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241  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is Bitcoin(decentralization) the end for utopia? on: June 18, 2023, 08:44:02 AM
Humans are capable of handling their own finances. We all have this ability. Government are incapable handling its finances.

Government is an entity that isn't self sufficient, and the elected members of that entity have a vested interested in ensuring its survival and continuation. When they begin to control monetary and fiscal activity within its borders, it becomes an unsustainable balancing act where the cards eventually come tumbling down. Whether it be due to overregulation and centralization of authority, (think consolidation of economic matters away from the constituency and into the hands of bureaucrats/government agencies), corruption, money printing, etc, it isn't possible for the government to manage monetary/fiscal activity without disrupting economic growth.

The amount of "man made recessions" I've seen countries go through, with no fault of their own citizens, is palpable. I suppose in a democratic republic, the voters are they themselves to blame. After all, they elected the government body! But I like to give more credit than might be due because while people understand basic economics, they don't understand governance and bureaucracy.
242  Economy / Economics / Re: The SEC is right. It's not about Bitcoin, it's about centralized shitcoins. on: June 18, 2023, 05:37:01 AM
So let's calm down. This is not against Bitcoin. It's against shady business models where companies pretend they are decentralized but aren't, and want a cheaper and less consumer-protecting way to finance their businesses (or directly run away with your money). And it's also about crypto exchanges pretending they aren't banks - but they are, as long as they offer products like so-called "staking" (which nothing has to do with real proof-of-stake).


The exact lawsuit is alleging fraud by Binance in addition to operating as an unregistered securities exchange. So they're dragging Changpeng Zhao through the mud even if it's only about altcoins. This isn't even counting the Coinbase lawsuit either, filed at the same time.

Knowing how these federal agencies operate, if these were really about shitcoins, the U.S. government would've been more adamant about clarifying the regulatory framework on crypto instead of throwing out lawsuits to every exchange in their jurisdiction. Perhaps their intentions truly are to protect the consumers, but a lot of nefarious initiatives starts off with good intent.
243  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Oil To Face "Serious" Supply Problem In 2024 As Production Capacity Runs Out... on: June 17, 2023, 06:54:55 PM
OPEC has too much power and they got stronger when Russian energy imports were ceased.

If the U.S. wants a winning strategy that does not involve sanctions while decentralizing OPEC, they have the opportunity to flood the market with cheap energy. Not emptying the oil reserves, but increase drilling production and capacity of oil and natural gas. It'd strengthen the dollar too.
244  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: We shall separate commercial exchanges from investment exchanges on: June 17, 2023, 07:06:05 AM
It seems people here aren't familiar with banking regulations, so I advise them to read the following:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1933_Banking_Act

Just as I approve those regulations on banks, I wish to get the same on exchanges. It would be good for us, as it would leave simple exchanges unregulated.

If you really want to see how stringent the regulations got, see what was passed after the housing market crash in 2008. You would be surprised at how much banks are able to get away with knowing they have federal regulators that will jump in if they need liquidity. As of March of 2020, U.S. banks literally can loan/invest 100% of depositor funds through the fractional reserve banking system -- they don't need to keep a single cent of client funds on hand. Doesn't sound like they're highly regulated with that type of freedom.

Be specific, what exact regulations are you suggesting? Establishment of an FDIC type insurance program?
245  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Equal society is possible.... on: June 17, 2023, 04:36:44 AM
Pretty much as everyone has stated the common problem in achieving an equal society
is the inclusion of Humans. We are all different with different goals, needs and
requirements. Its just too simple to say social equality is achievable.

I would say the only time humans had social equality was during the time of the early
hunter gatherers, there was only very simple goals, food, warmth and shelter.

In an effort to live a life some people do better than others and have different capabilities,
work harder than others and have greater goals than others which results in greater
rewards for different people.

"Great idea; wrong species" - American biologist E. O. Wilson.

Wealth distribution sounds great until it applies to humans who are incapable of working in perfect unison with respect to wealth generation. The amount of work someone does must be proportional to the wealth someone generates -- with communism it's easy for someone's work to be disproportionate to the wealth generated. Now, if you're an ant on a farm -- and all your programed to do is work in unison, communism looks feasible. Not even during the hunter gatherer era was there equality, such a concept didn't exist.
246  Economy / Economics / Re: 85% of AI start-ups will fail within 3 years. on: June 17, 2023, 03:56:55 AM
Majority of businesses fail within five years. For tech related firms it isn't a flaw that most of them fail, it's part of the inherent design.

These companies secure investors and get through initial rounds of funding to produce something tangible -- they develop a profitable business model and hope to gain enough revenue to be profitable in a 3 year period. If they're not profitable enough to secure more investment, then they go under. End goal for a lot of these businesses is to be bought out by a larger tech firm or license out the technology. These companies exist as R&D vessels. VC's will essentially gamble on these companies and hope they run through enough of them that they eventually stumble on a winner. They're not walking in with the expectation that the company will exist over a decades time.
247  Economy / Economics / Re: Fake support? on: June 16, 2023, 05:14:45 PM
China is actually known to be a business minded country and they focus on earning on what could benefit their economic situation better. I don't think they are trying to compete with bigger countries that support crypto currency. I agree that they might have finally seen the value of cryptocurrency that they are now supporting it. Each country has the right and make free decisions whether to support crypto or not but I don't see any competition about it.
Accumulating cryptocurrency is actually a smart move on their part to unlock greater blockchain potential that will later be beneficial to both the crypto business and their economy. In terms of business, I see nothing regarding China's acceptance of cryptocurrencies again.

They're not supporting cryptocurrency, though.

OP does not provide any sources so taking what he says at face value, China can support implementation of web3 or blockchain technology without adopting its application through cryptocurrency. Doesn't make any sense for a communist regime to support decentralized currency.

As "business minded" they are, the CCP thrives on retaining a tight grip on economic activities within their borders. Bitcoin's antithetical to the system China's created.
248  Economy / Exchanges / Re: SEC sues Binance and CZ on: June 16, 2023, 01:40:55 PM
Take note while this is definitely not good, it's important to understand that this is a civil case NOT a criminal case; as pointed out in the below tweet. I'm not some law expert but I'd assume it's a significant difference.

https://twitter.com/WuBlockchain/status/1665751740380229632?s=20

Nearly all litigations against corporations are civil cases unless there's reckless criminal conduct. Recklessness in the sense that some level of injury or damages occurred with the knowing creation of unjustified risk and consciously disregarding such risks. Reckless criminal conduct generally does not apply in these sort of cases. Civil classification means the penalty is a fine. Criminal matters mean prison is the penalty.

The SEC isn't going to start throwing people in jail, of course. Their goal might not even be significant fines. If they can drag the legal process out long enough absent of a legal victory, it might hinder Binance from operating in the U.S. The attorneys Binance are hiring for this will range from hundreds, to thousands of dollars per hour. It isn't a cheap fight.

If it turns out Binance knowingly defrauded the U.S. government or its citizens, then this becomes a criminal matter.
249  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Will bitcoin influence the next U.S election? on: June 16, 2023, 12:07:48 PM
If Bitcoin was on the ballet, Ron DeSantis would be elected the next President by default: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5452608

He is the most pro-crypto politician running for the Presidency in 2024.

Unfortunately many Americans are too inept to pay attention to crypto regulation. I'd encourage you to look at Presidential debates over the years. Usually the questions the moderators ask gauge what the central issues are for the time period. You can go back to the 1960's debate of Kennedy and Nixon to find focus on infrastructure modernization and stopping communism spread through China and the Soviet Union. Debates pre-2001 hardly ever had questions related to terrorism, and of course every debate post 9/11 include foreign policy questions related to middle east operations and terror groups. Don't expect any crypto talk this election cycle.

When CBDC's to be introduced within the next 5-10 years contemporaneous to crypto regulations that strip people of their right to engage in crypto commerce independent of stringent regulation and taxes, then people might start paying attention. But that assumes more crypto adoption than we have now.
250  Economy / Economics / Re: Nothing serious, just my own thought on the crypto crackdown. on: June 16, 2023, 11:48:40 AM
I am not a fan of conspiracy theories, but let's assume that you are correct, what is the maximum wealth that FTX can pay to US politics? According to the latest estimates, the total assets of the FTX platform had reached about 10 billion dollars at best, and if we assume that this amount was available as liquidity, even if it is completely unlikely, then it is likely that there were between one billion and 5 billion that were ready for use, even if we assume that it was Using all that money in electoral propaganda, it will not change a lot of things, it is a point in a big sea, as the debt of the United States for one year exceeds about 2 trillion and it is impossible for you to control it by 5 billion or change its political tendencies.

FTX collapsed because of depositors' blind trust in a person who tried to buy everything quickly to prove to everyone that he had enough money and that customers' money was safe, but he was misusing it and printing fake tokens in return.

Crypto crackdowns aren't conspiracy theories. The government is rather candid about their plans regarding regulations.

If you want to get into the conspiracy theories, you can look at larger motives for the activists and politicians that are advocates against crypto. New World Order? Globalists instilling their agenda? Perhaps something more inauspicious is going on. What could these people gain from ensuring you and I don't have access to decentralized currencies -- presumably wealth and power.

What happened with FTX and campaign contributions happens all the time in American politics. Seemingly people are surprised that the wealthy pay off politicians through indirect donations when that's been the status quo for many decades. The average net worth of the U.S. politician is 1M+. They're not gaining this wealth through their public salary alone.
251  Economy / Gambling / Re: Using ToS against users normal? on: June 15, 2023, 08:17:20 PM
Yes, it's considered as a breach of contract. Any casino can change and modify its terms anytime they like, but they are oblige to let their users know the new terms or the new "contract", because you can disagree with it and leave the site if you don't agree the changes, like they require to agree the terms upon registration.

You can file a case if you have proof that you are not informed about the terms, the accused will be then defend your accusations. Because usually, reputed casino always informed its users by mail, it even has a banner on the site that there are changes on its terms. And they informed its users a head of time usually its weeks to seven days, because they are required to do it.

The ToS exist to protect the company against its users from liability, so consider the ToS to be against the user by default. Not that anyone bothers reading them, but get past a bunch of the legal jargon they probably explicitly state the company reserves the right to change the ToS without notice. It's not fraud in the legal sense -- you agreed to the terms on sign up. You shouldn't be handing out legal advice.

And if you think these casinos operate in jurisdictions amenable to lawsuits then you're mistaken.
252  Economy / Economics / Re: Getting an MBA before starting a company or directly starting a company? on: June 15, 2023, 08:08:45 PM
MBA's are losing value, among other college degrees, for the fact that educational institutions are becoming diploma mills and offering these degrees to anyone who wants to pay for it. The internet doesn't require you have a degree for anything, experience matters.

Save yourself the costs and political indoctrination most universities made you endure, skip the degree and enter the labor market.
253  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Another Topic About AI Use In Public Forums. on: June 14, 2023, 11:47:37 AM
- Since upgrading membership on btt forum requires effort to increase the number of posts and at the same time obtain merit points, anyone can create an account and publish very distinguished posts of high quality that qualifies him to upgrade his membership and open up horizons for him that he may not deserve.
- Members participating in signature campaigns can also easily produce publications using artificial intelligence and get paid weekly without the need for any diligence.
- Anyone can publish an article that he produced using artificial intelligence and claim royalties from anyone using it after him.
- If it is not forbidden on btt forum to publish content produced using artificial intelligence, how can intellectual property rights be achieved and cases of Plagiarism be dealt with?

I already assumed it was banned to AI post on threads, I'd consider it spam. You can somewhat tell when someone is using AI to type out their responses because the prose reads robotic and generic.

Anyways, I've thought about AI content and intellectual property in the past because it creates a bit of a dichotomy when it comes to monetization. Who owns the intellectual rights to something AI produces? Easy to suggest the parent company, owner of the AI platform, is entitled to all work, but think of this example: Does Adobe Photoshop take ownership of all works created using their program? Surely not, as there's input required by the user for digital creation. AI works in similar way - AI content, as of now, requires user input before producing content. Something like ChatGPT does the heavy lifting in that regard, but you're still required to input the parameters.
254  Economy / Economics / Re: US Congressman Warren Davidson Filed Legislation to Fire Gary Gensler on: June 13, 2023, 10:47:49 AM
This might sound like a dumb conspiracy theory, but I think that Davidson's proposal might have something to do lobbyism on behalf of Binance and Coinbase. They have enough money to activate a bunch of congressmen like Warren Davidson to defend their interest and try to fire Gensler. The smart thing is that nothing is written about crypto, tokens, etc. so there's no direct connection to the SEC vs. Binance.us/CZ lawsuit. Gensler is being portrayed as a tyrannical figure(which is something I'm not sure about). What if Gensler gets fired and a more anti-crypto person gets elected as a SEC chairman? AFAIK, Gary Gensler isn't the biggest crypto hater in the world.


Not exactly a conspiracy -- lobbyists groups are behind most legislation in U.S. politics, going so far as to writing bills for the U.S. congress to rubber stamp not having actually read the proposed legislation. That's normally how U.S. politics works anyways. These congresspeople don't have the technical knowledge of the markets or crypto to rely solely on their own knowledge and intuition.

Even if it's a lobbying group behind Warren Davidson's efforts, his reasonings for wanting to fire Gensler are not unreasonable: https://twitter.com/WarrenDavidson/status/1648379560122105882?s=20

As a side note, are we really surprised a former Goldman sachs executive appointed by Joe Biden is anti-crypto? He doesn't have to be the biggest crypto hater in the world to do some damage unfortunately.
255  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Pakistan is on Weed! I Guess! on: June 11, 2023, 04:33:03 AM
Not only Pakistan, a lot of other countries want to join: https://www.msn.com/en-in/news/world/pakistan-expresses-interest-in-joining-brics-group-amid-economic-crisis/ar-AA1cmMMi

Quote
According to a report, 19 countries including Saudi Arabia, Iran and others have formally expressed their desire to join the group. Others including Argentina, UAE, Algeria, Egypt, Bahrain and Indonesia have also expressed their interest to join.

You'll notice these countries aren't particularly wealthy, so it's within their interest to form a pact with countries where interests may align. Except an alliance with Russia and China is an alliance headed for disaster.

India was more allied towards the western countries when Trump was in office, now the Biden administration is trying to have Modi removed. IMO it's a mistake for India to participate but they border China and perhaps some geopolitical matters might force them to cooperate.

EDIT: Do they let individuals take part in the BRICS system? It might be worth joining.

If you join it could be BBRICS  Tongue
256  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Don't you just love those US/NATO sanctions against Russia? on: June 11, 2023, 02:26:57 AM
Are the Biden warmongers strong enough to drive the world to war? Will the collapse of the US money system convince people to join the military and the arms manufacturing companies? Will economic collapse in Nato countries drive their people to fight with Ukraine?

So far the people who are in the Biden group have been right about not seeming to be able to push Putin to nukes. If Medvedev were running Russia, we might have been in nuclear WW3 months ago, or even years ago.

Cool

Most of the warmongers pull the strings behind the scenes. Even conservatives are amenable to such pressure. Remember the 2017 Shayrat missile strikes Trump ordered in Syria? Trump surrounded himself with horrible military advisers in 2017 so maybe he was coerced into intervention because he didn't know any better, but he  did hire John Bolton in 2018. Bolton loves regime changes.

Anyway, Trump could be more hawkish than he lets on, there's a lot of influence and money that go on behind the scenes that Trump may be amenable to. I'd still prefer Trump over Biden.
257  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Apple Vision Pro and its Implication in Online Gambling on: June 11, 2023, 02:07:21 AM
Seems very expensive for the average person to be willing to purchase. I just don’t think at $3,500 enough online gamblers are going to want to want to buy it.

I could be wrong, I think it will sell well but at $3,500 gamblers specifically aren’t going to be the main audience imo.

My thoughts are similar but I do wonder -- Technology gets cheaper with time, (though with Apple the curve of time and price is shifted slightly to the right as it takes longer for Apple's tech to lower in price) -- imagine 5-10 years from now when the current iteration of the Vision pro would be at a price point, say, 50% cheaper, or more. Consider competitors catching up to Apple's technology and releasing their own VR headset.

I could see VR headsets becoming ubiquitous as a smartphone; VR gambling could be the next iteration of online gambling and the company that can introduce VR table games or slots will make a lot of money. I recall when virtual blackjack tables were first introduce some years ago, it felt pretty groundbreaking.
258  Economy / Economics / Re: US Advisory on Payment App Risks and Bitcoin’s Position as a Secure Alternative on: June 10, 2023, 06:08:51 AM
The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) is speaking the truth and it's great that it is coming from a US government agency.

Bitcoiners have convinced themselves since day 1 of Bitcoin that the government and banks want to get them, but they are bravely fighting against their attacks and winning. Truth is, most governments don't see Bitcoin as a threat, because it's so tiny in terms of use, so it's beneficial for them to allow it to be an collect taxes from trading. Inside the US government there are many different views on Bitcoin, it's hard to tell which one will prevail. But it's impossible for the current status quo to last forever, because right now Bitcoin has no clear legal definition.

Bitcoin doesn't have clear legal definitions and that's done on purpose. The legal framework has purposefully been left ambiguous because it allows for government law enforcement/financial agencies to target private enterprises who are left victim to undefined legal statutes. The SEC lawsuit against binance is predicated on this. They themselves conflate commodities and securities with unclear guidelines and then target Binance with frivolous lawsuits because the U.S. government can't get the statutory verbiage right.

The tax income from trading isn't going to be fueling the governments budget. It's within the governments interest that decentralized currencies do not compete with their own currency.
259  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: How Confident Are You In The Reliability of the KYC system on: June 10, 2023, 05:45:16 AM
If the third-party proved that the casino is right but the player swore that he submit all the documents and is willing to do the extra mile to establish his identity, can we conclude that Casino's KYC procedure is different and we have the right to know how and what system they are using to decline our submission because we can be the next to suffer from this Casinos' KYC system?

Casinos can deny KYC documents for any reason or for no reason. If they want an excuse to not payout a big win, KYC the client and reject any documents they provide for whatever arbitrary reason. Introduce a third party (who picks the 3rd party? It won't be the player, it'll be the casino) and you have the same issue, except your trust is outsourced to the third party.

I decline to play on casinos that abuse KYC. Even if they're inclined to use a third party intermediary, that doesn't solve the problem.
260  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Cold or Hot Slot? on: June 09, 2023, 09:07:09 PM
Where is this website getting the RTP data from? I looked briefly at their website and they're suggesting they have a database full of slots with the live RTP but they're not including where and how they get that data. Some casinos will provide the house edge to their users outright but the immediate RTP isn't something they would disclose, so where did they get this from?
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