Bitcoin Forum
April 27, 2024, 04:36:14 AM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
  Home Help Search Login Register More  
  Show Posts
Pages: « 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 [48] 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 »
941  Economy / Lending / Re: Bryan Micon's List of BTC Ponzi Schemes that should not be listed as "Lending" on: August 01, 2012, 02:10:51 PM
A question to all the pirate pass-through operators:

If you're so confident in pirate's investment scheme, why don't you sell insured bonds?
There seems to be a great market for insured pirate bonds paying around 2-3%, and if you let the 4-5% you collected each week compound you'd be in profit by Halloween.

I mean, if you can make an extra 4-5% on the entire sum of all your deposits every week, at absolutely no effort, why aren't you doing it?
The rewards are massive, so if the risk/reward ratio isn't there for you then you clearly perceive an absolutely astronomical default risk  Wink

Alternatively, you could sell pirate bonds paying 2-3% interest compounding over say 4 weeks where just the principal is insured - that cuts your exposure by about 20% and you still make a profit of about 15-25% on your entire fund every single month.

If we're extremely likely to get all invested funds back then why not?  Wink
942  Other / Off-topic / Re: It's mid 2013 - Pirate has cut and run along with his shills - Discuss on: August 01, 2012, 01:58:30 PM
Can we say late 2013 please?  Just so we can also laugh at Vandroiy some more? Smiley



At least by then his rates will have gone down or he'd have liabilities in excess of all the bitcoins that will ever be in circulation, and from where I'm sitting from that wouldn't be very sustainable  Tongue

Bet people would still "invest" in pass-throughs though  Cheesy

Me personally? I just regret not starting something like this myself - right now he's totally free to cut and run with over a million dollars  Cheesy
943  Other / Off-topic / Re: Zhou Tong advertising on BitcoinTalk. on: August 01, 2012, 01:56:02 PM
Would you be so kind as to help me find 1297 Ercole Street Stonington, ME 04134 on a map? Any map? Even a relic one.

http://whois.domaintools.com/dailycheckout.com

http://www.dailycheckout.com/faq.asp?#100003
^you were looking for Roy Ditmas, you could do worse than call this number  Wink
944  Other / Off-topic / Re: Small farms - how do they survive? on: August 01, 2012, 01:50:34 PM
15 acres may be a little small for wheat, but grow pot and you'll be in business  Tongue
945  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] TEEK.PPT - BTCST Pass-Through by TEEK - Launches today! on: July 31, 2012, 03:29:14 PM
Now if only there was a way to short these  Cheesy
946  Economy / Long-term offers / Re: [BitcoinMax.com] Paying 6.9% per week... Small accounts welcome. on: July 31, 2012, 02:24:27 PM
Bitcoinmax paid out interest but only accountingwise as nothing went in the blockchain ?

Mine at least has gone but never actually entered any block.

Whats about you guys?

payb.tc paid interest on paper, but not on the blockchain.

pirate paid all his lenders except payb.tc.

payb.tc can't and won't pay his lenders until pirate pays payb.tc.

payb.tc has a lot of coins with pirate, and so gets a lot of interest each week.

Pirate probably needs new investment before he can pay the interest.  10K BTC should cover it.


the first wave of late payments is not a good sign
if i had funds invested  i would bail out now
its pretty obvious that the people on the last couple of levels are not going to get their principal back never mind any interest

Last week bitcoinmax was one of the first to be paid by BS&T.  59% of the interest paid to bitcoinmax was immediately reinvested in BS&T, and that reinvestment was then used to pay the interest on other BS&T accounts.

I wonder why the same scheme wasn't used this week since it worked so well last week.
So Bitcoinmax has exposure equal to >100k BTC?
Hmmm...
947  Economy / Lending / Re: Bryan Micon's List of BTC Ponzi Schemes that should not be listed as "Lending" on: July 31, 2012, 12:42:57 PM
Hey Micon, surely this interests you:

i did not receive my interest yet but the bitcoin max has already process the payment

any updates on pirate40 ?

He just got back from vegas and had a few personal issues to take care of.  Payouts were delayed, but were sent out a few hours ago.

but not to me yet for some reason.

i'm starting to wonder if i'm the only one who hasn't got their BST payment yet.


just so you all know... there are now 30 outstanding withdrawal requests, some of which are quite large.

i will still be processing these in order, as deposits become available, but there will be significant delays if you're only on the recent end of that list.

948  Economy / Long-term offers / Re: [BitcoinMax.com] Paying 6.9% per week... Small accounts welcome. on: July 31, 2012, 12:41:44 PM
Pirate probably needs new investment before he can pay the interest.  10K BTC should cover it.
Cheesy

What could possibly go wrong?  Wink
949  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: HOLY SHIT BTC-E.COM hit $40 per BTC! on: July 31, 2012, 02:36:06 AM
This is probably not good news, but check on the spike on the picture, and the timing of it:



Somebody is cleaning house I believe. I think those trying to deposit and speculate are in for a rude awakening.
Not really. I was able to withdraw from btce many minutes after the price spiked to 40s.
Suggesting that they probably don't have cold storage in place - sounds an awful lot like the maximum amount that can be withdrawn is everything on the exchange.

Are people still getting BTC out?
Does anyone there even still have any?  Cheesy
950  Economy / Currency exchange / Re: Selling $498 BTC-e for Dwolla, MtGox, or BTC equivalent. on: July 31, 2012, 02:32:32 AM
In the spirit of bidding based on your actual chances of seeing that money again, I bid 10 satoshis.
That's right, I've made this into a reverse auction.
951  Economy / Speculation / Re: 1DkyBEKt5S2GDtv7aQw6rQepAvnsRyHoYM on: July 31, 2012, 02:28:30 AM
There's been some movement on some of the big addresses I pointed out here:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=94675.msg1065019#msg1065019

One of them I suspect is just a passthrough as it makes a lot of small payments, but there's large amounts still moving in and out of the bigger ones too.
952  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Gamma Insured Pirate Pass Through on: July 31, 2012, 01:53:09 AM
I really do wish you the best of luck but surely the fact that I'm more interested in the assets you're buying as insurance than the assets that make up the yield-paying bond tells you something  Wink
That is, with Pirate's current level of deposits and assuming trust account interest stays where it is Pirate's liabilities will increase by about 1 million BTC in the time taken for you to break even.

Best of luck  Wink
953  Economy / Lending / Re: Bryan Micon's List of BTC Ponzi Schemes that should not be listed as "Lending" on: July 31, 2012, 01:47:53 AM
3) I know exactly what he is doing, how he does it and why.  It is not a ponzi. It is a a legit business taking advantage of a rare economic opportunity that was just explained to you better and more detail than I have seen anywhere else.
Then why aren't YOU doing it?
Someone drops a business opportunity in your lap that pays >3000% APR and you're NOT already a competitor?
954  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Gamma Insured Pirate Pass Through on: July 30, 2012, 11:18:44 PM
But you have the 5000 BTC in backing already rallied up somewhere and the second BTC to be deposited at pirate will anyways come from users, not you?

Also, will the BTC that are insurance backing and that are "invested" somewhere completely pirate free? It might be the case that they are "invested" in a hidden PPT and in the case of a default would take down the person holding the backing too!
Indeed, that is the case.
We will do out best to find lenders with as low pirate exposure as possible, but to be honest it's hard to find anyone that's totally free from exposure, as there's both indirect and direct exposure levels. We will make sure that the lenders realize that it will be used to back a pirate default and hence can not be involved in pirate investments. In the case where the deposits fail to payout, INAU will go in and pay his debt personally.
//DeaDTerra
Any chance you can give us a breakdown (even in % terms) of where the insurance funds will be kept?
955  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Gamma Insured Pirate Pass Through on: July 30, 2012, 11:15:56 PM
Instead of getting 2.5% with your scheme, I could get ~7% on 1 BTC (e.g. with FOO.PPPPT) and deposit a second BTC in cold storage, bringing my total profit per week to ~3.5%. How is 2.5% a good deal?

Let's look at a scenario in which pirate defaults in just 4 weeks for simple maths:

You put 200 BTC in here - you end up with 220.762 BTC, you're +20.762

You put 100 BTC with pirate, and 100 BTC locked away, paying half your interest into the cold storage coins each week to keep your insured amount level - each amount goes up to 114.752 BTC, so you had 229, but you just lost half, so you're -85.25.

With a bit of maths, we can see that it'd take 71 weeks for your pirate funds to "catch up" so that you'd be better off after a default with your method.

Straightforward enough?
956  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Gamma Insured Pirate Pass Through on: July 30, 2012, 10:52:54 PM
Is there some way to guarantee payment in the event of a default? Will coins be kept in escrow, do you have other assets that would fund it or what?

I'm interested, but I need to be confident that the insurer can cough up >5000BTC at short notice in the event of a BTCST default.

From my perspective here, what you're offering is essentially a weekly CDS at a rate of 4.5% per week (not unreasonable given the risks involved). Would you consider selling CDS outright? (that is, say, I pay you 4.5BTC/week and in return you guarantee payment of 100BTC if pirate defaults). I'm not sure GLBSE has a way to offer that but I'm sure there would be interest.


But yeah, I'll buy some if you can make me confident that the insurance can and will be honoured in a timely manner in the event of default  Wink
957  Economy / Economics / Re: Even if PirateAt40 is running a Ponzi maybe it's good? on: July 30, 2012, 10:19:24 PM
The problem as I see it is this:

People on here complain about fractional-reserve banking - well how many in the "Lending" thread are doing just that?

*Full Disclosure: I have a very small account with Patrick Harnett, whom I know has 10K exposure or so to BTCST, but to my knowledge (and as Patrick has stated) investors funds are not directly exposed to BTCST*

It seems that many of the companies on the forum hold undisclosed exposure to various lenders, some of whom may be "robbing peter to pay paul" but at the very least they're loaning this out to others who spend it in the bitcoin economy, these funds then often finding their way back to other investment funds and increasing their liability.

The problem with all fractional reserve systems with fixed interest-rate savings, whether the major banking system or in a small economy like this one, is that a major default (Lehman triggered it in '08) could bring the whole system crashing down and leave depositors with either nothing or massive haircuts on the wealth they thought they had.

We end up with a situation here whereby debt is effectively being made into a form of currency in BTC terms, so if things continue as they are we could easily end up with a situation in which over 21M BTC is owed between various people in the BTC economy.

Whilst I think this is the way it's going to end up going regardless, I do find it alarming that people are slowly starting to invest in debt with ever-increasing leverage, particularly to completely unknown borrowers (and often on a massive scale - BTCST has been able to take in millions of dollars and nobody has enough info to track the guy down if he left).
958  Economy / Lending / Re: Bryan Micon's List of BTC Ponzi Schemes that should not be listed as "Lending" on: July 30, 2012, 10:05:38 PM
Wow. Just noticed there are multiple pass through's to Pirates BS&T. House of cards will come down.

Watch out for the falling knife investors!!
What's startling is the sheer size of the operation.
We're talking >200K BTC just in various pass-throughs and "trust accounts" before we even start talking about people's own BTCST accounts (published or otherwise).
959  Bitcoin / Meetups / Re: Look at a pirate, eye to eye if you dare. on: July 30, 2012, 07:50:44 PM
Okay, here's a different question:

Has anyone who isn't affiliated with a pirate pass-through of some sort come forward and said that they met him in Vegas?

I will corroborate the claims of GigaVPS, Burt, etc., that they met me, and transitively, I met a person who may be Pirate and met the reasonable standards of identification of the person most commonly associated with that forum username.  I do not manage a pass-through.
Sweet.
Thankyou for going some way towards answering my question rather than attacking me for practising due diligence  Roll Eyes
Well that's something I guess.

Truth is, I'd love to get rates of >5% weekly on my coins, but I have a long-standing policy that if I'm going to give someone serious cash (Let's say, more than a week's pay) then I need enough information that I can either sue them if it all goes wrong or head over to their house with a cricket bat  Wink
960  Bitcoin / Meetups / Re: Look at a pirate, eye to eye if you dare. on: July 30, 2012, 07:25:43 PM
Okay, here's a different question:

Has anyone who isn't affiliated with a pirate pass-through of some sort come forward and said that they met him in Vegas?

Cmon dude, he was there. This isn't Oliver Stone's JFK.

really honest bob? It seems a relevant question, regardless of whether he was there or not...
I think there is a list of everyone that was there up in the thread.  Do you trust any of them?  One of the guys brought his girlfriend with him.  I talked to her a bit.  She was very level headed and very intelligent.  Would you trust her?
It's a very simple question:

"Has anyone who isn't affiliated with a pirate pass-through of some sort come forward and said that they met him in Vegas?"

Right now I'm forced to assume that the answer is no.

More relevant is who he showed to and what kind of environment it was. Conmen are masters at managing their environment, and it seems like he excluded a person (teflone) who wasn't even particularly antagonistic. I'm not arguing that you or giga/etc didn't see pirate in Vegas, I'm just trying to understand if any new information was actually gained. Right now, it seems no.

edit: also, I fail to see how you mentioning a girlfriend being present is at all relevant...
Also this.
At the end of the day, this guy is handling millions of dollars of other people's money.
I don't see why there should be an issue with a little transparency if everything's on the level.

Okay, here's a different question:

Has anyone who isn't affiliated with a pirate pass-through of some sort come forward and said that they met him in Vegas?

Cmon dude, he was there. This isn't Oliver Stone's JFK.

really honest bob? It seems a relevant question, regardless of whether he was there or not...

Not trying to be rude, sorry.

But it seems like it's only a relevant question if everyone who says they saw him are actually in a massive conspiracy, and Pirate never showed. Which is not the case.
I was looking at it more along the lines of "Did he show his face to anyone who isn't directly involved and profiting from the spread of his scheme?"
Pages: « 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 [48] 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 »
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!