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321  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: CAMPANHAS DE ASSINATURAS ATUALIZADAS on: January 24, 2024, 07:11:36 PM
Você não postou nada lá ainda?

Não, só criei uma conta para evitar algum golpe.. mal consigo bater a meta aqui, imagina em 2 fóruns.. os relatos de vocês também não me encorajaram Cheesy pelo visto não está dando nem para ganhar um dinheiro por lá.

Estou na mesma situação!
Sequer consigo empenho para postar regularmente aqui, e sinto que até minha qualidade precisa dar uma melhorada, então sem chances de postar em dois fóruns, sequer fiz a inscrição por lá e confesso que esses valores das campanhas não são nada atrativos.

Enfim! eu achei que as coisas por aqui ficariam muito mais acirradas depois que baniram as campanhas de assinaturas, mas pelo visto as empresas de Gambling estão com fôlego suficiente para abocanhar essa galera.
Se bem que... verifiquei que na última abertura de vagas da minha campanha choveu muuuuita candidatura, mas pelo menos aqui em nossa aba não vi ninguém sofrendo com o desemprego ainda, certo? Já tivemos cenários piores.... não está tão mal (ou nada mal) assim.
322  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: FIFA World Cup 2026 :Canada/Mexico/United States: Discussion Thread on: January 24, 2024, 07:07:05 PM
I think the ego in playing football to be a shining star in the sky is something that Brazilian players didn't have in the past. If that happens I remember my country Indonesia. Of course it's not apples to apples to compare. But if we talk about excessive individuality, I think it's like some Indonesian players who want to dribble when they should be passing, or shoot when there should be a teammate who has a more open shooting space. But this can happen because there are some players who feel they have the qualities of European or American players.

But the Brazilian national team shouldn't have that. I mean of course people will think that Brazilian players are all good quality players. So prioritizing ego to look like a star is a big mistake that got Brazil to where it is today.

I disagree that ego was Brazil's main problem in the last World Cup.

They, in fact, went through the cup qualifiers with an excellent result and didn't even have a "star" on the field.
Neymar was not the center of attention as he was in the previous cup, Brazil had several talented and new players, but no one was seen as a "hero", in fact I saw that team as a team concept.
Anyway... the result wasn't the best, but I still disagree that the problem was the ego of one or another player, as I didn't see that on the field.

I can no longer find a reason why Brazil were eliminated so early, and in fact I stopped looking.
I'm looking ahead now, I hope that the new coach of the Brazilian team can structure the team well, win again in the cup qualifiers and achieve a good result.
323  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: While placing bet what comes your mind on: January 24, 2024, 07:00:33 PM
Yesterday was trying to place bet and during the process something in me keeps telling me to increase your wager do you know if you would hit something you never won before.. I was like is this how other people are being controlled by gambling or is it how it works? I said, no wonder some people gamble and finishes their allocation for the week or month. This can even lead someone to also go borrow if this feeling is not killed and stop, you can also see that this attributes in gambling addiction.

However, have you had this feeling while gambling before be it offline casino and online casinos?

Certainly, as the opportunities to win in the game increase the more the player is willing to risk more money.
A win on a bet of $100 or $1000 will bring you a much larger profit, but many people don't think otherwise... "What if I don't win?" How many chances will I be wasting?

As much as a person is willing to lose $1000, they need to consider that their chances of winning by betting $100 in $100 can be much greater than if they make a single all-in bet of $1000.

So, the advice is to keep your mind calm, resist these emotional impulses and follow your pre-defined betting schedule.
Sometimes it's good to follow your intuition, but in gambling they usually end up not being a good choice.
324  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: January 24, 2024, 06:55:18 PM
After rarely getting playing minutes at Manchester City, Kalvin Philips finally moved to West Ham on loan. This agreement is valid until the end of this season and there is a purchase option clause for West Ham. I think it's time for Kalvin Philips to start forgetting Manchester City because the competition there is very tight with other players and it's not that Kalvin Philips is bad, it's just that under Pep Guardiola he wasn't the first choice.

If his performance is convincing at West Ham then he will definitely be made permanent and at least that would be better for his career while he is still competing in England. Even if in the end he has to return to Manchester City then he will only be a bench warmer again and that will make his career not shine again. Well, congratulations to Kalvin Philips, he took the right steps before it was too late.

In mid-2023, Phillips decided to stay in Manchester and try to prove his worth, but the arrivals of Mateo Kovacic and Matheus Nunes overshadowed him even more. When Rodri was out due to suspension he wasn't even considered as a starter. In other words... Manchester really wasn't his place.
However, his departure in January was already certain for everyone, especially when Pep Guardiola assumed that he could not find space for Phillips at City.

I don't blame Manchester, as Kalvin Phillips seemed to be the perfect signing for them in July 2022 when they spent £49 million to get him from Leeds United, however he failed to be a reliable option or as a substitute, unfortunately he didn't adapted well.

And at West Ham, will Phillips have space? If you do well there, the loan even provides for a purchase option established in the contract.
325  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Corretora de criptomoedas nega insolvência e desaparecimento de CEO on: January 23, 2024, 02:23:18 PM
Não é essa exchange que tem uma parceria com o Messi?

Isso não significa nada, mas se o Messi tem lá o seu dinheiro (a menos que o Messi seja apenas pago para participar), duvido que caia. Basta ele fazer um post no X, e as coisas mudam logo.

Ah cara, geralmente esses famosos só vendem sua imagem, e nos últimos meses futebol e criptos estão andando muito próximos nas parcerias comerciais.
Seja por uma postagem boa ou ruim, mesmo que Messi ganhe muito dinheiro para fazer isso, eu duvido que ele faria nesse momento sabendo que tem muito de sua reputação à perder.

De toda forma, torcendo também para que seja FUD, pois o momento do Bitcoin está meio complicado e a queda de mais uma exchange mais ou menos "relevante" só iria piorar esse cenário.
Eu li algumas notícias a respeito, mas de fato não se encotnra nada concreto ainda, no máximo rumores em que ninguém prova nada, então o momento é de cautela e obviamente de retirar fundos mais relevantes da exchange enquanto pode.
326  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: 12% da população de El Salvador usou Bitcoin 2023 on: January 23, 2024, 02:18:55 PM
Não acho que 12% seja um mau numero. O Bitcoin é moeda oficial a quanto tempo; dois, três anos?
Isso é um processo de crescimento geracional. Só daqui a uns 6-7 anos é que se vai realmente ver o efeito dessa medida.
A duvida fica é se essa politica monetária se mantem até lá ou não.

Então! Se olharmos só esse valor de 12% no peíodo de três anos pode não ser ruim, mas se vermos que no ano anterior o Bitcoin era utilizado já por quase 1/4 da população, aí esse número de agora pode assustar, ou não?

Claro que inicialmente o governo deu muuuito incentivo para a população utilizar o Bitcoin, Bukele "rasgou" dinheiro e deu à população para incentivaro uso e fazer o Bitcoin circular e isso ajudou os números.
Em contrapartida, logo depois veio a crise e a população deve ter ficada bem assustada com a perca do valor do Bitcoin em comparação ao Dólar... não tem governo nenhum que irá te convencer À não usar uma moeda de outro país quando o que está jogo é o alimento que vocÊ coloca na mesa da tua família, e acho que isso realmente ajudou muito à diminuir essa porcentagem.

Quanto a manutenção dessa política monetária, eu tava confiante que com a alta do Bitcoin o governo fosse retomar os incentivos, vendo que possui um caixa positivo novamente. Porém não estou mais tão confiante no preço do Bitcoin para esse ano.
O que parecia ser um cenário muito bom, derrepente mudou drasticamente.
327  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: January 23, 2024, 02:09:53 PM
Jose Mourinho is an experienced coach who has good qualities so of course when he doesn't have a team there will be many teams approaching to use his services but I think for the top European teams currently nothing is visible, now only offers from the Saudi Arabian team and There is still a big possibility for Jose to reject it and then wait for the right offer.
I think it won't be long before big rumors about Jose will circulate, he is a quality coach, of course many top teams want him.

The fact is that Mourinho, who recently turned down a proposal from Al-Shabab, really wants to stay in Italy. I believe that the obstacles to him signing a contract with Napoli are not very big, something like his style of play, different from what has been successful recently at the club, and perhaps the high amounts of money that hiring the Portuguese coach would require. of the club.

But what they are saying is really right! If Mourinho leads Napoli the fans will be "furious" and I think we can expect good results for the club in the next games.

Mouirinho has already gone through some difficulties, but I believe he would manage the team well if he manages to sign this contract with Napoli, and I really hope that happens.
328  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Do you pay attention on other people bet and it amount, and does it affect you? on: January 23, 2024, 02:00:25 PM
That is how the idea of this topic appeared. I watch others gamble, I watch how the bet, I start to think about betting more than usually. Do you have such feeling also? Do you have a feeling that if others make large bets, that you also must bet large, otherwise you would feel like uncomfortable, or feel like a poor among rich, or something of that kind.

I've done this before and it was really bad.
Why? Because we see a lot of people winning, generally we can only watch or only want to watch the success stories. Of the 1000 people who are playing, we can only see those 10 who are winning, or we purposely ignore the other 9990 who are losing because they are far from our focus of interest.

What is the result of this? When we try to replicate the bets of those winning people, we see that we are hardly part of the 10 successful players we were analyzing, in fact we only increase the amount of the 9990 who usually lose by making the same type of bet.

My advice... observe others, that's good, but also observe the bets of those who lose... also learn from other people's mistakes, not just from victories and after all this, place YOUR BETS based on what you can bet and what you are willing to lose.
329  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The need to control your emotions as a football fan. on: January 23, 2024, 01:45:51 PM
The Ghanaian national team drew against mozambique, and the entire Ghanaian fans and press team where outraged by the performance of their black star's. in their minds eye they feel the Mozambique team where a weaker side for them to win and qualify for the next round, but rather they drew 2-2 and crashed out of the AFCON competition.
One press man was vigorously abusing the Ghanaian coach as he was walking pass them, calling him unprintable names.
As gambler and a football fan, it most appropriate for you to always show a good level of emotional intelligence whenever results doesn't go your way, because that's the spirit of sportsmanship,
The results must not always go your way as a gambler, you will lose some and you will win some.
https://x.com/SaddickAdams/status/1749560310959108318?s=20
https://x.com/FinaNapoleon/status/1749572663058518185?s=20

One of the pillars for a profitable bettor is emotional control, so, in fact, it is impossible to achieve good results if the person cannot control themselves. In addition to benefits from the technical aspect of finding good opportunities and managing your bankroll well, a person who can control their emotions can stay on track and also think about the long term.

This case that you mentioned is a typical example of severe emotional loss, as we know that every team, no matter how favorite it may be, will always have its moment of defeat, even against the odds, or else it will go through a bad phase and be disqualified from a championship.

Lack of control is something normal in our nature, as human beings, we will hardly have the ability to neutralize our emotions but we can and should know how to deal with them, knowing how to deal with this will benefit you greatly in gambling, preventing you from making common mistakes such as overdoing it. in the amount used in your bets or despair when dealing with a bad run. More than that, those who practice emotional control will also have advantages in their personal relationships, in their work (if they do not make a living exclusively from sports trading) or even in simple day-to-day decisions.
330  Local / Português (Portuguese) / 12% da população de El Salvador usou Bitcoin 2023 on: January 21, 2024, 07:08:20 PM
E agora?
Em um país que adotou o Bitcoin como moeda oficial à um bom tempo, ver um número tão pequeno como ese é algo preocupante?
Eu diria que sim, pois de acordo com a matéria o uso de Bitcoin caiu em relação à 2022 quando esse número era mais "expressivo" com quase 1/4 da população utilizando ele.

E fica pior, pois dessa porcentagem, metade deles dizem ter utilizado só uma a três vezes no máximo para realizar transações financeiras no comércio.

A matéria termina dizendo que o governo segue acumulando Bitcoins e que agora já possui um saldo positivo.

Me trás a tona novamente aquelas matérias sobre os protestos da população relutante em utilizar o Bitcoin, eu mesmo custei À acreditar aque aquilo representasse a amioria dos salvadorenhos, mas confesso que estou co muma pulga atrás da orelha.

De certa forma, o quanto será que o Bitcoin ajudou na economia de ElSalvador com impacto real na população?
Eu gostaria de ver alguma pesquisa de credibilidade sobre a população falando sobre isso, pois acredito que estamos com uma visão meio distorcida sobre a maravilha que foi a implantação de Bitcoin em El Salvador como uma moeda oficial.

O que vocÊs acham? Estamos sendo iludidos? Alguém quer ir até lá passar alguns meses em El Salvador e descobrir essas respostas?  Cheesy


331  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Investidor perde R$ 5,7 milhões em Bitcoin e culpa pode ser de ‘raio cósmico’ on: January 21, 2024, 06:59:43 PM
Pra quem perde muito dinheiro, sempre haverá uma explicação muito "convicente" que culpe qualquer coisa ou pessoa, jamais o jogador.

Eu fiquei pensando agora, quantos raios cósmicos, alinhamentos de estrelas, seres espeirutais ou sei lá mais o que já foram responsáveis também pelos movimentos de sorte que esse sujeito teve até chegar nos R$ 5,7 milhões de Bitcoin?
Ele jamais culpou, digo, jamais agradeceu à esses eventos adversos pela fortuna que havia conquistato até então. O problema é apenas quanto eles nos fazem perder dinheiro.

Enfim, nem vale à pena estudar e sequer ler com muito cuidado essa matéria.
Além do "doido" que culpou esse fenômeno, tem muita mídia que se aproveita desse "acontecimento" para fazer uma propaganda e ganhar alguns cliques.
332  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: CAMPANHAS DE ASSINATURAS ATUALIZADAS on: January 21, 2024, 06:52:13 PM
Pessoal mais experiente me respondam uma coisa por favor, eu estou nesta campanha de assinaturas, mas me inscrevi em algumas outras, isso pega mal aqui no fórum? estar participando de uma e procurando vagas em outra que paga um pouco melhor e pede menos postagens? ou é melhor sempre procurar quando se está "desempregado"?
Varia de gerente para gerente. Tem gerente que pode não gostar, tem outros que só não gostam quando você vai pulando de uma para outra (tipo passar 2 semanas e já sair), etc...

Eu nunca vi alguem ser expulso por conta disso, mas pode acontecer do gerente lembrar de você e te dar menos preferencia no futuro. Não tem muito uma resposta certa.

Exato, isso varia muito.
Mas acredito que muita gente ainda faz isso nos dias de hoje, tenho visto com frequencia alguns usuários lançarem candidaturas em outro lugar vestindo uma assinatura e quando aprovados simplesmente anunciar no tópico da campanha antiga que estão de saída.
Minha opinião é de que, se vocÊ está fazendo um bom trabalho na campanha atual, nada de mal ficar em busca de outras oportunidades melhores.
Claro que se vocÊ ficar 10 postagens de candaturas em uma semana, por exemplo, isso vai ficar pegar bem mal.

Vejo que atualmente vocÊ está Bitcvest, certo? Essa campanha tem uma alta rotatividade nos slots mais baixos e incentiva as pessoas à ficarem mais tempo nela com pagamentos maiores conforme avança de nível.
333  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Brasileirão 2024 - Brazilian Championship Serie A on: January 21, 2024, 06:46:26 PM
Another news about the 2024 Brazilian Championship  Smiley

It was announced that Rede Globo (one of the largest television channel companies in Brazil) has just signed a contract with the last team (Criciuma) to be able to broadcast this year's Brazilian Championship games.
Now, Rede Globo has the right to broadcast the 2024 season games of all teams, and can broadcast on open transmission channels, paid channel and pay-per-view.

source: https://ge.globo.com/negocios-do-esporte/noticia/2024/01/18/criciuma-fecha-com-globo-por-transmissao-da-serie-a-em-2024.ghtml

Globo monopoly once again?
Unfortunately, the clubs have once again surrendered to the Globo network's money and now those who have money will be able to choose what they want on PayPerView, the others will have to watch the favorites that Globo chooses. With the exception of Athletico-PR, Globo can only broadcast its games on open TV.

Last year, the regulatory agency CADE (Administrative Council for Economic Defense) had investigated Globo for monopoly, broadcasting games under specific interest and for making it difficult to transfer images to other broadcasters, in short... nothing came of it.

I would like to know what the agreement was reached (in terms of values) for each team, as we know that some receive much more than others.
334  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Mental rehabilitation clinic. on: January 21, 2024, 06:27:46 PM
Imagine that there is such a rehabilitation clinic for people who are addicted to gambling. Now imagine what they treat there without the use of pharmacology.
    The main doctors there are gambling specialists, whose task is to convince you that you do not need to gamble. Your task, for example, is to prove that the patient most likely has a disordered game. In order to have long-term income, you need to have a gaming system. And not just a system, but a fairly innovative system of forecasting and risk management. Most likely the patient does not have it and never had it; otherwise he would have been successful and would not have ended up in rehab.
    It is also necessary to find something for the patient to do instead of playing, so that he can occupy himself.
Now imagine that this gambling expert is you. What arguments will you give? What will you tell the patient about?
       Please note that the patient will resist to the last. He will give counterarguments. For example, that he will get rich in the future, he’s just not lucky yet.
    What other arguments do you think the patient will give? How do you respond to these arguments of his?

I'm not a psychiatrist either, but I believe that just a good idea or concept will not help an addict.

In these rehabilitation clinics, professionals need to use different methods to have some success with the patient and this primarily includes the lack of access to gambling, whether physical or online, participation in stimulating activities for the brain and body, diverting attention from the addiction, and this includes physical activities and hobbies.

I believe that it is possible to carry out treatment using medication if the addicted person is really aware of their problems and has the desire to stop gambling, otherwise I think that the use of medication is essential to help control the person's hormones and put her in an easier mental state to accept treatment.
335  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Increased Gambling Risk for the Younger Generation on: January 21, 2024, 06:17:19 PM
With the easy accessibility of the online gambling sites and tools, the younger generation is more involved in gambling. The risk for them is not only that they will lose money but gambling at such a high rate and at the age of teenage will cause them a lot of problems like lack of physical activity or no interest in the studies as they will more inclined to get easy entertainment in the form of gambling.

Adolescence is a time of rapid growth and physical, social and emotional change, and also a time of experimentation. It is during this period that people generally start drinking, smoking, trying other drugs and also
initiate sexual activity. Even though involvement in risky activities decreases over the years, this can be an especially dangerous period for some more vulnerable teenagers to develop a serious gambling addiction problem that is often completely irreversible.

The interesting thing, or not, is that betting on gambling is prohibited for people under 18 all over the world, with the exception of some countries like England and Iceland (I don't remember others). But even so, young people generally start gambling in late childhood and early adolescence, before they even try other risky behaviors such as alcohol and tobacco use.
Why that? I think it's because supervision of underage gambling is still much lower than for other illegal activities.
336  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Preço não para de cair. Nada mais pode ser feito. on: January 20, 2024, 12:49:44 AM
Não sei se vai influenciar o preço do BTC diretamente, mas parece que a OTAN e a Rússia podem entrar em conflito, se escalar isso aí vai ser mais complicado ainda

Cada vez que eu leio sobre "exercício militar" me dá arrepios.
Nada oficial, mas é sempre assim que começa, e foi assim que começou com a Russia na fronteira da Ucrânia... uma guerra sempre sendo negada até os últimos segundos.

De uma forma ou de outra, para uma guerra que já dura tanto tempo e com vários países "se escondendo" atrás de doações bilionárias para a Ucrânia, acho que isso é algo inevitável.

Sobre o Bitcoin, de fato essa é uma notícia que certamente vem para frustar nossas boas espectativas para 2024. Não só com o Bitcoin, mas para a economia como um todo.
Enfim... decepcionado!
337  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Grupo de 250 super-ricos pede para pagar mais impostos on: January 20, 2024, 12:43:14 AM
Isto faz-me lembrar os debates que surgem por causa das taxas no BTC.
Quem tem centenas de BTC, é indiferente o valor da taxa. Para quem nem 1 BTC tem, as taxas são um elemento relevante.

Interessante, eu não me lembro de ter participado ou sequer visto algum discussão sobre esse assunto.
Você que me parece estar mais à par sobre isso, por acaso isso já passou de uma mera discussão? Acho que um "diferencial" nas fees para quem transaciona mais realmente seria algo interessante.

Atualmente alguém que transaciona 0,01 BTC em endereço Segwit com vários inputs paga muito mais do que o cara que transaciona 10 BTC com 1 input para endereço Legacy.
Isso é injusto, é desigual, vamos fazer greve!? Cheesy

Na verdade, fiquei até curioso para saber se existe algum protocolo/blockchain com implementação parecida.
Por mais que a gente tenha a LN para Bitcoin, acho que seria "bacana" ter o valor da transação como um "peso" no cálculo da fee que poderia iniciar bem baixo e ir se tornando mais alto conforme o tempo passa para que o impacto dessa mudança não seja tão significativo em um primeiro momento.
338  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Draw betting strategy on: January 20, 2024, 12:34:37 AM
~snip~

I hope this will help someone
Remember to gamble responsible
Thanks for reading

I believe you are referring to Football, so I will talk about it too.... we know that it is not the intention of either team for a draw to occur, both teams will always do everything they can to win and gain more points and climb the table classification. However, the fact is that around 25% of games in the world end in a draw, if we converted the implied probability into odds, it would give a fair odds of 4.00.

However, this is a macro view of the draws market as smaller championships tend to have a higher percentage of draws in the match, such as, for example, Iran's Azadegan League in which 39.38% of 2023 games ended in a draw. The most competitive leagues, such as those in Europe or Brazil, tend to have a relatively smaller number of draws.

Therefore, my additional tip is that people should choose smaller, less disputed championships to bet on draws.
339  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Higher and lower risks in gambling is the gamblers choice. on: January 20, 2024, 12:28:14 AM
I don't know if everyone is aware of this that the more risks you takes on your predictions is the more higher the game odds, and this set of gambling demands lower stakes due to the chances to win is extremely high. Strategically, you are trying to safe your funds from some sort of impossible winning because it is obvious that you are daring the game with such high risks.

And the lower risks you takes on your predictions is the smaller the game odds which you may demand higher stakes to secure an appreciative winning. Although there is still no assurance of winning here for winning in gambling is strictly game of luck.

This is all about you either faces your fears and ready to accept what it brings or you withdraws from your fears and minimizes the threats outcomes.

Not just in gambling but also in any financial application or investment.

Please don't confuse, even though I mentioned both, I don't want you to think that gambling and financial applications are the same thing. However, when we talk about risk and probabilities of gains, everything is very related.

If you want to make a low-risk investment, you will choose a bank that has a safe investment, but the return on it will be very small. On the other hand, if you bet on the stock market you will be taking a much greater risk but you will have a much greater chance of making money, or losing it.

In games of chance it's the same thing, but there's something that works against you... statistically, the odds of winning will always be against you. So, if you are going to do a high-risk opposite, know that the probability of losing money is much greater than the probability of winning.
340  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Is there any fun in losing while gambling on: January 19, 2024, 11:58:14 PM
Over the time, I’ve seen several post, by users here who, claim that gambling is strictly for fun, even when one is making losses and I’ve paused to ask this question “Is there actually any fun in gambling especially when the losses are more than the winnings?”
Let’s be frank, there are several other things one can do for fun aside gambling and I understand that life it’s own is a risk but seeing claims that people see gambling as fun even when making losses is weird and I think it’s worth discussion as to know if truly people gamble strictly for fun without minding if they’re losing or winning

You are having the wrong perspective about winning or losing.
I ask you: Do you always lose when you bet on games of chance?
Obviously not! At different times you win money, even if you lose later, then you win again and that's fun.
If you always made money gambling, would that be fun? I don't think so! It would certainly be great to make money all the time, but not fun.

Now, exchange gambling for a football match for your team at the football stadium. Many people pay a lot for the ticket, and I ask you: Does your tme always win? No! So why would you keep spending money to go see it? Because this is fun.

You need to separate things: Making money is not fun! We need to spend money to have fun, entertainment is not free, it is a source of income for someone and we are just consuming it.
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