Part of the reason why Putin has avoided using nukes is the official Russian "laws" that have been set up by the politburo. These are being changed to make it easier for Russia to use nukes legally, by their own laws.
Another non-news piece of information. Putin is a dictator. The only law in Russia is Putin's law; the only law that matters; it takes precedence over all others. If Putin wanted to shoot nukes about, he would. Some inconvenient piece of text wouldn't stop him. He would just do it and make up the reasons/excuses later. Russia's nuclear doctrine. Yeah, may as well screw up those worthless papers and put them in the trashcan (along with his red lines.) Putin's law trumps them all. Two reasons Putin hasn't used nukes: 1) No guarantee it would deliver victory in Ukraine. 2) China told him not to do it. Not asked, told. Putin's law doesn't extend to China it seems. There are bigger reasons. It will not only not guarantee victory - whatever that means for Putin or whatever he is willing to call a victory - but also will call for a strong international rebuke, not just from China. Another reason is that it is unlikely that he can use nukes without effects in NATO countries, which would inevitably be an attack and would carry a response. Make no mistake: If anything keeps Putin awaken at night is not the number of Ruzzians he has to send to the meatgrinder, the damage to Ruzzias production capability or diplomacy, it is just a NATO direct involvement. A war he cannot win and probably not survive physically. And the main reason: He is happy to escalate by killing civilians with conventional means, bombing infrastructure, schools, ... anything because he gets limited pay-back to it. But escalation only makes sense if you get more than you loose, and nuking does not fit the case. |
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Ok, so given these conditions it would seem that it is not an equilibrated proposal. I mean, both are near in the polls, popular vote an swing vote are largely undecided and it is fine to bet 1:1. But, given the conditions, there is an advantage to Suchmoon - that is, If any of the candidates dies before the election, the other player is certain to get a draw or a win. For now two attempts have been made on Trump vs zero for Kam so...
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Well, I can tell you that invitation cards are common use where I live and they are well liked and used. Honestly, when reading your post the first thing that came to mind were the physical cards from collectible games that are anything but dead. Some of these call for prices in excess of 5000 USD and many times the special editions in mint condition go on auction for ridiculous prices bought by people who want "alternative assets".
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The pope is the president (more or less) of a foreign nation called the Vatican in which only a self-selected group of only men vote among themselves. I wonder how would he react if the president of the united states started giving his views on which cardinal should be elected as the next Pope and saying things like you should choose the less likely child abuser or the one that shall not go to Africa to tell them to not use protection for sex.
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I think that we can use Curacao just like an example. Like the Trinidad, Barbados, etc. In one situation it would be license, in the other - taxes. The main idea is that casino get profit from using BTC that`s why they need a license(or to pay taxes). The casino have to share their profit with the government in some way.
I share your view, casinos need BTC, and the main reason is the number of rival casinos accepting it are many, this alone could cause them to lose customers as it is not convenient for many people in different countries of the world to deposit and withdraw through fiats arrangements, they can go elsewhere with their money. So, this is not about Bitcoin but the casinos, and for them to achieve their goal whilst they operate in a certain country, they must be accountable and cooperate with the government of the land in line with the extant law. This starts by being registered and regulated by the authorities, which will make the government know much about their services and transactions to know their legality/illegality, inflow/outflow, and also know how to adequately tax them. For me, this is a win-win for both parties, only that some customers do not find it funny. With this market going mainstream, government regulation is really needed for this business to become legit when it comes to operations. If people want to reduce the scam relating to this business, at some point, it needs to be monitored by the government employing necessary protocols for this particular business. And this is something inevitable on which we've seen that those long time running companies which example Stake.com which it was KYC-less before but now they are really that directly asking for some verification for you to be able to make up withdrawal into their site on which it do really sucks. Somehow there are really that still some platforms which are still letting you make up some withdrawals without any issues or not really asking out some KYC but on the moment that you do hit up something big or win up something huge then this is the money that they will really be possibly asking out for some verification on which it does really sucks. Yes, we do remember out those days on which almost every sites do make out some huge payout without any strings attached or simply wayback into those old days or years where KYC is non existent. You could be able to get your winning without questions asked but in todays it did really make out such changes on where you could be potentially asked out for some verification. Actually this is something that expected already because government couldnt really be just that sitting still and would really be allowing that these business would really be running without any licenses. We've seen that those kyc-less platforms wayback is already that gradually becoming that too centralized just like into those typical fiat casinos online on which we do know. This is why as a gambler then you should really be that expecting for the things to be like this and its really that very normal i should say and does leaves us no choice. It is inevitable and even more when the business reaches a certain size, but not yet enough size to be able to successfully stop the US or EU enquires into it by hiring the right lawyers. Overall, it makes sense for casinos to comply with the basics, there is a lot to loose and not that much to gain from having no KYC given the current climate of money laundering investigations. To be honest, they are only interested in the small players, but those are the ones playing. |
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They say that Ukraine pulled the good troops out of Ugledar and stuffed it full of toothless territorial defense with instructions to fight to the death. One can guess that the yanked Zionazis were re-assigned to their customary anti-retreat force duty back in 'more secure defensive positions'. Zelenski the coke-head just wants to hold Ugledar for a few more days for PR reasons while he is in DC among all his Ziocon friends/tribe-members. They say the 72nd Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces was waiting for an order to withdraw from Ugledar, but it never came. I think Zelensky decided to sacrifice it to look better in Washington. And all that could make some sense if Vuhledar had been encircled and then fully taken. If you want to know the difference, look at Vovchansk, where Ukraine did encircle a number of Ruzzian troops a couple of days ago - to which the order to retire never came - and are now chips for the exchange. You need to start spreading the shit after something happens not before - remember for the next time. |
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At this point I am much more convinced about the link between Putin and Trump than anything related to Biden in Ukraine. It is a far simpler explanation to the Trump strategy or lack thereof for Ukraine other than promising he will end the war in vague terms, without any particular condition to it. Doing so at this point can only be done in two ways: removing Putin and a large part of its government - by military victory or other means or by giving them what they want. So... guess which one is it.
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Oh wow, Trump accused democrats of voter fraud!?!? This is big big news everyone should take very very seriously because he obviously wouldn't make such a claim if it weren't true. Oh wait, nevermind, I forgot he does this almost every day for the past 8 years and the only thing that's been proven is that he is a liar and a fear monger. And since the Dems barely deny it, Trump is saying the truth.  That is only in BADeckerville, in the rest of the world you have to provide some proof of what you say if you intend it to be taken as a fact rather than an unfounded fake. Other's do not have to prove you wrong, you need to proof yourself right. However, this discourse by Trump perfectly fits the narrative of Trump attempting to intimidate or threaten with a coup-d'etat. He failed the first time, but this time he had more time to prepare, so this fits in the "preparation" stage - creating distrust in democracy, the institutions and the results of polling. |
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Using your maps, yes, it is losing territory there
It is loosing territory (which was under some degree of control, but there is a push west of that pressing the flank and rear of the Ruzzians. It is a classic defensive situation for Ukraine, but it is a risk of encirclement for the Ruzzian troops involved. This map is usually acceptably correct, but will not tell you about the positional war happening. Firstly it is very fluid and secondly, Ukraine is not divulging information. In any case, Ruzzia eventually had to diver troops, but it is also true that they did not stop the vector trying to encircle Vuhledar. Ruzzia has tried direct attacks during the last couple of years and finally decided that they may have a chance going around it. It may happen that they take it. Still, Kursk was beneficial for Ukraine for many reasons (e.g. getting PoWs exchanged) and there may be still surprises in that front. For now, the troops diverted from the Volgorod sector have allowed Ukraine some advances there. |
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This is a very good point that Trump was fact-checked but Kamala Harris was not fact-checked. Perhaps the debate wouldn't have been considered close if Kamala Harris was also fact-checked five times.
If Kamala would have made 5 false claims that were as ridiculous and provably false as the 5 Trump that Trump got fact checked on, then you would have pointed them out. The only one I noticed was when she took Trumps blood bath comment out of context (he was talking about the auto industry or something at the time, she made it seem like he was talking about the country generally). So...what are you saying? You think they should have fact checked Kamala when she wasn't lying? Pretty sure you'd be crying even harder if that happened. I think they are not happy when the moderator uses his freedom of speech to point out some basic facts  they are only in favour of certain type of freedom - their own not others. If you say that people are eating the pets of others, you should know you will be questioned. If Kam was lying - or rather giving full blown false information that is simply not true under any possible consideration - she would have been fact checked just the same. |
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Linking same article from two different conspiracy sites. Are you behind on your weekly conspiratard link quota? So? You had the opportunity to read it twice. Did it sink in? I'm guessing it did. And you pick on the messenger because there wasn't anything you could say against the message. However, would anybody expect anything different from a twitchy seal? Speaking about sinking... https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj4x71znwxdo Why don't you read this twice and let it sink. You knew that Trump was a lousy candidate and kept on vouching for him - and it was ok because Biden was a poor candidate mostly due to age. But it is time to accept it - the moment Trump faced a proper candidate he slumped into name calling and childish rants. And I am not saying a great candidate, nor a fabulous once in a century charismatic leader - just a proper candidate with clear ideas, the ability to express them and able to treat Trump as the circus clown he is. |
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This is the aftermath of the Ukrainian attacks a day ago or so. Perhaps 75% of the locations in the depot area seem to have been effectively been blasted. This is a big one. https://youtu.be/2LmZKYwu_rkThere seems to be some Ukrainian advances in Kursk. I was expecting the opposite, but mappers are saying the opposite: Ruzzia has not advanced in the las 24 hours, while Ukraine was able to take one more settlement. ^^ Zoom out a bit, you are missing the part in which Ukraine is opening a new sector. Yes as expected Ruzzia sent troops to Kursk, what is yet to decide is if these will get encircled or simply fighting around. [...]
So, in your view, is there a mobilisation either ongoing or about to be? Because some sources says that there is one, just not announced, going on since at least March, while other sources say that they are about to try recruit 300k more souls to send to the meatgrinder. Ruzzia has not really stopped the recruiting ever, but it is about to get forcible and bigger I think. Probably there will not be a public announcement, but it will leak. what do you make of the latest strikes in ammo depots? Some sources claim the size of the explosions registered in seismic sensors far away and are comparable to small-ish nukes. https://www.swp-berlin.org/10.18449/2024C24/How Russia Is Recruiting for the Long War
Deutsch
Covertly Mobilising Volunteers While Preparing for a New Round of Compulsory Mobilisation
SWP Comment 2024/C 24, 27.06.2024, 8 Seiten
doi:10.18449/2024C24
[...]
Covert mobilisation
In the third recruitment phase – which is ongoing – the Kremlin is focusing on so‑called “covert mobilisation”. This term refers to the continuous recruitment of “volunteers”, who fall into two categories: kontraktniki and fighters from a broad range of volunteer formations. The Kremlin’s calculation is that the potential for discontent in society is lower under “covert mobilisation” than under a second round of compulsory mobilisation. That is because those who go off to fight are formally categorised as volunteers even if they have been recruited through the exploitation of power imbalances or through the use of deception or coercion.
There have been some accusations around foreign workers signing a contract to work in construction and similar activities that, after arriving in Ruzzia, found out they were now volunteer soldiers. That's how Ruzzia is playing the war - it requires plenty of meat, quality is not a problem. Zoom out to where? Where is that new sector you're talking about? If you're talking about Vesele, that front is actually in the second picture in the lower left box with Novyi Put labeled. "Because some sources says..."  ]I can't predict future like you, but there is definitely no forced mobilization of people currently happening in Russia. As the WSJ article you cited said "It’s dangerous for the Kremlin to carry out another partial or full mobilization". 'Not announced mobilization" is just impossible in current situation, we all saw the effects of the last mobilization in Russia, millions of videos, lawsuits, lines to Kazakhstan, sold out tickets out of Russia etc... This was the goal of the Kursk operation, but clearly currently it's not happening, so instead of just admitting that Kursk offensive was a complete failure, we get these amusing comments pretending as if Kursk offensive is working and there's now mobilization in Russia. recruiting is not forced mobilization, don't act dumb. Just because you might think that aliens are coming doesn't mean you can claim that "there seems to be a clear indication of" aliens in Russia. Even if another partial mobilization will begin in Russia, you and all major media will be covering it within minutes, until then stop spreading propaganda. I've been hearing that Russia is about to run out of missiles any day now since 2022. The fact that RU could store so many weapons at a single site, even spilling to above ground storage, hints at the scale of Russia's current missile production levels. Sword and shield, now RU will just have to adapt, and decentralize storage more. "Mobilising Volunteers" they are called contractors and is not forced mobilization by definition! Stop making up stuff, Kursk is a failure and didn't bring mobilization in Russia as was expected. It is actually visible in the small map. Ukraine has taken land East of the Ruzzian positions near Tektino. But you have predicted the future many times in this thread! For example, you predicted clearly that Ukraine will be in Kursk "just for a few days". Do you not remember? Are you telling me that you did not know what you were talking about?? I guess there must be different people posting under this user... and it seems I am today with the guy that cannot answer without a picture. If you ask me, the level of losses for Ruzzia is impossible to hold without 30 to 35k more people sent to the frontline per month, so... this is not an exercise of prediction, but rather of analysis. To the topics of interest: If you send the conscripts to fight in Kursk (and it is undeniable they have, because many were captured and then sent back to the same place by Ruzzia) it is not "voluntary". It is part of the current target of Ruzzia to make up the numbers they want in the army. Again... you are saying there is no mobilisation in Ruzzia or are you saying there is mobilisation but not forced? What is is then? |
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^^ Zoom out a bit, you are missing the part in which Ukraine is opening a new sector. Yes as expected Ruzzia sent troops to Kursk, what is yet to decide is if these will get encircled or simply fighting around. [...]
So, in your view, is there a mobilisation either ongoing or about to be? Because some sources says that there is one, just not announced, going on since at least March, while other sources say that they are about to try recruit 300k more souls to send to the meatgrinder. Ruzzia has not really stopped the recruiting ever, but it is about to get forcible and bigger I think. Probably there will not be a public announcement, but it will leak. what do you make of the latest strikes in ammo depots? Some sources claim the size of the explosions registered in seismic sensors far away and are comparable to small-ish nukes. https://www.swp-berlin.org/10.18449/2024C24/How Russia Is Recruiting for the Long War
Deutsch
Covertly Mobilising Volunteers While Preparing for a New Round of Compulsory Mobilisation
SWP Comment 2024/C 24, 27.06.2024, 8 Seiten
doi:10.18449/2024C24
[...]
Covert mobilisation
In the third recruitment phase – which is ongoing – the Kremlin is focusing on so‑called “covert mobilisation”. This term refers to the continuous recruitment of “volunteers”, who fall into two categories: kontraktniki and fighters from a broad range of volunteer formations. The Kremlin’s calculation is that the potential for discontent in society is lower under “covert mobilisation” than under a second round of compulsory mobilisation. That is because those who go off to fight are formally categorised as volunteers even if they have been recruited through the exploitation of power imbalances or through the use of deception or coercion.
There have been some accusations around foreign workers signing a contract to work in construction and similar activities that, after arriving in Ruzzia, found out they were now volunteer soldiers. That's how Ruzzia is playing the war - it requires plenty of meat, quality is not a problem. |
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There seems to be a clear indication of a new major mobilisation in Ruzzia. I will link just one of the sources, but there are others. You need to feed 1200 to 1400 Ruzzians every day to the meatgrinder to keep the war going, so... https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/09/19/7475805/The Wall Street Journal reports that the leadership of the Russian Ministry of Defence continues to put pressure on Russian leader Vladimir Putin to announce a new wave of mobilisation to bring in additional troops and compensate for the Kremlin's losses on the battlefield in Ukraine. Ruzzian losses are now reaching 700.000 soldiers, it seem like Putin wants a round number? Ukraine has hit 2 more extra-large ammunition depots according to several reports, it is likely that others will blow up along the next few nights. Seems Ukraine is achieving some degree of success as Ruzzia does simply not have enough air defence to cover all critical objectives. S ources note that the ammo destroyed is 3 months worth of supplies.Ruzzia is ready to blow the dams near Belgorod in case Ukraine decides to "Kursk it". Browse back in Military Summary - well know pro-Ruzzian - according to this guy Ruzzia is breaking through and winning the war every day, Kursk is a "Ruzzian victory".... It is good to listen to the guy if you want (or if you need) to get the "Ruzzian High Sugar" version of the news for any reason. |
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He is getting nervous, as he is literally running for president to avoid getting thrown in prison.
Someone who is running for the office of the presidency just to avoid being thrown in prison shouldn't be qualified to run at the first place. If he's eligible to run for the presidency, it means he will simply be safe even without being the president. @hispo, does US law allow criminals to run for president? Their country has become so bad that there are no better candidates left, and they let criminals become politicians and run for president? Are you American? If you are an American citizen then you are insulting your own country, LOL. I'm not American, but I'm sure their country is fine, not so bad that they can't differentiate between criminals and patriots. Trump not only has the support of the Republican Party but also has the support of half of the American population, so I believe he is not as bad as you or many Democrats say. Yep, you are certainly not from the US, and probably have not even bothered to get a reality check of you views. Yes, the US law allows criminals to run for President. The only condition is nationality, age and not engaging in rebellion, sedition and the like. There is nothing preventing a convict felon like Trump to run as things stand today.
The U.S. Constitution states that the president must:
Be a natural-born citizen of the United States
Be at least 35 years old
Have been a resident of the United States for 14 years
Anyone who meets these requirements can declare their candidacy for president.
As you can see, the founding fathers were more concerned about being "naturally born" in the US (quite a discrimination) than not having committed crimes. Trump does not have the support of half of the US population. Trump did not even win a majority of the votes when he won the elections against Hilary Clinton (Hilary got 2 million votes more than Trump). And as of today, he is a few points below Kam in popular vote. It is only due to the peculiarities of the US electoral system that the government depends on which states the candidate wins, as there is zero for the second candidate is most of them. https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/09/17/kamala-harris-donald-trump-polls-nate-silver-latest/75265000007/More polls show Harris leading Trump, but Nate Silver sees popular, electoral vote split
Polls released Monday by USA TODAY/Suffolk University show Kamala Harris holds a four-point lead over Donald Trump nationally, and a three-point lead in the vital state of Pennsylvania. |
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...
I think now they will start blowing up such warehouses, after all, 30 kilotons were on it, it's gorgeous.
If the event is 1) for real and 2) close to as advertised as a kinetic attack and conflagration, then it's Russia's bad. Bad engineering in storage primarily, and not unlike the series of explosions in Western Ukraine when uranium shells were stored carelessly by NATO. Clearly a win for NATO tactically speaking. That's war. |
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yeah withdrawal and deposit always be the issues of gambling because some of the casino website always like to be faster to process, when you're depositing in their website mostly scam websites, so I know very well anyone that anyone who gambles with casino often have to make a research to new casino to know its a good casino gambling websites or not because if you don't review their website you won't know the problem and challenges they are facing in her website, so to summarised it all, we have search and list out what's the challenges of casino before we patronise them.
Every service of casinos is important to be checked while we review them but I like to use the deposit and withdrawal options and their paces to judge them better. For withdrawal, I pay more attention to people's complaints on withdrawal delay, limits per requests and all similar issues so that I will know what I am signing in for in such casinos. Other factors like the security, the customer support experience, the bonuses, the game options, the user experience and the interface among many other factors are important as well. But after gambling, if the money you stress yourself with does not push through during the withdrawal time, what is the use of all other services of the casino even if they are the best? For this, I pay more attention to the withdrawal complaints of reviewers and if it is becoming too much in the reviews of many people, then it's certainly a red flag for the casino. But if it's 2 or 3 in hundreds of reviews, I can still let it pass. That's exactly how it is! And really, what's the point of playing in a casino and constantly remembering that if you win a serious big sum, then you will definitely have a separate and unpleasant story with the question of receiving your winnings from the casino. And therefore, as soon as complaints from other players about such problems begin to appear, you should immediately try to reduce your deposits in this casino if possible. It's just that usually such messages from other players do not appear without good reason. And this means that the casino is having problems. Reviews should certainly cover that, because it can kill the whole user experience. Any unethical behaviour, misleading statements, abusive ToS should be throughly reviewed that is for certain. Even the forum should be searched to check for reputation and ToS complaints so that it goes directly in the review as red flags or at least warning signs for future users. |
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Hi, if it is not a lot of trouble for you, would you mind reuploading the images using https://www.talkimg.com/? at the moment the images you have broken and "about:blank#blocked", so we can't really see what they replied to your request to undergo KYC verification. Here is the image link; https://ibb.co/WP3DsCR and the rendered image  . The Op erroneously wrote the link twice making it impossible to be rendered or clicked on. From the chat it seems the support is following the laid down protocol that KYC can only be passed when it is required, they cannot configure your account to do it in advance. Op was also hasty to leave the chat too, it is possible that with some persistence the issue could be advanced to a higher authority and something could be changed. - Jay - - So this means that with Fortune Jack it is not required that you advance kyc unless they demand you to pass if, for example, you withdraw a large amount that you won on their platform, right? First, such rules implemented by Fortune Jack are good; we can see that they are not after the KYC of their gamblers. And whatever the OP's decision is, it's his choice, and there's nothing stopping him if he wants to move to a place where he can gamble, and Fortune Jack can't do anything about that. Of course, at the end of the day, the rules will prevail on Fortune Jack anyway. No wonder people are now mistaking this thread for something else, the image that depicts the true chat between the OP and FJ has been deleted, for this, this thread is no longer worth it. For clarity's sake, it's not about an advanced KYC completion and you should have been hinted by the few words the OP wrote in the body. FJ was asking the OP to pend his KYC completion despite being ready to complete it ASAP. The behaviour is so weird and I wonder if it can ever happen in a sane clime where regulation is real and not fake like many casinos pretend. This is no different from the ignoble vice the no-KYC casinos use later when they ask you to complete it with stricter conditions. It is interesting that there is an accusation in the first place, although it is not as much as accusation but rather a depiction of a common problem, which is sites making an aggressive use of what should have been a simple paperwork to prevent customers from getting back their deposit of earnings. This is a wider issue than a chat and I site I would think. |
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What do you say about the strike on the ammunition depot in the Tver region?
I am surprised that Ukraine pulled it up. It was huge, to the point that BA Decker has thrown one of his usual walltexts to prevent people from actually reading about it. Let's undo this and have a look a Toropest https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uH7-krNAOQAThis is before. Not a small depot, lot's of small depots as usual in these cases, but... the Ruzzians apparently were so confident on not getting attacked that they piled up stuff out of the protected depots. Perhaps they were given the order to store much more than they really could... who knows... but... Before:  After:  ...
Where is the escalation? Ruzzia has put many red lines, all of them have been passed and there is no escalation...
Forces within the Western decision making centers are clearly and increasingly desperate to get some sort of WW-III going. There are multiple hypothesese as to who and what drives these objectives, and why. If some sort of a WW-III is not in Russia's interest at this time, it would be foolish to react inappropriately. [...] The way to really screw ones adversary is to NOT give them what they want. At least not when they want something which would server their interests at a given point in time. [...] A classic example of patience was Israel back in Gulf-I. Saddam insulted Israel with some meaningless scud bottle-rockets and Israel did exactly the right thing. Nothing! .. So the adversary want you to nuke them, and Putin's strategy is to screw them by not nuking them. Ok.. I am sure that makes sense in Ruzzia. In the rest of the world, Putin knows he has nothing to gain by escalating, so if "the West" sends weapons he copes with it. |
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The most interesting update is Ukraine hitting a massive weapons storage facility. Figures are around 90.000 tons of explosives lost and I would not give credit to it, but there is satellite evidence - I mean that the smoke can be seen from space. This was in the north, not that far from Lithuania. Well I am seeing lots of very concerning news coming out of G7 countries media. Seems the UK & EU are potentially backing the use of serious weapons against Russia. An escalation in this war is not a good idea, Russia is not a power to be messed with. I would really prefer if we all stayed out of this war.
You would prefer to stay out of this war - offcourse, because now you're somewhere far away from it. But current phase of war is leading nowhere, only to more deaths every day. Now basically Ukraine is fighting with their hands tied. You're talking about escaltion. Yeah, but Ukraine already crossed what was red flag for Russia so many times that long distance missiles wouldn't be big deal. I am not sure what is the guy's post about??? So the weapons that US and UK and France, and German, and Poland, Canada, Lithuania... all those were not serious weapons?? They did only hurt a bit and not kill?? Where is the escalation? Ruzzia has put many red lines, all of them have been passed and there is no escalation and the reason is that if Ruzzia goes nuke, the Moscovian regime would be gone either in hours or in days. |
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