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581  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Extracting stable positive return from high-volatile asset.HF recipe made simple on: September 11, 2019, 02:59:54 PM
Fantastic thread, out of merits otherwise you'd get 'em. Thanks for sharing this very useful information.
582  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 11, 2019, 02:54:50 PM
finally a climate-neutral possibility to mine bitcoin



That's ridiculous.
Cat-bread's have almost no torque.

I'm more concerned about the labor involved fixing the crankshaft to that particular attach point. I imagine claw proof protective gear is in order.
583  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 11, 2019, 02:53:17 PM
I have a dog with no legs.  I call him Cigarette because every evening when I get home from work I take him for a drag.

My sister had a dog with 3 legs, she named it Fraction. Great dog, couldn't jump as well as others but can't say the handicap really affected him much. Fur reals.
584  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][$MUSIC] Musicoin on: September 11, 2019, 02:50:05 PM
What happened to this project? At first, he showed great promise. The idea of the project is great, but the last months there are no announcements, they are constantly postponed. I hope the project team will soon give us good news.

In my opinion it has failed because it couldn't overcome most of the same issues that have been plaguing the music industry since the first mp3 was pirated. Kids have always been the main driver of music sales, and kids don't buy music anymore. They stream it or download it for free. MUSIC is trying to inject fair economics back into it and is a great idea for musicians but the consumers just don't seem that interested.
585  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] Ethereum: Welcome to the Beginning on: September 11, 2019, 02:47:03 PM
next crypto wave is not going to be ico, ieo, bno or dingo, i can tell you that. the easy free money is gone.
next crypto wave is going to be dapp, mark my word for it. useful and killer dapp would make it own money.

That is my feeling also. Still waiting on the revolutionary dapp. It won't be games, it'll be some enterprise level dapp that gets adopted by corporations worldwide is my guess. I sometimes wonder if devs are waiting on the Ethereum network upgrades before fully committing though. So far the reality of eth dapps hasn't lived up to the hope.
586  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 10, 2019, 03:04:04 PM
This is a fine indicator to follow during bull and bear markets as a trader.



https://twitter.com/ColeGarnerBTC/status/1171160390111072256

Some more details on that indicator here, they seem to say that the top call isn't as reliable as the bottom...
https://medium.com/adaptivecapital/bitcoin-market-value-to-realized-value-mvrv-ratio-3ebc914dbaee
Quote
Thresholds: Going forward, as market cap decreases in volatility, we believe that the upper threshold of MVRV might not prove as reliable — as market cap overextends less and less above realized cap as time progresses. However, we expect the lower threshold to remain useful to detect Bitcoin’s undervaluation in multi-month periods ripe for accumulation.
587  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 10, 2019, 01:10:24 PM
Old hat to many here I'm sure but I liked this quote...
Quote
History has shown us time and time again that when multiple forms of money are used in parallel, it’s the hardest (or most reliable) money that wins every time.

And Bitcoin is the most reliable money we’ve ever invented.
https://simplebitcoin.co/the-biggest-misconception-about-bitcoin/
588  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 09, 2019, 06:36:59 PM
Interesting article, ...
Quote
Central and commercial banks are the top dogs of the world’s largest market by trading volume—the $5-trillion-a-day foreign exchange (FX) market. A closer look at the balance of power in this global industry reveals how banks could manipulate, and even dominate, cryptocurrency in an unregulated market.
...
Through policy, central banks could incentivize their commercial underlings to realize Hal Finney’s “Bitcoin bank,” replicating the fractional-reserve banking system of today using BTC as reserve currency and effectively integrating it into the world of FX.

...
If banks enter the crypto market in force and employ some of the tactics they have evidently used to dominate FX—legitimate or mischievous—heavy implications could be in store for the price discovery of cryptocurrency. Ultimately, both commercial and central banks would profit from placing fiat-style controls over crypto and subjecting the market to the same dynamics at play in FX.
https://cryptoslate.com/will-banks-inevitably-control-the-cryptocurrency-market/
589  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 09, 2019, 04:45:31 PM
#Gold made sense when transactions were physical interactions, but our digital world demands a form of digital gold. #DropGold

https://dropgold.com/drop-gold/?utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter&utm_campaign=2019_q3_MS

Do you have any idea what a pain in the ass it is to get rid of gold?

Just leave it on the curb, I'll come by for pickup after work.
590  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 09, 2019, 03:43:44 PM
There are different types of predictions, from unreliable short-term predictions for traders, to pretty reliable long-term predictions for us holders. It would be wrong to just dismiss all of them.

Totally agree, that's why I find the topic pretty interesting.
591  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 09, 2019, 03:21:19 PM
Didn't see this posted yet, the correlation with halving while not too surprising is still interesting, keep HODL'n...
Quote
While a 100% sure profit would have taken a maximum of 1,335 days, this relates to the bull-run in late 2013, when Bitcoin price surged to $1150. If you had bought in right at the top, then it took 1,335 days before Bitcoin finally broke that level in early 2017.
https://cointelegraph.com/news/new-analysis-every-bitcoin-holder-makes-a-profit-after-1-335-days


This is nonsense.
No evidence, no rationale.
It's like driving straight on a road because on the the rear mirror it has always been a straight road.

Or like drawing a straight line through a price chart of the last 4 years and expecting it to still be straight 4 years from now.
592  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 09, 2019, 03:16:38 PM
Some of you may get a kick out of this article...

Quote
Of course, technical analysis sometimes seems to work, says Janny Kul, who crunched the numbers on hundreds of TA research papers. Likewise, a coin flipped several times might yield five heads in a row. But falsely assuming that the coin’s past landings affect the probability of its future landings is wrongheaded. Indeed, the fallacy even has a name—“statistical independence.”
https://decrypt.co/9002/technical-analysis-the-art-of-wrongly-predicting-the-future

"Coin’s past landings affect" analogy is stupid. There's a big chance tomorrow's price will be close to today's price, everyone knows that. Tomorrow's price is not "statistically independent" from today's price.

Multi-year trend lines also can be useful for multi-year predictions.

Even past 2-3 months can be useful, like right now we're experiencing 80 days of sideways. So there is a good chance we'll continue moving sideways for at least another week.

Can you quantify the 'good chance' and why the week time duration of your prediction? I think the analogy works when you consider the prediction is not whether the price is close to short term past but whether it moves up or down relative. That's the coin flip part. At least that's how I understood it.
593  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 09, 2019, 03:09:59 PM
Didn't see this posted yet, the correlation with halving while not too surprising is still interesting, keep HODL'n...
Quote
While a 100% sure profit would have taken a maximum of 1,335 days, this relates to the bull-run in late 2013, when Bitcoin price surged to $1150. If you had bought in right at the top, then it took 1,335 days before Bitcoin finally broke that level in early 2017.
https://cointelegraph.com/news/new-analysis-every-bitcoin-holder-makes-a-profit-after-1-335-days
594  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 08, 2019, 03:19:11 PM
Every second there´s some worthy

Cryptocurrency, Ego And Beautiful Women (Blockchain Cruise)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VyClcoLahXU

I actually liked the answer McAffee gave when asked about his motivation for promoting. I also thought this comment on the vid was hilarious...

Quote
I was on this cruise. I think we may have accidentally got on the wrong ship, as it appeared that we had found ourselves on a tragic beauty queen contest boat. I think the organisers may have greatly underestimated the intelligence of the crypto community. The guys aren't the sort of idiots that would be excited by that calibre of women, the crypto community that I know are highly intelligent, and it really took any sort of soul out of the event and made crypto seem like a seedy greedy lambo loving gold digger drenched hell. I felt like I needed to shower for 3 days afterwards. On a positive note, this is a beautifully made vid! Smiley
595  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 08, 2019, 02:20:00 PM
Some of you may get a kick out of this article...

Quote
Of course, technical analysis sometimes seems to work, says Janny Kul, who crunched the numbers on hundreds of TA research papers. Likewise, a coin flipped several times might yield five heads in a row. But falsely assuming that the coin’s past landings affect the probability of its future landings is wrongheaded. Indeed, the fallacy even has a name—“statistical independence.”
https://decrypt.co/9002/technical-analysis-the-art-of-wrongly-predicting-the-future
596  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 08, 2019, 02:14:10 PM
Here's a plot showing the 10btc address rise metric, from https://decrypt.co/8921/number-bitcoin-addresses-bitcoins-reaches, which says there are now 157000 wallets with at least 10 btc, and 614500 addresses between 1 and 10,...
597  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] Ħ [HODL] Version 4.0.0 - Mandatory Upgrade, Block 683000 on: September 08, 2019, 02:06:14 PM

 Raising the reward is 10 times a big mistake. The number of miners may increase,
but they will not be holders and will drop the price even lower. Existing coin holders will suffer a lot, about 10 times ...



Turns out you might be right about this. We might need to revert this change back to 50HODL/block mining reward.

Has the max supply changed as well?


About a year from now it might.  Grin
598  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 04, 2019, 06:32:04 PM
Well wishes to V8 and your family, may your wife receive the best care possible and go into remission.
599  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 03, 2019, 08:06:32 PM
Oh no, dirty fiat doing us bad again, if only they'd used btc…
https://www.caranddriver.com/news/a28902093/fiat-500-dead-north-america/
600  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: September 03, 2019, 06:49:42 PM
If anyone here favors the idea of collecting BTCArt, then check it out.....
https://cryptoart.com



Pretty cool stuff. Prices are in fiat I notice.  Cheesy
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