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5001  Other / Politics & Society / Re: I love democrats. on: August 02, 2021, 08:46:37 AM
Part 2: Cities with a poverty problem will vote for the candidate most likely to help them. This is unlikely ever to be a Republican.

If you talk like that in absolute terms, it seems to me that we are going to have a lot to debate. Let's see if we can nuance and finally reach an agreement.

Correction:

Part 2: Cities with a poverty problem will vote for the candidate they believe most likely to help them. This is unlikely ever to be a Republican.

The best way to help poor cities is to create conditions for jobs and low taxes so that people can save. And not to spread the misery.

Democratic cities do more taxes, more regulations, make individual initiative more difficult, are more tolerant of crime (because poor people, society has failed them), make it more difficult to build housing, reducing supply and driving up prices, and so on and so forth. ´

In return they give the poor people crumbs that ensure that they do not starve but do not lift them out of misery. All this sweetened with a discourse of good guys and bad guys in which the politician of the day is the one who saves them from the bad guys, when he does nothing more than perpetuate misery. I am sure that you could give examples of cities well run by democrats in the USA or laborists in the UK or socialists in Europe, but to speak so bluntly I don't think Detroit is an example of how well Democrats have helped poor people in Detroit.

5002  Other / Politics & Society / Re: How the Government made you fat on: August 02, 2021, 07:27:17 AM
I do not have insulin resistance,

You don't know for sure if you have insulin resistance or not if you haven't been tested. Another thing is that there are very indicative symptoms.

my body process glucose accurately,  I am not diabetic,

You see, you just don't understand what I'm saying. Insulin resistance is not equal to diabetes. Many people are insulin resistant and not diabetic. And just because you have normal sugar levels does not indicate how much insulin your body is secreting to keep it at normal levels.

it is completely normal for a healthy human to feel sleepy after meal if he is not doing anything like work.

I must be an alien, then, since I have managed not to feel sleepy after eating on purpose. With so many people having insulin resistance these days, no wonder you say that. Nowadays a predominantly carbohydrate based diet is the norm, just as it is quite normal to have insulin resistance (even if your blood sugar tests come back fine). So, the normal thing is to feel sleepy after eating. Logical.

The links you put are very good, and here I should qualify. I generally don't feel sleepy, even if I eat carbs. However, if after a long fast and physical exercise I eat a large meal based mostly on carbohydrates (we can add alcohol) and for dessert a large amount of sugars, I do feel sleepy. Like after a Christmas meal.



5003  Other / Politics & Society / Re: I love democrats. on: August 02, 2021, 07:10:17 AM
Well, there are two cities in the list that I know a little bit about and info on one of them (El Paso) is definitely wrong. It did have a Republican mayor just recently, who obviously did fuck all to address poverty. Not that I would expect any kind of factual information from BADecker.

Edit: Miami's wrong too, had a bunch of Republican mayors, including from 2009 to date.

I have been checking what you say. It's not that I don't trust you. It's just that in general I don't trust what I see on forums. However, if I had to choose between blindly believing what you say or what TrollDecker says I would believe you.

Regarding El Paso, I have looked at the mayors backwards to 1991 and they came out Republican or no political affiliation. Another thing is that if you know the history you maybe know that such a mayor had an ideology closer to the Republicans even though he was not affiliated with the party but in theory he should be more independent.

Regarding Miami, if anyone doubts between what you say or what he says, you can see the following image to dispel doubts:

5004  Economy / Economics / Re: MicroStrategy Buys $250M in Bitcoin, Calling the Crypto ‘Superior to Cash’ on: August 02, 2021, 06:32:05 AM
I am not sure if you really believe this self-fulfilling prophecy concept.

Lol. I said I've been thinking about it lately. I don't believe it like some people believe in God if that's what you mean.

I doubt that bitcoin gives any shits about whether Saylor likes it or not or whether Saylor promotes it or not...

If we are talking about the very long term, of course not. Bitcoin if I remember correctly started being traded for price below $0.01 (correct me if I'm wrong). If we agree that in the future it will be worth $1M or more, Saylor has little influence on that long process.

If we talk about the last year and the near future, I think it has played an important role, especially in the popularization to companies and to a lesser extent to retail investors. Nowadays you search for "Bitcoin" on Youtube and you immediately get Saylor's videos.

In terms of companies, in February they held their annual user conference which included the Bitcoin for Corporations. According to Mr. Saylor, the Bitcoin program attracted 8,197 attendees from 6,917 different enterprises. He has the videos posted on the website for anyone who wants to see them.

I don't disagree with other ideas in your post, except the implication that you are trying to make that Saylor has any actual material or meaningful role in bitcoin's success....

Again, if we consider the long term in Bitcoin, I think he has little influence. And that Bitcoin is going to succeed more because of its intrinsic properties than anything else. But I didn't want to focus on him so much as on to what would happen if big businessmen happen to have the same conception of Bitcoin as Saylor and act like him, buying a lot of Bitcoin to never sell it, which means a reduction in offer in large quantities. MSTR has approximately 100K Bitcoin. You could get to the point where 1M BTC or more are never offered to be bought.

By the way, this is the first time I've replied to you at length in a post, and I enjoyed it.

Today marks one year since I registered on Bitcointalk and I feel old enough Smiley
5005  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: The Idea of Bitcoin As A Religion on: August 02, 2021, 06:06:24 AM
I agree with the majority of opinions. Religion is based on faith and faith has long since been in conflict with rationality. Only very few people will believe in Bitcoin as a religion, people who tend to have faith in things instead of investigating them rationally.

I believe that most of us who are involved with Bitcoin in one way or another do so because we understand its nature, the impact it can have on society and its future. It has little faith and a lot of rational thinking.

5006  Economy / Services / Re: [Open] ▄■▀■▄ 🌟Bitvest.io🌟 - Plinko Sign Camp (Member-Hero Accepted)(New2) on: August 02, 2021, 06:02:01 AM
Hello, everyone.

Today marks one year since I registered with Bitcointalk and, as I've seen others do, I'd like to do a recap.

I have reason to celebrate, because although I used to earn some merits from time to time since I registered, I always had less merits than activity.

Only recently have I been able to surpass my activity in merits, which makes me happy, as it shows that I am contributing positively to the forum and creating good quality content for the campaign.



I hope to be able to maintain this merit earning ratio and even improve it.

I joined the campaign almost two months after I registered, as soon as I reached member status. In ten months I've jumped from tier E to tier B. I have also been upgraded from member to senior member. This shows that if you have patience, you will climb up in the campaign and little by little you will be more rewarded.

Finally, I would like to thank Brainboss for excellent management and to Lightlord for the payments. I wish Lightlord was more formal regarding payments as I've said in other posts but he always ends up paying and giving us bonuses, so thanks for that.
5007  Other / Politics & Society / Re: How the Government made you fat on: August 01, 2021, 06:45:22 PM
guess you dont eat much turkey.

Nope. Very rarely.

-snip

It seems to me that we are going to be in pretty good agreement on these points. For a sedentary person, the worst thing you can do is a diet high in simple sugars/carbohydrates. With more physical activity you can get more carbs into the diet.

I think it is more important not to eat too frequently, no more than 3 times a day than to eat carbs or not, also depending on physical activity. I don't know if on the issue of meal frequency you would agree.

Nowadays many people eat more than 6 times a day: breakfast, lunch, dinner, 3 snacks in between but between meals and snacks they also drink coffee with sugar or some sugary drink or with milk, so they do not stop provoking insulin peaks.

Getting sleepy after eating only happens if you are insulin resistant. Since I reversed my insulin resistance I usually eat more than 1K Kcal per meal and I don't get sleepy or anything.
If I eat, I do feel sleepy, but it will go after like 30 minutes after I feel sleepy, I notice this most when I am at work. But during real working day, I will not feel sleepy because I am walking and working around, but being on chair will trigger sleep after eating, it is not about insulin resistant or something but we have different nature, most people I know do say this that they do fell sleepy too.

Precisely, although you say it is not, that is the most typical symptom of insulin resistance. It doesn't happen to me anymore. It used to happen to me.
5008  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Historic France Wide Massive Peaceful Protests Against The Vaxxnazis on: August 01, 2021, 06:38:09 PM
What other terms would you have been using? vaxxglobalists? I chose hollovaxx in reference to the holocaust, but holocaust 2 would have been betraying to the first one, isn't it; a lack of accuracy.
Otherwise, else the uniforms (more classy in the last century) the vaxxnazis share a lot of characteristics with those whose name inspires it. Don't you agree? Their "mein Kampf" is even engraved in Georgia, USA.

If you say there is a holocaust because of vaccines, the burden of proof is on you. I am not the one who has to prove that there is not. The same as if you say there are ghosts.

What is clear to me is that you believe what you say, but that does not correspond to reality.
5009  Economy / Economics / Re: MicroStrategy Buys $250M in Bitcoin, Calling the Crypto ‘Superior to Cash’ on: August 01, 2021, 04:08:51 PM
Lately I've been thinking how much of a self-fulfilling prophecy Saylor's conception of Bitcoin may be. For him it's basically the best financial asset in the world, and that's why he's not going to sell it. Never. He's going to keep buying as much as he can. I think the pic that Fillippone posted in the WO thread characterizes it perfectly.


LOL

As of June 21, 2021, MicroStrategy holds an aggregate of approximately 105,085 bitcoins,

He plans to keep buying. Non-stop

What happens to those Bitcoin he buys? They reduce the offer. It's as if they are lost. They don't flow. The more Bitcoin he buys, the more he reduces the offer and the more pressure he puts on the price to go up.

If big businessmen start sharing their vision, the predictions of several million per Bitcoin in the future are going to be easy fulfilled but largely due to this self-fulfilling prophecy. The whales believe Bitcoin is too valuable, buy it and never sell it, and create even more scarcity than Bitcoin already has because of its limited (deflationary) nature and the reduction of supply with halvings. Aside from the Bitcoins lost already and those that may get lost in the future.
5010  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is Bitcoin an Investment or Payment form? Has it lost its purpose? on: August 01, 2021, 03:46:18 PM
I think the OP is partly right that Bitcon today has moved away from the white paper's idea of being a P2P electronic cash system. It is more of an investment vehicle, and as of today and in the near future it looks like its success is going to be in being the replacement for gold in the digital world.

The option of making P2P transactions will always be there but it seems that if it is going to mark an important change in the world it will be because a multitude of companies acquire it as a reserve and because they implement it so that people can buy it through them, like Paypal.

There should have been an option for 'Both' in the toll and I am sure most people would have selected that.

I agree.
5011  Other / Politics & Society / Re: How the Government made you fat on: August 01, 2021, 03:39:35 PM
im actually more socialism/liberal

Oviously, that was a joke.

im not into government control of citizens. but happy that they should regulate industry to protect citizens
if businesses want citizens money. they should earn it the right way

anyways
what you are forgetting in regards to the hormone (hunger/reward) cycle is

your body needs glucose(simple sugar) for energy.
if you eat simple fat. your body has to if active break that down into sugar. to then feel the reward.
if inactive, keep it ready for later convertion

i call this the christmas turkey delay. you know the lathargic feeling after you eat because your body is (even when sat down) working hard to convert it.
going for a walk after christmas dinner converts it to sugar and you feel good in a slow progressive manner of feeling the energy.. but not 'buzzed' in an instant.

where as having candy/energy drink/sugar in coffee. your body has a sudden acces to sugar so is an instant high of feel good
...

Getting sleepy after eating only happens if you are insulin resistant. Since I reversed my insulin resistance I usually eat more than 1K Kcal per meal and I don't get sleepy or anything.

Another thing is that at Christmas dinner you may have eaten 2000 Kcal plus a lot of alcohol, but that has nothing to do with what you explain that fat has to break down into sugar, because precisely on those occasions you usually eat a lot of sugar.

5012  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Historic France Wide Massive Peaceful Protests Against The Vaxxnazis on: August 01, 2021, 03:33:43 PM
France has historically been a very vindictive country that at the slightest strike and takes to the streets to demonstrate.

1. Did your most trusted news source censored it ?

I would not speak of censorship. Since most of the media are pro-lockdowns etc., they will tend to minimize the news. In the same way that CNN minimizes crime surges in Democratic cities in the USA and FOX minimized criticism of Trump.

2. Do you think in this case in France peaceful protests could succeed ?

I don't know if they will succeed but  not long ago the yellow vests demonstrations were not peaceful, so I'm waiting to see if these remain peaceful.

3. What do you think of peaceful protests country wide to achieve a political goal (and in this specific to survive the holovaxx)?
4. Have there been the need for protests of any kind in your country regarding the vaxxnazis? How far are they in the implementation of the protocols of extermination?

If you want serious answers, don't ask twisted questions talking about holovaxx and vaxnazis.
5013  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy Bitcoin and hold it: 180% annual yield on average since the first halving on: August 01, 2021, 09:53:56 AM
Bitcoin @ 4.4 million would have a marketcap around ~77 trillion. The global GDP estimated today is 93.8 trillion US dollars. Do you seriously believe that a currency barely used for any consumer transactions and being used as an asset by a small number of tech companies has a chance to absorb most of world's GDP in 8 years?

That is a fallacy. It's like if you say I can't have $1M net worth because my annual income is $50K.

The GDP is the annual income, the wealth accumulated is another thing.

Total global wealth is $431 trillion.

It is, of course, possible that Bitcoin, which is currently succeeding as a store of value, will absorb much of that figure. That is the thesis of Saylor and others.

IMO it's time to say goodbye to expected 180% returns and settle for more realistic 50% returns or 25% returns, which is still very good.

On this I do agree, it would be normal for growth to slow down.

5014  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Will physical casinos accept crypto someday? on: August 01, 2021, 07:26:39 AM
The physical casino will soon accept Bitcoin. It's going to be valuable for them like how BTC to ba valuable for the institutions.

If they serve gamblers online, they should have a cryptocurrency option but this will once again be a possible platform that will require KYC. One thing that Bitcoiner will probably prefer is to just stay and play on the old bitcoin casinos, like the old ones, and leave the physical casino alone. We already have enough platforms asking out data.

No, I don't think it's too soon. Unless by "soon" you and I mean two different things. Think about one thing, in which physical store do you go and you can pay with cryptos? There are very few today. I think that hopefully we can wait for the next cycle, if in this one institutional adoption takes hold and we keep moving towards mass adoption.
5015  Other / Politics & Society / Re: How the Government made you fat on: August 01, 2021, 07:20:51 AM
industry changed first.

I grant you that today there is more junk food, but in the 70's there was already Coca-Cola and McDonald's people ate jam, and cakes. So they didn't spend all day eating vegetables (I'm talking about industrialized countries).

where by people needed to change eating habits due to more sedentary life.
(working less hard in an office and more days off for weekends to sit and watch tv)

if people in the 1950's were working on farms from 6am to 3pm 7 days a week (9 hours x 7 days =63hours)
(3200cal maintain weight)
if people in 2021 are working in an office 9-5, 5 days a week(8 hours x 5 days=40 hours)
(2100cal maintain weight)

if someone in an office job is eating the same diet as an active worker. the office worker would gain 50% excess calories per day, every day, and with less exercise happening to a point of atleast 50%.
thats 100% too much

That argument is very nice but you forget that someone working in an office is not hungry for 3500 calories. If I eat 8 times a day based on sugars, maybe he will end up eating them, but it is not usual. Again, this is about hormones, not calories.

over all i would not say government are causing obesity.
capitalist industry is. but it seems the government are not doing enough to educate people and not doing enough to regulate industry to prevent capitalism from making people fat

capitalism is the economic philosophy of favouring industry control over government/citizen control
communism is the economic philosophy of favouring government control over industry/citizen control
socialism is the economic philosophy of favouring citizen control over government/industry control

I didn't think of you as a commie. But lately I like commies. There are quite a few on this board and they are nice people.
5016  Economy / Services / Re: [OPEN] ★☆★ 777Coin Signature Campaign ★☆★ (Member-Hero Accepted) (New) on: August 01, 2021, 07:12:01 AM
1.  A delay in payment is never to the benefit of the people owed money.  With any delay, there is a risk of not being paid what you're owed, and the longer the delay the greater the risk.  As the people who are owed money, it is always in our best interest to have our payment as soon as possible.  

I understand what you are saying, if you don't have the money, if you haven't received it yet, there is always a risk that you won't get paid. Although in this case, I think the risk is very low.

2. The small rounding in payments that happens is not really a good justification for the delay.  That is, I don't consider getting a few hundred extra sats to really make up for having to wait 6 weeks or more for payment.  This is just an opinion, others may disagree and there's no right answer to an opinion, but I just want to float that I in particular would prefer prompt payments over a little extra dust.

I actually prefer to be paid a little more, even if it's just a little. What I miss is a little more formality.

3.  Given the very long delays, I would have figured that the weekly payments could be consolidated into a lump sum payment instead of making 6-7 separate transactions.  This greatly increases the expense to us since we have far more transaction inputs this way and will pay more in fees to move the bitcoin in the future because of it.  This is my biggest concern in all of this.  It's one thing if you're getting paid every week, then the transaction fees are what they are.  But we're not being paid every week, we're being paid about every 6-7 weeks and then getting 6-7 transactions instead of just 1.  If lump sum payments were made, that would partially justify the delay in payments, as it would benefit us since we would only have 1 input instead of 6-7 different inputs for the same amount of bitcoin.  But the way things are now, we're waiting for very long periods of time and then our payments are coming in a way that maximize our expenses and for no reason.  I ask that this policy be reconsidered, such that if we are expected to wait so long, our payments be consolidated into one transaction.

I believe that this is done because it is much easier to check and verify if there has been an error. Now you can clearly see if you have been underpaid by 3 posts in week 4. But if you were paid all together, you would simply see that you are missing 4 posts to be paid in the total weeks.

LoyceV's post is a good guide to consolidate inputs: Mempool empty! Use this opportunity to Consolidate your small inputs!

Nowadays you can consolidate your inputs for pennies, and even when fees are high, it is good to follow the post because there are times of the week when you can consolidate inputs for cheap.

A quick note about the delayed payments, again, they have always eventually been paid, but the delay is gradually getting longer between payments.  Below is a list of payments over the last year, along with the time between payments.

Payment Date      Days Since Last Payment Date
7/14/2020                            ---
8/12/2020                            29
9/12/2020                            31
10/9/2020                            27
11/6/2020                            28
11/11/2020                           5
12/18/2020                          37
2/4/2021                              48
3/16/2021                            40
4/29/2021                            44
6/14/2021                            46

*Current Days Unpaid            46

The current delay is in line with the recent periods as long as it comes now.  But you can see the trend is clearly getting longer between payments, as it used to be every 4 weeks and now we're at every 6-7 weeks.

Yes, as I said, I miss a little more formality. Here you never know when you are going to get paid.
5017  Other / Politics & Society / Re: How the Government made you fat on: August 01, 2021, 06:51:54 AM
Well, I am about to lock the thread.

Mostly because those of you who are against what the title says, and the video on which it is based, repeat the same garbage without providing arguments.

We already know that today the fat person is blamed for being fat, because if they simply ate less and moved more they would be thin.

That argument has already been refuted and you give no arguments to counter refute it.

The argument in the video, and by Dr Fung and many others, is that the weight issue is primarily a hormone issue, not a calorie issue. Calories are important to some extent, but not the main thing.

And you keep repeating the same thing.

In the 60's and 70's, people were mostly thin. In the 70's the US Government first set dietary guidelines and from there began an obesity epidemic that has continued to worsen.

If it is a question of willpower, what happens, that people in the 60's and 70's had a lot of willpower and humans mostly stopped having it from the 80's?

5018  Economy / Economics / Re: Are we really heading towards hyperinflation or towards deflation? on: August 01, 2021, 06:02:28 AM
That's really irrelevant for all practical purposes because people don't hold cash for 100 years, so nobody suffers the inflation rate this chart shows.  Anyone with significant assets have their wealth in assets other than cash; equities, real estate, alternative investments, etc.  And the dollar will never suffer the type of volatility that bitcoin suffers on a daily basis, so how bitcoin is going to be a "safe haven" for inflation when it has greater price volatility than the USD by several hundred times is something that bitcoin maximalists never have an answer for.

I agree.

Actually Alessio is talking about the short term, not about being bullish on USD for the next 30 years.

Within the long term downtrend, if you guess correctly when there are going to be some short upward spikes, you can make money on the short term.

Anyway I think Tytanowy Janusz argues well and has worked the posts and that's why I have merited him.

And no, I don't think the disinflation/deflation issue invalidates the argument, in the same way that Alessio talks about recession or depression, which are not exactly the same thing, as having the same effect on the granting of credit and therefore on inflation.
5019  Other / Politics & Society / Re: An apology to all the vaxxers here. on: August 01, 2021, 05:47:19 AM
I must apologise for not being ill, and not even having a sniffle or a mild headache. I've also just enjoyed the taste of a perfect avocado, and a nice piece of steamed salmon.

I feel really guilty, as I am 79, and I haven't been vaccinated for well over 60 years. I don't wear a mask, except when I am using an angle grinder to remove rust. I don't use sanitisers, but I do observe all the traditional methods of personal hygiene. I don't social distance, and I visit several supermarkets and public venues every day. I sometimes go to a naturist beach, and I don't even wear a condom. I meet a lot of unmasked truck drivers and other people during the day (not on the beach Smiley ).

I haven't met anyone that has had anything other than minor inconveniences as a result of a covid infection. The number of people that I have met who have had significant problems as a result of the vaccine is well into double figures, and several have had to take a week off work.

Yes of course, and your experience should be elevated to science, lol.

I'm not sick either and I had a lot of vaccinations as a kid. I got both pfizer ones and had no side effects. Nothing. I wear a mask where required and wash my hands frequently or use sanitizers depending on the situation.

Most people I know who have had the COVID vaccine have had mild to no simptoms. Some with astrazeneca had stronger flu like symptoms but I don't know anyone who had them last more than two days. However, I do know people who died from COVID, but very old or very fat people.

There is a thing called science that goes far beyond personal experiences.
5020  Economy / Economics / Re: Are we really heading towards hyperinflation or towards deflation? on: July 31, 2021, 05:42:23 PM
You say that people don't take a loan to spend and thus they have no more money to spend.
I say people are reticent on spending and thus they don't take loans.

I repeat that I don't actually say that, I summarize what Alessio says in the video, which sounded plausible to me. Now, you make me doubt. It sounds to me like a question of which came first the chicken or the egg.

Japanese are saving, they are not spending...
Besides, there is a huge difference in mentality...

Perhaps the inflation problem is more complicated than it would seem at first glance.

What I do know is that we do have inflation, and it's pretty easy to see that prices of goods and services are increasing at a rate that hasn't been seen in years.

Yes, it is clear that there is now inflation. What I am not so clear about is whether in the future there will be a crash like the one in 2008 or worse, whether there will be inflation or deflation as the video says.

Oh... This guy is smarter than anyone ... predict deflation ... wihtout knowing what deflation is? on this picture we had 1 deflation in 2009. All this drops are not deflation. Its disinflation (decrease of inflation) ... not deflation. So if he bets on short term disiflation ... i can agree with that but I would not expect long term deflation.

No, I don't think he thinks he is smart. He sounds quite humble. He always uses "What I believe it is more likely.." and similar sentences to make his predictions.

Morover, the difference in nuance between deflation and disinflation does not invalidate his argument.

Inflation depends on money supply and how fast money circulates. And banks like to lend money all the time. No matter if its deflation of inflation time.

They like to lend money but in recession they don't lend it (or don't lend as much as they would like), as I said above, no matter what they like or dislike.
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