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3341  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [AEON] Aeon Speculation on: January 14, 2016, 09:49:40 AM
It doesn't matter if it is growing. If the rate of growth is not at least 100,000 users in 12 months, then your efforts are entirely irrelevant to the world.

Really? Let's say it starts with 100 users and increases users by 10x every year. In the first 3 years it will still be below your 100k users, but after 7 years it reaches a billion users (and after eight years everyone on Earth, of course). That's approximately the same trajectory as Facebook. Yet for the first 3-4 years it seems totally irrelevant and too small to matter.

This is totally hypothetical of course but it just illustrates that different trajectories can result in massive user bases.

Personally I think crypocurrencies are facing bigger hurdles to user adoption than technology or marketing, which is that most users just don't have a use for them. We are largely playing a waiting-and-exploring game until new killer apps develop or conditions in the world change and make people want something other than traditional finance. The latter context existed in 2008 when Bitcoin was released but over the years has been largely lost. Trying to sell hard into a non-receptive market (which is almost the entire world right now) is a recipe for frustration, wasted resources, and failure.

I don't mean to discourage your enthusiasm for reaching a mass market. I certainly encourage you, I just don't share your (short term) optimism that there necessarily is a mass market to be reached.
3342  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [AEON] Aeon Speculation on: January 14, 2016, 06:40:49 AM
Doesn't it bother you all in the least that Aeon and Monero are both in the same predicament as the shitcoins you hate, in that none of you have any use as a currency. Very near to zero. Perhaps Monero some. But no where near to 10,000 users, not to mention a million users?

No, it doesn't bother me. AEON has many more users than it had a year ago. Monero probably does too. Growth is often slow at first. But then we don't know whether they may hit a hard ceiling. That is certainly possible. Monero seems to have better absolute prospects by virtue of a larger profile and community (and I don't just mean bitcointalk forum users), but that is reflected in the price somewhat I suppose.

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Or are we unable to change? Always going to be talking about investor crap such as limit orders and shit that does nothing for adoption.

I have nothing against adoption but also nothing against speculation, nor development-focused projects that are rough but may or may not gain users at a greater level of maturity and utility. They all have their roles to play. If someone wants to create applications and/or use cases for AEON (or Monero or even Bitcoin or some other reasonably credible project), I'd be happy to help if there is something productive I can do.
3343  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [AEON] Aeon Speculation on: January 14, 2016, 06:34:59 AM
Smooth I am lazy to dig in your source code. Would you mind telling me if this AES-NI mining algorithm is anything like what I had revealed to you in private was my innovation for a PoW hash? I am not insinuating anything, just asking. No big deal, just want to know.

No it is a minor tweak to the parameters of the CryptoNight algorithm.

EDIT: It is also properly credited to its inventor, which was not me -- see ANN OP.

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How many millions of people has Aeon been distributed to? How about how many thousands? How about how many hundreds? Serious question.

I'd guess several hundred. Thousands is possible. It is hard to say.

3344  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: [neㄘcash, ᨇcash, net⚷eys, or viᖚes?] Name AnonyMint's vapor coin? on: January 14, 2016, 06:00:24 AM
I forgot that normally during ICOs the insiders buy from themselves pumping up the apparency of great demand of the ICO (of course I am not alleging this for Iota...ahem)

You don't have to allege it, they acknowledged doing it, but stated that it was not a sham transaction because individuals were doing the buying and a business entity was receiving the proceeds.

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But do we have any way to know how much they did actually raise? I think not?

No, other than by their statements, if they make any.

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And what is the user adoption level of Iota? How many users of the currency do they actually have? Is it like Dash, Bitshares, etc. that basically have no usership and just a few bagholders mining each other?

Iota isn't even launched yet I think. I'm not positive.
3345  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Crypto Kingdom - 1991 Retro Virtual World(City) on: January 14, 2016, 05:53:16 AM
Smooth Investment Fund Dividend

For the first time in our long history, SIF has declared and paid a dividend of 228 per share (total payout 6 mil). This income is derived from dividends received from our holdings CKG, CON, and corporation stock holdings. Further dividends will be declared and paid as justified by investment returns and market conditions.

3346  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Crypto Kingdom - 1991 Retro Virtual World(City) on: January 14, 2016, 05:36:39 AM
Smooth QC (Brewery) report, dividend

As anticipated, conditions in the BEER market have continued to weaken with nearly half of last week's production remaining unsold and the remainder sold at around 4000, yielding 30% less profit than in previous weeks. The dividend is reduced to 10000 per share and has now been paid. Outlook remains negative.

Conditions have stabilized with most BEER being sold at around 4000. We are continuing the dividend at 10000 per share this week.
3347  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Honestly, which is better? Monero or Dash? on: January 14, 2016, 05:30:07 AM
YOU HAVE NO USERSHIP. YOUR ECOSYSTEM IS FAKE.

But there is a soda machine, I heard.
3348  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: [FACT] Anon coins will never work ! on: January 14, 2016, 04:46:06 AM
"If it runs it can be cracked"

Go ahead crack Bitcoin. Until then, STFU.
3349  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Totalitarianism on: January 14, 2016, 03:29:25 AM
That was a rash statement on my part. Here is a more level-headed statement:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1319681.msg13542612#msg13542612

Btw, I didn't kill Iota. The fundamentals may (or maybe not and probably not in the short-term). That is not my fault nor decision. I stood ready to adopt their coin and stop my development work if it was sound to my expectations.

You mentioned Satoshi's security model in that post. Did you mean that model which is vulnerable to 25% of hashing power with 33% in the best conditions?

The difference between 25% and 50% is not really that significant anyway. With 25% you can easily acquire more hash rate to get to 50% or conspire with some other 25% to get to 50%.

Satoshi's method only achieves its strong security model with more highly fragmented mining (perhaps with the largest extant mining concentration at 5% or less, to choose a somewhat arbitrarily number), something that hasn't been achieved to date but not everyone rules out that the system could evolve in that manner in the future. (TPTB thinks it is impossible; I and others do not, necessarily.)

With numbers like >15% where investments in capacity comparable in magnitude to the amount already invested or small coalitions can easily attack the system, you can really only rely on Satoshi's secondary model, which is sort of proof-of-stakeish and not really very compelling.
3350  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero - A secure, private, untraceable cryptocurrency on: January 14, 2016, 03:07:39 AM
FWIW I don't really recommend messing with limit-down unless it is interfering with your gaming, movie streaming, voip, etc. It is just going to make the sync process take longer and use about the same total bandwidth anyway. Usually "sprint to idle" is the best approach.

Limit-up is another matter, since that is a measure of how much you are serving blocks to other nodes. You can currently cut that down and leech if you want to. Although somewhat anti-social, it is better than not running a node at all.
3351  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Honestly, which is better? Monero or Dash? on: January 14, 2016, 02:50:22 AM
First of all, masternodes will still be paid even if they don't serve lock requests. They're not being paid for performing the service. They are being paid and they perform the service, if they feel like it.

They are being paid for continuous uptime.  Part of that uptime is locking txes.  There is no reason to opt out of tx locking (or future services).  What would that accomplish, saving a few CPU cycles?

I'll leave that to people who want to figure out how to exploit it. I'm not going to give them a free cookbook any more than I already have.

But I'd point out that even "a few CPU cycles" would be very significant if the system actually had real usage and adoption. TPTB makes good points on that.
3352  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Honestly, which is better? Monero or Dash? on: January 13, 2016, 10:21:56 PM
It is still a PoW coin under the current design because masternodes don't really decide anything important. They just sit around, stay online or pretend to be online, and collect interest (and possibly cause real trouble if malicious). In the proposed Evolution design that apparently changes, but it is hard to comment meaningfully about vaporware.

Hmm, I guess having the masternodes locking transactions in seconds counts as "just sitting around".

First of all, masternodes will still be paid even if they don't serve lock requests. They're not being paid for performing the service. They are being paid and they perform the service, if they feel like it.

There isn't even a system to politically vote out bad actors as there is in Bitshares. In Dash any masternode operator who figures out how to cheat can get away with it indefinitely.

Second, the miners will just ignore the locks if they are more than six blocks ahead. All that requires is a big-ish farm get disconnected for 10 minutes, some luck in mining and propagation, or a deliberate attack, or probably some other scenarios I don't feel like trying to think up.
3353  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Honestly, which is better? Monero or Dash? on: January 13, 2016, 09:54:28 PM
... the flaws inherent in ... instantx ...

What the hell are you talking about?  Instantx is the SOLUTION, not a problem.  What is the flaw?

What rock have you been sleeping under since the last time I posted in this thread. The InstantX math flaw I presented was earth shattering. You didn't hear about it?

Have you not reviewed the flaws in PoS which is what Dash devolves to. Did you believe the lie that claims it is a PoW coin?

It is still a PoW coin under the current design because masternodes don't really decide anything important. They just sit around, stay online or pretend to be online, and collect interest (and possibly cause real trouble if malicious). In the proposed Evolution design that apparently changes, but it is hard to comment meaningfully about vaporware.
3354  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Honestly, which is better? Monero or Dash? on: January 13, 2016, 09:52:23 PM
I do not find myself on the end of any fraud

Neither did the Madoff investors, or they wouldn't have been investors. That's the obvious point.

Your comment about the investors being happy with the situation (and non-investors seeing it differently) is tautological and stupid. It applies to every single tradable asset in the history of the world, no matter how bad an investment, how fraudulent, or how doomed to fail. The ones who own it like it, but that doesn't make them right and everyone else wrong.
3355  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Honestly, which is better? Monero or Dash? on: January 13, 2016, 09:06:14 PM
The people you hear complaining and using hammy melodramatic terms like "deceipt" and "fraud" are not the investors - it's the non investors.

Do you think that Harry Markopolis was a Madoff investor. If not, why not?

3356  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Honestly, which is better? Monero or Dash? on: January 13, 2016, 01:15:18 PM
They can't entirely, nor perfectly in every case, but in the case of Dash it is completely obvious, and widely known. That isn't going away.

Satoshi having >1mn coins isn't going away either. BTC price has it factored.

Yes, I agree. It is absolutely possible that Bitcoin would be doing better if that hadn't happened. I'd say the same for mining centralization, which a lot of Bitcoiners say is "no big deal", but likewise there is no telling how much more successful Bitcoin might be otherwise. There is certainly plenty of upside from Bitcoin's current tiny valuation (relative to traditional finance) and user base. Impossible to know really.

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Whatever the number, there will likely be competitors with similar features that will not suffer from customer rejection based on perceived unfairness and a tarnished brand. They will outgrow Dash and Dash will fail.

Pre-summer 2014 the narrative was: Evan will opensource darksend and the "fair launch" dark clone will get higher value. Darksend was opensourced but this never happened - and it wasn't because of lack of attempts.

I don't necessarily mean clones, although that can't be ruled out. There was a fair bit of time between the first Bitcoin clones and the most successful one (so far), so its still possible someone will come up with the secret recipe for a successful Dash clone.

But competitors with comparable features may just include coins that go after the same feature points. Scalability is a big thing now. Clearly in a year or two there will be many deployed scalability coins, and coins with whatever other particular features seem important at the time. Some may be Evolution clones, but many will not.

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In any case the instamine is an excellent motivator for Evan to keep working hard if he wants DASH to be a top altcoin. The sort of motivation where trolls say you are a scammer and you are proving your worth to the market by delivering good software solutions. Ok anonymint will cringe reading this because nothing is up to his standards (and it's good to have high standards - even ideals), but anyway.

The market to which he is supposedly proving his worth has shown negligible appreciation for his alleged hard work and "good" software solutions since mid-2014. That can be said for Monero too, although at least Monero has the excuse of high emission distributing a lot of new coins over two years (market cap is reasonably near its all time high, even if price is not).



3357  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Honestly, which is better? Monero or Dash? on: January 13, 2016, 12:32:56 PM
If 10.000 people know about DASH and 5000 avoided it due to the instamine / 5000 adopted it despite, that's a 50% conversion rate. It's a given. Now if say I speak to 100 people about DASH and 50 say "it's instamined crap" and another 50 say "I'll adopt it because I see potential or because I have a use for it", the adoption curve will remain at 50% conversion rate.

I'll address this point separately because it is so important.

It is really hard and usually expensive to acquire customers. If you are losing 50% of the customers you would otherwise get because they say "it's instamined crap" then you are, to put it simply, fucked. There will certainly be some competitor (which need not be Monero, might just be Bitcoin, or it might be DOGE or some new system or who knows what) that does not suffer from that 50% handicap and will grow faster with less resources devoted to customer acquisition.

Now it doesn't even really matter if the percentage of rejection due to dislike of (actual or appearance of) unfairness is 50% or 20% or some other number. The point is that the difficulty of acquiring new customers will persist and remain a sustainable competitive disadvantage that isn't borne by competing solutions.

The numbers are just an example.

Yes I said that. Whatever the number, there will likely be competitors with similar features that will not suffer from customer rejection based on perceived unfairness and a tarnished brand. They will outgrow Dash and Dash will fail.

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For every coin there is out there, there are reasons why one would adopt it or not adopt it and initial launch could be one factor among many. It doesn't really matter because all coins suffer from something, so... the field is balanced in a way.

Many of the things you pointed out are fixable and will likely be fixed long before any massive surge of adoption comes, if it ever does (though not all certainly). The instamine is not.

If you had to pick something about Monero that is in the same category (not really fixable) it would be infinite supply. You can take your pick I suppose, but I do not expect that to act as an impairment of a similar magnitude (as in allowing an otherwise-similar competitor without that attribute to outgrow Monero and cause Monero to fail). Anything is possible though.
3358  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Honestly, which is better? Monero or Dash? on: January 13, 2016, 12:24:40 PM
He is running a competitive altcoin. And Evan has a stated goal (since the launch of XCO / DRK) of displacing Charlie's coin from #2. So...

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Smoothie has never been a big time Monero supporter, he's been into Litecoin and Bitcoin for a long time, although he certainly does prefer Monero to Dash.

A lot of LTC supporters were butthurt as DASH rose and they felt that their coin was stagnant versus the competition. LTC was good... for ...2013 Grin Now it's old news.

It's still an order of magnitude bigger than Dash in market cap.

I think you are reaching.


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So, everyone knows about the instamine, it's #5 in marketcap, it has given gains of 7x to 280x to everyone who got in in the first three-four months of 0.001 price (when it was already a top20 marketcap coin), it's #2 in some crypto-gold and crypto-betting sites after BTC in terms of volume, and that's a problem? Ok, I can live with that.

Well it has given massive losses to many people who bought in after the first few months for one thing. It's been largely stagnant or in a declining phase for most of the two years for another. I don't really think pointing out that a few extreme early adopters made a bunch of money while almost no one else has helps your case here at all regarding fairness or anything else.

The story for Monero is much the same, keeping this on topic for the thread, with the exception that the mining is much more spread out over the 1.5 year history so there are more new owners as opposed to people who bought from early adopter/instaminers enriching them at the buyer's expense.

I guess the real point is that both coins have things that are holding them back in terms of the markets though.

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If there is a crackdown on BTC tomorrow in some country and people start scrambling for anonymous coins to buy, the least of their problems will be who mined what, 2 or 3 or 5 years ago. Same goes for investors who will be seeing good returns.

Okay I agree with you that if that does happen, and there is a scramble for anonymous coins, then all the reasonably credible anonymous or sort-of-anonymous coins will pump. I'm not sure whether that will favor Dash relative to Monero or not.

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These things are not even visible. People would never know what happened thus they can never properly value "fairness" in the altcoin jungle.

They can't entirely, nor perfectly in every case, but in the case of Dash it is completely obvious, and widely known. That isn't going away.

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There is no valid logical or economic reason to assume "the only way is up from that point". You just completely made that up.

I explained the mechanism.

You did not. To borrow your term, anything that you expect to happen in the future based on public information is already "priced in". There is no reason to expect the valuation impairment of the instamine to lessen over time.


3359  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Honestly, which is better? Monero or Dash? on: January 13, 2016, 12:06:52 PM
If 10.000 people know about DASH and 5000 avoided it due to the instamine / 5000 adopted it despite, that's a 50% conversion rate. It's a given. Now if say I speak to 100 people about DASH and 50 say "it's instamined crap" and another 50 say "I'll adopt it because I see potential or because I have a use for it", the adoption curve will remain at 50% conversion rate.

I'll address this point separately because it is so important.

It is really hard and usually expensive to acquire customers. If you are losing 50% of the customers you would otherwise get because they say "it's instamined crap" then you are, to put it simply, fucked. There will certainly be some competitor (which need not be Monero, might just be Bitcoin, or it might be DOGE or some new system or who knows what) that does not suffer from that 50% handicap and will grow faster with less resources devoted to customer acquisition.

Now it doesn't even really matter if the percentage of rejection due to dislike of (actual or appearance of) unfairness is 50% or 20% or some other number. The point is that the difficulty of acquiring new customers will persist and remain a sustainable competitive disadvantage that isn't borne by competing solutions.
3360  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Honestly, which is better? Monero or Dash? on: January 13, 2016, 11:48:55 AM
It was settled officially I mean, between community & dev. Those who have a problem with it let them have the "problem". Who cares? They are usually butthurt altcoin competitors...

Charlie Lee is not a competitor really, butthurt or otherwise.

Smoothie has never been a big time Monero supporter. He's not involved in the project at all and wasn't an earlier supporter. He's been much more into Litecoin and Bitcoin for a long time, although he certainly does prefer Monero to Dash.

When I have talked to people outside bitcointalk and they have heard about Dash (Darkcoin previously) absolutely the #1 thing they know about it and associate with it is the massive instamine. Generally expressed in a very dismissive manner. If you don't experience this, you really need to get out and talk to people, because the perception is there, it is very real, and it has nothing to do with "butthurt competitors".

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Charlie Lee apparently doesn't understand the market very well.

If he said so he is taking the speculative aspect of the coin, talking about investment. Once something happens and it's relatively well known to the degree of "tarnishing your reputation", that means the market has priced-in this event. Which means you are buying with a price discount precisely because that event has allowed you to buy cheaper. But it is priced-in. It can't be ...re-priced in. Thus there is no uncertainty in this regard. When a bad event is priced-in the only way is up from that point.

No, he's absolutely right about how the market works.

The correct interpretation of the efficient market hypothesis here is that the worth of Dash right now -- about 1/350 of Bitcoin -- incorporates its known properties, which includes the instamine.

Charlie Lee's argument is that the reason Dash is still quite unsuccessful (and indeed priced currently at the aforementioned low value despite "trying to be innovative" in his words, and I'd add despite building on top of the somewhat mature Bitcoin code base with additional features too) includes in large part the instamine. That impairment won't go away.

His advice is to other people wanting to do coins is not to make this mistake, because you won't be able to shake it off for a long time if ever. People value fairness and find it hard to support something that doesn't look fair (again his worlds). Even if that, to you, seems unfair.

There is no valid logical or economic reason to assume "the only way is up from that point". You just completely made that up. The effect is priced in, yes, but there is no expectation that it will be "unpriced in". Rather it will continue to hurt the value forever.

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LTC itself benefited from this "departure" of its own instamine, as the increasing supply makes it less and less relevant. Sure, in the first weeks it was a big deal, now not anymore.

The magnitude is vastly, vastly different. The Dash instamine (roughly 30%) won't be anywhere near proportionate with the LTC instamine (low single digits; I don't remember the exact number) for decades if ever. That's really a farfetched and stupid comparison. If LTC had a vastly larger instamine and then cut its supply multiple times, it might be in a similar situation. But it didn't and isn't.



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