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781  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: May 22, 2012, 11:07:25 PM


So long as there is a mechanism to take delivery expeditiously at the stated rates of exchange, then its not fractionalized.  

there is no way to take delivery of pm's on a global scale expeditiously.  that's the point.

We run out of cargo jets or sumpin??

Are you really going to mail in gold coins to pay your gas bill?

Is someone from Algeria really going to DHL gold to Chicago to pay the rent on their oil tanker?

lol, what you want every transaction to be in physical?  You can't have some in physical and some in paper??  Roll Eyes

I believe the topic was international settlements.  The problems with paper in this area have been addressed.

Settle up every few weeks with cargo jets.  *shrug*  In WW2 they used boats filled with gold and silver, but its the modern age, jets will work just as well..
782  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: May 22, 2012, 11:05:03 PM


So long as there is a mechanism to take delivery expeditiously at the stated rates of exchange, then its not fractionalized.  

there is no way to take delivery of pm's on a global scale expeditiously.  that's the point.

We run out of cargo jets or sumpin??

Are you really going to mail in gold coins to pay your gas bill?

Is someone from Algeria really going to DHL gold to Chicago to pay the rent on their oil tanker?

lol, what you want every transaction to be in physical?  You can't have some in physical and some in papar??  Roll Eyes

That's the thing though. Once you add that abstraction layer you can not prevent it from becoming fractionalized.


We been over this, of course you can, so long as a good chunk of the peeps keep the majority of their assets in physical.  It's all a matter of whether you trust the bank more, or your neighbors.. Wink
783  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: May 22, 2012, 11:01:07 PM


So long as there is a mechanism to take delivery expeditiously at the stated rates of exchange, then its not fractionalized.  

there is no way to take delivery of pm's on a global scale expeditiously.  that's the point.

We run out of cargo jets or sumpin??

Are you really going to mail in gold coins to pay your gas bill?

Is someone from Algeria really going to DHL gold to Chicago to pay the rent on their oil tanker?

lol, what you want every transaction to be in physical?  You can't have some in physical and some in paper??  Roll Eyes  and just maybe some wait for it... electronic..
784  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: May 22, 2012, 10:59:47 PM
What, you want a law saying its legal tender for all debts public and private??  Go to Utah Wink  

It doesn't take long to convert paper gold/silver to fiat..  Its functionally the same as currency.

Too hot Smiley

It doesn't take long, but it generally can't be exchanged directly. That kills the convenience factor.

No more inconvienent then writing a check or transfering money from savings to checking..
785  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: May 22, 2012, 10:58:04 PM

Only, a decent chunk of people won't do this, because they cant. Just like they can't function without plastic. 

So those peeps make their beds.  The prudent ones will be protected.  

I run the plastic like crazy, they give out tons of free shit, cashback, points, bonus money for the first 500, 1000 whever you spend.  I credit card hop those bitches, get a new one every few months take the free shit, dumb ass's.  I always pay em off every month, never balance transfer...   and peeps wonder why the banks are going broke..  The next one on my list is a capital one free $100 with the first $500 spent, 1.5% cashback.  I'll take that 20% thanks.. The one I been using for the last few months.. free $200 for the first $1000 spent.. 1% cashback, 5% on select stuff, chase freedom..  I could just pay cash, but why?? when I get a 15-20% dicsount to use the plastic..

But do you see the problem? If "those peeps" account for the mass of the economy they don't just make their own beds... It affects the whole economy... It affects you.

Ah but in a pre '33 style system their isn't constant inflation and easy money, easy credit..  Peeps won't get a zillion chances at easy credit, you screw up paying somebody back, you just won't get any credit anymore.  The users (aka "those peeps") won't affect shit, cause they won't have any credit or paper or clanking coins, they will actually have to work for a living and live within their means.  Peeps from the great depression era are savers, not users.
786  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: May 22, 2012, 10:51:03 PM


So long as there is a mechanism to take delivery expeditiously at the stated rates of exchange, then its not fractionalized.  

there is no way to take delivery of pm's on a global scale expeditiously.  that's the point.

We run out of cargo jets or sumpin??
787  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: May 22, 2012, 10:49:15 PM
In order for any of that to happen you really must have a banking system set up to serve a functioning economy with the use of the metal. Which is where Utah has thus far fallen short, which will relegate the use of PM's there to the role of a novelty.

there is no way today's modern economy or banking system could function with a gold standard.  you couldn't move the metal fast enough. 

centralizing it at the LBMA or Comex introduces all sorts of accounting problems.  once you have a fiat representation of the metal the very function of the gold reserve can be manipulated.

That's right. Heavy metal is still heavy. Unless you control it physically (either in your pocket or in a vault) you can not be assured that what you are transferring is fully backed by the metal, i.e. the metal itself. Practical, daily movements will require the addition of an abstraction layer and that will be vulnerable to fractionalization. The direct transfer of value in the form of the metal itself will always be relegated to a backwater of economic functionality.

So long as there is a mechanism to take delivery expeditiously at the stated rates of exchange, then its not fractionalized.  

Fractionalization depends on the notion that everyone won't do that, and they won't unless there is a run, and there wouldn't be a run if everyone is assured that the full value of their currency in the form of the metal is at hand... It is still a house of cards that is dependent on the assurance by an external authority that things are operating as they should.

Good point, but a prudent person could just function completely with physical under such a system (pre '33 for example) and be assured that things are operating as they should for them personally.  So long as a decent chunk of the people did this, the system would be authentic.  

Only, a decent chunk of people won't do this, because they cant. Just like they can't function without plastic. 

So those peeps make their beds.  The prudent ones will be protected.  

I run the plastic like crazy, they give out tons of free shit, cashback, points, bonus money for the first 500, 1000 whever you spend.  I credit card hop those bitches, get a new one every few months take the free shit, dumb ass's.  I always pay em off every month, never balance transfer...   and peeps wonder why the banks are going broke..  The next one on my list is a capital one free $100 with the first $500 spent, 1.5% cashback.  I'll take that 20% thanks.. The one I been using for the last few months.. free $200 for the first $1000 spent.. 1% cashback, 5% on select stuff, chase freedom..  I could just pay cash, but why?? when I get a 15-20% dicsount to use the plastic..
788  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: May 22, 2012, 10:42:41 PM
that is best handled by a modernized gold ratio system integrated with the fiat system.

Uh isn't that what we already have?? lol

the ratio is like the spot price yo... (+~3% if you want to take delivery)

Yes, but it's officially treated as a tradeable asset, not a currency. Treating it as a currency would be very simple in practice.

What, you want a law saying its legal tender for all debts public and private??  Go to Utah Wink  

It doesn't take long to convert paper gold/silver to fiat..  Its functionally the same as currency.
789  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: May 22, 2012, 10:37:13 PM
In order for any of that to happen you really must have a banking system set up to serve a functioning economy with the use of the metal. Which is where Utah has thus far fallen short, which will relegate the use of PM's there to the role of a novelty.

there is no way today's modern economy or banking system could function with a gold standard.  you couldn't move the metal fast enough. 

centralizing it at the LBMA or Comex introduces all sorts of accounting problems.  once you have a fiat representation of the metal the very function of the gold reserve can be manipulated.

That's right. Heavy metal is still heavy. Unless you control it physically (either in your pocket or in a vault) you can not be assured that what you are transferring is fully backed by the metal, i.e. the metal itself. Practical, daily movements will require the addition of an abstraction layer and that will be vulnerable to fractionalization. The direct transfer of value in the form of the metal itself will always be relegated to a backwater of economic functionality.

So long as there is a mechanism to take delivery expeditiously at the stated rates of exchange, then its not fractionalized.  

Fractionalization depends on the notion that everyone won't do that, and they won't unless there is a run, and there wouldn't be a run if everyone is assured that the full value of their currency in the form of the metal is at hand... It is still a house of cards that is dependent on the assurance by an external authority that things are operating as they should.

Good point, but a prudent person could just function completely with physical under such a system (pre '33 for example) and be assured that things are operating as they should for them personally.  So long as a decent chunk of the people did this, the system would be authentic.  
790  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: May 22, 2012, 10:33:15 PM
that is best handled by a modernized gold ratio system integrated with the fiat system.

Uh isn't that what we already have?? lol

the ratio is like the spot price yo... (+~3% if you want to take delivery)
791  Other / Meta / Re: Unjust scammer tag on: May 22, 2012, 10:30:28 PM


If I end up being a scammer, I'll buy bulanula's debt and pester myself till I pay.



LOL.
792  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: May 22, 2012, 10:27:25 PM

I dis-agree.  In a reasonably tight 'one world' solution a lot of the problems the EURO has (or pretends to have) would vanish.
let me give you several reasons why there will never be a one world currency:

Just because you don't think gold is not a world currency doesn't mean it's not.

Word. 
793  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: May 22, 2012, 10:26:07 PM
In order for any of that to happen you really must have a banking system set up to serve a functioning economy with the use of the metal. Which is where Utah has thus far fallen short, which will relegate the use of PM's there to the role of a novelty.

there is no way today's modern economy or banking system could function with a gold standard.  you couldn't move the metal fast enough. 

centralizing it at the LBMA or Comex introduces all sorts of accounting problems.  once you have a fiat representation of the metal the very function of the gold reserve can be manipulated.

That's right. Heavy metal is still heavy. Unless you control it physically (either in your pocket or in a vault) you can not be assured that what you are transferring is fully backed by the metal, i.e. the metal itself. Practical, daily movements will require the addition of an abstraction layer and that will be vulnerable to fractionalization. The direct transfer of value in the form of the metal itself will always be relegated to a backwater of economic functionality.

So long as there is a mechanism to take delivery expeditiously at the stated rates of exchange, then its not fractionalized.  
794  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: May 22, 2012, 10:07:50 PM
If fiat isn't abandoned, and the gold to fiat ratio is floating and not set by the gubament, then its no different then the system we have now Wink

It's done for the Euro - marked to market daily. The ratio of the Euro to gold is monitored, and additional supply is supposed to be created to maintain a steady ratio to gold. At least, that's the idea. In practice, USD inflation has threatened international price stability, so the dollar has to be taken out of the picture before gold can be used as a basis - a floating ratio range tied to gold as the foundation.

If the Euro fails, the US dollar almost certainly will also, and vice versa. Next step: SDRs based on the same principle of a gold ratio.

My concern remains management. Bitcoin has no direct management, whereas the Euro and all other fiat currencies do (although the Somali shilling is an interesting case).

Uh ok..  So how does this mean that gold will be somehow adopted into the current system in some way that silver won't that leads to 100 to 1 silver to gold ratio??  

I don't get it.

I still fail to see how silver to gold ratio is going to 100 to 1.  When the fundamental ratio is 10 to 1.  and its trading at 50 to 1..  Again I'm betting it will move towards 10 to 1, not towards 100 to 1.

Nothing you have said has convinced me that its going to 100 to 1...

795  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: May 22, 2012, 09:47:50 PM
This is a good point, assuming that the Federal government would ever give up fiat...  (roflmao)  

The US treasury does actually have silver reserves, however they are very small compared to gold.

Fiat doesn't have to be abandoned. Gold now acts best as a reserve for balance of payment transactions rather than a common transactional medium. Paper still has plenty of use for transactional purposes so long as its value remains stable during the period in which the transaction occurs, so instantaneous, days, months... months/years and longer is the point where gold would be a reserve for savings instead of fiat.

If fiat isn't abandoned, and the gold to fiat ratio is floating and not set by the gubament, then its no different then the system we have now Wink
796  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: PirateAt40's Money Laundering Operations: GPUMAX and BST on: May 22, 2012, 09:33:02 PM
Sorry for misunderstanding the time. Yes per week is hgh My accounts have always been calculated daily and paid monthly I assumed his where calculated weekly and paid weekly. But unless otherwise noted interest is calculated per year. I saw no notation to the contrary. So I assumed people knew that interest is normally expressed as an Annual Percentage Rate. And payday loans can get quite high and still be legal since it isn't interest charged but fees. Again By all means express the incredible amount that he pays sure but do it in a more normal context.
FYI it looks to be 4132% Now is that likely an issue Sure. Is that the same as an APR of 7% NO.
So to get this cleared up in my head if you have 10 BTC in the bank you would in 1 week have 10.7?

yup 7% per week.
797  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: May 22, 2012, 09:21:25 PM
I just think it's more likely that the metal which is under official control will be monetized first because the state is loathe to give up control and will only do so where it sees some semblance of control can be maintained. With existing reserves of gold, a measure of control is possible - with no reserves of silver, control is uncertain. Hence, official acknowledgement will probably not be as forthcoming for silver.

This is a good point, assuming that the Federal government would ever give up fiat...  (roflmao)  

The US treasury does actually have silver reserves, however they are very small compared to gold.


798  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: May 22, 2012, 08:55:20 PM

Utah passed a bill to accept.. wait for it gold AND SILVER...  as legal currency..   Not just gold, as you argue is how it will be done in the future.. It's just silly to assume that only gold will be used Wink

Only, without an actual banking system to accommodate all the day-to-day things that have to happen with PM's as currency it will remain little more than a curious historical footnote, with no real effect on the way the economy of Utah operates...

of course.  But gold and silver are like peas and carrots.. Where one goes so does the other.  Even the Utah legislature managed to not fuck it up Smiley
799  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: May 22, 2012, 08:45:23 PM
I disagree with your 20 x undervalued example.  I think gold is undervalued, but not by 20 to 1 Wink.

It was just an example. I don't think it's 20:1 either. It's most likely between 25-50:1 Smiley

Silver has historically always had a monetary function as well.  I don't see the ratio ever hitting 100 to 1, considering the mining ratio is 10 to 1, not gonna happen..  As far as extra storage costs, thats minuscule compared to the value of the PM..  to say that someone wouldn't take payment in silver over gold because it will cost 0.013 percent instead of 0.01% (for gold) (monthy rates) for storage is silly Wink.  Again the way I see it silver is undervalued and a major change in the ratio will be towards the fundamentals. 

If gold becomes offically accepted in a currency capacity, silver will also..  After all, silver (last circulated in 1964) was still used as an official currency in the US for 30 years after they took the gold away (in 1933)..

One could argue that silver is more of an official currency then gold is Wink

It has, and it will retain that aspect. I expect Mexico and certain other regions that are richer in silver than gold to support silver more readily, at least domestically. Western nations are another story.

Private parties can make use of gold or silver for exchange right now. A main barrier is convenience - it's easier to exchange dollars, Euros, or whatever other medium is more convenient. This applies mostly to western nations. Use as a transactional medium isn't the issue; use as a means of saving is.

If metal is going to sit for a long time, 10x or more in storage costs is not reasonable. Consider the amount of storage expansion that would be necessary to house official reserves. Can you imagine how much bigger Ft. Knox or West Point would have to be to accommodate 10x the physical material? Even a 50:50 mix of gold:silver reserves would require facilities 25x the size. Space is the premium even over cost, not to mention rapidly escalating security measures that rise with the area involved.

There is nothing that guarantees a bi-metal stance. Only real market forces, which cannot be ignored, but can be delayed. Eventually, silver may surpass gold in reserves. Even platinum or rhodium may come to be used more readily.

The difference is incentive. Imagine this scenario: Facebook decides that it will only release an app for iPhone and announces this. With hundreds of millions of users, how many people will take into consideration availability of the FB app for their next phone purchase? It will assuredly not be an insignificant number.

Now imagine that I control the supply of diamonds, a la De Beers. Western governments announce that diamonds and fiat currencies may be used for transactions, and anything else will be penalized, with rewards paid for reporting unauthorized forms of payment. How many sheeple will use anything other than diamonds and fiat?

Replace diamonds with silver. How many people will use gold? Now reverse the two. How many people will use silver? The incentive structure favors one over the other, and the social herd will avoid pain to seek the path of least resistance so they can continue to eat, breed, and avoid introspection. It's a very well-examined, emergent psychosocial pattern. It's been analyzed, modeled, tested, and manipulated. It'll always be limited by fundamental factors in the end, but it can go against them until exhausted. Don't fight the flow.

Again your making an assumption that silver wouldn't be used as an official currency.  It always has been historically, no reason for it not to be in the future, your argument that storage is too much is just silly, its a drop in the bucket 1/10000th of the value of the metal, silver was stored as a store of value for the last few thousand years, what exactly has changed?? 

Utah passed a bill to accept.. wait for it gold AND SILVER...  as legal currency..   Not just gold, as you argue is how it will be done in the future.. It's just silly to assume that only gold will be used Wink
800  Economy / Speculation / Re: Who else is bored? on: May 22, 2012, 08:19:54 PM
And I see Gox's command of the market has eroded slightly...

how so?

At one time they had a market share of over 80%.

It is currently 67%.

bout damn time.
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