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541  Economy / Speculation / Re: If you had bought the previous ATH you're on profit on: April 01, 2024, 05:02:46 PM
I don't know how many users commenting on this thread bought in at the 2021 ATH ($69,000), but if any, their losses must have been recovered right now. I'm not one of them as I didn't buy around $69k back then, but tended to accumulate from $16k to now.



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I agree with pretty much everything you say! I agree that a financial market must go up
and down, that will always happen and moreso with Bitcoin but what I heard or
read somewhere was that we are kess likely to have those massive 50+% drops and the
ETF's will have more of an influence going forward I believe.
Price volatility is a natural property of crypto prices, this is inherent even if you hold stablecoins. Prices will change all the time and it all depends on supply and demand. Today the price corrected slightly compared to the previous 24 hours, but it will likely only last for a short time before recovering again. Whatever causes market volatility, it will always be there and should be considered by anyone before investing.
542  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin way forward - Towards $100k or $50k on: March 31, 2024, 09:31:01 PM
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With Bitcoin returning to its current $70K price, it has changed my thinking a bit on the level of price decline, as I think more that Bitcoin can make this $70K move towards $100K rather than a price drop to $50 K again. Because the pressure on the purchasing power of many groups in Bitcoin could also be a reasonable reason to think that Bitcoin's price increase could still occur again in April. But I'm also quite prepared to see a price of $50K if that happens again to Bitcoin because I'm pretty sure that if it could happen again to Bitcoin, there would definitely be more people buying it straight away without waiting for tomorrow.
Only people who missed the train predicted the price of bitcoin would fall again to $50k, while others predicted $100k. I'm not sure about $50k in these bullish times, but anyone can wait for that day with preparation instead of hesitation. But rest assured, a halving is more likely to trigger a price increase than a major drop to $50k, so don't get your hopes up.

People will buy along the way, they will do DCA, do accumulation to increase their portfolio. I am optimistic about an increase, not the other way around, even though a price decrease is still very possible.
543  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: March 31, 2024, 09:25:41 PM
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The match may not be easy, because Bilbao also put up quite tough resistance. So, Real Madrid's attacking liners also failed several times to attack the opponent's defense. Meanwhile, on the other hand, Bilbao also attacked Real Madrid quite intensely several times.

However, this time, Real Madrid did not allow a single goal to be scored by Bilbao. And on the other hand, Rodrygo was really awesome this time, managing to contribute goals from the early minutes until the end. Real Madrid continued to lead. 2 goals from Rodrygo this time, makes it even more convincing that his performance is getting much better.
Real Madrid dominated the game well and basically I didn't see them under much pressure throughout the match. Bilbao certainly tried their best to score goals and get points, but they couldn't do it because Real Madrid's defense was very good. There are several opportunities, but they cannot be exploited perfectly.

In the end, the standings did not change this week, especially Real Madrid, Barcelona and Girona. The points gap is still the same as last week, but we don't know yet whether Bilbao will get out of the Champions League zone. Atletico Madrid will certainly try to win tomorrow's match, they will gain their position in 4th place by kicking Bilbao out of the Champions League zone.

Rodrygo was clearly good in this match, he was the best player in this match with the two goals he scored. Without Vinicius, Rodrygo lights up.
544  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: March 31, 2024, 09:13:03 PM
This definitely benefited Liverpool more than anyone, but those type of things could change very quickly, like how a week before this one (the last league game) Liverpool tied with City which benefited Arsenal, now they are not there. Every week is a tough one for these teams and I have to say its not going to be easy at all. We need to figure out how to make that work, and I believe its not going to be all that easy at all to win all these games. We are going to see these teams eventually lose, maybe all three would lose points at some point, but even if not all three, some of them will definitely lose points somewhere. That will be the deciding factor on the league.
Yes, I admit that's true. Every team that loses points will benefit the other team, especially because all three currently have the same chance of winning the title. Liverpool leads 3 points over Manchester City, while they have a gap of 2 points over Arsenal. This is still very exciting to expect because there are still several tough matches waiting for the three of them on the schedule for the remainder of this season.

Each of them will fight to win as many points as possible and they will avoid mistakes in each match. Obviously this season is very interesting because there are 3 teams that have a good chance of winning the title instead of just Manchester City. Pep Guardiola still hopes to defend the title, but he admits it is a difficult job.

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It is better to use any strategy that will not make you vulnerable to losing the match, and drop point. This was the only tactics that Arteta believes he can use to draw Manchester city. It is good that you know how to play your opponent to avoid defeat.

Manchester City should have shown themselves how quality they are, and pass through Arsenal's walls to find the back of the net. I will say that it was a fair game, and nothing more. Those people that bet on Manchester city to win the game have been disappointed, this is why football is unpredictable.
Pep Guardiola was aware of that from the first half, but the players failed to make many good efforts throughout the match. Arsenal has 5 to 6 players in the defensive area and that has made Manchester City players depressed to create chances, so it is clearly a loss for Manchester City.
545  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: March 31, 2024, 08:59:13 PM
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It will be difficult for Barcelona to find a new successor to replace Xavi, if the manager they are looking for has quality and experience in winning trophies. Because Barcelona is not yet out of the financial crisis, which in my opinion will have difficulty recruiting coaches with expensive fees and salaries. Also, new coaches will usually ask the club to recruit target players, this cannot necessarily be fulfilled by Barcelona management. Xavi has announced that he will resign next season, whether he wants it or not, the management and club officials must look for a new coach, even though it is not a big name.

Apart from that, regarding the competition for trophies between Barcelona and Real Madrid, it seems that now the competition is over, because Ancelotti squad still looks very consistent in winning every match. There are not many remaining La Liga matches, the most realistic hope for Barcelona is to finish in runner-up position. Apart from that, Barcelona has the opportunity to advance to the semi-finals of the Champions League, provided they are able to beat Luis Enrique squad, namely PSG.
You are right, Barcelona management will have difficulty finding a replacement coach for Xavi. Even though Xavi is considered a failure this season because he failed to defend the two titles he won last season, Xavi's performance at Barcelona is still considered good and something to be proud of. Xavi is Barcelona, ​​meaning he is more than just a coach to them because he is a legend who loves his club. But what can I do, he made a difficult decision in the middle of this season regarding his future and that was a surprise that I really didn't want to hear from him.

Now is not the time to expect a title race between Barcelona and Real Madrid. Everything is very clear so far if you know how many points the gap between them is, so Barcelona will just keep themselves in second place despite the disappointment of losing the title.
546  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: March 31, 2024, 08:50:46 PM
Manchester city Vs Arsenal Draw match

Actually I failed this prediction. Right from beginning I have maintained that the match between Manchester City and Arsenal will never end in draw. I was very confident that one team will win and there will be goals in the match but unfortunately my prediction didn't work out. Although I did not watch the match. It is a match that everybody looked up to but a very big international convention that I had made me to miss the match. Just this night I had a little time to check up the internet and I was surprised that the both teams shared the points. This only has just given Liverpool and added advantage to make them day champions of the English Premier League. I believe this is a gesture that the Liverpool coach will utilize to crown his exit from the Liverpool football club. 3 points above Manchester city and 2 points above Arsenal is giving the impression that Liverpool can be the champions or anyone among Liverpool, Arsenal and Manchester city can be.
Just like you, I don't think the match will end in a draw because Manchester City is really the favorite at home. Unfortunately, Manchester City missed several good opportunities in the match to equal Liverpool on points, but that was the consequence they had to accept when Arsenal forced them to play defensively.

This match was very different because Arsenal played almost exactly the same as a mediocre team who only defended and took advantage of counter attacks. Look at their ball possession percentage throughout the match, it's not a typical game from a team with a winning mentality. Indeed, 1 point is better than getting nothing, but instead we can judge who Arsenal really are.
547  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: March 30, 2024, 09:47:41 PM
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I consider this a coin flip game. Both teams have equal chances and both teams are fighting with the same type of problems. Barcelona as well as PSG are both well known for losing stability during a game. PSG has the advantage with Mbappe who is able to score a goal at any time without being put into the perfect position as he can do it all by himself. I think Barcelona is currently lacking that type of player as the Messi times are long over.

Maybe the Barcelona midfield is a bit stronger, but I am not the biggest fan of their defense and PSG has a high speed attacking line obviously. It could go both ways and if I had to choose a winner, apart from the fact that I truly believe this is a coin flip, I think that PSG is going to make it to the next round. I have no specific reason for my decision other than Mbappe. I believe he could be the decisive player in this matchup.
No, PSG tends to be favored over Barcelona in the first leg because they are playing at home. PSG has a better and more balanced squad than Barcelona, ​​​​but that is not a guarantee that PSG can win the first leg easily. Barcelona came as an experienced team even though the squad was not as good as before, but there was optimism within Barcelona that they could win it away match.

Xavi admits that his squad is younger and less experienced, but several experienced players such as Lewandowski, Joao Felix, Ilkay Gundogan and several others are expected to provide balance during the match. The match could have been one-sided if PSG had really pressed since the first half, but Barcelona's defense is currently starting to improve since Cubarsi was relied on as a center back.
548  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: March 30, 2024, 09:39:51 PM
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It sounds like there's frustration after the draw against Burnley, especially considering the perceived difference in quality between the two teams. Pochettino and the team are likely feeling the pressure to perform, especially with expectations high. It'll be interesting to see how Chelsea navigates the remainder of the season and if they can improve their previous ranking.
Last season Chelsea ended the season in 12th position, while this season they have not improved their position where they are currently struggling in 11th position. Pochettino is of course under great pressure to start every match, even Chelsea cannot really be expected when they are favorites. It's hard to explain, but that's how Chelsea is this season.

Pochettino has the next 10 games to get Chelsea up from its current position, but almost every game ahead becomes more difficult. The next match is against Manchester United, so of course Chelsea is not the favorite team to win it.
549  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: March 30, 2024, 09:21:21 PM
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Xavi's current position is no longer comfortable and I think his decision to resign at the end of the season is very appropriate because he was not supported by the Barcelona management to build this team well, but instead the team management set a high target and in fact some of the news about Xavi's last time in blame for Barcelona's decline in performance this season.
The arrival of another coach next season does not guarantee that Barcelona's performance will be able to improve and it could even be worse.
Only Barcelona fans really want Barcelona's performance to get better from season to season, while others want it to get worse. Xavi resigned at the end of the season not because Barcelona did not support his wishes, but he actually had other problems personally that may have nothing to do with management. One of the problems that is often said to be the high demands of the media which make him always under pressure, is what makes him uncomfortable being Barcelona coach in the long term.

Xavi has done his job well since he signed a contract with Barcelona, ​​he was even able to win the title when Barcelona did not have strong finances. I have to admit that's true, but people don't appreciate it but only bring it down even more.
550  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: March 29, 2024, 07:15:18 PM
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We'll see what happens this Sunday, because even though several Manchester City players have suffered injuries, I don't think this will dampen their enthusiasm in fighting to win the match at home. Even though everyone knows that Arsenal is currently still quite good and they could win at home to Manchester City. However, it will never be easy for Arsenal because both teams already know that one of them is a candidate to become champion this season.
I'm not saying Arsenal is not good, they still have a chance to beat Manchester City, but their chances are not as good as Manchester City. You have to admit that and in fact it is true that Manchester City is the favorite at home because of the team's performance as well as its home record. If you look at the history of meetings between the two teams at the Etihad over the last few seasons, then you will definitely say the same thing, even though Manchester City cannot always win.

There are all possibilities regarding this match, including Arsenal winning, drawing or losing, and vice versa. However, on my part, Manchester City tends to be reliable at home, especially because they are also fighting to win the top of the standings to maintain their title dominance. It is one of the most anticipated big matches this week and I don't want to miss it.
551  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: March 29, 2024, 06:42:51 PM
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They have to be noisy and lousy because they don't get this type of happiness always as they haven't being playing regularly in champion league competition. If I was a gunner I'll be noisy too because that's the only way that I can be feeling some kind of excitement that I'm playing in the champion league but their dream will soon be cut short as Bayern Munich is going to defeat them. Arsenal might be playing very well but that's for the premier league. They'll be playing Manchester City for their next match and after that game they have two smaller teams to play before their match against Bayern Munich in the champions league, if they can use this three matches to build up confidence then they can stand a chance against Bayern Munich but if they can't win those games I don't think they'll play win against Bayern.
The match against Bayern Munich is a difficult match for Arsenal, but considering their performance in the domestic league, Arsenal certainly has hopes of qualifying for the semifinal phase. Bayern Munich is much more experienced in the Champions League, and so is its coach, but Arsenal is currently different.

Arsenal have missed out on many important games with wins so far this season, so it wouldn't be great to find them underdogs despite having to meet Bayern Munich in the quarter-finals. Arteta is responsible for preparing the best strategy for his squad to achieve victory, but we all know it is a tough job for him. Arsenal have improved season after season with Arteta, so they have the hope and opportunity to provide the best fight.
552  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: March 29, 2024, 06:23:25 PM
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No vini, no problem. Vini can be replaced by Rodrygo, who can also play as a left winger. Rodrygo is one of Real Madrid's most important players because he can play in a variety of positions. I expect Ancellotti to use this line-up.

LW = Rodrygo, RW = Brahim Diaz, AM = Bellingham, and ST = Joselu.

This can still be rotated, depending on Bilbao's strategy soon. I consider Bilbao to be a strong team, and Ancellotti will not pass up the opportunity to earn three points and bring the club closer to the LA Liga.

Real Madrid has a limited number of wingers, which may encourage Ancellotti to rotate his players. I've seen Brahim Diaz play as a right wing several times. Expect Real Madrid to use this formation against Bilbao shortly.

It's caused by brahim diaz is the only capable player who can play as right winger as good as rodrygo which will be play at vini's position.
Ancelotti will certainly find the right formula for his squad if one of his main players is injured. For example, Vinicius; Ancelotti can play several players in that position, including Brahim Diaz and Rodrygo, but without Vinicius, Real Madrid's performance will be different. I'm sure about that because so far Vinicius has been a good attacking motor in the Real Madrid squad, so of course it will be different without him.

It is certainly not easy for Bilbao to hope for victory at the Santiago Bernabéu, but as long as they really work hard and take advantage of their opportunities then victory is not impossible. Real Madrid is clearly the favorite over Athletic Bilbao at home, but because Bilbao wants to stay in the Champions League zone, this match will probably be very tense. Bilbao will try to do their best to win, if they lose they must be willing to let Atletico Madrid gain their position in the Champions League zone.
553  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: March 28, 2024, 09:25:42 PM
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For this season, Barcelona will try to catch up even though it is very difficult because they are already far behind Real Madrid who are at the top of the standings, but with their quality which is now getting better I think they will try as hard as possible because mathematically they still have a chance to do that. .
And realistically Barcelona only has a bigger chance in the UCL so now they are also shifting their focus there to give their best performance, now Barcelona is in the quarter-finals so their journey is not long, even though it is difficult.
Barcelona is almost certain to lose the La Liga title this season when Real Madrid leads the standings with an 8-point advantage with 9 games remaining. Real Madrid is comfortable enough to maintain its performance until the end of the season, but if they drop a few points in the next few games then maybe Barcelona can get closer.

The matches against Bilbao and Mallorca are something that Real Madrid must win before El Clasico, so if both can be won then it doesn't matter if Real Madrid loses in El Clasico. However, it would certainly be dangerous for Real Madrid if they lost one of the matches against Bilbao and Mallorca, they would be in danger of losing points in El Clasico too.
554  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: March 28, 2024, 09:19:19 PM
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No it doesn't depend on Luis Enrique only. There is a reason why teams from leagues like Portugal, Eredivisie, Ligue 1 and others almost have no chance to win the Champions League. The main reason is that these teams are not good enough and if they are in regards to the players they have and the quality they potentially can bring onto the pitch, then the teams don't get challenged enough throughout the year and are playing against far inferior teams all the time. But then out of a sudden the next opponent is called Real Madrid or Manchester City and that is when they haven't developed the tools during the season to deal with the problems that these world class teams can create for any opponent. PSG won't win the Champions League and I doubt that Enrique should be blamed for it. It's never the best idea to buy a club in a weak league, invest billions and then hope to win the Champions League.
Before Manchester City won the Champions League title last season, Manchester City had also been to the final but failed to win the title because of Chelsea. Pep Guardiola once said, this team needs to get good experience in the Champions League and they have to learn from their mistakes and correct them in the next season. Pep Guardiola ultimately managed to win the title last season, so PSG may have a lot to learn from Manchester City's journey to the title.

Of course, Ligue 1 competition is not too tight compared to the English League, La Liga and other leagues, but PSG is a team that has improved in terms of the quality of its play but has not been lucky in terms of titles. They have tried to improve themselves and increase the depth of their squad every season, but success has yet to come. There will be a time later, but of course no one knows when, what is clear is that they might still get it this season.
555  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: March 28, 2024, 08:57:41 PM
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I believe if Arsenal get past Manchester City they're not seeing the other games as something difficult to get through and I feel they can defeat the likes of Aston Villa, Chelsea even Tottenham, not talking about UTD but it all depends on if they stay on top because if they continue to be league leaders their fighting spirit will be high to take on the next opponent, it all lies on if they could get a win at the Etihad Stadium.
Of course it's possible, but I still believe Manchester City can win their home games and maintain their home record against Arsenal. The match could end in a draw for both teams, but the odds are not good to hope for. Many people believe Manchester City are the favorites at home because of their record and performance, but we will see for sure after 90 minutes.

Liverpool might take advantage if Manchester City and Arsenal draw, but I'm sure one of the two will win the game and I'm picking Manchester City to do it. Manchester City have home advantage and the record, but that doesn't mean Arsenal won't surprise.
556  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: March 27, 2024, 09:28:31 PM
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There is no information about De Bruyne yet, let's hope that the injury is not so serious. It became known that Walker will be able to play against Arsenal, the injury was not serious, this is good, but with Ederson everything is not so good, according to preliminary forecasts he will be able to return to the game in mid-April, so he will most likely miss the games with Arsenal and Aston Villa, and also possibly the first game with Real Madrid in CL.
Ederson and De Bruyne appear to be injured, at least that's what the news is circulating. If it is certain that the two players above will not join the team in the match against Arsenal, then it is very possible for Arsenal to get points at the Etihad Stadium. It may be difficult, but the opportunities are there and Arsenal need to maximize their ability to take points.

Without Ederson and De Bruyne, Manchester City is not a weak team, but Arsenal can exploit their weaknesses, especially if City loses stability in their midfield. I don't really expect Arsenal to have a high probability of winning on the road, so this means Manchester City tends to be the favourite.
557  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin 190K in 2024? on: March 25, 2024, 08:29:28 PM
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Bitcoin in past have seen a good price boost after the halving. And many prediction models place the future price of bitcoin into 190K.
Is 190K too humble or very generous in your consideration? What's your price plans for selling your holdings?
I don't know, if the predictions are true then there really will be many new multi millionaires during 2024 and 2025. I'm not sure about the predicted numbers, but there's nothing wrong with remaining optimistic that the price of bitcoin will increase over time after the halving.

$190k may be considered low for those with more optimism than that, but for me $190k is a pretty big number to expect for bitcoin after the halving in 2024. Seriously, I will literally sell everything by then if $190k is reached.
558  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: March 25, 2024, 08:17:23 PM
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Even though Man Utd has won the last clash with Liverpool 4-3 (FA cup quarterfinals), experts give them only 23% chance of winning again the league game on 7th April.
Probably because they know that FA cup isn't Liverpool's priority this season. Also, looking at the 4-3 score itself could give a distorted picture of how the game went. Liverpool have been winning for almost entire 2nd half, until Man Utd scored the equalizer in the 87th minute. Liverpool took the lead again in the over time, but United managed to score another 2 goals. The gam was quite even but United had a lot of luck on their side.
The upcoming league game won't be easy and there's a big chance Liverpool will lose some points in Manchester.
The atmosphere in matches between competitions is definitely different, so I think it's natural why Liverpool are favorites in the Premier League match against Manchester United even though Liverpool lost their last match in the FA Cup quarter-finals.

Manchester United certainly has home advantage against Liverpool, but I'm sure Liverpool will play better than them. Liverpool are fighting for the title not a place in the Champions League, so they will fight better than Manchester United. However, the probability will change because both of them still have several other difficult matches, so I can't predict much at the moment between Manchester United vs Liverpool.
559  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: March 25, 2024, 08:04:57 PM
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Roma journey to reach the final round this season was very difficult, although I admit their performance has improved since De Rossi took over the managerial role from Jose Mourinho. Milan is the most difficult opponent for Roma to beat, because in the last five matches Roma has not even been able to beat Milan. So the biggest possibility in the future is that Milan will face Leverkusen in the semifinals. However, everything can change, the European League is actually difficult to predict because many teams perform differently from their domestic league.
I also wouldn't say it's easy for Roma to qualify for the Europa League final this season, but they certainly have a chance worth fighting for. Milan is a more solid team than Roma and I'm sure Milan will maximize their chances of qualifying for the semifinals and even reaching the final. The competition will be increasingly difficult and unfortunately there is only one team from Serie A that will qualify for the semifinals considering that Atalanta will probably lose against Liverpool.

Liverpool versus Leverkusen is indeed the ideal final that many people hope for, the reputation of these two teams this season has become an attraction for European League fans. Meanwhile, we are all curious about Leverkusen strength when facing a team like Liverpool, where I think their unbeaten record could end in the hands of the Premier League representatives. Apart from that, we will first see which teams will be able to qualify for the semi-finals, it is possible that Milan will be eliminated by Roma by surprise.
Many people think both teams can make it to the final this season, but somehow I'm not sure Leverkusen will make it to the final. This is still the quarter-final stage and all teams will fight, even if Leverkusen can qualify for the semifinals then I am sure the competition will be even more difficult. I'm only optimistic about Liverpool's performance and chances in the Europa League, the rest is not.
560  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: March 24, 2024, 06:48:40 PM
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Everyone will respect other people's views on trading and I also really understand the views you give on short-term trading. Because for traders in the short term it has to be like that because they are looking for shorter periods of time in targeting profits than traders in the long term who are more focused on large amounts of profit over a longer period of time in certain market trends.
Holders in the long term are not worthy of being called long-term traders, they are investors. There are differences between traders and investors, some of the differences are the time frame they need to make profits and their plans.

But if what you are trading is Bitcoin, I don't think there is much profit if you only spend a little time on it. Because Bitcoin can provide more profits in a good trend like this year for everyone who is willing to hold it in the long term or at least not in the short term. So try to consider this again apart from the short-term trading options that you like because basically what you are doing is not wrong but it would also be better if you were willing to work on other options in pursuit of more profits.
Trading can't always make you profitable even if you make an analysis, of course that's because market trends can easily change. Price volatility for one reason or another may make traders have to wait and change their trading plans, but the strategy may be almost the same as long-term investments. I mean, you still really need DCA if you like trading in the short term (daily trading), this strategy can help you get a lower average price compared to previous purchases.
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