I thought I would just give you an update, I added my monitor to BitDefender like the other person and no errors.
Very good, thanks! M |
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AntMiner S3 NEWS
The Second Batch of AntMiner S3 runs out of stock. The Second Batch of AntMiner S3 is still in stock!!!
The Third Batch of S3 sales price is dropped to 0.725 BTC each with international shipping, which will open sales at 22:00 pm on July 4th (UTM + 8 ). The Third Batch is most likely to be shipped before July 20th, but no more than one or two days delay may happen.
This is still too expensive. You'll have to do better than this to get an order from me. M |
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S3 is still too expensive, especially when delivery is not immediately.
I hope they will release coupons soon !
At the moment, what other device under 1BTC is a better price than AntMiner s3? It may not be the perfect price for ROI but I can't seem to find anything better. Please post other options in the 500GH range. Really like the simplicity of AntMiners with only a network cable and 2 power plugs. My 2 s1's run none stop without issues. The new s3 looks sexy with the new cover. BTCBTCDoubleDD Tell you what. Sent me 1.5 BTC. Over the course of the next 2 months I'll send you 1.3 BTC back. I think it's quite the deal, you'll probably do better than you would with an S3, and no noise or electric bill! The address is in my sig. M |
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I must say, in the nicest way possible, that this thread now sounds like a bunch of fellas peering (no pun intended) at the tea leaves hoping against hope to find some glimmer of a reason to believe that the S3, and bitcoin mining in general with current generation (or next generation) equipment will retain the smattering of microscopic profitability that machines like the S1 had for just long enough that they can rationalize buying more gear to themselves before they have to accept that it is utterly and absolutely impossible to make even a few satoshis in profit over the lifetime of new gear.
You can always just tell the missus: Sorry honey, the guys on bitcointalk talked me into it.
 The price is too high. I'm not in. Bitmain needs to lower it a few notches if they want my coin. M |
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The estimate gets more accurate as we get closer to the next difficulty change. If difficulty were to change now, there would be a 6% decrease.
This is exactly the same as ignoring the previous difficulty entirely and just using the time delta between blocks since it changed - the only difference is it produces wild swinging numbers for the first few days, instead of an arbitrary steady number that relies on irrelevant data. lol. Actually it's only wild swinging numbers for about 24 hours, then it starts to steady out. And it gets more accurate as time goes by. Last difficulty within a few days of change it was saying 15%. And you have to ignore the prior difficulty entirely... M |
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I put this math is my app (M's Pool Monitor) quite a while ago and have been watching it as the difficulty changes. It's spot on every time, because it's math. That's why I said with certainty in the post above that I don't see how it would be 30% increase 3 days before when the math said otherwise.
M
EDIT: I put the math in my app because none of the sites I looked at gave accurate estimates. Every single one was wrong, every single time.
If your estimations were spot on then why is it saying there will be a 6% decrease? If you look at the second graph on bitcoin wisdom you'll notice that they are pretty accurate. The estimate gets more accurate as we get closer to the next difficulty change. If difficulty were to change now, there would be a 6% decrease. M |
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A single sample will not prove you true or its not scientific.
It can be coincidence. You put you current calculations and look at next change.
At the near of difficulty change they too come to the same %.
I put this math is my app (M's Pool Monitor) quite a while ago and have been watching it as the difficulty changes. It's spot on every time, because it's math. That's why I said with certainty in the post above that I don't see how it would be 30% increase 3 days before when the math said otherwise. M EDIT: I put the math in my app because none of the sites I looked at gave accurate estimates. Every single one was wrong, every single time. |
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Quite the contrary. There is such a thing as doing the math. Get the timestamp of the last block solved before the difficulty change. Get the timestamp of the last block solved. Subtract the 1st one from the 2nd one. Divide that by the numbers of blocks solved since the last change. That's how often the network is solving blocks since last change. You'll see that number works out to 10.59 minutes per block so far. Last change, 3 days before, bitcoinwisdom was saying 30%. My math was saying 23.6% at the time, and I figured it would likely increase a little more, but certainly not 6% more. Actual increase? 24.93%. https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=656461.msg7517267#msg7517267M This is just a much less accurate way of estimating the hashrate. Everyone knows that difficulty adjusts to 10 minutes per block based on the time it took to find the last 2016 blocks. With your estimations you will always see a ~0% increase immediately after difficulty increases because that is the whole point of the difficulty adjustments. Right now your "math" is suggesting that there will be a 6% decrease. I am willing to bet that that will not happen. I'm not seeing how it's much less accurate. How would you accurately predict what the next change will be? Without math, it's guess work. My math gets more accurate as we get closer to 2016. It's only been 4 days since last change. Odds are we won't have a decrease. But suggesting that the 11% predicted on bitcoinwisdom is accurate is crazy. M |
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I don't understand why people keep referencing this website. I proved it was wrong last change. It called a 30%+ increase 3 days before the change, when the numbers showed about 24% - 25%. Right now the numbers are showing a decrease in difficulty.. but this website seems to be arbitrarily picking 11% increase. M It's not arbitrary at all. Bitcoinwisdom bases it's estimation on the time it took to find the last 2016 blocks just like bitcoin does. If it is using the last 2016, that's why it's wrong. The last 2016 only matter when it's 2016 blocks since last change. It should be using the number of blocks since last change, and it's clearly not. M |
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I don't understand why people keep referencing this website. I proved it was wrong last change. It called a 30%+ increase 3 days before the change, when the numbers showed about 24% - 25%. Right now the numbers are showing a decrease in difficulty.. but this website seems to be arbitrarily picking 11% increase. M It's not arbitrary at all. Bitcoinwisdom bases it's estimation on the time it took to find the last 2016 blocks just like bitcoin does. Do the math yourself. I did for the last change, and proved it wrong. M There is no such thing as "doing the math". What you are doing is called astrology. Quite the contrary. There is such a thing as doing the math. Get the timestamp of the last block solved before the difficulty change. Get the timestamp of the last block solved. Subtract the 1st one from the 2nd one. Divide that by the numbers of blocks solved since the last change. That's how often the network is solving blocks since last change. You'll see that number works out to 10.59 minutes per block so far. Last change, 3 days before, bitcoinwisdom was saying 30%. My math was saying 23.6% at the time, and I figured it would likely increase a little more, but certainly not 6% more. Actual increase? 24.93%. https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=656461.msg7517267#msg7517267M |
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Hi, have an old issue, doesn't matter platform (xp, or win7) 32 bit and/or 64bit system.
PJ:API ERROR & word "Zero" across the top, and recently in the preview window, only displays 5 of 10 miner workers.
I'm using BTCGuild's API. Have download the pgm several times, but can't get past this.
also, with using the blockchain.info the calculate/save doesn't not work for me...
any thoughts or advise?
Thanks,
Your sharecounts are causing an internal sign 32-bit variable to overflow. I'm working on changed it to unsigned 64-bit. In the meantime, if you reset your share counts on BTCG, the problem should go away. Or you can wait until I've had time to test my fix. M |
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I don't understand why people keep referencing this website. I proved it was wrong last change. It called a 30%+ increase 3 days before the change, when the numbers showed about 24% - 25%. Right now the numbers are showing a decrease in difficulty.. but this website seems to be arbitrarily picking 11% increase. M It's not arbitrary at all. Bitcoinwisdom bases it's estimation on the time it took to find the last 2016 blocks just like bitcoin does. Do the math yourself. I did for the last change, and proved it wrong. M |
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I don't understand why people keep referencing this website. I proved it was wrong last change. It called a 30%+ increase 3 days before the change, when the numbers showed about 24% - 25%. Right now the numbers are showing a decrease in difficulty.. but this website seems to be arbitrarily picking 11% increase. M |
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accidentally double clicked on an ant in the config page and got an unhandled exception, clicking continue it seemed to continue to work fine.
Looks like if you remove ants from config it will only display properly next time you start the program.
Might be nice to have in the right click menu on the ants page to have option to goto antminer webpage.
What's really odd is that I just started getting the unhandled exception now where it was fine before.
Thanks. I'll have to think about this. M |
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Wow that last diff rise sure did slow things down. The entire bitcoin network hasn't discovered a block in over an hour...
That happens about 2-3 times a month. Well just burst my bubble... I'm shocked at the network growth rate now. I have to say, I'm pretty happy about the apparent slowdown. I hope that it's more that the previous difficulty adjustment had a large period of good luck for the network, as opposed to the 25% just being an actual network increase and this is a period of bad luck.
Agreed It's been a few days now since the last difficulty change. So far, atleast according to the data I'm getting from blockchain.info, we're actually slated for a decrease next round. Of course there is a long way to go to next change... but it quite the opposite from last time where it immediately looked like 15%+ within a few days. M |
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Hey Guys...I hope I am asking in the right area. Looks like we got a block, how come, my estimated payout... and the the section that says if a block were found now..... Did not even come close to that number not even half?  Just trying to understand it...... Its so low payout..... makes it not worth giving this much time to a pool??? Can anyone help me understated a bit better without writing a book??? I want to stay with this as I love it, but the electric bills over 1200.00 cant let me make 20.00 a day? ? Thanks so much in advance.... how long have you been mining with p2pool? it takes about 3 days to get up to par with the estimated payout because of the PPLNS. 1200 electric bill? that's either some seriously expensive electricity, or some serious hashrate. M |
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Hi, have an old issue, doesn't matter platform (xp, or win7) 32 bit and/or 64bit system.
PJ:API ERROR & word "Zero" across the top, and recently in the preview window, only displays 5 of 10 miner workers.
I'm using BTCGuild's API. Have download the pgm several times, but can't get past this.
also, with using the blockchain.info the calculate/save doesn't not work for me...
any thoughts or advise?
Thanks,
Hi, using v3.9? That's curious. API ERROR usually means it's having a problem parsing the API. I just turned on my BTCGuild check and it worked for me, but I only have 2 workers there. If you PM me your API key, I'll see if I can reproduce the problem. As of now blockchain.info is having problems, so the calculate button probably isn't going to work right. M |
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The S3 is priced too high, IMHO. I likely won't be getting one anytime soon. If someone happens upon a coupon, though, let me know, and I might change my mind. M |
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guys did it work to monitor Antminer U2 _USB as well? did anyone tested with U2
Just the S1 and S2. cgminer displays the info you need for the U2, and there are tools available to watch cgminer. M |
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