I really wish I had the knowledge to trade on the dips. And I dont have the bollocks to risk it either!
The way to "have the bollocks" is to always take a long term view. Your long term view informs your decision in the dip:
[1] - if you decided it's going up in the long term, buy the dip because even if it goes down further your in long term anyway and it will go up according to your long term view
[2] - if you decided it's going down long term, wait for the "dip" to come back up to the next peak and sell
I suppose your next question is "how do I arrive at a long term view". Here's how I did it:
Blackcoin is CINNI's "big brother" kind of. It's a similar coin with similar characteristsics but ahead of CINNI in network effect and age. It's currently at 30000 Satoshis at the moment with 5 times the coin supply.
I decided that CINNI could reasonably get to at least half of Blackcoin's price corrected for coin supply (in other words "Marketcap" if you want to use those stats). The coin supply factor is 5, so using a calculator, that works out at 30,000 divided by2 times 5 = 75,000 Satoshis.
So I concluded that CINNI could reasonably get to a minimum of 75000 Sats barring any disasters. Somehere between 75000 Sats and 150000 Sats (the current BC price corrected for coin supply) I might think about taking profits. If CINNI manages to surpass BC then we're looking at a price above 150000 Sats.
There are lots of ways of arriving at a personal valuation for a coin. Thats just my way for this particular one. (Only problem is I got thrown out of the market at 22 with the fast rise. I've bought back in at half the position I had. Still, will be interesting. Since I've been writing this we're now back above 30000).
Hope that helps you have stronger "bollocks"
b.t.w. to that guy pumping fluttercoin, I'm in fluttercoin so I'm not that fluttered about it, but I don't think the 'pump' is by any means over on this one. It may settle for a while though.
Thanks buddy.
I've sort of worked out a similar price based on market cap and previous history with BC. The only thing I struggle on is trading on the swings. Every time I do, I either get it wrong or I'm too hasty and end up with less of a position.
Very good info. Feel free to add some more, I enjoy reading about trading.
Edit/ do you have a prediction for what to expect while mintpal is down?