I would like to disagree with you about Brazil, but I went to see some odds from bookmakers and I confess that I was quite surprised because at the moment, Brazil is among the teams most likely to win the title in the 2026 World Cup. Seriously, Brazil has an odds of 6.50, the lowest among all teams only alongside France.
Regarding Argentina, in fact winning the last title does not seem to be that relevant as it only appears in fourth place, behind England and tied with Spain.

Are these probabilities (odds) actually real?

• Brazil (6.50)
• France (6.50)
• England (7.00)
• Argentina (10.00)
• Spain (10.00)
• Germany (12.00)
• Portugal (15.00)

In fact it was quick... the player who "gained popularity" at Liverpool seemed not to be very satisfied at Al Ettifaq in Saudi Arabia... In fact he played outside of Europe for just six months because he was quite dissatisfied with the situation of his club and league.
In fact, I believe that these Saudi teams won over many players for the monstrous offer of money, but the lifestyle there (the customs of that country) and the still low level of many teams end up quickly disappointing the players and then that situation arises: "money can't always buy everything."

Henderson managed to terminate his contract with Al Ettifaq and therefore arrives at no cost to the Amsterdam team, signing a contract until June 2026.
It may not yet be the position or team that Henderson would like to occupy, but at least he is back in Europe, wearing the number 6 shirt and if he achieves a good performance he will be able to return to a team and position more suited to his game profile.

Apart from my wife, no one else knows that I play.

This is the result of two factors:
1st: I am a responsible player. My gaming moments always occur at home and never at work or in any public place. Imagine someone witnessing the moment I'm earning $1 million!? It will certainly be difficult for the person to "forget" about me and that is dangerous.
2nd: I don't reveal my gaming habits to family and friends (besides my wife). Very few people even know that I own cryptocurrencies, so why would I tell them that I practice gambling? This is unnecessary.

I don't see any problem with people who like to share this with others, but I believe that whoever does this should be aware of the security risks and also discriminatory comments.

Não só mineradores, pessoas comuns também não irão mais querer vender....
Eu mesmo já me decidi: Vou guardar todos os meus Bitcoins como souveniers em minha wallet e levâ-los até a morte

Ah, falando sério né...
Bitcoin não é igual ouro ou alguma pedra preciosa, ele é um bem de valor e apenas isso, tirando alguns loucos que estão caçando "satoshis raros" por aí.
Então, minha opinião é de que a galera está segurando porque não vê motivos para vender AINDA. Essas empresas que compraram em algum momento terão de realizar lucros.
Pessoas que comparam em algum momento vão "ficar velhas" e querer colher os frutos da poupança (guardando um pouco, obviamente, para os herdeiros).

Em geral, mesmo que com menos volume do que compraram, mas o bitcoin começará a ser vendido. Acho que é apenas uma questão de "quando".

Ei galera, vocês viram que o lançamento pouso na lua foi cancelado?
Até fiquei surpreso de não ver ninguém relatando isso aqui pra cima.

Faz um tempo que eu havia ouvido alguma coisa sobre isso passar na TV, aí hoje quando vi esse tópico Pumpar me lembrei do fato e fui pesquisar:
Missão de pouso na Lua é cancelado após perda combustível

Vendo que esse fato foi anunciado ainda no dia 09, eu sinceramente achava que o motivo não era combustível coisa nenhuma... eles ficaram preocupados com aquele hack da SEC e avaliaram que o envio de tanto Bitcoin à lua era um peso que não valeria mais à pena, se tivessem esperado só mais um dia pela aprovação do ETF do Bitcoin isso não teria acontecido
Mas, aí eu fui me informar melhor desse assunto e o fato é que esse negócio já está fora da terra? O lançamento aconteceu de fato no dia 08, mas os problemas vieram logo na sequencia.
E agora... o que acontecerá com nosso Bitcoin?

3x... 3x the value of the initial bet, this is my limit for a super conservative person when it comes to gambling. So, whenever I manage to triple my bet amount, I stop immediately.

Obviously this depends on how much I bet, because if I bet $1 I won't stop playing after winning $3
But, if I bet $100 and win $300, I will certainly restart the bet with $100 and withdraw $200.
If I bet $1000 and win $3000 I will sleep peacefully knowing I did my duty for the day.

As I said... I'm conservative, but I think everyone should determine not only a maximum amount of spending but also of earnings. In my country they say... "it's better to have a bird in the hand than two in the bush".

I have already seen a situation similar to yours happening to someone close to me, the fact of stopping betting is certainly a very difficult challenge for anyone struggling with gambling addiction.
The first step you have already taken is recognizing the problem, as knowing how to identify the signs of betting addiction, such as the constant need to bet, loss of control over the game and prioritization of betting to the detriment of other activities, is a step fundamental to facing addiction and many do not even manage to do so.

But, if you have tried to stop on your own and failed, then you need to seek professional help... this is essential as having the support of psychologists, therapists and support groups specializing in addiction can provide you with the necessary tools to deal with it.
Other than that, also try to set realistic goals to stop betting and set goals that are achievable in this process... it will be difficult, but try to find a healthy replacement for gambling, such as playing sports, a hobby or creative activity... You need to fill your time and your mind with other things, otherwise you'll just be thinking about the game until the moment you can't resist anymore.

Also avoid "triggers and gambling environments", stop passing by or places where you know there is a casino or slot machine, change your routine, lock your computers or "forget" your cell phone at home from time to time. when.... avoiding situations that lead you to the temptation of gambling.
Friends and family are also very important... count on them if you can.

There are things like this that only gambling can provide.
For many gamblers, even those who play responsibly, the most they can achieve will be many days of excitement "losing money" but having fun, and in fact that should be the main purpose of those who gamble.

However, a few will always get a big prize unexpectedly. Unfortunately, of those few, there are even fewer who use this earned value wisely.
It is necessary to use this value, or most of it, to invest in other achievements.... be it a long-awaited material good or a long-term investment. But many bettors are greedy and keep betting with the money they won, and lose it all again.

E eu duvido que eles se darão ao luxo de fazer uma lei ou algo do tipo que explique como deve-se declarar isso equanto estivermos aqui em uma meia dúzia de gato-pingados... por mais que estejamos nos radar deles, ainda não erguemos valor suficiente para incomodar, eu acho.
Nossa sorte, creio eu, é que o @TryNinja preserva a identidade dele muito bem, pois com os milhões que ele já ganhou com Bitcoin e as voltas ao mundo que já deu, se a receita tivesse a certeza de que ele é Brasileiro mesmo e onde morava, já teria feito a casa cair pra todo mundo

Enfim, falando sério, por mais que esse fórum movimente muita grana com as campanhas de assinatura, em território Brasileiro ele é pouco conhecido e não deve estar incomodando a Receita. Não que a gente esteja de fato fazendo algo de errado, eu na verdade nem sei se estou declarando certo, e não é por maldade, mas duvido que eles estejam preocupados em esclarecer isso.
Se alguém aqui cair em malhar fina por esse motivo, que se vire... pensam eles.

Fiquem atentos porque de segunda-feira para terça-feira muitas campanhas de assinaturas fecham o ciclo e é quando eventualmente surgem novas vagas.
Na Duelbits por exemplo, o cliclo se encerra às 08 da noite na Segunda-Feira (horário de Brasília) e o manager já deixou claro na última postagem que estaria "kickando" mais alguns usuários nessas próximas semanas que eventualmente não estejam com boas postagens.... algo assim.

Até o momento eu já resisti à uns 5 cortes desses, então acho que estou fazendo um bom trabalho até então, mas confesso que ele consegue nos deixar com a adrenalina à flor da pela toda vez que chegamos à mais um fechamento de ciclo... na Duelbits não basta cumprir a meta de postagens, é preciso também cumprir a meta de qualidade e agora com as campanhas de assinaturas muito mais disputadas com o banimento dos mixers, bons usuários esperando uma vaga é o que não falta.... espero que eu ainda seja um desses

Não percam a esperança... para usuários que postam bons conteúdos sempre haverá espaço, por mais difícil que seja encontrar uma vaga.

This person's life was already ruined before he even got into gambling, why are you saying that gambling is to blame?
Even though he made a lot of money from gambling at first to support his drug addiction, we cannot blame gambling for the addicted life he was leading before that.

Of all the evils, at least he led a dignified life, as he supported his drug addictions with an honest source of income (at first). Many drug addicts prefer to steal or open a clandestine and fraudulent business to get money faster, this would be a bad thing. But the way you stated this fact, I see nothing wrong with gambling.

What I have seen in online gaming addictions is exactly the opposite.... people who are already addicted to gambling end up contracting other addictions to illicit drugs, alcohol or cigarettes due to the psychological stress that gambling losses cause in the people's minds out of control.

Great!

Many people think that they should do exactly the opposite... never stop playing while they are losing, under the pretext that they need to recover the lost money.
Even worse is when these people use "unbeatable techniques" like the Martingale which in theory should mean that the bettor never loses money... big mistake.

However, I would just like to add to your OP that even during a winning streak you need to stop playing, because depending on the style of play and bet you are making, it is possible to lose in just two moves what was won in 10 or more past plays.
If it is "not possible" to stop playing, then you should at least reduce the amount, returning to the initial contributions, making a reserve of what has already been won.

Cara, desculpe o balde de água fria, mas eu acho que pode pode sofrer com alguns problemas nisso aí...
Tá ligado que o fórum possui algumas restrições anti-spam né? Desde o cloudflare para prevençao de DDos até limitações de postagens seguidas pelo próprio sistema do fórum em usuários mais novos (o que inclui uma conta de bot).

Uma opção seria você utilizar a conta do próprio usuário, fazer ele entregar o usuário/senha ao bot que irá editar a própria postagem de forma automatizada, mas tu entende que isso teria uma péssima adesão e sequer é seguro para ti... imagina sua reputação caso algo desse ruim.

Enfim, o bot de sorteios do TryNinja é algo pontual, com postagens eventuais e espaçadas, agora imagina um único "usuário" fazendo centenas de postagens por dia em tudo quanto é canto bo Bitcointalk...
Tá bom, eu sei que você @joker_josue já conseguiu esse feito sem ser bloqueado, mas você ainda possui "padrões humanos" de postagens , já para um bot eu tenho dúvidas se isso iria funcionar.

Yes!
Botafogo really opened up space for new signings.
In goal, as far as I know John came to be the starting goalkeeper and in defense Lucas Halter and Barboza who were standouts in Goiás and Libertad will play a very different defense this year.
I'm just not very convinced that Botafogo made good options for the attack... Jeffinho, Savarino?? I don't think it will make a big difference, but we'll see how they interact with the team on the field.

Anyway... there were changes in all sectors of the team, from what I could see, we'll see. For better or worse, something must change.

These manuals work when the person is still aware of the risks of gambling, the problem is when they are already addicted to gambling, they still find themselves in that phase of "denial", believing that everything is fine when in fact they are already addicted to gambling. unlucky.

Some factors that indicate that you have already reached this stage are:

• When you need to bet increasingly higher amounts to feel emotions;
• when you bet increasingly larger amounts and are not prepared to lose;
• When you feel frustrated or angry when you try to reduce your playing time or when you try to stop playing.
• When you are constantly thinking about sports betting, regardless of the time of day or the activity you are doing, and this includes work and leisure time with friends and family.
• Finally, I think the main factor is when you realize that you are even lying to your parents or partner about your gambling activity and the amount of your bets/losses.

Any of these factors is a sign that you are already addicted, but that there is still time to reverse the situation.

I don't think so!
If I don't have enough money to lose on a bet, I would hardly invest more money to try to recover what was lost.

Think about it this way... even if the person has a reserved balance of $50 for the game, when that money runs out, won't they spend another $20, $50 or $100 on top of that amount to play? If she does this, she will have to recover the loss in the same way.
So, a person who is undisciplined, even if they have an amount to spend, will not be able to limit themselves and control their spending.

The secret of not getting into debt is not whether or not you have money, it is the player's discipline and awareness in making responsible bets.

Pois é, não se pode vencer todas... eu já gastei toda a minha bola de cristal ao vislumbrar o preço do BTC para o final do ano passado em um momento em um patamar que ninguém acreditava que ele chegaria, ainda estou muito fraco para ter visto que o ETF seria aprovado, por isso sempre fui contra.

Mesmo que ue não tenha vendido meus BTC, ainda acho que esse teria sido o movimento mais correto... vejam que o valor dele praticamente não mexeu, prova de que o mercado realmente já tinha se adiantado à compra...estavam realmente todos otimistas quanto à essa aprovação?


Concordo, mas tenho certeza que muita gente acreditava em um PUMP um pouco maior.
De qualquer forma, sigo com os aportes mensais, acredito que 2024 será muito bom para o Bitcoin, só precisamos que alguém dê um jeito nesses Ordinals.

Eu não fico surpreso... em 7 anos de cripto já vi de tudo, e os NFTs e Memecoins foram os piores.
Tudo bem... NFT eu até engulo porque tem muita gente que realmente mereceu ganhar dinheiro com isso, mas também vi muita gente criando "qualquer ciosa" e lucrando milhões em algo que não valia nada. Como conseguiram isso? propaganda! sempre tem um espertalhão querendo pagar caro acreditando que vai conseguir lucrar 3x mais depois.

Já os memecoins não se salva nenhum, tudo oque vi são coisas sem propósito ou serventia nenhuma além de encher os bolsos de alguém.

E sobre esses satoshis raros  minha opinião é a mesma, por mais que alguém diga que isso possa ser um "item de colecionador", pra mim é apenas mais um motivo para alguém lucrar à custo de algo que não vale nada à mais.

Ok, disregarding those who play just for fun/entertainment and who are not worried about losing money, we have those who play to get "rich", but why do they believe that?

I think the main reason they keep playing even though they lose is because we think that after they lose several times, they believe they will win the next time. For example, we bet that a coin will land “Heads”, and we know that the chance of winning is 50%, but what if “Tails” had already come up “Tails” ten times in a row in the bets, perhaps you think that the chance of it coming up “Heads” ” this time it is greater than 50%, since “Tails” has come out many times, so at some point “Heads” will start to come out, and many really believe that... especially those who bet still believing in the Martingale technique.

But in reality this is not what happens, the coin is the same as always and continues with the same probability of 50% for both sides... it is difficult to explain this to someone who is already addicted to gambling, but the Mathematics is king and casinos even more so when they program their machines to give you chances of winning with just a little more than 50%

No matter how much humanity evolves, gambling will always be our weakness

I'm not sure, but I believe that the casino is the one who manages all the inflow and outflow of money, after all, user deposits are made in the casino's wallets, right?

What game providers should do is periodically "issue a charge" to the casinos demanding their share of the profits... obviously, with each player's "play", the game provider immediately knows what the amount was bet and what the amount was eventually paid to the player, then they just need to calculate their part of the commission and ask the casino to make the payment.

For newer casinos, this may be different, I believe that owners of casinos without reputation even need to make payments in advance or provide some reliable collateral.