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901  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Are Technical Indicators useless? on: September 12, 2023, 05:17:25 PM
Indicators can increase the probability of making profit in trading, but it deos not 100% guarantee that if a trader use them to trade, that the trader would win. Indicators are just some things to know in trading but strategies is what that is most important.

This. Some people think using technical analysis indicators means that your trades can end up being right with like 80-90% accuracy when done correctly, which is simply ludicrous. In reality, at most, probably a bump up of an extra 5-10% in terms of chances of being right. Doesn't sound that big of a bump, but that extra 5-10% win rate stretched out to hundreds of trades, that number suddenly becomes very relevant.
902  Economy / Speculation / Re: Michael Saylor predicts Bitcoin can go to $5 million? on: September 12, 2023, 04:56:41 PM
Although true, it would still be laughable to compare the Chad Saylor with John McAfee, no? Chad Saylor made one of the largest investments in Bitcoin, and therefore people can't touch him no matter how hard those people laugh at him. John McAfee is a mere snake-oil salesman who used his popularity to shill shitcoins.

Well of course. While McAfee also gave bitcoin and crypto a lot of attention back then despite it being mostly negative attention(still a net win though, I think), Saylor still wins no doubt despite him being crazy af sometimes. He should just stop being some sort of Bitcoin philosopher and he'd be okay in my book lol.
903  Economy / Speculation / Re: Michael Saylor predicts Bitcoin can go to $5 million? on: September 12, 2023, 04:29:38 AM
Is this fake news or does Michael Saylor need to promise that he will eat his dick on national television to get this prediction more attention hehehhee.

If you frequently scream ludicrous things to the public to hopefully get your investment a lot of attention, at some point, people will get tired of your craziness and you'd get a lot less attention as time goes. This is a perfect example of this lol. He might as well say that Bitcoin cures cancer of something that deranged.
904  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Bitcoin mining is winning on: September 12, 2023, 03:30:23 AM
So if the price doesn't pump after halving like it always did, there will be a drop in the hash rate. Small miners will be forced to shut down their business and the Bitcoin network will be unsecured. So bull run is necessary after every halving because we need miners to keep mining bitcoin. They will not continue their mining operation if there isn't enough profits for them from mining. Easy math I guess!

I don't think "unsecured" is the right word — just the fact that Bitcoin can be more susceptible to centralization-related attacks; but not necessarily unsecure. Like, even if Bitcoin mining hashrate cuts down to 1/4th of the current hashrate, Bitcoin would still be hella secure(though significantly less).
905  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: The power of influencials and brand ambassadors, don't fall for it. on: September 12, 2023, 03:19:23 AM
You won't ultimately blame these influencers and celebrities, they may not know if it's a scam project they are advertising or not, with the way it would be designed and presented to them that even with research done you still might not find a fault at that moment cause these scamming project are also good as fvck in covering their track. If the government are not declaring or raise an alarm that these projects as scam projects how will it be that the influencer who's just called to do an ambassadorial advert will know.

We have had had some managers in the forum manage scam projects like casinos, exchanges which at the beginning they never showed any signs of scam. And these managers I supposed must have done their own background study before accepting to manage those kind of projects only for it to turn out to be a scam project running away with users money and even leaving the repute of such Manager at risk.

That's only partly true. Unexpected rugpulls/bankruptcies(e.g. BlockFi) aren't the problem — it's mostly the fact that most influencers hop from shilling one project to another in short timespans just to make money off token pump and dumps. It's just them squeezing as much money as they can from their audiences; literally the shittiest way of making money as an influencer.
906  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: If they have the ability why would they sell? on: September 11, 2023, 04:46:44 PM
My common sense is asking me why will they create such group if they know how to be pro traders already? Like why can't they keep this to themselves and keep making their money? Why are they trying to help and getting subscribers in return? Just my own common sense like I've said.

Because most of them can't actually trade lmao. And even if they end up making bad trades, who cares as they make money off the subscription of people anyway.

And when talking about pump and dumping, yea — they'll just buy certain low-cap tokens and tell their "subscribers" to buy. Then they dump the coins because the coins rose in price due to their subscribers buying.
907  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Swan Bitcoin's custodian acquired by Ripple on: September 11, 2023, 05:39:50 AM
I really dislike this Cory dude because of his painfully bad takes, but I don't think it was Cory's call in this case, because it's their custodian that was acquired, not them.

If Cory really actually think that Ripple is a scam though, they should change custodians soon. If not, this is just Cory being a weasel and just typically trying to stir some shit for publicity.
908  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Bitcoin mining is winning on: September 11, 2023, 03:58:13 AM
Bitcoin miners and data centers don't actually create pollution. They're not the ones causing the problem.

I mean — they technically do, though? But the issue is not the fact that Bitcoin mining creates pollution, but more of the fact that they totally over-exaggerate it as if Bitcoin mining was the main reason; but in fact its effect in the grand scheme of things is minuscule compared to other things.

I'm definitely no environmentalist, but I'm a bit certain that even if Bitcoin wasn't invented a decade ago, our environment would be little to no different.
909  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: The Importance of inviting Newbies to Bitcointalk on: September 11, 2023, 03:47:53 AM
They do not really have to be hardcore members, even those who have a very basic interest in Bitcoin can pick an interest in the forum and build that interest from there.

The retro style can also serve as an appeal to those who are looking for something unique to be a part of.

Sure. But a huge majority of these people would heavily favor modern social media platforms rather than a retro-style forum. I'm pretty sure most of these are even just smartphone users that don't even frequently use desktop/laptop computers. And we all know how painfully bad Bitcointalk can be when used on a mobile phone.

There's a reason why retro-style forums in general(outside of specific niches) have been slowly dying.
910  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Is it possible to bridge BTC onchain to ETH ? on: September 11, 2023, 03:08:01 AM
ThorChain was the de-facto on-chain bridge for BTC <-> ETH, but I'm really not sure how good/bad it's doing right now due to the number of times it got exploited in the past lol. They're still up and running though. If you want to try it out, do smaller amounts first just to be sure.

As for bridges in general though, KuCoin used to be my go-to bridge lol.
911  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: The Importance of inviting Newbies to Bitcointalk on: September 11, 2023, 02:56:30 AM
Ok — how? Knowing how most community apps/platforms right now(Reddit, Twitter, etc) work, it's very unlikely for the typical person to be interested in a 2003-style community forum. The people you can attract to Bitcointalk today are mostly the:

- bounty farmers
- developers/technical people
- the privacy conscious
- people that are actually interested in Bitcoin, hardcore-mode
912  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: [Discussion] Bitcoin Spot ETFs on: September 09, 2023, 02:29:46 AM
I did not meant to say by hurting the decentralization factor of BTC that, there will be some impact (bad one) on the BTC coin or blockchain. While I was talking metaphorically that if people will show more interest towards centralized pegged version of BTC (ETFs) then they will not be getting benefit from the decentralization factor thus they are vulnerable to scams and bankruptcies like the events you mentioned above.

Point is hurting means they are not going to getting benefit thus they will hurt their funds and also hurt the benefits if decentralization. I hope you are catching my words here.

Bitcoin, the protocol, will stay decentralized even if we have a Bitcoin ETF. It's just that a part of the supply will be held in centralized custody. Some people simply aren't interested in the non-custodial aspect of bitcoin; they just want to comfortably hold bitcoin in their brokerage accounts without thinking about how to secure their wallets and stuff.
913  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Exploring Crypto Prediction Tools: Which Ones Have You Tried? on: September 08, 2023, 05:44:23 PM
Here's a tip: Want to promote a bitcoin/crypto/trading-related service? Just create a great announcement post and answer people's inquiries; like, you know — how a trustworthy and reputable service would do it? Trying to fake a post that you somehow "came across" a platform that literally no one but you knows is just going to destroy your platform's reputation.
914  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Circulation review on: September 08, 2023, 05:31:21 PM
Bitcoin getting lost is simply just more frequent for old wallets simply because they were worth crap back then but now are worth a good amount of money. If you hold a good amount of money in bitcoin/crypto and manage to lose the keys, sorry — but it's really just your fault due to carelessness, not the protocol's.

Heck, even gold gets lost. Someone out there probably managed to drop his/her gold ring/earring at sea or something; or probably accidentally flushes it down the toilet, etc.
915  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: DCA'ing isnt a bad strategy on: September 08, 2023, 04:55:45 PM
Dollar-cost averaging was never a "bad" strategy. It's just that people frequently foil their plans when it's the case that the price moves greatly in a certain direction(panic sell or not following the scheduled buys when price drops, or not following the scheduled buys when price increases).

And ultimately, DCAing is a sort of 'boring' strategy, so people tend to get restless.
916  Bitcoin / Wallet software / Re: [WARNING] Infamous Chisel (malware) steals crypto wallets data! on: September 08, 2023, 06:55:47 AM
Well, another reason to avoid mobile crypto wallets. Crypto traders rush to buy Apple smartphones. Smiley After all, they were not struck by this infection, right.

Modern laptops (netbooks) are compact in size, which allows to work with cryptocurrencies almost anywhere in the world and allow to build a safe line of defense on device. Why use mobile phones to interact with cryptocurrencies when doing so is risky? I also think it's reckless.




Simply because of convenience. Mobile wallets aren't necessarily bad despite the risks in the first place. Like, why use your physical pocket wallet knowing that you can risk losing it? Exactly, you use your mobile wallet for smaller amounts of funds so it's easily accessible when on-the-go; if you're fortunate enough to be in a country with bitcoin/crypto-supported payments.
917  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: My Preparations for BTC Halving and bull market on: September 08, 2023, 04:54:59 AM
A lot of times, the markets move in ways we least expect it. Due to a good amount of people that are betting on the halving specifically, I think it probably won't move the way these people are expecting it to.

Either we dump hard, maybe we do a sideways chop, maybe we pump then just end up retracing. Just my guess though.
918  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Opinion Piece. Please share your Opinion on Crypto trading Questions on: September 08, 2023, 01:03:51 AM
1. A person that trades crypto?

2. Other cryptocurrencies, and stocks.

3. Nothing specific. But I trade based on narratives and based on protocol metrics.

4. Exclusively fundamental analysis. Though when I want to buy a coin and it just keeps on dropping, I wait for a small bounce before pouncing in. That's pretty much the only price chart thing I do.

5. DEX aggregators: 1inch, Matcha, etc.

6. Pretty much OTC is the only way to trade without a CEX/DEX/P2P? But no I haven't used OTC.
919  Other / Meta / Re: How can Bitcointalk evolve to adapt to a post 2023 (ChatGPT, etc) internet? on: September 08, 2023, 12:27:37 AM
Will there actually be a time that you will login the forum and understand that the whole forum is taken over by bots chatting and discussing with one another. No emotions and no considerations. It doesn’t matter if the conversations are connected or not, but then there is steady activity going on in the forum. If it gets to this stage what then will happen? Because the purpose of this forum would automatically be defeated.
It's like asking what will happen to Facebook/Twitter if it was just taken over by bots. Why would businesses/companies invest in ads in these platforms if it was all bots?


I think there is a long road for ChatGPT to be a risk for Bitcointalk. Even though it can be expert in generating content. It's still lacks human creativity. It only says what it's trained to say. As a newbie we may not be able to separate which is Ai made & which is Man made. But an old active member will instantly detect that it has been made using AI. I think no matter how much natural they try to make ChatGPT it will always have that artificial touch. As long as there is a human touch there will always be a chance to have human error. Take me for example, I think I made several grammar mistake in this reply. But ChatGPT won't. Maybe in the long long future, but there is no way ChatGPT can replace us now.
Pretty much. ChatGPT being able to blend in to a community such as Bitcointalk is going to take a good amount of time. Or at least I hope, as we might be underestimating how quick ChatGPT can 'learn'.
920  Economy / Speculation / Re: How do you suggest I handle incorrect price predictions? on: September 07, 2023, 11:08:22 PM
Maybe I should stop quarterly prediction and stick with monthly predictions.
That's going to be totally up to you. Not sure why you're too personally affected knowing that predicting prices is very difficult especially in shorter timespans.


Also how do you suggest I handle incorrect price predictions? Anybody been here. How do you handle it?
Like an adult? Take a look on why you're wrong and why the strategy/indicator you used is wrong; and how you can improve it for future "predictions".
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