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801  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 06, 2013, 06:40:00 PM
This is the first time I've ever been a real bear before. I just sold all my remaining Bitcoins. Still predicting a drop for tommorow. Sad


Being a bear is actually quite crappy, being bullish is much more fun. Sad

China hype, Fiat Super Tuesday, why sell now?

We all know if we start the smallest of rallies you'll have 500 guys screaming "load the rocket fuel, to the moon! bull nation holla! get out of the way bears!".

Shit that happens without any news. People are so eager to jump on a rally it won't take much, whether the China news matters, whether Gox even processes the wires tomorrow, who really knows. But if someone with 200-300k starts buying Bitcoins you'll have the forum screaming rally fever. I don't see a big down swing, if you're paying attention and you want to sell, you see what happens and let them have their rally then coin dump. So even sellers are probably going to wait and see what happens.

Someone should just make a new forum name called "Xien Ping Chow" and say how you saw the report and you're now planning to accept Bitcoins at your restaurant in Beijing. People will go ape shit and we'll probably hit $200.  Grin
802  Economy / Speculation / Re: Slow and steady wins the race on: May 06, 2013, 11:13:45 AM
All this China hype is nothing more than a trap before we continue sliding further down.

Clearly you were captain of your high school debating team.
803  Economy / Speculation / Re: Automated posting on: May 06, 2013, 09:48:57 AM

I understand most charts, but this one is completely beyond me?

Could anyone kindly explain, would be appreciated! Looks interesting lol

It's the bid and ask walls.

If you go here http://bitcoinity.org/markets you'll see it in 2d.

Notice the wall at 125, you can see the ridge in the 3d graph. Those are snapshots of the wall over the last hour. Very little change at the moment. It's taking the 2d walls, making it 3d, and lining them to give you a differnet view.
804  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 06, 2013, 07:08:46 AM
When do you see this happening? I would think the influx of investors on Tuesday would necessitate it happening before then.

Why would a bunch of new money on Tuesday cause the price to go sub-$100?

He's saying the influx makes it necessary for a such a dip, if it is going to happen, to occur before the new money arrives.

Ahhh, okay.

Banks are set to open in Japan in 18 hours. We'd need 20-30k coins dumped in very quick order, with little or no resistance on the way down. Seems like a horrible time to dump that many coins when we're at the end of an extended bank holiday and money starts arriving in under 24 hours. There's also not enough time to crash the price and re-buy. You need to hold the price down in order for asks to build up to buy back through. Otherwise you just push the price right back up and probably don't get back in any lower then you sold.

If you own $1-2M worth of coins right now, I really doubt you're about to flood the market and crash the price. The hype train will be running wild on Tuesday, probably a better day to do it.  Wink
805  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 06, 2013, 06:57:21 AM
When do you see this happening? I would think the influx of investors on Tuesday would necessitate it happening before then.

Why would a bunch of new money on Tuesday cause the price to go sub-$100?
806  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 06, 2013, 06:52:40 AM
The strong price action, leads me to think, we'll see 134 soon.  Cry  Cry

doubt it, this movement just completed a still-bearish wedge.

General TA question, how do you factor in the order book? Not just in what you're seeing now, but in general when you look over the data. The depth, the consolidation, the consolidation at price points. What percetnage of the asks are real, what percentage get pulled as the bid wall approaches? Does that even matter?

807  Economy / Speculation / Re: Israel accuses Syria of act of war... demand for bitcoin to rise? on: May 06, 2013, 06:32:47 AM
Do you know what has been happening in Syria for the past 2+ years?

Yea but a War with Israel is different, thats the end game. It's like when NATO got involved in Libya.

They've been at war with Israel for 60 years. That "end game" has been going on for 1000s of years.

NATO bombing in Libya wasn't really a big deal.

This won't be a big deal. What is going to happen? They'll hate Israel even more? Iran won't do shit. SA won't do shit. Here's a pro tip, they like making money as much as we do. The people in power are billionaires, they like enjoying their billions, status quo works just fine for them. Lots of talk, nothing will come of it.

And it has nothing to do with Bitcoin. This is probably the most retarded thread so far this month.
808  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 06, 2013, 04:45:00 AM
CoinZilla, A hero. Not the hero we deserved but the hero we needed.

809  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 06, 2013, 04:36:53 AM
Wall disappeared, time for the price to come falling down.

Someone tell Wallzilla that Monday is a banking holiday in Japan. We need him to get us to Fiat Tuesday at least. That mini-wall at $110 aint helping shit!  Grin
This Wallzilla only wanted to help himself to sell his coins higher. Probably at around the 120s and then he pulled the wall so it will drop.

He's still a hero in my books.  Kiss
810  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 06, 2013, 04:29:38 AM
Wall disappeared, time for the price to come falling down.

Someone tell Wallzilla that Monday is a banking holiday in Japan. We need him to get us to Fiat Tuesday at least. That mini-wall at $110 aint helping shit!  Grin
811  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 06, 2013, 03:50:35 AM
He's gone! God has forsaken us!
812  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 06, 2013, 03:08:43 AM
813  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 06, 2013, 01:35:06 AM
It just boggles my mind that someone will play around with 2mil in cash in a market like this.  I wonder how many BTC he has?  

Zero. And just learned about Bitcoin, how amazing it is, and wants a long-term holding like Winklevii, Exante and Keiser?

If someone really wanted to get in at 110 with 2 mil, I think they would put a much smaller wall there and then reinforce it as it gets eaten

It's not about buying BTC. He's stabilizing the market and removing volatility. That wall is preventing the market from going down. The same as the ask walls usually prevent the market from going up.

Any of the big Bitcoin businesses would be interested in stability, including of course MtGox. Arguably, Bitcoin is MtGox. They probably care about the perception of Bitcoin more then anyone. They stand to make 10s of millions if Bitcoin continues to grow. They have the money and coins to do whatever they want with the market. If you owned MtGox, would you "let the market do whatever it wants" or would you "actively protect the market". Seeing as you'd make millions if Bitcoin grows, might perceive volatility as a negative, I'd be surprised if they didn't manipulate things for their own good.

There's also a number of people who have 50k-300k coins who probably have cashed out 1-5M. If I owned that many coins, I'd keep a nice chunk of cash on MtGox to prop up Bitcoin as needed. It's a way of protecting your investment. You can instantly remove panic, calm the market down, just by putting up a wall. Or even buying up coins, reducing supply, calming everything down.

The interesting thing is, the coin dumps have stopped. No one has sold a huge chunk of coins. No one wants to cash out anymore? More evidence the coin dumps are to move the market down, not to take profit. The market is small enough one person can push it up and keep it up. And one person can push it down and keep it down. Which means the market price of BTC has little to do with how well Bitcoin is actually doing. The exchange is its own ecosystem and doesn't directly translate to how well Bitcoin is doing. Price going up doesn't mean Bitcoin is doing well. Price going down doesn't mean it's doing bad. It's a whole bunch of people trying to make some money and Bitcoin is without question secondary on the exchange.
814  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 04, 2013, 10:21:31 PM
I think your problem is that you realize 100 million new facebook users in 3 months is quick adoption, but refuse to do the math concerning what the same number of users of Bitcoin in the same timeframe irrefutably means to USD/BTC rate.
Facebook users found utility, new BTC adopters aren't adopting for practical utility (because their is essentially none relative to reality), they're adopting for the gamble of making more in a quick flip.

Huh?

Bitcoin is a great transaction currency. Want to buy a bong, double ended dildo, without the govt, your mom, your wife knowing about it? Use Bitcoin! Want to send money around the globe without getting raped by fees? Bitcoin is here to save the day!

There's 10,000s of people using Bitcoin for those two purposes. None of them are trying to "get rich". You're confusing the exchange and Bitcoin. The exchange is an entity on it's own.

I'd argue Bitcoin is way more useful then Facebook, but since I never signed up for Facebook I  might be biased.  Wink
815  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 04, 2013, 05:43:26 PM
Bulls: Chargeeeee! Doh.

816  Economy / Speculation / Re: holy shit, china is going parabolic.. on: May 04, 2013, 05:41:01 PM
Elevator going up. Next stop, the moon!

817  Economy / Speculation / Re: The one has sold their coins yesterday, you would better buy them back on: May 04, 2013, 05:39:13 PM
China is in? Ohhhhh baby!

818  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is there going to be a weekend dip? on: May 04, 2013, 05:37:54 PM
The price is currently in a fast rise, and that usually spells trouble.

The bulls like it bumpy. Put your big boy pants on this is going to be a fun day!

819  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 04, 2013, 05:23:40 PM
I think it's an extremely low volume, it's possible that we are overreacting.
You don't say? Bitcoin overreaching? Tongue

I'm just saying completely the same volume as 30-days ago on BTCChina

China is big. Bitcoin wants to be big. Get on the rocket to the moon or be left behind with the other bears!

http://qz.com/74137/six-reasons-why-chinese-people-will-drive-the-next-bull-market-in-bitcoin/

So, if China is a big fan of digital currency why did they banned their own Q-coin?

Not enough supernodes.
820  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 04, 2013, 05:19:15 PM
I think it's an extremely low volume, it's possible that we are overreacting.
You don't say? Bitcoin overreaching? Tongue

I'm just saying completely the same volume as 30-days ago on BTCChina

China is big. Bitcoin wants to be big. Get on the rocket to the moon or be left behind with the other bears!

http://qz.com/74137/six-reasons-why-chinese-people-will-drive-the-next-bull-market-in-bitcoin/
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