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2961  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Hyperdeflation, own half the world by headstart - don't you care at all? on: March 30, 2012, 02:18:27 AM
Hmmm, probably so, but the end result would be similar.  Such moves against bitcoin wouldn't go unnoticed forever, and there are certainly factions both between and within governments that would likely move to undermine any such attacks.

The US government happily spends $1 Trillion every year in bridge to nowhere projects. That's 1000 billion dollars. 100million would easily erase BTC forever, and there's absolutely zero that could be done about it. Mind you I'm ignoring any current computing clusters they might have available to compete.

Sure, it might be obvious that something is going wrong, but let's not forget who invented Tor, so if you think it will be easy or even possible to stop, think again. If the government wants to DoS BTC, then BTC will be DoSed. The developers would have to spend all their time trying to come up with some sort of counter-strategy, and development on the actual features of BTC would stop (best case scenario). However, given a few months eventually people would give up interest, and that's the end of that. Since the government can play by the rules and still do damage, there's basically nothing you can do against it.

Furthermore, timejacking attacks and similar don't even require 51%. There's some evidence that certain pool operators may be doing this already, although for the most part pool operators have refrained from causing trouble. (well, except for luke jr, and all of that noise)

Finally, at a current rate of only 80tx per block, it's totally unknown how the network will behave if/when things get really busy. It's also unknown how things will play out as the mining subsidy drops off, although already there's problems with empty blocks and botnets and such. An unreliable network is worthless to someone who wants to do business. Imagine if VISA transactions could be randomly dropped and had to be resent, or if it took an hour or 6 hours just to be sure that didn't happen. There would be no VISA. Not only that, but privacy on BTC sucks, which is one of its supposed main advantages vs centralized money. While there are a few ways privacy could be improved (that I know of thus far), an improvement in blockchain reliability would require some major changes to the protocol, and it's not necessarily obvious what would work or what wouldn't. That sort of effort isn't likely to happen unless its with another currency, or in BTC until it's much too late to fix.

I never said that cryptocurrencies were a bad idea, or that they can't work at all, just that BTC is an experiment and likely to come crashing down at one point or another.

You display your ignorance of the system with these above statements.  No, the US government couldn't do more than irritate the network with an Anonymous style DoS.  It would take some talented work for them to find just my node, much less all of them.  And you can't DoS what you can't find.  It's literally true that the only way to stop Bitcoin now is to shut off the entire Internet and keep it that way.
2962  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Hyperdeflation, own half the world by headstart - don't you care at all? on: March 29, 2012, 09:36:01 PM
Not a single one of those is still valid.  The 51% attack issue was a real problem a year ago, but it no longer is.  Any government that tried to build a gpu cluster capable of overtaking the network now would distort that market and pay huge premiums to do so, even if other goverments didn't secretly oppose them.

No govt (or other entity with $1M+ budget) would build a hashing farm out of GPUs they would contract for some sASIC or ASICs.  

Hmmm, probably so, but the end result would be similar.  Such moves against bitcoin wouldn't go unnoticed forever, and there are certainly factions both between and within governments that would likely move to undermine any such attacks.
2963  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Hyperdeflation, own half the world by headstart - don't you care at all? on: March 29, 2012, 01:01:38 PM
Not a single one of those is still valid.  The 51% attack issue was a real problem a year ago, but it no longer is.  Any government that tried to build a gpu cluster capable of overtaking the network now would distort that market and pay huge premiums to do so, even if other goverments didn't secretly oppose them.
2964  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Miners that refuse to include transactions are becoming a problem on: March 29, 2012, 12:56:49 PM
This is correct.  If you create a transaction but don't broadcast it, it doesn't exist.  The same is true for a block.

He wants to mine it himself, not broadcast it to other miners.

I'm guessing it's a transaction with tainted coins as input, and much less (or zero, if that's allowed) output value.  The difference between input value and output value goes to whoever mines the transaction, which D&T wants to be himself.  That way the tainted coins lose their taint (unless the taint calculation takes fees into account, of course).

I can see how that might work to undermine blocklists, but selling the private keys works just as well.  Anyway, he might have to wait a long time to mine his one transaction.
2965  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Stossel’s Currency Conundrum on: March 29, 2012, 12:51:24 PM
Interesting segment. It adds weight to my opinion that Bitcoin is being "managed", just like gold is.

And to back up my crazy tin-foil-hat assertions, here's a ZH article on gold: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/chris-martenson-explains-how-gold-manipulated-and-why-thats-okay

with the very interesting comment:
Quote
Gold is an important signaling mechanism, and our entire money system is faith-based. Of course anything and everything that could cast doubt on that system would be controlled if it could be controlled.
(my emphasis added)

Could Bitcoin be on that list?

But can it be controlled?

Like I mentioned once or twice while wandering about on the forum, there are some -- albeit indirect -- methods.
  • Control of bitcoin adoption by managing public perception via the mainstream media. Bitcoin getting too popular, too fast? Just mention Silk Road in the news and how some unlucky investor got all his coins stolen. Otherwise, keep silent.
  • Is the Bitcoin community becoming too innovative and too many great ideas popping up on forums? Easy! Just pay a few trolls to derail discussions and spread FUD.
  • Is the above not working and Bitcoin is still performing too well? Hire a botnet. Sell coins irrespective of cost over a protracted period to "shape" the market. Not enough volatility? Buy and sell in large bursts.

Like they say, knowledge is power. But I don't want to get too carried away in my crazy tin-foil-hattishness, so I'm open to rebuttal if any of the above is somehow impossible.

It's a near certainty that all three methods are currently employed, but there are limits to how much influence these methods can impose.
2966  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Stossel’s Currency Conundrum on: March 29, 2012, 03:50:20 AM
It is unfortunate that Stossel repeated this mis-truth that private currencies are illegal.  Though Ron Paul tends to spread this misconception as well, so he is not alone.

This is based upon an incorrect understanding of "powers" granted the Federal government by the Constitution.

In short, a "power" is basically permission to violate rights.  In the case of the power to "coin money", the power conveyed and the right violated are subtle.  It is not, as widely believed, the power to seize private property via monetary monopoly and inflationary confiscation.  That would have been in direct violation of the "just compensation" required by the takings clause in the 5th Amendment, and a general nullification of the basic right to property.

The power to coin money is simply the power to violate the usual presumption that possession equals ownership, in the limited case of "coins" minted by the Federal government.  That means that a coin, once minted by the Federal government, remains the property of the government even when placed in general circulation.  That is the reason you cannot mutilate or destroy them, and they can be seized at will (as was the case with FDR confiscating gold coins).  They are not yours.  


Actually, you can mutilate or destroy them.  Have you never seen the penny presses at tourist traps?  You put in 51 cents, and the machine presses your penny into a little keepsake with a new image on it.  They are all over Walt Disney World, for example.  I seriously doubt that Disney Corp is going to be caught off guard doing something illegal.

I've never seen a motorized one... they're always hand crank.  Maybe that way the customer is the one performing the mutilation and the corporation is insulated.

I've seen both hand cranked and electric, so no.  If I recall correctly, all of those machine at WDW were electric.
2967  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Stossel’s Currency Conundrum on: March 29, 2012, 03:32:40 AM
It is unfortunate that Stossel repeated this mis-truth that private currencies are illegal.  Though Ron Paul tends to spread this misconception as well, so he is not alone.

This is based upon an incorrect understanding of "powers" granted the Federal government by the Constitution.

In short, a "power" is basically permission to violate rights.  In the case of the power to "coin money", the power conveyed and the right violated are subtle.  It is not, as widely believed, the power to seize private property via monetary monopoly and inflationary confiscation.  That would have been in direct violation of the "just compensation" required by the takings clause in the 5th Amendment, and a general nullification of the basic right to property.

The power to coin money is simply the power to violate the usual presumption that possession equals ownership, in the limited case of "coins" minted by the Federal government.  That means that a coin, once minted by the Federal government, remains the property of the government even when placed in general circulation.  That is the reason you cannot mutilate or destroy them, and they can be seized at will (as was the case with FDR confiscating gold coins).  They are not yours.  


Actually, you can mutilate or destroy them.  Have you never seen the penny presses at tourist traps?  You put in 51 cents, and the machine presses your penny into a little keepsake with a new image on it.  They are all over Walt Disney World, for example.  I seriously doubt that Disney Corp is going to be caught off guard doing something illegal.
2968  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Miners that refuse to include transactions are becoming a problem on: March 29, 2012, 03:25:37 AM
It is right there in the quote.  The concept is called "coin melting".  It would render asinine ideas like "tainted coin lists" and "Bitcoin Police" beyond infeasible.  Currency must be fungible.  Having blacklists reduces the fungibility of currency and I see it as a threat to Bitcoin.

Nope, still not following. I'm afraid I don't know what you mean by "memory pool". What does it mean for a tx to be in the memory pool? What does it mean for a coin to be included in the memory pool without being broadcast?

AFAIK a tx not broadcast will not be included in a block, and therefore is effectively not a tx. It sounds to me like you want miners to be able to include arbitrary tx which are neither received nor coinbase into their blocks, the only purpose of which that I'm aware of would be for executing a finney attack with the cooperation of a mining pool.

This is correct.  If you create a transaction but don't broadcast it, it doesn't exist.  The same is true for a block.
2969  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Miners that refuse to include transactions are becoming a problem on: March 29, 2012, 03:22:46 AM
Thus if the pool simply creates the smallest possible block and thus can process it as quickly as possible so it can send out these change work details as quickly as possible, then it makes sense to do that (this processing needs to be done repeatedly, for each miner)
What processing do you think the pool has to do per-miner that has anything to do with the size of the block?
It must process the full block to produce the 80 byte header and the Midstate for each miner.


Doesn't have to.  Usually, the pool master does the merkle tree work and just passes the merkle root & the rest of the header to be hashed to the miners, so the miners don't see more with or without transactions.
We're talking about the work the pool master has to do per miner. My point is that it only has to build the merkle tree once. It can then inject a different coinbase transaction in without having to recompute the rest of the tree. (The coinbase is at the tip of the tree.)

That's mostly true, but so what?  I don't understand the point you are trying to make?  The coinbase transaction is the one that all miners must make, and correctly, for their block to be valid at all, whether that is done by a pool master, a lone miner or a botnet.
2970  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Hyperdeflation, own half the world by headstart - don't you care at all? on: March 29, 2012, 01:30:43 AM
If it becomes a serious issue, in the far distant future (assuming BTC doesn't crash before then for other reasons, and I've got a running list of them now) more BTC can be printed if needed. BTC might be recovered off of a ledger sheet from addresses that have been inactive for 100 years or more, but that's a very long time before any coins could be recovered, and by that time it'd probably be near irrelevant.

Another newbie who thinks he alone has discovered the Great Bitcoin Flaw (tm) that all the rest of us missed.

Please, enlighten us.  What have you discovered?
2971  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Miners that refuse to include transactions are becoming a problem on: March 29, 2012, 01:28:43 AM
Thus if the pool simply creates the smallest possible block and thus can process it as quickly as possible so it can send out these change work details as quickly as possible, then it makes sense to do that (this processing needs to be done repeatedly, for each miner)
What processing do you think the pool has to do per-miner that has anything to do with the size of the block?
It must process the full block to produce the 80 byte header and the Midstate for each miner.


Doesn't have to.  Usually, the pool master does the merkle tree work and just passes the merkle root & the rest of the header to be hashed to the miners, so the miners don't see more with or without transactions.
2972  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Hyperdeflation, own half the world by headstart - don't you care at all? on: March 28, 2012, 11:27:05 PM
This process is likely to take 80+ years even with Moore's Law, however; so don't be worrying about such things right now.

2^160 is a big number.  Even with Moore's law 80 years is not sufficient time.  I do agree that if Bitcoin remains active then eventually coins could be recovered but we are talking on a timeline of centuries or even a millennium.

The same kinds of assumptions were in place for many algos that are now considered broken.  I made my guesstimate based upon the likelyhood that someone is going to come up with a mathamatical shortcut to help them brute force these current algos faster.  But the root of my point is that assuming that the algos that Bitcoin uses at present are secure forever is both wrong and unnecessary at the same time.
2973  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Miners that refuse to include transactions are becoming a problem on: March 28, 2012, 11:15:03 PM
This says all that I need to know about your worldview.  The free market isn't theoretical at all, it's the default emergent order in the absence of coercion.  And capitalism isn't remotely the same thing.

The "absence of coercion", see that is what I really doubt can or will be possible anytime soon or maybe anytime at all, which makes its true implementation a theoretical exercise for me. You don't really know much about my worldview, but you are right, I don't buy into that "absence of coercion" scenario. That is an ideal.


Okay, you are entitled to your own opinion, even though reality doesn't care what my or your opinion may be.
2974  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Miners that refuse to include transactions are becoming a problem on: March 28, 2012, 11:13:42 PM
The only purpose of miners in BTC is to include and record TX.


This is wrong from the start.
2975  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Is there any delay when transfering bitcoins? on: March 28, 2012, 02:36:34 PM
0-confirms:
It "could" be double spent (reversed) but honestly it is very very very very unlikely.

That is not an accurate statement.  Unless proper precautions are taken, a 0/unconfirmed race attack can be successful -- maybe 50% of the time even.
The precautions include configuring the client so that there are no incoming connections allowed and to explicitly have outgoing connections to the top miners.

I've actually been surprised that there haven't yet been reports of anyone in the marketplace forum or on the #bitcoin-otc marketplace losing their bitcoins received to a double spend race attack yet.  It takes really no technical skill -- just use the same wallet in two places and try to spend from the same coin to two different addresses.   Eventually one of those times the one seen by the recipient will differ from the one seen by the miner who eventually gets that block.

1-confirm:
If you wait ~10 minutes (although it can vary) the tx will be hashed into the next block and your wallet (technically client) will show 1-confirm.   A double spend here would be even more difficult as your friend would need a massive amount of hashing power to create an alternate chain and extend it past the legit chain.  Even with 10% of the network his chances are very remote.

There is a variation of the Finney Attack that could defraud just as easily with a 1-confirmation as with a 0/unconfirmed though the same recommendation above (to allow no incoming) prevents that variation from becoming successful as well.
 - http://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=36788.msg463391#msg463391

We're not talking about someone buying a car with bitcoins.  Do you really have any idea of the technical difficulty in doing something like this?  Imagine the cost to the scammer to just set this up once.  No one would do this to take a person who knows his name for a couple hundred dollars.
2976  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Hyperdeflation, own half the world by headstart - don't you care at all? on: March 28, 2012, 04:48:02 AM
If there's no way to regain lost BTC

Actually, that's not likely true in the long term.  You see, even though that Bitcoin was designed so that lost keys are unrecoverable, those lost in the past few years are likely to be recovered eventually so long as Moore's Law holds up for another couple generations and the value of a bitcoin shoots for the Moon.  This is because Bitcoin's address creation method is (intentionally) modular, so that newer and more secure algos can be added (or swapped) into the system under the fair expectation that eventually all cryptographic systems that computers can use become insecure with the march of Moore's Law.  So eventually, a different set of algos will replace the current set to stay ahead of that problem, and over a few years all current users will move to the new algos.  Then the lost bitcoins will be visable to everyone because they are the unspent transactions that remain after this move.  Eventually, Moore's Law lowers the bar for brute forcing the old algos enough that 'treasure hunters' are incentivised to set up data centers to hammer at those remaining transactions looking for a keypair 'collision' that produces a private key capable of spending those old coins.  And then they are no longer lost.

This process is likely to take 80+ years even with Moore's Law, however; so don't be worrying about such things right now.
2977  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Hyperdeflation, own half the world by headstart - don't you care at all? on: March 28, 2012, 04:39:45 AM
@wogaut
I am an engineer not an economist, I will try explain my thoughts more eloquently.


Seems to me that you would have made a good economist, but I'm glad that you're an engineer.  Economists don't actually do anything economicly productive, at least not those that actually call themselves economists.
2978  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Miners that refuse to include transactions are becoming a problem on: March 27, 2012, 09:39:42 PM


The free market is just as theoretical as the ideals of communism (the evil twin of capitalism).


This says all that I need to know about your worldview.  The free market isn't theoretical at all, it's the default emergent order in the absence of coercion.  And capitalism isn't remotely the same thing.
2979  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Hyperdeflation, own half the world by headstart - don't you care at all? on: March 27, 2012, 03:28:05 PM


Quote
<snip the rant>
BTC are divisible to 8 powers of ten. That is the smallest fraction of a BTC would be 0.00000001.  Maybe this will be called fractional currency expansion?

And the dollar has a fraction of 0.01, many internal accounting systems have many more digits after the coma, where's your point?
If your point is, that BTC is supposed to increase in value to the point (in a distant future) where we will be paying with mBTC or uBTC, there's a term for that, it's called deflation. So what was your point again?

 

<cough>  Ahh, no.  It's not.  That would be currency appreciation, not deflation.  I don't understand why this concept is so hard.  From an economic perspective, deflation is a (relative) reduction in the monetary base in circulation.  Changes in the value of the currency/the prices of goods in that currency is often a symptom of deflation or inflation, but changes in the monetary base are not the only (or even the majority) reason for such visable symptoms.
2980  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: I believe there is a Hero member who is scamming your money. on: March 27, 2012, 03:22:32 PM
Will be pretty funny when all these loans go bad.

Actually, I'd find that hilarious.  But I don't have any loans outstanding right now, either.
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