$10 by EOD.

I don't think what I wrote disagrees with anything you say. It's a riff on the increasing futility of analysis for trading, particularly in the short term. Though it may have applicability to some longer term factors too as once they become known and recognized. For example, halving effects become increasingly well known and compensated for and the nature of Bitcoin's bubble mean that fewer people now fall for the FOMO so the boom is less boomy and the bust less miserable.

Price prediction in a growth phase is a paradox. We are sure that the price is going up in a long enough time. If it is predictable that the price would be up and at X at time T, the smart thing to do would be to buy large amounts at anything <X right now and sell at T for guaranteed profit. That would immediately drive the price to X. The only way this resolves is for the price to be hard to pin down except in generalities. In fact, the tighter you make the analysis, the harder the price is to pin down.

Either Clarke or Asimov wrote a story based around this principle.

In other words, HODL!

And thousands of years of government malfeasance.

It should never be ruled out but it takes a certain mindset to be able to uproot and move somewhere else entirely. I moved to same language, similar culture and I generally dislike being around people but I won't pretend that moving back hasn't crossed my mind on occasion (Though sensible consideration and the occasional return visit (not available in recent times) always shows that I'm staying put.

I've known people who have done the cultural exchange (Thailand and the like) and from what I can tell, it's typically a young man's game.

So keeping my options open but it seems that all of the places where I would be culturally comfortable are currently running similar levels of dementedness when it comes to government. Maybe if some seasteading gets going.

There's a few misses in there but most of them are well worth a watch. There's at least one that's considered one of the best that I haven't got to yet.

If you're watching in company, you might want to keep some onions handy to chop for one of the episodes.

Was it this video by any chance? It's the one that put me onto it.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=71YO8veX7wM

Just to throw in another point that the obvious "useful" scale would be 0 for freezing (triple) point of water and 100 for average human body temp. Though again, it's arbitrary.

That puts me in mind of a TV show worth watching, since the thread has had some of that recently. "Inside No 9". The episode I'm thinking of in particular is S03E02 "The Bill".

Alternatively

Bitcoin: Finally you can take it with you.

F

I've often heard the granularity argument but have never really bought it. The question is whether you really need that kind of granularity and, if you do, are fractions really that much of a hardship? For comfort zones, 20 degrees in F is about 10 degrees in C so arguably (weakly but it's countering a weak argument anyway), C wins out there because we use a 10 aligned counting system. Fahrenheit doesn't really hang off of anything. 0 is temperatures most humans don't experience on any kind of regular basis and 100 is kinda near human body temperature but not so a hard 'F' there too.

As with yourself, I'm not seriously arguing but Fahrenheit is pretty indefensible other than from an inertia stance (which is a decent enough reason in my book). Celsius isn't really much better though (though water is pretty important so it has that but when you get to science, you'll be using K more often than not).

Given the rest of the content of your post, the science of when water freezes might be considered fairly relevant. In truth, both are arbitrary and fine

To be clear, there will definitely be borrowing and lending in a Bitcoin world and there will probably be a role for bank-like entities but this idea that your money is "in the bank" like it's sitting in a vault somewhere and you can always access it any time has to end. I mean, haven't people seen "It's a Wonderful Life"?

I think you probably need some sleep.

I always* felt the mask mandates were pretty much useless but JFC, can we not go full retard in the other direction?


*I did feel caution was appropriate at the beginning

I sold my bottom for ramen.

Don't look at the crook behind the curtain.

Now that we have 40 year high inflation, I was wondering what happened back then. There wasn't Bitcoin, of course but there was gold and it either wasn't as problematic or people weren't aware of the problems it had.

https://www.businessinsider.com/todays-gold-market-looks-a-lot-like-the-crazy-1970s-2016-7

This article is from 2016 but I'm more interested in the period it was talking about.