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461  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: May 07, 2024, 09:56:54 PM
~Snip
Congratulations to Borussia Dortmund.
As expected, Dortmund became the Bundesliga representative in the UCL until the final. This is not luck for Borussia Dortmund, but is the result of their hard and smart work in beating PSG. PSG itself really dominates the match, it's like Dortmund. However, Dortmund took advantage of the opportunity as effectively as possible, using a very significant counter attack. And finally, silencing PSG elegantly.
Dortmund successfully qualified for the Champions League final thanks to their good performance since the first leg. Dortmund tend to defend in the second leg because they know PSG really poses a threat to them at home. PSG played according to the expected strategy, but the players had difficulty taking advantage of opportunities even though PSG should have had at least 2 goals in this match.

PSG were very unlucky about a lot of their chances, of course because I know that they had them too. Mbappe and all the players were very disappointed with the result, but perhaps they deserved appreciation even though they failed to qualify for the final. Dortmund vs Bayern Munich, how likely is it that this match will take place in the final in your opinion?
462  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How to get your Dad (or Mom) to buy Bitcoin? on: May 07, 2024, 09:37:43 PM
I have a story where my parents were very supportive of me investing in bitcoin in 2018 rather than investing their own money. I didn't have a steady job at the time and I really didn't have any income to invest. I tried telling my parents and asking them to lend me $500 as an initial investment budget. I was happy with their good response after I explained how I could make money by investing, and of course that was the start that kept me going until now.

I didn't convince them to invest in bitcoin even though I explained how it works. They should be able to choose investment assets based on what they believe can be safer and also profitable, even I would never protest against that. But of course, investing in bitcoin may be better than gold and I have proven it myself from 2018 until now.
463  Local / Bahasa Indonesia (Indonesian) / Re: bitcoin sebagai hadiah on: May 06, 2024, 07:22:35 PM
Sekarang saya juga penasaran dengan agan-agan semua disini. Apakah keluarga atau saudara agan-agan semua disini juga banyak yang terjun pada kripto? seperti berdagang atau berinvestasi.
Sejujurnya, sejauh ini sudah 3 anggota keluarga ane yang telah berinvestasi di crypto sejak awal 2023. Mereka ane perkenalkan dengan investasi ini karena potensi bagus tentang kenaikan harganya seiring waktu. Awalnya memang agak sulit meyakinkan ketiganya untuk berinvestasi ke crypto karena volatilitas harganya, tetapi setelah mencoba memahami cara kerja investasi dan juga cara kerja pasar terhadap volatilitas harga, maka mereka sudah semakin yakin untuk terus melakukannya secara konsisten.

OP, memberikan hadiah ultah anak berupa bitcoin, ethereum dan solana mungkin hal yang tabu lagi sekarang. Tetapi anak dibawah umur terutama yang masih balita dan kelas 5 SD sepertinya belum layak mendapatkan itu. Ok kalau pak dosen itu memberikan anak tertuanya bitcoin karena dia sudah berumur 14 tahun atau sudah kelas 2 SMP, tetapi dua anak lainnya mungkin belum saatnya. Tapi apa urusannya kita, ya kan?
464  Economy / Speculation / Re: Will this stack make me a USD millionaire? on: May 06, 2024, 07:02:06 PM
~Snip
The entire market will depend on bitcoin, if bitcoin increases in price then the rest of the market will increase in price. But you need to know one thing that bitcoin has become quite big and its profits for investors are gradually getting smaller. Meanwhile, many altcoins will be able to bring profits many times greater than bitcoin, and ETH is also one of them. That's why many investors are increasingly choosing altcoins instead of bitcoin, and high profits come with high risks. Investing in altcoins can bring huge profits but will also expose us to more risks. So choosing to invest in bitcoin or altcoin will depend on the amount of capital they have and the goals they want to achieve.
I admit that what you say may be true, but so far expecting ETH to hit its new ATH again is a gamble when Bitcoin already hit it two months ago. The price of ETH will move up and try to hit a new ATH if bitcoin consistently rises during the bullish season. But if instead the price of bitcoin is stuck below $100k for a long time, then the price of ETH will likely find it difficult to hit its new ATH again.

However, this does not mean that expecting ETH to provide returns is wrong, especially when investors have accumulated it from 2022 until now. ETH may not be the best performing altcoin compared to others, but investors have also earned returns from it.
465  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: May 06, 2024, 06:48:19 PM
~Snip
Man United needs to win in this match because if they experience another draw it will make their position drop in the standings. Of the last five matches, Man United was only able to achieve one win and the remaining four ended in draws. Now Man United is in eighth place in the standings because there are many problems at Man United so they are unable to compete to be in the top three. It is difficult to compete with other top clubs if Man United's strength is like now because many players look so selfish.

A major overhaul must be carried out because even though their strength is still the same as last season, they are still having difficulty competing this season. The defense line is a problem because they do not have suitable replacement players when the main players are injured, which affects their playing performance.
Of course Manchester United must win their away match today against Crystal Palace, but I don't know the reason why Manchester United is not really believed to win based on probability. I know that Crystal Palace's performance tends to be better than Manchester United in the last 5 matches, but the depth of Manchester United's squad still seems to be better than the home team.

I believe the existing odds only seem worth considering as a trap rather than being true, especially regarding Crystal Palace's winning odds. Manchester United will try hard to take 3 away points to acquire 6th place from Newcastle, so I think their motivation to win today is much higher than Crystal Palace.
466  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: May 06, 2024, 05:34:18 PM
~Snip
The matches for the second leg of this season's Champions League are actually equally interesting to watch because each team is not far behind on aggregate. So the matches between PSG and Dortmund as well as Real Madrid and Bayern Munich will be equally fierce because they will both try with all the abilities they currently have in order to qualify for the final round. Because the second leg match is quite an important match for all of them and this will make the audience even more enthusiastic about watching their two matches later.
Whether or not the home team can win the second leg really depends on how Dortmund and Bayern Munich respond to Real Madrid and PSG's game. I agree that Real Madrid and PSG are both favorites to beat the two Bundesliga teams in the second leg of this season's semifinals, but the two strong Bundesliga teams were not expected to lose so easily when they were also fighting for the same ticket to qualify for the final.

The existing odds do not show that Dortmund and Bayern Munich are really underestimated, meaning that Bayern Munich and Dortmund also have a chance to win the match and qualify for the final. I would prefer to see Real Madrid and PSG in the final, but it is not impossible to get two Bundesliga teams there.
467  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: May 05, 2024, 09:28:03 PM
~Snip
On paper, Real Madrid deserves to be the favorite in the second leg match. This does not mean underestimating Bayern Munich strength, because acting as host is certainly very profitable for Real Madrid. Apart from that, ahead of the second leg match, Real Madrid appeared more consistent in La Liga, while Bayern Munich suffered another defeat in the Bundesliga. Although domestic competition cannot be used as a complete reference, it will more or less have an impact on their match in the Champions League. Real Madrid in many ways looks better prepared to advance to the final, and Ancelotti will most likely experiment again with his main lineup, which in my opinion did not work optimally in the first leg. It is true that there is a possibility that the winner will have to be determined through a penalty shootout, but the greater possibility is that Real Madrid can beat Bayern Munich in normal time. There is news that two Bayern Munich defenders are currently injured, this is of course very detrimental for Tuchel, but for Real Madrid it is certainly beneficial.
Anything can still happen that it might be different than what many users expect. Bayern Muchen is not the favorite to win the second leg because Real Madrid has a home advantage that can be exploited, but Bayern Munich also has the will to win the match considering that both teams want to qualify for the final. It depends on which team you hope to qualify, I think both teams have the same chance of getting to the final if they can play well and score goals.

Probability shows Real Madrid as the favorite, that could be true because they are the home team. No one will underestimate Bayern Munich, but I admit that Real Madrid's chances of getting to the final are higher than Bayern Munich this season. Real Madrid's consistent performance is something that can make them appear enthusiastic in the second leg, but it is not a guarantee to say that Madrid can win.
468  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: May 05, 2024, 09:14:56 PM
~Snip
Tottenham has now lost to Liverpool and they will still lose at the hand of Manchester City when they meet next. It is a difficult period for Tottenham who are on losing streak and it's more likely to continue. With this loss Aston Villa has gained more advantage for the champions league spot. Tottenham couldn't Remove them from the top 4. Although I fancy Aston Villa to qualify for the Champions league over Tottenham. Aston Villa has performed very well and they truly deserve the spot. Tottenham should settle for the Europa league spot.
No matter how good a team is, if it gets tough opponents in 4 consecutive matches, it will definitely lose points in 1 to 2 matches. Tottenham is of course different, they had 4 painful defeats and it was actually very bad for them. Tottenham were not predicted to lose 4 consecutive matches, at least some of us thought they would win or draw 1 to 2 matches, but in fact that was wrong.

Losing 12 points in 4 consecutive matches made Tottenham close to Newcastle. A gap of 4 points does not make Tottenham safe from Newcastle, then Manchester United also has the opportunity to be behind Tottenham with a gap of 3 points if they win against Newcastle in the postponed match. Tottenham also have the potential to lose points if Manchester City wins against them, so losing a position in the top 5 is still very possible for Tottenham at the end of this season.
469  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: May 05, 2024, 08:55:42 PM
~Snip
Finishing in second place is still wide open for Girona after successfully securing three important points from Barcelona, the next four games will be the next challenge if they don't want the position they currently occupy to not be taken over by Barcelona. Girona are also certain to qualify for next season's Champions League for the first time in their history. This success is certainly an extraordinary achievement because they have the opportunity to play in the most prestigious league.

The defeat against Girona left a bad impression on Barcelona, conceding four times in one match meant that Xavi had to immediately overhaul Barcelona defense for next season. There are several positions that need to be considered to maintain their balance in withstanding attacks from the opposing team. The Defensive Midfielder must immediately be filled with quality players because since Sergio Busquets left there has been no player who can replace his role.
There is momentum why Girona can really make a comeback in the home match. Starting from Sergi Roberto's passing error when he wanted to throw the ball, that was the initial moment why Barcelona conceded their second goal to Girona. After that, Barcelona began to build attacks again which allowed them to create several opportunities, but they couldn't score any more goals.

Barcelona's defense lost concentration after two quick goals between Portu and Miguel Gutierrez, then Portu sealed the win with a volley against Marc-André ter Stegen. I'm sure Xavi is really angry about this embarrassing incident, but the most important thing to do is not to continue feeling guilty but to get up for the rest of the season, especially in the next 4 matches. Barcelona must win all the points and only then can they end the season in 2nd place with the consequence that Girona loses or loses 2 points in the remaining matches.
470  Economy / Speculation / Re: Will this stack make me a USD millionaire? on: May 05, 2024, 08:28:09 PM
I agree that ETH can be the main altcoin that performs well after bitcoin. ETH can provide decent return for investors and holders regardless of other users' sentiment towards it, but why would you really want to maintain a 1:10 ratio?

I know you have considered the plan very wisely despite the viewpoints of other users in this thread, but personally would not buy more ETH than bitcoin. If today I had a $100k budget to invest, then 10% of that budget I might consider buying ETH, the rest I would buy bitcoin. The price of ETH will rise higher only if the price of bitcoin rises high, meaning ETH is still very dependent on the bitcoin market rather than having its own power to rise high like bitcoin.
471  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: May 04, 2024, 06:40:34 PM
~Snip
Currently its over and Girona lead awhile with score 4-2, left ten minutes later and seems difficult for Barcelona scoring three goals to lead over Girona and make Real Madrid will celebrate their La Liga tittle this season.
Actually, Barcelona controlling the game with ball possession and shots on target dominance but Girona make it more easily after leading awhile over 4-2.
Its bad result for Barcelona because loss the 2nd standings place and Girona will move up reach top 2nd standings awhile behind one point remaining. Its very bad result for Barcelona after eliminating from Champion League and loss their 2nd place in this season and Girona make another surprise if can finish as runner up standings team.
As I was worried about before, if Girona scores additional goals then I'm sure Girona can win their home match against Barcelona. In the end it came true and this was really bad for Barcelona. I was a little disappointed with Barcelona's performance in the second half, especially because they really played poorly despite having lots of chances. It's useless to win statistics on the number of shots and the high percentage of ball possession, it's useless when the defense is so fragile.

Barcelona's defeat has made Real Madrid lock up the La Liga title today. Mathematically, Barcelona and Girona can no longer overcome the points gap with Real Madrid, but I think Real Madrid will celebrate in the next match or when they play a home game against Alaves. So to all Real Madrid fans, congratulations on that.
472  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: May 04, 2024, 06:09:32 PM
~Snip
As in the first half, Girona played a completely defensive strategy in the second half. 20 minutes of the second half are already over, but I still don't see any attack from Girona players. On the other hand, the Barcelona players increased their attack speed in the second half. Girona are playing a bad defensive strategy today. So it became more difficult for Barcelona players to score. Barcelona is playing in attacking strategy, but if they can't keep the defense strong then maybe barca won't be able to get 3 points from the match.
Barcelona's defense and the stability of their midfield play were problematic in the second half. Girona scored 2 additional goals in the second half and almost scored 3 goals, it has changed my point of view about the outcome of the match if Xavi does not make significant changes.

Girona now leads with a score of 3-2 over visitors Barcelona, ​​but there is still time to see Barcelona try to equalize at 3-3. The match will probably end with Girona winning if Barcelona concedes another goal in the remaining time, but I hope that Barcelona can still win the match by increasing the intensity of their attacks and also their finishing.
473  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: May 04, 2024, 05:56:00 PM
~Snip
If Barcelona draw this game against or loose to Girona, Real Madrid supporters can officially start their celebration because it will mean that they are certain already of the trophy, (not like there is any real challenge). Two early goals in the game, and the game went on with both teams having attempts but none scoring until the penalty opportunity to Barcelona which Lewandoski a capable leg firmly delivered. Barcelona will be happy to have the lead before the halftime. Xavi will want his team to do more in the second half and make sure they score another goal before Girona find a way to respond.
Barcelona won the first half with a score of 1-2, it was a good result as expected from them. In the second half, Barcelona had many opportunities to score goals, but so far Barcelona still failed so the score for this match still remains 1-2 in favor of Barcelona.

Girona seemed to make a lot of mistakes in defense in the second half which in fact Barcelona took advantage of to penetrate the defense. Luckily, Barcelona has not been able to take advantage of many good opportunities to score the third goal and so on, otherwise I'm sure this match would have ended with more than 4 goals for Barcelona's victory. There is still plenty of time to expect a few more goals in this match, but I am sure Barcelona will win this match if they don't make mistakes in defense.
474  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: May 04, 2024, 05:24:05 PM
~Snip
On paper, PSG is certainly the favorite in the second leg match against Dortmund. There are many reasons we can put forward why PSG is the favorite. Of course I don't mean to underestimate Dortmund and the one goal advantage they have, but in many aspects we can see that PSG really has a big chance to turn things around. Sure enough, Dortmund had greater luck in the first leg, where PSG actually played well there too.

PSG will definitely increase the intensity of attacks from the first minute, to catch up on the goal deficit first, if successful then the match will be easier to control. Dortmund in this case does not have many choices, meaning they will definitely play carefully to maintain their lead, and will tend to play defensively.

On the other hand, even though PSG winning percentage in the second leg is quite high, betting on their victory also requires consideration. In terms of preparation, PSG was lucky to have more free time, where Dortmund had to play another match in the Bundesliga. Luckily, Dortmund managed to win big with a score of 5-1 against Augsburg.
I agree that PSG deserves to be the favorite as the winner of the second leg at home, but first I really want to see how the players there perform. The match will certainly be very intense for both teams, where Dortmund, who came in as the team that was leading 0-1 in the first leg, will likely play a little defensively, while PSG will attack to get a quick goal.

PSG must take advantage of every opportunity they can create throughout the match, that means they need to increase their attacking intensity and also their finishing. They had good game statistics in the first leg, but poor finishing was another reason why they failed to score.

I agree there are many reasons why people and bookies consieder PSG as a favorited for to win and progress to the final. Of course, this is not the reason why we can underestimate Dortmund, whose chances are good in the second leg. Dortmund and PSG will fight to win tickets to the final, but PSG, who plays at home, is expected to win when many users consider them favorites.
475  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: May 03, 2024, 09:37:08 PM
~Snip
From what you explained, you hope that a surprise will occur this season where Dortmund will make history by becoming champions. Yes, who knows, because Dortmund game in the Champions League was so impressive, they were able to show their best strength by beating strong teams. Dortmund does have the opportunity to advance to the Champions League final this season because they already have the capital to win in the first leg so they will play better in the second leg to ensure their progress towards the final.

Between Bayern Munich and Real Madrid, both teams were equally strong in their game in the first leg. But I think Real Madrid has a big chance to advance to the final because they will play at home in the second leg. The surprise may be in the second leg between PSG vs Dortmund where this match will be full of tension for PSG because they have to win the second leg to advance to the final. Mbappe must show his best qualities to help PSG achieve victory in the second leg.
The semi-final second leg between PSG and Dortmund is their fourth meeting this season in the Champions League. In the group stage, PSG won 2-0 in their home match against Dortmund, while PSG drew 1-1 at Signal Iduna Park. PSG has high potential to win its home match against Dortmund in the second leg, but I don't believe PSG can qualify safely without extra time or penalties.

In the last two matches, PSG has always been able to win at home against Dortmund in the Champions League. PSG won both games 2-0, but we never know how their third home game of the season at home against a team that had beaten them 1-0 in the first leg would have turned out. PSG has a high chance of winning, sports bookmakers believe that.
476  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: May 03, 2024, 09:28:52 PM
Everton seemed to just play it safe against Luton Town today. They failed to win away from home when Luton was also struggling to get out of the relegation zone. Everton is safe from the threat of relegation this season after being deducted points, but Luton is likely to be relegated if Nottingham can win against Sheffiled in the next match.

Nottingham, Luton Town and Burnley are struggling to get out of the relegation zone so far. Luton only has 2 games remaining, while Nottingham and Burnley have 3 games. It is still difficult to determine two of the three teams as the teams that will accompany Sheffield to be relegated, this is because the matches of the three teams are still quite tough until the end of the season.

For week 36, I don't think there will be a change in position between Arsenal and Manchester City at the top of the standings. Arsenal have an easy match against Bournemouth, Manchester City is also expected to easily win their home match against Wolves. The two top teams are playing at home, it can give them an edge to play better.
477  Economy / Speculation / Re: When will the real bull run begin? on: May 03, 2024, 09:11:13 PM
~Snip
If you are not satisfied with the profit you have gotten so far in hodling you just need to keep hodling, this is not a time to faint because the long bull market that we have been waiting for a very longtime is just here. Hodling will be of good benefit and their is no need to be panic. We just need to be patience to hit the target of getting a good profit because selling now can lead to regret later on.  You can really predict when the real bull run will begin but it is not far. I don't see why one would want to sell when dip inside of them they are not satisfied with the profit they have been able to get from their hodling.
There is basically no compulsion to hold bitcoin longer than you believe, even if many people say holding it long term is much more profitable. There are times when you have to get out of the market as long as you get a decent profit, especially if at that time you really need money urgently.

But whatever it is, I agree that holding bitcoin in the long term, especially after you have prepared to build a portfolio before the halving, is something you should maintain. Prices will rise over time, in fact I believe we will find bitcoin prices around $100k by the end of the year. Anyone can sell them now, but the best advice is don't sell them all.
478  Economy / Speculation / Re: Post halving investing strategy. on: May 03, 2024, 09:05:55 PM
~Snip
This kind of strategy is not applicable to everybody since many want’s to accumulate at a cheaper price as much as possible though this looks like DCA and I think it’s also ok especially for long term players. I personally have my own way to accumulate, I collect all my extra funds and just waiting for the perfect timing to buy again, I mean there should be no rush in buying and we should always do our own research before we invest.
Sometimes, buying a lump sum is the best option to do on the dip compared to DCA. In such conditions, they have to be pretty sure that the price has already bottomed out during the correction, so they will definitely get more bitcoins accumulated instead of with DCA.

I don't blame anyone for sticking with DCA regardless of market conditions, but lump sums can also be an option that can be compounded based on market conditions. There is no compulsion regarding which strategy to use, but combining the two in different market conditions can make it a win-win variation.
479  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: BTC Investing To Now Taxable Events on: May 03, 2024, 09:00:05 PM
There is a fee that I have to pay when I make a fiat deposit to a licensed centralized exchange in my country, it is tax. Then from that, the exchange will automatically deduct taxes every time I buy and sell it again, it's like a double-edged sword because basically the government doesn't want to know whether the trader is making a profit or selling at a loss.

Many traders or investors complain about it, they also have the desire to do something to avoid tax deductions. I personally don't know for sure how to avoid that without the government knowing, I mean the bank will definitely know where the budget comes from when we withdraw fiat to the account. The government even orders banks to report bank accounts that have a certain amount of money to be taxed, but to anticipate this, the best choice is to approach a tax expert or learn to find loopholes to avoid being included in the taxable category.
480  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: May 02, 2024, 07:10:32 PM
~Snip
I don't think Chelsea can win against Tottenham today. Although Tottenham have lost their last two matches, they are better than Chelsea. Chelsea drew 2-2 with Aston Villa in their last match and conceded a 5-0 defeat against Arsenal in the previous match.

Tottenham team will definitely play with the aim of getting full points in this match. Tottenham will now look to hold on to fifth place in the table and qualify for the Europa League. On the other hand, the performance of Chelsea players is very erratic. It is very difficult for Chelsea to beat a team like Tottenham at the moment.
You should probably see how Chelsea have performed so far and of course the performance is very different from what you say. Chelsea dominated the game and so far they have a 1-0 lead over Tottenham. Of course they are eager to have a great performance at home without mistakes, but this may still change considering the first half is not over yet.

Chelsea built more attacks and they created many opportunities. Tottenham still had difficulty penetrating Chelsea's defense until the 40th minute, but I think it's still too early to say Chelsea can win at home. Trevoh Chalobah scored a goal, it was his first goal in the Premier League this season.
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