Its been bull season the entire year depending how you measure it.  We ended the bear season so by definition its back from there on ?   Been not so clearly true but the water doesnt have to be crystal to still know which way we flowing I think 2023 has been positive even before now.     The big rise recently is still not breaking out especially its just more positive in contrast to the lower 20's we were out.
   To call an actual trend we need a series continuing on the daily and weekly bars, multiple months and ideally we went all the moving averages with us.  The biggest clue might be that most of the moving averages are in the right place for a rise to be possible in a continued way, not just the usual burst up and pullback we've been watching on repeat for 6 months.

I thought Pence would have had more success or able to accumulate votes as Trump became mired in court business rather then pulling in votes.    Sadly not the entire party seems to be consumed with either Trump or personality politics which Pence did not have a large amount of in prospect apparently.
  For the moment I dont see a great opponent to Trump from within his own party and that probably means the republican's win overall is not competitive enough to garner mainstream votes and win but thats too early to call.   Im not inspired to think an outside bet will come through at present.

Its not that the gold mined is excessive its just that it can be expanded mechanically and has seen improvements from technology.   Demand will raise the mining resources from a higher price point justifying gold in higher cost mines.  BTC doesn't respond to a higher price in that way, it would do if it were left unguided but the difficulty adjusts to stop that occurring mostly.  That makes it alot different but gold price will still go up as supply is outmatched by demand probably, a new mine can take 10 years to find and establish.


Blackrock isnt fractional holding like a bank would vary its allocation as they feel like.  I dont believe Blackrock has themselves the ability to alter or leverage these holdings referred to, their discretionary judgement will be quite small.  We arent going to see 9tn come this way unless every person who deposited elected to have Blackrock switch over to BTC on their behalf by their own orders, the vast majority of people wont do this in 2023 or maybe ever and a new ETF doesnt especially alter that.

What can happen is some attempt to pin the price where it makes sense for people with alot of options to try and buy or sell in the market to make an option or trade setup expire in the money.   Happens with all commodities traded, someone was saying Gold was pinned to $1900 and hence became bullish but with the same idea that this was only a short term trade due to speculators wanting to make that profit for that deadline.   
  Im sure there is a entry explaining this somewhere better then I can, this might be better: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pinningthestrike.asp

I always rate the longer term dynamics over trade dynamics, sometimes there is a confluence of factors and both run together with traders backing a trend that was set to occur anyway.  Gold was never really that negative imo, similarly BTC its already slayed its demons with lower prices less likely after being already dealt with but thats just my take.

You can block sites and types of sites on multiple levels.   The router and ISP can block sites, you can operate a pi running a block also and then the pc itself can be used to block sites.
  All of that is for casual use, maybe adverts perhaps though most places do classify gambling as an adult type advert and you should be able to opt out of receiving.  That'd leave junk mail, filter using gmail and there are professional filter services possible.  Ultimately for the larger objective it would be mostly down to yourself and any real world help you can get is probably a good idea to remove the underlying reasons for gambling when you dont even really want to at this point.
   Addiction therapy is well recognized as a professional service, my take is that you need to actively move in a different direction. Literally go for a serious hike to wear yourself out etc. work more hours might even be useful to reacquire some of the money lost, set yourself objectives in those positive tasks.

Really depends on the battery chemistry, how its acquired and made also.  The main thing is technology is advancing this whole avenue of power, we have the possibility to use more natural elements and more easily recycled.   If it weren't for progress the battery and solar power route would not be viable anyway, its come so far it doesnt make too much sense to believe we cannot also continue to advance and see even greater gains.
  We should have a variety of routes in future not just one path, it will still be the case both gas and oil have unique properties that are useful and will be used for another century.  My take on why that is again history, coal was surpassed a century ago its not near to the best since then however it has its uses.

This is good advice but some people will always have some drink while playing because its a game of leisure which is fair but dont overcommit money if playing in that way.  Point is knowing when to reduce size, if you stick to the budget side of things it shouldnt go too badly on any particular day.  Live to fight another day, learning is advancement and improvement hopefully even if you do lose on any particular gambit 

Thats a positive because getting to your stash and selling out early would be quite pointless and damaging, some people got really bad self control on spending every single penny  so a lock you  cant undo is a positive to some I think plus you get paid for doing it.
  We literally had this discussion on this thread 2020 March the BTC price plunging and you know it went up way more later but in that moment looked dire, crypto prices are a rollercoaster fairly easy to say.

Its hard to state but also true a price is not an absolute truth.  Price is not value its a tag that matches the market demand supply today.    Easiest way to put that maybe is substitute this virtual price for your supermarket selling your favorite coke or beer or something the price varies, circumstances, location, time etc. whatever factor can alter a price mostly time I think but the actual product has not altered hence I argue value is separate from price.
  Not sure anyone cares particularly but a lock stops yourself being dragged around on a leash by factors you cant control

I can only see the point in selling if you are not using them which was never my idea personally thats speculative.    Its typical that fast gains in BTC will put pressure on the prices of anything measured in that unit which would include this too.   BTC very often drifts for some time also which gives time for prices elsewhere and the background to crypto to develop and thats when I'd prefer to judge.
   Im not sure the token dollar price has suffered similarly, it seems that price is mostly the same maybe up slightly.   Its not been good performance especially and I think its still developing selling now is jumping the gun, I dont intent to react and sell now because I think that only gains me more BTC and I lose benefits I use everyday.
  BTC price for this month by the way I believe is quite possibly pulling back a bit to 32k area and a weekly average there, still bullish just not Mack truck momentum.  Fits my more modest bets so I might be ok this time depends on the time factor pay.

I keep a couple back now till I think the price is grounded and can rise a bit.  I didnt retain many till as I thought the price could rise so no purpose to holding during that time.   Ideally buy spins on the way down but not been confident of that, trend has been up.

End of month will see us pull back to weekly average or about 32k I think.   Reasoning being we have an over extended flag formation, it could be bullish if it were compact and we were to continue upwards from here.   To briefly make formation at the top of a rise or flag pole then continue upwards, that very strong performance.  However we drift a little too much, people want to take some profit and hence price goes a little lower.
  More boring but the price action confirming 32k as a low remains quite bullish just not quite so fast in the gains as it powered us recently.

I thought Norway had a national wealth fund rather then a national debt but perhaps they have both.   Apparently they have invested 70k for every citizen where as USA just has the debt of owing 70k per citizen though for sure every country has assets in its favor and USA has great commodity wealth. I think the country will be fine but the currency will not, you can see how much the interest payment already rose and there is no benefit returned unlike various spending programs which form part of the GDP.

Before that it was GBP also very special case as an empire easily the worlds reserve currency, highly held in reserve and it failed over some decades to keep that value and we moved on to the next special case.   USA was 50% of the worlds trade when it became the reserve, nobody can take over in that fashion so I dont know who'd be the reserve next.

Asking for a full prediction would be industrial usage and they probably dont want people to do that even if it could be done with zero further work required.  I bet its possible but we'd have to guess on the accuracy of it all, perhaps that does not even matter so long as the machine can self examine the results and reasoning to then improve future bets.    I dont reckon AI is quite that good in terms of self improvement.
  Easiest way to get an answer from AI is ask for a story but then it might just say anything.

35 k is sideways and 50k is up.  Both are there but I would like you to pick which you expect more.

50k is +47% increase over todays price so thats an aspirational estimate & would be the first option vote imo.   Its not sideways and its not down so thats my logic that just one of those three directions is enough for a very rough sentiment poll.     If we get 50k year end and 70k for new ATH in Jan it'd still be in before the Chinese new year, Im not going to exclude that scenario.  Hopefully you get this isnt precise, 50k is up alot so vote up.   Im sure I can find a wiki for why polling often biases results seen.

  None of us truly know what happens next, its all a degree of probability and confidence levels on those estimates.  I made it simple like a fence dividing a flock, less choices adds clarity & it makes the poll result clearer.  Simple up down, stay is all I think a few months deserves but I'll enter in any poll option if you request  presuming thats possible to do.
  ATH or more is quite possible, Im going off what we did in 2017 and I didnt expect but way back at start of 2017 I knew the market was likely to be positive from how it was acting with its most negative prices of that year but to boil over and hit such a high level of froth was a surprise to everyone.

  20x price lows in 2023  if we were to repeat BTC history would mean $331,000 by year end;  I really dont think so but Im not going to say never either.   I believe extremes will always be possible with BTC as supply is not expandable the contrast to dollar is wider then the grand canyon hence the price dynamics, pressure builds fast with demand.  Whats driving demand now I dont know.  Equally if someone wants to say 10k I would write it in, I'd like to know why also.

The OP argument and reasoning best applies to lotteries especially the really large ones.    I have no other way to win those giant prizes, even a multibet I dont expect to win and I doubt I would get to the same reward as a lottery gives.  If we examine the profit, risk and profitability on either bet I reckon still the sports multibet is the smarter choice but also its alot more involved and lottery tickets all I have to do is put down small cash and big hopes.  I'll never win the lottery but someone has to and every person can dream hence the product is probably far more profitable then alot of other betting offered.

We dont have a great deal of time left in 2023 but speed can pick up & BTC tends to run in these last few months.  Even main markets can sometimes spark into something around the December or winter months, maybe its because of holidays that movement is more notable to occur then over the summer where for centuries a noted drift has been fable.   My theory is the shorter days alter peoples habit and mood to trading even while BTC is global its altered by dollar monetary flows.

  Any answer you feel like is correct.  Im not asking for a precise prediction just mostly a thumbs up or down, its purely the idea that peoples feeling alter and sometimes market effects are ironic; its worth noting how bullish the crowd is.


7 day poll & you may alter your vote later.  If you can come up with a better poll option I'll add it on just for you 

BTC has a positive trend on many time frames, you can tell when we start to have multiple alignments across time frames because we get positive action and spikes like has been occuring recently.  The simpliest way to view general positivity or not is the moving averages.  Both 200 day and 200 week are positive, it doesnt mean we cannot sell off but the general trend is towards accumulation or positive price ascent on the chart, we are still challenged in 2023 imo;  Im not expecting take off just yet but repeatedly we had demonstration of positive BTC.

Yea the reward changing on freeroll is often my first notice, something big is happening and its been changing alot    This is the dream scenario that only rarely happens in end of month bet, that is the largest movement of the entire month comes after the lock meaning possible high multiple reward occurs for the few deluded enough to dream of BTC moon landing lol
   Can we clear 35k now thats really the higher target and few thought that, I failed to guess that high I thought slower but its a break of resistance so there we are.  37222 ceiling target possible, closing lows of last years spring before we began trawling the depths.   Normally 1 week left I expect profit taking and/or confirm break of res about 29k but up more can surprise.   Volume needs to be higher again just an estimate.

I like that chart but if we take the lows as more reliable gauge then the peaks in prices and both a mirror of each other then we can still pullback to 28k and be within that bullish trend.
  Cramer saying yay or nay is not much, he is mostly just warning his audience not to get carried away and maybe he should be talking about allocation rather then absolute calls for or against.
  Lets pretend a universe where Cramer could be right and still within the boundaries of true to the trend.  We might lose 10% say, that would fit the narrative of a pullback that confirms the break as per that chart ie. quite a normal thing to happen.  BTC is volatile and people should be ready for that to occur, all of that is a mouthful vs just pressing a sound effect button and saying no.

At this point and with Lebanon having no proper reliable money system for the people, it seems the war story might better favor BTC then oppose it with hard money scenario etc.   Sadly these war stories arent new, I've been watching the wretched civil war in the middle east and locked down Palestine especially for multiple decades now its a broken record repeating and its sad to say that as people die.    Also dollar has its own problems, the deficit the debt ceiling and so on.  BTC rising right now might be quite fair, I dont sense its due a sell because I dont see it has excessive speculative hype and hopes to it especially.
   My worry is that we'd have to look at monthly bars and the volume but this is a trading set back really, it'll rise and pullback.  We can debate how much but a normal sell off and reset just leads to the next question how large is the rise after that, so not really negative.


https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/lebanons-financial-crisis-how-it-happened-2022-01-23/

The low odds for the Trump bet is due to high revenue not that he is winning unless we were to include the Charlie Sheen version of winning in the more infamous definition of the word.

I love the story of the very wild outside bet of a second Obama ticket run being more likely then the better known Clinton run occuring and somehow the odds improved so much its a pay off now ?  Great just shows what makes the money really, that impossible outside which was Trump at one time but imo its vastly overplayed now.
  Trump runs as a legal defense is the story I most recognize, very few people could justify doing that and the cost of running but he can comparatively vs legal fees and the consequences it makes perfect sense so I dont blame the man tbh.

They make so much money and collect that data to sell automatically.  Data mining is more profitable then gold mining I bet, far easier and more lucrative no doubt.