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1  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sports betting - How to determine if the line is a trap? on: June 06, 2024, 02:15:23 PM
Definitely it's a trap for those who are aggressive in betting without even investigating while the line looks unsual. And honestly, that cashout thing in a casino is not too useful for me, because even if the line does look like it's not gonna hit, it also does not guarantee that we will win, so cashing out with a loss is already a loss.

It doesn't matter if your bet wins or loses, but if you're not confident with your bet, you can use the cashout option from the sportsbook to minimize your loss. Sometimes we make mistakes, and rather than losing it all, it's better to minimize the loss. If we don't cash out, we end up relying on luck instead of our skills in analyzing the game. Even if we win, it doesn't fully satisfy us because only winning through careful analysis is truly gratifying for bettors.

Who agrees with me?

That's another option, and it depends on the gambler's perspective. But for me, I prefer not to put much emotion into my betting and focus on playing with the numbers, if you know what I mean. Mistakes like this don't happen all the time, so it's sometimes okay to let it go and see if it results in a win. At the end of the day, if we want to make betting a long-term activity, we should learn how to manage our bankroll effectively and treat it as important funds that need to last.
2  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2024 NBA Season on: June 06, 2024, 11:03:54 AM
I think if that connection will be executed inside the court then Redick might be the coach LeBron is aiming for, they can create a good system that will bring every one to blend together, imagine your headcoach designing the play and your main man will execute it inside the court for sure it will give them the result that they are aiming, though that's too early to conclude,

Just need to wait and see if how LeBron and Redick will find that chemistry that will bring the whole team to play as one.

Or it would be easier if he just listens to LeBron. That way, he can ensure that his stay with the Lakers will last longer. LeBron gets what he wants. There have been good coaches that he played with before, but if LeBron is not happy with them, things can change quickly. For example, with Coach Spoelstra in Miami, LeBron couldn't fire him, so he left Miami and went back to Cleveland. Remember David Blatt? LeBron got him fired and he was replaced by Tyronn Lue.
3  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sports betting - How to determine if the line is a trap? on: June 06, 2024, 10:16:58 AM
Whenever I’m sports betting and the line looks off to me I usually start researching why that is. Most of the time it’s a star player out with an illness or family emergency, etc. I’ve been guilty in the past of just taking the bet and thinking I got a deal only to find out later that I didn’t know something. So if something looks off, find out why.

I’m a victim of this many time when betting prematch in advance. Casino suddenly increased/decreased odds on the day match begins. This happened frequently on NBA since some team delay the announcement of injury report because they are maximizing time to check before the player can still play or not.
To prevent ourselves on making mistake, we should not bet early, wait maybe 15 minutes before the game as the line will not likely move anymore. Research on the injury reports or rumors is easy nowadays, but we have to confirm it before placing a bet.

But this kind of betting offer is not a trap imho. It’s just look like a trap if a bettor is like us that is lazy to check and just looking on the odds offer by the sportsbook.

We are lucky that cashout was already introduced now because in old days, bet hedging is the only option.

Definitely it's a trap for those who are aggressive in betting without even investigating while the line looks unsual. And honestly, that cashout thing in a casino is not too useful for me, because even if the line does look like it's not gonna hit, it also does not guarantee that we will win, so cashing out with a loss is already a loss.
4  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2024 NBA Season on: June 05, 2024, 12:46:17 PM
I’m seeing news reports that the Lakers are finalizing a deal to make JJ Redick their new head coach. This will make people crazy as LeBron already has a podcast with him. With LeBron getting the coach he wanted, you have to start thinking that maybe he’ll get them to draft Bronny too. Next season will be another drama filled one for the Lakers. Anthony Davis trade to Chicago? Talks happening there too…

That's a strange decision by the Lakers management. In fact, they fired one inexperienced head coach and plan to hire a rookie head coach who is even more inexperienced. If this is LeBron's initiative, then yes, we can expect Bronny to sign with the Lakers as well. Probably, the Lakers management is doing this just to keep LeBron on the team for at least one more season.

Yeah, it was also a surprised that they are going to get JJ Reddick as a coach as I think he doesn't have the experienced to head a team like the Lakers with superstars like Lebron James and Davis. So this could be another mistake for them, like getting Ham as a coach and then he didn't get the respect of the players.

So let's see though how Reddick will do, I guess him being a loud mouth and being in the social media platform really paid dividends for him. Although if the management didn't get what they wanted from him, I wouldn't be surprised that he will be out as well.

This is probably the last season of Lebron with the Lakers if they'll not get in the NBA Finals again. Of course, Davis is very vital, although there's a rumor about him getting traded, I think that will not happen as long as Lebron will allow it. The lakers now is being dictated by Lebron, they don't want to loss him so they'll give everything they have just to make him stay.

JJ Redick coaching a controvertial team, this is certainly challenging for him but let's give him a chance, not because he does not have an experience we can expect he'll fail. I'm sure the management have considered a lot of factors before making their decision to hire him.
5  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Devin Haney vs Ryan Garcia on April 20 on: June 05, 2024, 08:26:21 AM
Half of the topic we were discussing the pre fight drama and chances of one guy to beat another, other half of the topic we are discussing post fight drama about Ryan being unclean. When in the end, everyone will remember how Ryan sent Haney on his butt with his left punch. When will Haney stop crying and accept his defeat? Who cares if Garcia missed weight and wasnt clean, Haney is a professional and prodigy boxer, not just an amateur. If Haney is really that good, he should beat two Garcias at once, one handed with eyes closed. But in the end Garcia outstriked him and knocked down three times.

They might put a asterisk on that kind of victory though, just like when Margarito was caught with plaster of paris in this fight fight with Cotto. And during that first fight, we all mock Miguel for taking a knee and can't even hurt Antonio.

But when he was caught in the next fight against Shane Mosley, it was a different Margarito and then Cotto takes a revenge win. So there is this argument as well against Ryan, but the Ostarine issue will be very different unless they have a rematch and see if he is clean and not over the weight limit, he can still beat this version of Devin Haney. And maybe it will break that stigma against him.

Ryan should be punished accordingly once everything is clear. However, I agree with you that Haney should give Ryan a rematch, as it's very important for Haney to restore his reputation. If Ryan still wins after all the tests before the fight, it would prove that Ryan is the better fighter, but he should not be exempt from the punishment for his violation on the first fight.
6  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Deontay Wilder Vs Zhilei Zhang JUNE 1 Heavyweight on: June 05, 2024, 07:51:27 AM
He needs a psychologist to help him accept his defeat and retire happily because he cannot go back to boxing and still expect to win.
If he retires like this without a psychologist, he will most likely end up with a very serious depression that may make him turn to chronic illicit drug use or develop some other habits because of his refusal to accept his present situation that he is not as fast and strong as he used to be.
I wanted him to win too, but these things happen in boxing and every other sport, and the longer it takes him to accept this, the bigger the mental problems for him.
That's too much fall for him from the very top. He was a champion and now he is just an ordinary boxer getting defeated by a non popular boxer. It's up to him if he really wanted to heal from what he is feeling now because money is not a problem for him, so he can hire a professional to help him move on and live a wonderful life after retirement.
7  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Failed crypto project will promote bitcoin more on: June 04, 2024, 09:53:54 PM
This makes sense!
I can relate to this also because I remember before I was really lured to altcoins. Even I started with Bitcoin, like some of my Bitcoins before were converted to altcoins and I lost so much, after that I learned the lesson and started to hold and focus more on Bitcoin instead of altcoins.
Everyone can relate to this especially those who have been here for quite a long time. Yes, altcoins were highly profitable way back then but with the emergence of unreliable and scam projects, people slowly turn their backs and leave altcoins. That’s when they realized that bitcoin is the real gem in the market. That’s why it’s not surprising why a lot have been investing into bitcoin right now, because they have found in bitcoin what altcoins do not have, that made them stick to it.
8  Economy / Economics / Re: How to improve your condition? on: June 04, 2024, 08:59:05 PM
To improve on ones condition is very easy to achieve, we need to have the mind of erasing old things mentality from our way of life and think fast and right, use different approach of doing things and make changes on every areas necessary for us to implement something new, once we are bale to make all these, we are going to always see improvements in things we do and from how we do them since have have adopt the pattern of change in what we do as well.  

From what you say, it seems like everything is easy, but I want to ask you, have you successfully improved your condition? Or are you also facing difficulties in daily life but give advice to others and saying that it is easy to overcome? As HONDACD125 said above, giving advice is easy but doing it yourself is very difficult. Everyone has their own difficulties, different circumstances, no one is the same, you can't give random advice when you don't know what challenges they are facing?

Do you know where OP comes from, how many people are in his family, and his current level of education and health...? We don't have any information about those things, we shouldn't indiscriminately give them solutions and say it's easy.
I cannot tell really that improving one’s condition is just that easy, otherwise we will be witnessing all the people rush into life’s improvements. And there won’t be left anymore combatting their hardships caused by poverty just to survive in life.

Instead, I can totally say that setting yourself to gain improvements is such a challenge. Yes, it’s not easy and there will be struggles that will continue to bother you, but if you have the clear goals to achieve and you have set high motivation to make it happen, then I don’t think seeing improvement in one’s life is still impossible in the long run.
9  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Crypto investment is exhausting for some ? on: June 04, 2024, 07:59:25 PM
Crypto can be exhausting to those who put their hopes on crypto for their financial breakthrough and steady income. Not for those who don't put their hope on crypto as a means to be financially free or have a steady income through her.

Those who have the stated mindset of "being financially free and steady income" are the ones to be feeling exhausted to keep hodling onto their crypto assets for how long before they can achieve the main reason why they chose crypto investment in the first place.

So many newbies have entered into the crypto space for the wrong reasons. They perceived crypto as a get-rich scheme. Once they are not getting what they have presumed, they begin to feel discouraged and ask for how long will they continue to hodl their crypto assets.
If they are here to get rich quick, definitely it will be exhausting for them most especially that crypto market is certainly unpredictable. The more they put their hopes up, the more the market becomes more challenging. However, if you are here to learn and earn as a bonus, and you are simply enjoying hodling with your coins in a long term without hustling to get an income, then you will never feel exhausted but more on seeing crypto investment being calm as it slowly give you unexpected profits while hodling for long term.
10  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2024 NBA Season on: June 04, 2024, 05:23:19 AM
Well, you can say that, and in every 10 people that you will ask who's in favor in this match-up, I would say 8 out of 10 would say Boston as well. I mean they are one of the favorites to win the title even before the start of the regular season, so no surprise that you're saying it.

I predicted the Mavericks will win this series not because I hate with the Celtics, or they're weaker, but they are lacking in one thing and that's crucial. What's that? They don't have a clutch player that can step up in close games. Tatum can't do that, so as Brown. The Celtics are winning by an average of 10 PPG in this year's playoffs. They are winning through total domination and in close games. They are having a hard time finding who can make the last shot. For the Mavericks, they have 2 clutch player that you can rely on if needed. The question is, how will they stop Luka and Kyrie, or at least make them less efficient in the whole series.

Odds are clearly in Boston obviously, but it's also the same thing when Dallas fought the Timberwolves. All eyes are on the Wolves at that time, and many already predicted that they will win, but what happened. I know that Boston isn't Minnesota, and Boston are stronger and more experienced, but I believe that the Mavericks will at least give them a hard time to win series that's for sure.

The Celtics are winning not only because of dominance but also because of luck. At least they were lucky enough to have their opponents' key players out due to injuries in the previous rounds. As for whether the Celtics can stop Kyrie and Luka, it's worth noting that they were able to do so with some success during the regular season. Just to remind you, the last game between these two teams ended with the Celtics winning by 28 points.

We will never forget that but this is the NBA Finals, it's adjustments throughout the series that we are going to witness. I think Dallas just have enough confidence to play the Celtics at a high level, forget about that regular season as its still cost one game per loss, regardless on how big the margin of win from the Celtics. What I'm thankful for these two is that they are all healthy, so as a fan, we are gonna see a very interesting match up.
11  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Don't you think you should invest in Bitcoin instead of burning your money in fire on: June 03, 2024, 09:57:15 PM
I have one regret because I have been through this cycle. I know and also know my community who is doing what how. I don't know if there are such members in this forum, but maybe there are many who have grown up or are in this cycle, to them I would like to tell them to quit smoking and start saving money and invest in Bitcoin and ensure a bright future.
It is common to assume that the money we spend on items like cigarettes, alcohol, and other unnecessary things is insignificant. But when we gather the money we carelessly spend for a long time, it can be enough to invest in a profitable venture. So I support op that smokers can quit and keep the money aside which can help them to put it into an investment. I support his stance wholeheartedly because smoking has no nutritional benefits and has severe health consequences. So quitting will be good for our finances and health. If some people calculate how much they have spent on cigarettes for twenty years, they would have been millionaires if they had bought and held Bitcoin for a long time.  
Well, people who are addicted to any vices won't realize that until they run out of money and have nothing to run anymore to sustain their vices, or their health are already in bad condition, that's when they realize that what they're doing is bad for them. For now, since they are totally dependent to their parents, they will continue to smoke and waste their allowance, but maybe once they have their own family, they will realize that it's better to save up for money so they can invest into something that has potentials wherein their kids will benefit in the future.
12  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: How to be ready when it comes to selling? on: June 03, 2024, 04:17:37 PM
I currently have 75% of my crypto on cold storage and 25% on exchange and yesterday I was thinking about when it comes to selling.

I am not thinking of selling anything just yet but maybe will start in a few months once the halving is here and the market starts to really move.
(...)
This is the most difficult part to do especially if you investing in crypto.
Before you do anything, you must already have a plan, for example in selling - are you going to take profits? If yes and you are having difficult deciding, just always remember "there is nothing wrong when taking profits".

Next is selling to take profits from cold storage - how about if you plan for example if Bitcoin price reach to x price, you will sell? then that's the time you move out your funds out of your cold storage.
When you invest, always make sure to have a clear plan first and set a goal price when to buy and when to sell. There won’t be any problem anymore if you will just stick to it, but if you have change of plans along the way, then make sure to weigh things first, and as long as you won’t put yourself at the losing end, then that would be very fine.

You will know when you are ready to sell when you’re already satisfied with the profits, but if you are quite sure that better prices are still coming, then there’s no wrong if you continue to hold and just delay your taking of profits. At the end of the day, just don’t forget to take profits as it’s the main reason why you are here investing in the market.
13  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: I can easily find 3 odds games on casinos but hard to find on sport on: May 31, 2024, 01:15:57 PM
For example, if I have won like $3 that day, I may just prefer to gamble with just $0.01 if I want to continue playing.
With this amount, I can say you are far from getting addicted in gambling. Honestly, I would not experience the fun if I would just gamble for $0.01, and I don't think there's a casino that would accept this kind of bet as it's very low.

I thought before that sport is better because I can analyze market but I did not know that I was deceiving myself with the analyses.
This one is purely based on our preference, you don't love sports betting but it's actually the most popular form of sport IMO where gamblers can bet on diferent sports. But saying popular, I mean the amount of bets going to sports compared to other type of games.
14  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2024 NBA Season on: May 31, 2024, 12:11:33 PM
Both Irving and Doncic played very well and managed to put an end to this series. I didn't think Edwards and his friends could last too long, I think it happened as we expected and Dallas Mavericks won the conference final.
I like the basketball they play very much. When they win the match, the whole team has a share in this victory. They win not just because 1-2 players play well, but because they play well as a team Smiley
It's not all about Luka now, before Irving was traded, it was all Luka that has been carrying the team and they are already a good team. Now, it's Luka + Irving and some good role players. They have improve their game as they are good on both inside and outside, and plus those alley op plays is hard to stop that even the best defensive player in the NBA this season can't do anything about that.

The starting 5 of Dallas and its bench are very dangerous, you can see the kind of chemistry they have, if one is struggling, the other will step up. Just like the OKC series, PJ Washington had great numbers, and in this series, Lively and Gafford and Jones Jr, how can you stop that?
15  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Boxing]: Errol Spence vs Sebastian Fundora - Oct on: May 31, 2024, 09:54:22 AM
There is still a risk though, what if Fundora beat him? he might consider retiring already.  As for Tszyu, very bad news, Bitter blow for Aussie boxing star Tim Tszyu as doctor orders next fight be scrapped.
I think that's alright, Tim Tszyu doesn't have to rush things just to come back at the winning path, his health is still the most important concern as that 1 loss of his career is not yet a carreer ending one. he'll rest but stay condition, so once he is already given a signal, he can still be at his 100%.

So everything is up to Spence now, he was given this opportunity to fight for a world title and hopefully he won't waste it so that we can still the rematch between him and Crawford at 54 when they are champions, I think that is the plan.
That's a good plan, at least a win here will make him a chamption and if Crawford will become a champion in his division as well, they can also have a rematch, at least one chance for Spence to proved himself, but if he wins, then we will be seeing one of the biggest fight as the hype of these two will be back again, and it will be 50/50, just like the first fight between the two.
16  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: A list of lucky casinos in crypto on: May 31, 2024, 09:25:39 AM
I'd rather look for a reputable casino to ensure that they are not cheating its gamblers than looking for a lucky casino. Luck isn't consistent, not because you are lucky at first try you'll be lucky the next, and please always be on the right side, i mean make sure you don't go with your feelings when gambling, instead,  make sure you know how to manage the risk as gambling in most games is just based on luck.

I played a lot of casinos, I got lucky at the beginning but I could not deny that I still  lose in the long run, so I can't recommend any of the "lucky casino" as in reality they don't exist.
17  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Greed can cause a lost bet, (true or false) on: May 30, 2024, 02:45:48 PM
I have similar experience last night, I would've win a bet yesterday on Msport but because of greed I lost the bet, yesterday I selected 4 games and that was like 4 point something odds so I decided to make it 5 or 6 odds by adding one more, low and behold the last game I added was the same game that cut my ticket last night. The first 4 games that I selected played well but that last one spoiled my night so this time around anytime I have selected games to play and I found out that the last one is giving me double thought I will remove it fast cause this last game has not being fair on me for some time now.

That's like chasing your losses, or in short, greediness. You're not alone in this, as I'm sure a lot of bettors have experienced it in their gambling journey. That's why bankroll management is very important. It helps you stay disciplined and you don't need to chase your losses, as there's always another day. Keep it slow and be smart with your choices, and eventually, you'll be in profit if you have the skills in gambling.

Sometimes our emotions make us do stupid things, resulting in losing everything. Even if we are ahead at the beginning, if we don't know when to stop and then experience a losing streak, we might decide to chase by doubling our bets, which often results in losing everything. This is really exhausting because you've put in the effort but end up with nothing.
18  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Boxing] Teofimo Lopez vs Steve Claggett WBO Super Lightweight Title - June 29 on: May 30, 2024, 11:41:53 AM
I keep hearing Claggett's name over the years. He was a hot prospect before but I wonder if he is really a world championship fighter. This is his first title shot and he is fighting the division's lineal champ. Lately, a lot of upsets happened, and Teofimo is inconsistent with his performances so who knows another upset is coming.

Teofimo should be able to score a knockout here. This seems like a showcase fight for Teofimo. I usually root for the underdogs so I am hoping once again  that a new lineal champ will be crowned next month.

It could be but the upset that we have seen lately, it looks like the odds are very close. Nevertheless, I do agree that sometimes Teo's performance is unexpected, he will far bad against a fighter that has no name, but then show us something big that he is a elite fighter by beating big names like Josh Taylor and become the lineal champion.

So let's see what Claggett can offer here, he might give Lopez a good fight in the early rounds. But I don't think that Teo will take him lightly, his belt is on the line here. He doesn't want to lose his belt against a unknown boxer and then chase him for a rematch.

Odd are not close actually, if Claggett will win, it will be a big upset.

Quote
Steve Claggett vs Teofimo Lopez Offshore Odds & Pick
Fight Result   Odds
Steve Claggett    7.00
Teofimo Lopez    1.10
https://www.offshoresportsbooks.com/news/steve-claggett-vs-teofimo-lopez-offshore-odds-preview-and-prediction-2024/

You can bet on Claggett to win and enjoy a x7 return of your bet if you have a feeling that it will be an upset. But as we can see on the odds, it tells us that this is just a cherry picked fight by Teo.
19  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2024 NBA Season on: May 30, 2024, 10:48:31 AM
I was expecting Dallas to finish the series last night, but it didn't happen, the series is now 3-1.
Minnesota played well last night and won, Dallas was bad and lost, they didn't play as I expected.
The next game will be played in Minnesota, Minnesota can win the game with the support of the fans, but I hope this does not happen.

Losing Dereck Lively made a huge impact on that defeat. There was Kleber returning but he made little impact on his return. Luka's low FG percentage though always affects the team. Based on my observation, Luka is always the heart and soul of this team. He plays below 40% FG and they'll lose right away even if Kyrie plays good. So it is important for Luka to perform at this best in this next game especially that it is happening in Minnesota. The presence of Lively is also a huge factor because they need every good big man of the team to stop and match Minnesota's twin towers and Reid.

Lol, there was a meme wherein they are calling Kleber because it seems that Maxi is lost when he came back and play again. But yeah, Lively is a big part of the core now of Dallas and him not playing really contributed to their lost, and if I'm not mistaken, he is average double digit in the playoff series and then his hustle, rebounds are solely missed.

I do agree that Luka is their franchise player and if he is shooting good, everyone in the team is also doing better. But if he has a bad shooting night, the team itself suffers, with the likes of PJ Washington and Kyrie who is a great shooter in the last 5 minutes are missing their shots. It's like Luka woes trickle down to the team as well.

Be positive now on Lively as he is upgraded to questionable in game 5.

Mavericks' Dereck Lively: Questionable for Game 5

Quote
Lively (neck) is questionable for Thursday's Game 5 against Minnesota.

Lively missed Game 4 due to his sprained neck, but he does appear to be trending in a positive direction. We should get another update following Thursday's morning shootaround, but if Lively is able to return, Daniel Gafford's minutes would dip and Dwight Powell could fall out of the rotation entirely.

Update like this is big, and there's a big chance that he will play. I think he was just fine in game 4 but they didn't push him to play to give more rest, but after what happened, Dallas can't afford to still sit him and watch the team loss.

I guess at this point I'm taking mavs +5, because if Lively will indeed play, that will move to +3.5 at least.
https://www.oddsshark.com/nba/odds
20  Other / Meta / Re: Is this forum getting worse and worse? on: May 29, 2024, 09:58:57 PM
You know the difference is, in the past, there was no signature campaign and people wrote short posts, funny ones and used forum like a chit chat place. They post naturally, did not post for money and it's different than spamming nowadays because of money incentives.
That is a good observation there. Could also be that without any motivation to post, only those with pure interest in Bitcoin communicated and that increased the general conversations we had here.

There were good posts then and there are now, but there is a lot of spam that almost drowns out the better discussions.

- Jay -
Yes, that’s actually happening in the forum. Gone are the days where members are just having a genuine discussion where you can’t sense any pretentious members just to hunt merits while posting. Now, the whole forum is motivated by merits and incentives. And end up seeing a lot of spams that made the forum looks not informative and uneducative at all.
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