be skeptical even if the price reaches $30k, because then we are just going back to where we were before the idea of the genius from South Korea collapsed. If that hadn't happened, maybe the bottom would have been somewhere around $25k, but that now remains only in the sphere of speculation.

All in all, I'm really interested in how things will play out in August in relation to your analysis, although I admit that I'm more focused on long-term goals.

Exactly, it is completely unpredictable except over long periods:  if usage continues to grow - no matter what the use whether it be transactional or protector etc - and new supply follows the programmed curve, then the price will go up.  It is just that one can not predict anything over shorter timeframes.