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401  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Quais Exchanges são Brasileiras ou possuem Filial regularizada no Brasil. on: January 14, 2024, 10:42:28 PM
Nossas assinaturas são um caso mais complicado ainda, porque nem recebemos de empresas, recebemos de uma carteira anônima que nem sabemos quem é que está pagando  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Ai que mora o problema. Se o dinheiro é vindo do exterior ou não. Ainda não se definiu e nem se definirá se o Bitcoin é do exterior ou não. Mesmo assim, dá para preencher o carnê-leão sem cnpj ou cpf da fonte pagadora. Basta declarar que é do exterior. Na dúvida, não tem outra forma. Enquanto a receita e o bc não esclarecerem a situação.

E eu duvido que eles se darão ao luxo de fazer uma lei ou algo do tipo que explique como deve-se declarar isso equanto estivermos aqui em uma meia dúzia de gato-pingados... por mais que estejamos nos radar deles, ainda não erguemos valor suficiente para incomodar, eu acho.
Nossa sorte, creio eu, é que o @TryNinja preserva a identidade dele muito bem, pois com os milhões que ele já ganhou com Bitcoin e as voltas ao mundo que já deu, se a receita tivesse a certeza de que ele é Brasileiro mesmo e onde morava, já teria feito a casa cair pra todo mundo Cool

Enfim, falando sério, por mais que esse fórum movimente muita grana com as campanhas de assinatura, em território Brasileiro ele é pouco conhecido e não deve estar incomodando a Receita. Não que a gente esteja de fato fazendo algo de errado, eu na verdade nem sei se estou declarando certo, e não é por maldade, mas duvido que eles estejam preocupados em esclarecer isso.
Se alguém aqui cair em malhar fina por esse motivo, que se vire... pensam eles.
402  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: CAMPANHAS DE ASSINATURAS ATUALIZADAS on: January 14, 2024, 10:35:10 PM
Fiquem atentos porque de segunda-feira para terça-feira muitas campanhas de assinaturas fecham o ciclo e é quando eventualmente surgem novas vagas.
Na Duelbits por exemplo, o cliclo se encerra às 08 da noite na Segunda-Feira (horário de Brasília) e o manager já deixou claro na última postagem que estaria "kickando" mais alguns usuários nessas próximas semanas que eventualmente não estejam com boas postagens.... algo assim.

Até o momento eu já resisti à uns 5 cortes desses, então acho que estou fazendo um bom trabalho até então, mas confesso que ele consegue nos deixar com a adrenalina à flor da pela toda vez que chegamos à mais um fechamento de ciclo... na Duelbits não basta cumprir a meta de postagens, é preciso também cumprir a meta de qualidade e agora com as campanhas de assinaturas muito mais disputadas com o banimento dos mixers, bons usuários esperando uma vaga é o que não falta.... espero que eu ainda seja um desses Cheesy

Não percam a esperança... para usuários que postam bons conteúdos sempre haverá espaço, por mais difícil que seja encontrar uma vaga.
403  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Drug (cocaine) addicts compromises gambling potentials on: January 14, 2024, 10:22:34 PM
~ snip long op  Smiley ~

This person's life was already ruined before he even got into gambling, why are you saying that gambling is to blame?
Even though he made a lot of money from gambling at first to support his drug addiction, we cannot blame gambling for the addicted life he was leading before that.

Of all the evils, at least he led a dignified life, as he supported his drug addictions with an honest source of income (at first). Many drug addicts prefer to steal or open a clandestine and fraudulent business to get money faster, this would be a bad thing. But the way you stated this fact, I see nothing wrong with gambling.

What I have seen in online gaming addictions is exactly the opposite.... people who are already addicted to gambling end up contracting other addictions to illicit drugs, alcohol or cigarettes due to the psychological stress that gambling losses cause in the people's minds out of control.
404  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Know when to ride and stop! on: January 14, 2024, 10:16:11 PM
I decided to create this topic as a tip to fellow gambler that wants to have a slightly increase chance to win on gambling.

Fella should know when to ride when you are on a win streak. You can test the water first by betting slowly until you get the tempo of winning streak then slowly increase your bet while you are still winning. Stop immediately when you encounter a lose or two because there’s a high chance that you will be tilted and chase loss until you lose everything.

Don’t increase your bet when you are losing because it will just amplify your loss immediately once you are in bad streak. Always test the water before you increase your bet.  Wink

Great!

Many people think that they should do exactly the opposite... never stop playing while they are losing, under the pretext that they need to recover the lost money.
Even worse is when these people use "unbeatable techniques" like the Martingale which in theory should mean that the bettor never loses money... big mistake.

However, I would just like to add to your OP that even during a winning streak you need to stop playing, because depending on the style of play and bet you are making, it is possible to lose in just two moves what was won in 10 or more past plays.
If it is "not possible" to stop playing, then you should at least reduce the amount, returning to the initial contributions, making a reserve of what has already been won.
405  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Como criar um bot para o Bitcointalk? on: January 13, 2024, 06:00:41 PM
Qualquer lugar do fórum.

A ideia é criar um catalogo de imagens no TalkImg, e em vez dos utilizadores estarem sempre a fazer upload, podem lançar um comando, e por sua vez o bot faz um post com a imagem.
Tipo, quando eu posto:
#talkimg001 é criado um post com o logotipo do TalkImg.

Como digo, a ideia ainda é um pouco abstrata. Quando penso nela, parece-me uma ideia boa, mas as vezes acho que nem tanto.

Enfim... o que acham?

Cara, desculpe o balde de água fria, mas eu acho que pode pode sofrer com alguns problemas nisso aí...
Tá ligado que o fórum possui algumas restrições anti-spam né? Desde o cloudflare para prevençao de DDos até limitações de postagens seguidas pelo próprio sistema do fórum em usuários mais novos (o que inclui uma conta de bot).

Uma opção seria você utilizar a conta do próprio usuário, fazer ele entregar o usuário/senha ao bot que irá editar a própria postagem de forma automatizada, mas tu entende que isso teria uma péssima adesão e sequer é seguro para ti... imagina sua reputação caso algo desse ruim.

Enfim, o bot de sorteios do TryNinja é algo pontual, com postagens eventuais e espaçadas, agora imagina um único "usuário" fazendo centenas de postagens por dia em tudo quanto é canto bo Bitcointalk...
Tá bom, eu sei que você @joker_josue já conseguiu esse feito sem ser bloqueado, mas você ainda possui "padrões humanos" de postagens Cheesy , já para um bot eu tenho dúvidas se isso iria funcionar.
406  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Brasileirão 2024 - Brazilian Championship Serie A on: January 13, 2024, 05:52:32 PM
Botafogo, after losing last season's title, are reshaping their squad
14 players in total have already left the team, most notably goalkeeper Lucas Perri and Adryelson (defender) who have been sold to Lyon (France)
These are two important losses, but Botafogo want to reshape the team considerably

Yes!
Botafogo really opened up space for new signings.
In goal, as far as I know John came to be the starting goalkeeper and in defense Lucas Halter and Barboza who were standouts in Goiás and Libertad will play a very different defense this year.
I'm just not very convinced that Botafogo made good options for the attack... Jeffinho, Savarino?? I don't think it will make a big difference, but we'll see how they interact with the team on the field.

Anyway... there were changes in all sectors of the team, from what I could see, we'll see. For better or worse, something must change.
407  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Know when to stop on: January 13, 2024, 05:41:31 PM
One of the most important factor of a successful gambler is to know when to stop, most gamblers expecially the addictive type don't even know what is stop when it comes to gambling. So it's very important to;
* Stop when your losing is now getting to you.

* Stop when you are now feeling as is you can't do without gambling.

* Stop when you have a big winning, by channeling the money somewhere else so you won't lose it back to gambling.

* Stop when you are not even winning at all, it's not your thing.

* When your losing is weighing you down, stop and restrategize .

These manuals work when the person is still aware of the risks of gambling, the problem is when they are already addicted to gambling, they still find themselves in that phase of "denial", believing that everything is fine when in fact they are already addicted to gambling. unlucky.

Some factors that indicate that you have already reached this stage are:
  • When you need to bet increasingly higher amounts to feel emotions;
  • when you bet increasingly larger amounts and are not prepared to lose;
  • When you feel frustrated or angry when you try to reduce your playing time or when you try to stop playing.
  • When you are constantly thinking about sports betting, regardless of the time of day or the activity you are doing, and this includes work and leisure time with friends and family.
  • Finally, I think the main factor is when you realize that you are even lying to your parents or partner about your gambling activity and the amount of your bets/losses.

Any of these factors is a sign that you are already addicted, but that there is still time to reverse the situation.
408  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: You'll be a discipline gambler in sports if you have a real bankroll. on: January 13, 2024, 05:31:53 PM
Do you believe that you will be more disciplined in sports betting if you have a dedicated bankroll?

I don't think so!
If I don't have enough money to lose on a bet, I would hardly invest more money to try to recover what was lost.

Think about it this way... even if the person has a reserved balance of $50 for the game, when that money runs out, won't they spend another $20, $50 or $100 on top of that amount to play? If she does this, she will have to recover the loss in the same way.
So, a person who is undisciplined, even if they have an amount to spend, will not be able to limit themselves and control their spending.

The secret of not getting into debt is not whether or not you have money, it is the player's discipline and awareness in making responsible bets.
409  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: ETF BITCOIN APROVADO ? - CONTA SEC HACKEADA on: January 12, 2024, 01:47:22 AM
É OFICIAL. ETF APROVADO!

Pois é, não se pode vencer todas... eu já gastei toda a minha bola de cristal ao vislumbrar o preço do BTC para o final do ano passado em um momento em um patamar que ninguém acreditava que ele chegaria, ainda estou muito fraco para ter visto que o ETF seria aprovado, por isso sempre fui contra.

Mesmo que ue não tenha vendido meus BTC, ainda acho que esse teria sido o movimento mais correto... vejam que o valor dele praticamente não mexeu, prova de que o mercado realmente já tinha se adiantado à compra...estavam realmente todos otimistas quanto à essa aprovação?

O americano costuma comprar a bolsa mensalmente, e por isso ela vai subindo aos poucos com os aportes. É possível que o ETF do bitcoin entre nessa.
Deve ser um aumento gradual, assim como foi o do ouro

Concordo, mas tenho certeza que muita gente acreditava em um PUMP um pouco maior.
De qualquer forma, sigo com os aportes mensais, acredito que 2024 será muito bom para o Bitcoin, só precisamos que alguém dê um jeito nesses Ordinals.
410  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Voce já verificou se possui algum satoshi raro em seus endereços? on: January 12, 2024, 01:38:19 AM
nao duvido que ja tem gente pensando em meios de minerar esses satoshis raros  Roll Eyes

Minar como!?
Esses satoshis já foram minados. O incrível é pensar, como existe malta a querer dar mais dinheiro por esses satoshis.

Eu não fico surpreso... em 7 anos de cripto já vi de tudo, e os NFTs e Memecoins foram os piores.
Tudo bem... NFT eu até engulo porque tem muita gente que realmente mereceu ganhar dinheiro com isso, mas também vi muita gente criando "qualquer ciosa" e lucrando milhões em algo que não valia nada. Como conseguiram isso? propaganda! sempre tem um espertalhão querendo pagar caro acreditando que vai conseguir lucrar 3x mais depois.

Já os memecoins não se salva nenhum, tudo oque vi são coisas sem propósito ou serventia nenhuma além de encher os bolsos de alguém.

E sobre esses satoshis raros  minha opinião é a mesma, por mais que alguém diga que isso possa ser um "item de colecionador", pra mim é apenas mais um motivo para alguém lucrar à custo de algo que não vale nada à mais.
411  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What's The Weirdest Alibi Of Gamblers So They Can Continue Gambling? on: January 12, 2024, 01:32:45 AM
What's The Weirdest Alibi Of Gamblers you've heard or read, So They Can Continue Gambling

Ok, disregarding those who play just for fun/entertainment and who are not worried about losing money, we have those who play to get "rich", but why do they believe that?

I think the main reason they keep playing even though they lose is because we think that after they lose several times, they believe they will win the next time. For example, we bet that a coin will land “Heads”, and we know that the chance of winning is 50%, but what if “Tails” had already come up “Tails” ten times in a row in the bets, perhaps you think that the chance of it coming up “Heads” ” this time it is greater than 50%, since “Tails” has come out many times, so at some point “Heads” will start to come out, and many really believe that... especially those who bet still believing in the Martingale technique.

But in reality this is not what happens, the coin is the same as always and continues with the same probability of 50% for both sides... it is difficult to explain this to someone who is already addicted to gambling, but the Mathematics is king and casinos even more so when they program their machines to give you chances of winning with just a little more than 50%

No matter how much humanity evolves, gambling will always be our weakness Tongue
412  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Who is the money manager? is it a casino or game provider? on: January 12, 2024, 01:22:18 AM
Most of the games in online casinos come from third parties or game providers such as Pragmatic Play, Bgaming, Pgsoft, Play'N Go, etc. When playing at any casino, we will use their services. Perhaps only the house edge games are fully owned and powered by the casino

So who actually manages finances? is it the casino itself or the game provider? Does the casino only get a commission from the game provider or buy the game license from the game provider?

I'm not sure, but I believe that the casino is the one who manages all the inflow and outflow of money, after all, user deposits are made in the casino's wallets, right?

What game providers should do is periodically "issue a charge" to the casinos demanding their share of the profits... obviously, with each player's "play", the game provider immediately knows what the amount was bet and what the amount was eventually paid to the player, then they just need to calculate their part of the commission and ask the casino to make the payment.

For newer casinos, this may be different, I believe that owners of casinos without reputation even need to make payments in advance or provide some reliable collateral.
413  Other / Off-topic / Re: Who does gambling addiction affect the most? on: January 12, 2024, 01:13:51 AM
So I want to ask, between the gambling addict and his immediate family, who does the addiction affect the most?

Both, equally.

There are those who think that the addict is always the most affected person, but I believe that the family sometimes suffers much more than the addict himself.
While the addict is in a world of illusion, he often does not realize the harm he is causing himself, the only thing he suffers from is the lack of money or "lack of luck" in gambling.
The family, however, remains lucid and really realizes all the harm that gambling is bringing, which is why I believe they suffer more.

However, the family's recovery is usually faster than that of the addict, even though the wounds never heal, the addict may never be cured of this disease.
414  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: ETF do BITCOIN causa SUPER PUMP NO ETHEREUM (?) on: January 11, 2024, 02:12:29 AM
Não acredito que tenha sido uma total influência do ETF do Bitcoin mas sim que a rede vai passar por uma grande atualização em breve para melhorar a escalabilidade e a tendência é que as taxas atuais diminuam consideravelmente. Coisa de 10x mais baratas em média.

Eu to lendo direito?
Para presenciou e sofreu de perto com as taxas altíssimas do ETH frente à do BTC na época dos joguinhos e depois dos memes agora está levando um soco no estômago ao sofrer com taxas cada vez mais altas no Bitcoin (e a princípio sem solução à curto prazo) e por outro lado cada vez mais baixas na rede do ETH.

Sempre fui preconceituoso com o ETH, mas assumo que essa "moedinha" se reinventa a cada ano para se manter colada ao Bitcoin por tanto tempo. Várias outras blockchains com tanto ou mais idade que o Ethereum também possuíam grande potencial, mas ficaram estacionadas no tempo e perderam seu espaço.

Poderia o Ethereum, algum dia, superar o Bitcoin!?
415  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Brasileirão 2024 - Brazilian Championship Serie A on: January 11, 2024, 02:04:47 AM
Is it too early to say Palmeiras will win once again? Cheesy

Betting houses are considering Flamengo as the favorite to win Brasileirão 2024. Palmeiras comes in second place and Atlético-MG in third. They might know something we don't, but it seems unreasonable to put Flamengo as favorite when Palmeiras remains unbeatable and getting stronger season after season. There aren't significant changes in Palmeiras team to consider they shouldn't be the favorite anymore.

They have proven to deliver a stable performance even in very unfavourable and uncertain conditions, like it happened last year with Botafogo dominating the champioship for a long time. Despite this fact, Palmeiras didn't get unsettled and bounced back in the end.

Yeap!

So... last season Botafogo led the championship from the third round until the thirty-third, so I honestly don't want to bet on any champion for this 2024 season, at least until the middle of the championship.
We already know that the main Brazilian football championship is the most competitive and difficult in the world, and we also know that being champion in the last season does not guarantee good results in the following season.... unlike the European championships, there are no pre-defined favorites in the Brazilian championship, every year we have a surprise.

Who will win?
Let's leave this question and answer for a few months, maybe!?
416  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: January 11, 2024, 01:59:33 AM
Anthony Martial the player of Macshter United had some offers from teams like Fenerbahçe, and Marseille and some Saudi terms but this French payer rejected all the offers to stay in Manchester unted.
Manchester United has not been interested in keeping Anthony Martial for a long time and they prefer to put this player or even let him join any other teams but this player is going to be a problem for Manchester United since he doesn't want to leave the team.

I don't understand what's going through Martial's head.... This "striker" isn't able to play for the Manchester United team, he isn't even able to get on the field and on several occasions he hasn't made a point of hiding his dissatisfaction with this situation. In addition to several physical problems, Martial is having a terrible performance on the field... he is unable to maintain a sequence of games.

It is notable that Manchester hoped to negotiate with other teams and proactively sought out several interested parties, but why did Martial refuse!?!?!?
I learned that Fenerbahçe had made a very generous offer.
417  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Long-term profitable strategies on: January 11, 2024, 01:51:39 AM
Let's discuss long-term profitable gambling strategies, as well as the elements of such strategies. It is not even necessary to back it up with winning statistics (although no one will mind). It is enough to write that “I think that this strategy is profitable in such and such a game or in such and such a form of gambling.”
       Elements of profitable strategies are also quite interesting for discussion. I know that for long-term profitability, risk management is of course much more important. However, what is equally important is what leads to profit in addition to risk management.
     If your profitable strategy is of a proprietary nature, if it is secret and you do not want to write about it, then you can limit yourself to general reasoning. I think that this discussion will be useful for everyone and perhaps it will prompt some of their own promising ideas.

I'm a terrible person to talk about profit in gambling games in the long term, my winnings are always sporadic and punctual, as I rarely end a month in profit.

It's possible? Yes, I believe it, but I don't think it's a question of strategy, because if there were an infallible recipe for profit then the casinos would be bankrupt. However, this is not what we have been witnessing in recent years.

But how is it possible then? In addition to the risk management that you have already mentioned, you need to bet on something that you are very good at, and in this regard you can now eliminate those games that depend a lot on luck, as these you will never be able to master. I'm talking about sports or card games, in which the player's skills overcome the mathematical probabilities of luck.
418  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Do you think women will make better gamblers by their nature? on: January 11, 2024, 01:47:06 AM
Women by nature are more conservative than men. They are better manager of resources and know how to prioritise things. This is what is needed for successful gambling because with it, the chances of using funds meant for basic needs in gambling will be minimised.

So do you think women will make better gamblers than men?

I disagree!
Many say that women are better at this or that compared to men, but my opinion is that they have been very stereotyped over time, at the same time that they have also suffered a lot of prejudice in relation to gambling.
Therefore, when we see a wet girl playing we still think... she must not know much about what she is doing, so she should take it easy in the game, take less risks... pure nonsense.

Just like anyone, there are women who are hopelessly addicted to gambling and we also have several examples of fantastic women.

It is not because of their caution, but because they decided to overcome prejudice, that I mention three great women who left a legacy and paved the way for the women we have today in gambling:
  • Shirley Brancucci, first female Baccarat dealer in Las Vegas. Although she proved her skills as a dealer, she suffered prejudice because she was a woman and was subject to objectification;
  • Judy Bayley, also known as the First Lady of Gambling, was the first woman owner of a major casino in Las Vegas;
  • Claudine Williams was the first woman to be inducted into the Nevada Gambling Hall of Fame.
419  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: CAMPANHAS DE ASSINATURAS ATUALIZADAS on: January 09, 2024, 11:25:26 PM
Uma dica importante pra todos que participam de campanhas:
Lembrem-se se constantemente visitar o tópico da campanha pois pode conter informações importantes, como mudança de avatar, de assinatura, mudanças no pagamento, bônus etc, eu confiro pelo menos umas 2 vezes por semana pra não ter erro
Outra dica:

Ao usar o meu bot do telegram, você pode adicionar o tópico da sua campanha na lista de Tracked Topics e limitar as notificações apenas para posts feitos pelo gerente, assim você é notificado de todo post que ele faz lá.

~snip~

Conselho e dicas preciosas Cool
Recentemente eu habilitei essa configuração em que o filtro por usuário é extremamente útil, do contrário eu receberia dezenas de notificações da galera que posta candidatura quando o manager abre novas vagas.

E sempre que possivel, eu ainda aviso meus colegas de campanhas sobre essas atualizações, pois nem todo mundo possui o bot instalado e devidamente configurado (lamentável né).

Enfim... alguém está acompanhando como que está a disputa de vagas agora que os mixers não são mais permitidos por aqui?
420  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: O grande dia esta chegando !!!! on: January 09, 2024, 11:21:06 PM
Das duas uma:

1- SEC aprova etf e cai depois do fomo pra subir lá pro segundo semestre

2- SEC não aprova por besteira e desaba pra subir depois da sacudida

Eu voto pelo 2

Sou da mesma opinião.... não acredito que o Bitcoin deva subir muito com a eventual aprovação do ETF, acredito que o mercado já tenha precificado o valor acreditando nessa aprovação (que na minha visão o povo está bem otimista).
Claro que minha opinião não tem fundamento algum, mas eu acredito que deve ser adiada novamente, principalmente depois do hack que houve hoje.

E, se de fato não for aprovada, a queda é certeira.
Estou tentado à vender um pouco de Bitcoin antes da votação, será que vou me arrepender? Roll Eyes
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