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1  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: February 03, 2018, 07:59:14 AM
Data points:   2751
BETI ATL   -2.229
BETI ATH   1.868
   
Date:   2-Feb-2018
BETI:   -0.017
VWAP:   8409.31
x:   2,757
a:   0.003332
b:   -0.133646
Rsq:   0.844363
Expected price:   8552.27
Actual price / expected price:   98.33%
BETI ATL price:   920.76
BETI ATH price:   55366.22
Expected date:   27-Jan-2018
# of days ahead:   -5.06
Daily VWAP rank:   69
Next expected price:   8580.82
   
   
   
   
Real-time expected (BETI 0) price   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+(+0.00333246202503819++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.133646037590367+)
   
Real-time BETI   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=ln(BTC%2FUSD)-(+0.00333246202503819++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.133646037590367+)
   
   
   
-2.25   901.40
-2.00   1157.42
-1.75   1486.16
-1.50   1908.27
-1.25   2450.27
-1.00   3146.20
-0.75   4039.81
-0.50   5187.21
-0.25   6660.51
0.00   8552.27
0.25   10981.33
0.50   14100.31
0.75   18105.15
1.00   23247.47
1.25   29850.35
1.50   38328.61
1.75   49214.90
2.00   63193.19
2  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: February 02, 2018, 08:42:17 PM
3  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: February 02, 2018, 08:38:17 PM
Data points:   2750
BETI ATL   -2.229
BETI ATH   1.868
   
Date:   1-Feb-2018
BETI:   0.079
VWAP:   9222.28
x:   2,756
a:   0.003332
b:   -0.133658
Rsq:   0.844221
Expected price:   8524.02
Actual price / expected price:   108.19%
BETI ATL price:   917.71
BETI ATH price:   55183.37
Expected date:   24-Feb-2018
# of days ahead:   23.63
Daily VWAP rank:   67
Next expected price:   8552.48
   
   
   
   
Real-time expected (BETI 0) price   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+(+0.00333247535531788++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.133658310144118+)
   
Real-time BETI   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=ln(BTC%2FUSD)-(+0.00333247535531788++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.133658310144118+)
   
   
-1.00   3135.81
-0.75   4026.46
-0.50   5170.08
-0.25   6638.52
0.00   8524.02
0.25   10945.06
0.50   14053.74
0.75   18045.36
1.00   23170.70
1.25   29751.77
1.50   38202.02
1.75   49052.37
2.00   62984.49
2.25   80873.68
2.50   103843.87
4  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: January 06, 2018, 10:40:58 AM
Date:   5-Jan-2018
BETI:   0.735
VWAP:   15982.36
x:   2,729
a:   0.003324
b:   -0.125535
Rsq:   0.839788
Expected price:   7666.08
Actual price / expected price:   208.48%
BETI ATL price:   825.35
BETI ATH price:   49629.15
Expected date:   14-Aug-2018
# of days ahead:   221.05
Daily VWAP rank:   12
Next expected price:   7691.60
   
   
   
   
Real-time expected (BETI 0) price   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+(+0.00332359690643079++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.125535379095505+)
   
Real-time BETI   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=ln(BTC%2FUSD)-(+0.00332359690643079++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.125535379095505+)
   
   
-1.00   2820.19
-0.75   3621.20
-0.50   4649.71
-0.25   5970.35
0.00   7666.08
0.25   9843.44
0.50   12639.23
0.75   16229.09
1.00   20838.56
1.25   26757.25
1.50   34356.98
1.75   44115.24
2.00   56645.09
2.25   72733.73
2.50   93391.96
5  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: December 27, 2017, 08:27:54 AM
Date:   26-Dec-2017
BETI:   0.737
VWAP:   15342.51
x:   2,719
a:   0.003318
b:   -0.120775
Rsq:   0.838035
Expected price:   7345.61
Actual price / expected price:   208.87%
BETI ATL price:   790.84
BETI ATH price:   47554.46
Expected date:   4-Aug-2018
# of days ahead:   221.95
Daily VWAP rank:   12
Next expected price:   7370.02
   
   
   
   
Real-time expected (BETI 0) price   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+(+0.00331836433279664++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.120774828196607+)
   
Real-time BETI   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=ln(BTC%2FUSD)-(+0.00331836433279664++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.120774828196607+)
   
   
-1.00   2702.30
-0.75   3469.82
-0.50   4455.34
-0.25   5720.76
0.00   7345.61
0.25   9431.95
0.50   12110.86
0.75   15550.65
1.00   19967.43
1.25   25638.69
1.50   32920.73
1.75   42271.05
2.00   54277.11
2.25   69693.18
2.50   89487.82
6  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: December 26, 2017, 04:11:51 AM
7  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: December 26, 2017, 04:10:02 AM
Date:   25-Dec-2017
BETI:   0.646
VWAP:   13951.90
x:   2,718
a:   0.003318
b:   -0.120231
Rsq:   0.837857
Expected price:   7313.34
Actual price / expected price:   190.77%
BETI ATL price:   787.37
BETI ATH price:   47345.58
Expected date:   7-Jul-2018
# of days ahead:   194.68
Daily VWAP rank:   17
Next expected price:   7337.65
   
   
   
   
Real-time expected (BETI 0) price   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+(+0.00331776554231735++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.120231157798937+)
   
Real-time BETI   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=ln(BTC%2FUSD)-(+0.00331776554231735++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.120231157798937+)
   
   
-1.00   2690.43
-0.75   3454.58
-0.50   4435.77
-0.25   5695.64
0.00   7313.34
0.25   9390.52
0.50   12057.66
0.75   15482.34
1.00   19879.72
1.25   25526.07
1.50   32776.12
1.75   42085.38
2.00   54038.69
2.25   69387.05
2.50   89094.74
8  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: December 24, 2017, 06:08:45 AM
Date:   23-Dec-2017
BETI:   0.712
VWAP:   14785.39
x:   2,716
a:   0.003317
b:   -0.119297
Rsq:   0.837503
Expected price:   7251.46
Actual price / expected price:   203.90%
BETI ATL price:   780.71
BETI ATH price:   46944.96
Expected date:   25-Jul-2018
# of days ahead:   214.80
Daily VWAP rank:   14
Next expected price:   7275.55
   
   
   
   
Real-time expected (BETI 0) price   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+(+0.00331673595762062++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.119296861590734+)
   
Real-time BETI   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=ln(BTC%2FUSD)-(+0.00331673595762062++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.119296861590734+)
   
   
-1.00   2667.66
-0.75   3425.35
-0.50   4398.23
-0.25   5647.44
0.00   7251.46
0.25   9311.06
0.50   11955.64
0.75   15351.34
1.00   19711.51
1.25   25310.08
1.50   32498.79
1.75   41729.27
2.00   53581.44
2.25   68799.93
2.50   88340.86
9  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: December 24, 2017, 06:05:57 AM
I don't think BETI pattern in 2011 is particularly useful since it was the beginning of the chart and was not very stable.
Looking at all previous spikes which went above 0.5, when they came down, they always at least touched 0....
I wonder if that applies to this time round...

Anything can happen, but what I don't get is how two people can look at the same drawn chart and see two opposite things.
This is what i see:

In 2011, i see a sharp downturn from about 1.28 to 0.8, then upwards to eventually largest peak at around 1.87.
So, why a relatively small wiggle (so far) suggests to you that it has to go all the way to zero?

It can go to BETI at zero, which would be around 7300, but i don't see 100% probability of this in the chart.
My favorite scenario would be something rhyming with the 2011 chart:

Down to 8-8.5K, up to 12-13K, down again to 9.5-10K, then upwards to the moon (at or above 1.87, which likely to be 60-70K at that point).
This scenario would suggest that in interim both bulls and bears would be exhausted by the rapid turns.
10  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: December 23, 2017, 09:43:49 PM
11  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: December 23, 2017, 09:41:37 PM
Date:   22-Dec-2017
BETI:   0.622
VWAP:   13441.46
x:   2,715
a:   0.003316
b:   -0.118770
Rsq:   0.837325
Expected price:   7219.87
Actual price / expected price:   186.17%
BETI ATL price:   777.31
BETI ATH price:   46740.43
Expected date:   27-Jun-2018
# of days ahead:   187.42
Daily VWAP rank:   16
Next expected price:   7243.85
   
   
   
   
Real-time expected (BETI 0) price   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+(+0.00331615547164061++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.118770392977885+)
Real-time BETI   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=ln(BTC%2FUSD)-(+0.00331615547164061++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.118770392977885+)
   
   
   
0.5   11903.55
1.0   19625.63
1.5   32357.20
2.0   53348.00
2.5   87955.98
12  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: December 18, 2017, 06:21:25 PM
Date:   17-Dec-2017
BETI:   0.996
VWAP:   19110.24
x:   2,710
a:   0.003313
b:   -0.115689
Rsq:   0.836426
Expected price:   7057.70
Actual price / expected price:   270.77%
BETI ATL price:   759.85
BETI ATH price:   45690.60
Expected date:   13-Oct-2018
# of days ahead:   300.69
Daily VWAP rank:   1
Next expected price:   7081.12
   
   
   
   
Real-time expected (BETI 0) price   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+(+0.00331275421780906++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.115689279585926+)
Real-time BETI   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=ln(BTC%2FUSD)-(+0.00331275421780906++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.115689279585926+)
   
   
   
0.5   11636.18
1.0   19184.82
1.5   31630.42
2.0   52149.75
2.5   85980.40
13  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: December 13, 2017, 04:36:27 PM
Date:   12-Dec-2017
BETI:   0.894
VWAP:   16854.88
x:   2,705
a:   0.003309
b:   -0.112290
Rsq:   0.835519
Expected price:   6894.93
Actual price / expected price:   244.45%
BETI ATL price:   742.32
BETI ATH price:   44636.81
Expected date:   8-Sep-2018
# of days ahead:   270.13
Daily VWAP rank:   1
Next expected price:   6917.78
   
   
   
   
Real-time expected (BETI 0) price   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+(+0.00330899465601419++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.112289520882862+)
Real-time BETI   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=ln(BTC%2FUSD)-(+0.00330899465601419++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.112289520882862+)
   
   
   
0.5   11367.81
1.0   18742.35
1.5   30900.91
2.0   50946.99
2.5   83997.39
14  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: December 12, 2017, 03:40:01 AM
Date:   11-Dec-2017
BETI:   0.865
VWAP:   16293.32
x:   2,704
a:   0.003308
b:   -0.111626
Rsq:   0.835337
Expected price:   6863.07
Actual price / expected price:   237.41%
BETI ATL price:   738.89
BETI ATH price:   44430.57
Expected date:   29-Aug-2018
# of days ahead:   261.35
Daily VWAP rank:   1
Next expected price:   6885.81
   
   
   
   
Real-time expected (BETI 0) price   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+(+0.00330826042421309++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.111626313775941+)
Real-time BETI   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=ln(BTC%2FUSD)-(+0.00330826042421309++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.111626313775941+)
   
   
   
0.5   11315.29
1.0   18655.75
1.5   30758.14
2.0   50711.60
2.5   83609.29
15  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: December 12, 2017, 03:39:13 AM
Date:   10-Dec-2017
BETI:   0.734
VWAP:   14233.61

   
0.5   11263.50
1.0   18570.36
1.5   30617.35
2.0   50479.48
2.5   83226.60

jl2012 could you do a quote like this for what 0.5 - 2.5 would be around August 9th 2018? I'm curious how it lines up if this fractal plays out from mid 2012 - 2014:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/YRZvdurN-The-target-of-current-bubble-lays-between-40k-and-110k/

It is not possible because the regression parameters change as the price changes
16  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: December 11, 2017, 10:44:00 AM
Date:   10-Dec-2017
BETI:   0.734
VWAP:   14233.61
x:   2,703
a:   0.003308
b:   -0.110985
Rsq:   0.835154
Expected price:   6831.66
Actual price / expected price:   208.35%
BETI ATL price:   735.51
BETI ATH price:   44227.20
Expected date:   19-Jul-2018
# of days ahead:   221.93
Daily VWAP rank:   4
Next expected price:   6854.29
   
   
   
   
Real-time expected (BETI 0) price   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+(+0.00330754969717765++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.110984575379508+)
Real-time BETI   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=ln(BTC%2FUSD)-(+0.00330754969717765++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.110984575379508+)
   
   
   
0.5   11263.50
1.0   18570.36
1.5   30617.35
2.0   50479.48
2.5   83226.60
17  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: December 09, 2017, 07:04:50 AM
Can i see the data somewhere, how many days we were ahead of trend in previous bubbles? this could be an could indicator aswell.

18  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: December 09, 2017, 06:55:24 AM
Date:   8-Dec-2017
BETI:   0.814
VWAP:   15285.20
x:   2,701
a:   0.003306
b:   -0.109882
Rsq:   0.834790
Expected price:   6771.72
Actual price / expected price:   225.72%
BETI ATL price:   729.06
BETI ATH price:   43839.18
Expected date:   11-Aug-2018
# of days ahead:   246.23
Daily VWAP rank:   1
Next expected price:   6794.15
   
   
   
   
Real-time expected (BETI 0) price   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+(+0.00330632819933669++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.109882260466145+)
Real-time BETI   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=ln(BTC%2FUSD)-(+0.00330632819933669++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.109882260466145+)
   
   
   
0.5   11164.68
1.0   18407.44
1.5   30348.74
2.0   50036.61
2.5   82496.42
19  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: December 08, 2017, 04:16:49 AM


BETI is going up vertically, and 1-1.5 seems possible

Since the thread was started in Feb 2014, this is the first time that the model is tested in a bubble. In 2015 it has been tested in a deer bear market and worked very well
20  Economy / Speculation / Re: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis on: December 08, 2017, 04:00:30 AM
Date:   7-Dec-2017
BETI:   0.789
VWAP:   14840.19
x:   2,700
a:   0.003306
b:   -0.109277
Rsq:   0.834606
Expected price:   6741.23
Actual price / expected price:   220.14%
BETI ATL price:   725.78
BETI ATH price:   43641.81
Expected date:   2-Aug-2018
# of days ahead:   238.71
Daily VWAP rank:   1
Next expected price:   6763.55
   
   
   
   
Real-time expected (BETI 0) price   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+(+0.00330565747461043++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.109277314242136+)

Real-time BETI   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=ln(BTC%2FUSD)-(+0.00330565747461043++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.109277314242136+)
   
   
   
0.5   11114.41
1.0   18324.57
1.5   30212.10
2.0   49811.34
2.5   82125.01
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