1182
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Other / Archival / Re: Harm to the environment from BTC mining - a fiction?
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on: April 26, 2022, 07:39:28 PM
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...
Elon Musk has no deep understanding of the energy usage associated with doge. He follows the doge strictly for memes and jokes. His following seem slightly neurotic about Elon's dealings with doge, they don't realize he's not serious about any of it. Though, Musk is serious about Bitcoin and its energy consumption, and I'd classify that more as being misinformed because he omits energy costs associated with fiat currencies in his analysis of energy consumption within the context of financial systems.
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1183
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Economy / Economics / Re: CBDCs really worth it?
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on: April 26, 2022, 07:07:53 PM
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You can put as much faith into CBDC's are would the central banks' fiat currency. That is to say, you should be no faith into CBDC's, perhaps even less than fiat currencies. CBDC's just digitalizes the money supply allowing for even more control than already exists. Modifying the money supply just requires inputting digits into a keypad, and any holders are subject to adherence by arbitrary regulations that the central banks might impose.
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1185
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Economy / Economics / Re: How did we all get here?
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on: April 24, 2022, 01:44:21 AM
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https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEBTNUSD has been on the decline for years. See the above chart. I'd caution that debt is not the entire context. Debt isn't actually a bad thing as long as the potential for economic growth is there. If you have reasonable projections, you can take on the debt for future earnings. So really, this chart alone is not indicative of the full picture or represents an inherent flaw with USD. The issue is that the spending has not kept up with the economic growth, and that's before COVID. Factor quantitative easing into a slow economy, you have high inflation in conjunction with large amounts of debt. Sounds like a sinking ship, doesn't it? Well, most people would agree, which is why many countries are lowering their USD holdings and swapping them out for other assets that don't pose so much risk. Post COVID was really the point of no return, where the money printer was put in place of a thriving economy. The printer can only run for so long before the currency produced is so highly saturated that people realize it's just paper and not worth anything valuable.
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1186
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Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why is it bad to leave crypto on exchanges?
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on: April 24, 2022, 01:35:23 AM
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I have most of mine on an exchange because I'm getting paid interest. Has there ever been a time when an exchange like Binance for example, steals your funds or gets hacked and people lost money?
You can hold your money on an exchange if it's a highly reputable exchange and if you trust it. Also, it should include you being ready to get your funds out of it if some new regulations arrive (like those for some Russians arrived from Binance today), willing to send documents that confirm your identity and address, and be sure you're not doing anything illegal (and technically, not paying taxes is illegal in places where cryptos are regulated). These are centralized services, so they can do a lot of stuff. If it's a very good exchange like Binance, it likely won't perform an exit scam, and will likely compensate losses in an even of a hack, but something can still happen. Overall, your money is just much safer in your personal wallet. You can personally trust an exchange's security and still be locked out for some minor and obscure TOS violation, happens all the time with people holding their funds on 3rd party platforms even outside of crypto. You don't own any of the coin that you do not control the private keys for. Those documentation forms can get rejected for any arbitrary reason. Plenty of payment platforms will freeze accounts and request documents, then continually reject any valid document submissions for whatever excuse they feel like giving. I wouldn't trust an exchange with a single satoshi.
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1187
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Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Concern of illegal use of crypto
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on: April 23, 2022, 07:38:59 PM
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US, EU, and now India (I'm sure there are others) all attempting to blame terrorism funding on crypto. You're seeing a commonality when large countries begin to focus on the same false narrative that crypto currency somehow is a national security threat. There isn't a need to address the matter -- terrorism will exist with or without crypto currency.
This isn't a large issue, merely speculative and just being used as an excuse shove down regulations. As long as they can sell the public a false sense of safety, they'll be okay with anything. Terrorism is a great excuse.
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1188
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Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Russia's approval of BTC
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on: April 23, 2022, 05:17:36 AM
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They were too late in adoption. This will help mitigate effects of sanctions but if they really wanted to be immune from matters related to asset freezes, they should've put their reserve holdings in crypto. Some years ago Russia began dumping USD from their reserves, to the tune of hundreds of billions, but that hasn't done much in saving the ruble because they're still cut off economically.
Crypto isn't the saving grace for Russia. They cannot use Bitcoin to get their way out of this. If they wanted relief, they should've gone down this path years ago.
Exactly. Russia should've adopted Bitcoin long ago, if it had plans to become self-sufficient. Now that economic sanctions are in place, it's too late to do something about it. Only China might save Russia's economy. But making the Ruble rise from the ground up is not an easy task. Pressure is already mounting on Putin, so either he ceases and desists or face terrible consequences in the long run. It doesn't matter if Russia approves or disapproves of BTC as long as Putin is in power. Who knows what will be of the country within a couple of years from now? Just my opinion On the note of China, they are in fact conducting bilateral transactions with Russia without using USD outputs. So on top of the Russian currency reserves being emptied, China is willing to do business with Russia on their own terms. Interesting side note, Israel is a major U.S. ally, and for the first time, they've adopted Yuan into their own currency reserves dropping their share of USD. It isn't just Russia that is diversifying their assets. It's going to be a problem if the CCP's currency becomes the global standard.
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1189
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Economy / Economics / Re: Elon Musk makes offer to buy Twitter
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on: April 23, 2022, 04:15:13 AM
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Even he's the wealthiest person in the world, he can't buy everything. Whoever does refuse selling his share of Twitter, it's okay. As long as Elon got the most share in the company. He's still going to be able to own it but what's the news after this potential buy of him? Did it progressed and has any update on this story? There's still a process within the boards and executives of Twitter if they will all agree to hand it over to him.
Elon hasn't reacted after the poison pill proposal from the Twitter Board. Given how intelligent he is, I am sure he will come up with a perfect counter-strategy. BTW, Twitter share price has gone up by almost 30% in the last 4 weeks. But even then, the market cap of the company is far below what Elon offered. In his last official statement, Elon said that he has accumulated around $46.5 in debt and equity financing, for the purpose of Twitter takeover. This is higher than the offer of $43 billion that he made two weeks ago. He has responded to the poison pill approach. He's at around 10 percent equity and is not able to have more than 15 percent without Twitter flooding the shares. He can just get a few business partners that would get 14.9 of the company and easily have a group of 4 private investors that would have majority control of the company. IIRC he insinuated an approach like this as a plan B. His reluctance to join the Twitter board tells you he wants to buy the entire thing, not just be the largest shareholder.
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1190
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Economy / Economics / Re: Bill passed requiring drunk drivers to pay child support if they kill parents
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on: April 23, 2022, 03:51:57 AM
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If you're victim to a drunk driving accident and live, you're entitled to file a civil suit against the person which will result in financial liability. If you die, your family has that right, and in DUI manslaughter cases, or any case for that matter, I believe the U.S. allows for an automatic settlement/victory for the litigants in a civil suit if the same defendant is convicted for the same crime in a criminal court. The law seems a bit redundant because I imagine in civil cases that wages would be garnished if the settlement can't be paid at once.
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1191
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Economy / Economics / Re: Is this a good move by national bank of Ukraine
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on: April 22, 2022, 09:32:56 PM
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I would say that the normal rules do not apply to a country at war and they need some leniency. This is a people who are fighting Russia to survive and face being wiped out because of this evil war. Right now all of their attention is focused on stabilizing their economy while trying to defend against the most sadistic type of attackers on the planet. Their government does not have time to worry about the intricacies of trying to create new financial regulations and rightfully so, when their citizens are getting slaughtered all over the country. It is also a method that can be used to infiltrate money from the enemy into subversive elements of their own country outside of the existing banking structure that they can oversee.
Wartime or not, it isn't good policy to hold Ukrainians' funds hostage. Hypothetically, what happens if Ukraine loses the war and Russia overtakes the banking system, what happens to UAH? Probably becomes worthless, and citizens that weren't able to withdraw any funds outside of the monthly cap are out of luck. If currency was actually backed by something, or decentralized, none of this would be an issue. This isn't Ukraine's fault, rather an indictment of fiat currencies as a whole. There is no guarantee in sustainability. You aren't really in control of your funds.
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1192
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Economy / Economics / Re: How Capitalism defeated socialism?
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on: April 22, 2022, 07:11:44 PM
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The verdict is in, and contrary to what socialists say, capitalism, with all its warts, is the preferred economic system to bring the masses out of poverty and to make them productive citizens in our country and in countries around the world. Remember this: Capitalism rewards merit, socialism rewards mediocrity. I mean, socialism talking about equality but it is just a beautiful lie , and capitalism is an ugly truth !
Yet there are 60 million of poor people in US, around 45 if you choose a lower poverty line. Even Mexico has lower gap. This is not something you see in the news, nevertheless it is true. There is a middle way, it does not have to be capitalism or socialism in the radical sense. Society has to reward merit, provide opportunities for all and care for those who honestly cannot care for themselves. How many of those 60 million are victims of capitalism, or victims from their own personal decision making? There isn't a perfect economic system that's ever created 100% prosperity. There never will be. There has to be "losers" in every economy within a particular moment. That's not to say someone from the lower class can't build themselves up to a higher economic level over time -- in fact that's what the tradition normally is as time goes on, wealth increases. Capitalism is the simplest system to help propel someone from a lower class into a higher class, just requires time.
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1193
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Other / Politics & Society / Re: Fluid gender garbage.
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on: April 22, 2022, 01:01:13 AM
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Not really. According to what I've learned, to feel non-binary, is to not feel identified as either male or female, and, in fact, at the conference I attended, one guy who asked a question introduced himself as non-binary. But that's independent of possible gender fluidity. You can feel non-binary and always feel that way, so your gender doesn't (supposedly) flow.
Non-binary just means you don't ascribe a particular identity to a single masculine or feminine facet. The gender fluid people might describe themselves as "male" one day or "female" another day because they think that gender is a spectrum that is free flowing. The term non-binary applies to everything in the middle of absolute "male" and "female" at the far ranges of the spectrum. Someone feels a bit masculine one day, then might feel more feminine another day. None of these labels are objective in any sense so the verbiage might not even be relevant. I can't keep up with it, to be honest. But when LGBT people get angry at people for accidentally "misgendering" them, or when they intentionally try to put people into difficult situations as some political statement, etc., then they're being assholes.
Like this lovely lady? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JdnBV-S-RXk
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1194
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Other / Politics & Society / Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress]
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on: April 22, 2022, 12:41:38 AM
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Very bizarre. Camera rolls over to Putin and then they try to cut out the hand from the shot. Could be unintentional but hand placement is glaringly peculiar. Notice how he is also hunched back in his chair? Almost appears like he can barely even sit down and support himself. This picture was taken February 2022, it shows the same posture. Hand on the table, back leaned on the chair awkwardly.
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1196
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Economy / Economics / Re: Share entry level commodities plays
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on: April 21, 2022, 07:51:59 PM
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You could get yourself some companions and invest in cattle. Have you seen global beef prices? https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/beefNot quite the yearly increase as aluminum, but over a period of 5 years, quite the increase On a more serious note, commodities aren't the most feasible to trade with. The raw materials that manufacturers use to produce goods have increased over the last two years with COVID and they won't be alleviated until the supply chain fully recovers. High demand by manufactures so the price of commodities seem artificially high and should stabilize eventually. Might put a dent in the aluminum HODLers's profits.
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1198
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Other / Politics & Society / Re: Quarantine measures in China, Shanghai
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on: April 21, 2022, 06:33:45 PM
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In early 2020, Chinese citizens were locked inside their apartments, and people starved to death. The "lockdowns" employed by the West was something exported from China. Prior to covid, "lockdowns" were not considered to be something health officials considered to prevent the spread of contagious viruses.
Lockdowns actually work, just not in any colloquial sense or under democratic republics. If you can physically isolate people within their homes and enforce isolation, then the virus can't spread. The issue with any lockdown the West tried was people were still mobile. People still went to the grocery store, to work, out with friends etc and then most transmission would end up happening in the home. The CCP, like with most communists, are okay with letting people die and violating basic human rights, so confining people to their homes and not allowing them to leave even to go to the grocery store was as close to a true lockdown as possibly obtainable. China lied about their numbers, but there was reporting when Wuhan and other regions went into lockdown and when cities began opening up again back in 2020. Seemed like China may be successful in their lockdown strategy as long as they can drive people to to near suicide by physical isolation. If people starve to death, that's just a bonus to them. To think there were authoritarians that wanted to adopt China's method.
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1199
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Economy / Economics / Re: U.S. links North Korean hacker group to $600 million crypto theft
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on: April 20, 2022, 09:41:53 PM
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Is this something new for North Korea? Earlier, I heard that North Korean hackers had stolen the reserves of several countries. What else can I say about such a nation? Except few exception public, I think they mostly appreciate these activities. And a dictator like Kim Jong Un has given the gift as a punished for this.
North Korea sustains its economy on a lot of fraud. They're involved in a lot of USD counterfeiting for some portion of their economy so it's easy to see why they've moved on to crypto fraud. They're being mostly supported by China, because all of their fraud activities would not be enough alone to run the country. What can north korea do with $600 million? They lack the infrastructure and free markets to make effective use of capital. They could sell it on the private market easily, probably to some buyers in China. Crypto currency is massive in China, obviously, and the funds that are rendered from those transactions just go to the top levels of the North Korean government. The folks that are starving or dying from disease won't see a penny of it.
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1200
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Will Bitcoin's price stabilize someday?
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on: April 20, 2022, 09:00:24 PM
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Despite widespread adoption of Bitcoin by mainstream businesses, companies, and governments alike, prices relative to Fiat haven't stabilized yet. This is the issue, Bitcoin's price hasn't stabilized because it hasn't been mass adopted yet. There's a general acceptance by most people that crypto's serve some sort of role, but when you ask people if they're involved in crypto for day-to-day use, they'll tell you no. People are using Bitcoin as an investment oppose to an actual currency, if they use crypto currency at all, so we're not at the point of mass adoption. I consider mass adoption to be the point when Bitcoin acts as the world's reserve currency, toppling USD. Perhaps a big goal, but not unrealistic if you've seen how other currencies are operating at the moment. Once true mass adoption occurs, then the price stabilizes.
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