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1  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What is you research process for events like bitcoin halving ? on: May 02, 2024, 05:37:46 PM
Researching the halving depends on what your "end game" is.

If you plan on HODL'ing for the long term there really isnt anything to research other than
when its going to happen, what block height. HODL'ing long term means your belief is that
Bitcoin will continue to increase in value.

There are so many places to get your information regarding a halving. If you want past market
trends pre and post halving the easiest way I suppose would be to determine the dates they
happened . . .

Quote
1st Bitcoin halving date — November 28, 2012 — Reward down: 50 BTC to 25 BTC

2nd Bitcoin halving date — July 9, 2016 — Reward down:  25 BTC to 12.5 BTC

3rd Bitcoin halving date — May 11, 2020 — Reward down:  12.5 BTC to 6.25 BTC

4th Bitcoin halving date — April 19, 2024 — Reward down: 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC

swanbitcoin.com

then cross reference these with coinmarketcap.com . . .

Here is the first one



2  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Rugby] Union / League / Super / Sixes Sevens Pro14 / Cups & Tours / Olympics on: May 02, 2024, 05:05:38 PM

During the week, the Rabbitohs have sacked their coach as they have had just one win this season.  Tonight, the Rabbitohs are going to be up against the Panthers who as we know are firming up as finals contenders yet again.


Another big score difference Rabbitohs 12 - 42 Panthers. They go up to second spot  . . . temporarily.

It looks like Wayne Bennett is going in to replace Jason Demetriou. I remember Timelord saying something
about Bennett a few years ago. Anyway he is back in to try and turn the ship around.

Big match coming up tomorrow for both the Broncos and Roosters, Broncos are favourite at home.
Wests Tigers need a big game away to the Bulldogs and are big underdogs @ 3.35

Big game too for the Dolphins to try and stay up when they play the Cowboys, you have them to win
and they are underdogs away to the Cowboys.

3  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: May 02, 2024, 10:59:41 AM
Many surprises during this tournament, since all favourites (top players) are out now...
Only Medvedev (3) is still on route for the title...

Sinner is out due hip injury/pain will not play against FAA.
Personally I think this was a very easy match for him... nice chance for FAA to try to reach the final of this ATP 1000.
I hope I will have the chance to see him play in Roma Roll Eyes during Internazionali...


Is there a chance Sinner is taking a precautionary measure to withdraw here to minimise the
risk of getting injured before Rome?
I heard him being interviewed during the week and he said that the Hip thing is something he
has had for a while, sometimes its worse than other days.

Nice parachute into the semi final against either Medvedev or Lehecka, TBH I dont know who
to pick for a win of this match, maybe n over 22.5 bet here.

Big day yesterday for Nadal!

Lehecka won in 2 sets. The match was high level with fantastic tennis from both.

After the match there was a tribute to Nadal as it was his last Madrid tournament.

The surprise of the day for me was Felix AA getting past Ruud, the canadian is playing
fantastic tennis ATM, its kind of out of the blue though and is rewarded with a match
against Sinner!

Yes it is hard to predict who might come out on top of this tournament. I thought that Alcaraz would never have such a thriller against Struff and I thought Ruud would be playing better than that. It's weird, it is back and forth for Ruud. Gets destroyed in the Monte Carlo Masters final against Tsitsipas on clay, then destroys Tsitsipas in the Barcelona final on clay. Now as the Barcelona winner loses the game against Felix AA. Tennis became much more unpredictable ever since the three GOATS have either retired or reduced the number of tournaments they play.

We will have to be patient to find out whether there is another GOAT in the making, but even Alcaraz had his bad moments already. As of now, the 24 GS titles of Djokovic seem to be impossible to reach for everyone who is around at the moment.

On Ruud, TBH I dont think he is at the same level as Sinner or Alcaraz even on clay.

It also does look like things are becoming a little more unpredictable compared to
even 2 or 3 years ago.

4  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Rugby] Union / League / Super / Sixes Sevens Pro14 / Cups & Tours / Olympics on: May 01, 2024, 04:00:13 PM
Rugby 7's

Second last round this coming weekend 3rd - 5th May in Singapore.

Mens side:
Argentina are sitting on top spot with 94 points
Ireland in second on 86 points
Fiji in 3rd 76 points
France on 74 points

Argentina need to watch out, they only scored 4 points last time out.

Womens side
New Zealand and Australia 1st and 2nd on 106 points
France in 3rd on 88
USA in 4th on 82

NZ and Australia are going to be slugging it out for top spot really.


I cant see any odds yet.
5  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: May 01, 2024, 01:43:02 PM
Big day yesterday for Nadal!

Lehecka won in 2 sets. The match was high level with fantastic tennis from both.

After the match there was a tribute to Nadal as it was his last Madrid tournament.

The surprise of the day for me was Felix AA getting past Ruud, the canadian is playing
fantastic tennis ATM, its kind of out of the blue though and is rewarded with a match
against Sinner!
6  Economy / Speculation / Re: Next movement of Bitcoin. Let's share everything you can about Bitcoin. on: May 01, 2024, 06:57:34 AM
OP is either hurting or feeling his mistake on getting into Meme and $hitcoins...or both!

Its standard that the replies to such a question are varied and will be after my post because
nobody can tell what happens in the future.

We have a general long term view or expectation for Bitcoin for the future which is up
but for short term anything is possible.

Meme and $hitcoins expect + or - 100x


7  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: World Of Crypto Has Changed in Last 6 Years. on: April 30, 2024, 05:16:22 PM
just figure i share thoughts on crypto world, it sure has changed in last 6 years, where it used to be the free market and we could do as we please, with trades, buying and selling crypto
   
now its so different now

as the governments in the world have gotten involved and trying to make it harder in crypto
as in if you need to trade out to fiat ,

u have to pay taxes and lots of it
Governments are cracking down on exchanges and regulations etc.




in one way it does prove crypto has value and here to stay
There is more adoption going on. Slowly but it is happening,.


Do you think all this will make people to drop out of crypto and leave it to the people who have high wealth only?

Or will the average person still stay in the markets?

but its too bad that the powers that be are making it difficult





ur thoughts?


It's really wrong to say the government make people harder to trade crypto!

Either you use centralized exchange, P2P or DEX, there's no big difference, verifying your account didn't take a long time.

Although the government are tightening their regulations and tax your capital gains, it won't take 100% of your profit.

Hence, there's no reason Average Joe will leave the market, even you didn't invest in cryptocurrencies, the government will tax your personal income and capital gains from other assets.

I agree also that governments applying tax and regulations will turn people off getting into Bitcoin.
It is so accessible to most of the world with whatever amount of FIAT you want to use and no
middle man or investment company being involved.

In a messed up way of thinking and a way that goes against what we think about governments
applying tax regulations it means that they are happy to let their citizens get involved because
they get their tax cut from the profits.
8  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Suddenly I'm curious, do I need to pay taxes on Bitcoin income? on: April 30, 2024, 09:14:52 AM
I asked chatgpt, and it answered that Bitcoin transactions are generally subject to tax, just like other forms of asset transactions.

Personally I never ask chatgpt anything, I would rather converse with Humans

Tax requirements may vary depending on the laws and regulations of the country where you are located

Exactly, you dont mention which country you are in so its impossible to answer your question in the
thread title accurately.

It depends on your country and its Tax treatment of Bitcoin, I think most EU countries for example treat
Bitcoin "investments" and profits from that as Capital Gains Tax.

There are exceptions to those EU countries like Malta, Portugal and Germany, I think if you are resident
for over 12 months there is minimal to zero Tax on profits from Bitcoin.
9  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Rugby] Union / League / Super / Sixes Sevens Pro14 / Cups & Tours / Olympics on: April 30, 2024, 09:01:00 AM
Semi Final stage to two big tournaments coming up at the weekend

Investec Champions Cup

LeinsterIreland v Northampton SaintsEngland - Leinster are big favourites with a home stadium of 80,000+ spectators! @ 1.12

Stade ToulousainFrance v HarlequinsEngland - Toulouse are also bigger favourites at home @ 1.05

EPCR Challenge Cup

Hollywoodbets SharksSouth Africa v ASM Clermont AuvergneFrance - No odds available yet on this one.

GloucesterEngland v Benetton TrevisoItaly - The English side are obvious favourites against a surprising Italian side @ 1.43
Benetton are priced at 3.00 - Just for the fun I'm doing a small bet on the Italians. They have been fairly decent
this year so far on both the Challenge Cup ad the United Cup, surprising really and kind of gives a glimmer of
hope for future Italian Rugby.
10  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How has Satoshi's identity never been revealed ? on: April 29, 2024, 09:37:25 PM
Quote
Re: How has Satoshi's identity never been revealed ?

I believe its because he/she/they practiced forward planning right from the first
piece of code! They knew exactly what had to be done.

For someone who could create the entity that is Bitcoin there were added considerations
namely to remain anonymous. Because Bitcoin was going to be disruptive and revolutionary
it was prudent to remain anonymous and to walk away from the project at a certain time.

Everything to date has remained successful for Satoshi.
11  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: April 29, 2024, 07:36:12 PM
Quote




On the Womens side I'm surprised to see names come up that have been absent for a
while especially in the round of 16 stage,  Haddad Maia, Soribes Tormo and Jabeur.
Ons Jabeur being able to beat Leylah Fernadez is an encouraging thing for her career so far it was not an impressive performance and today facing Jelena Ostapenko will be the next tough match for her.
Soribes Tormo was the most surprising, but facing Swiatek I'm not sure she will put up a tough fight, the three previous meetings she lost in straight sets to Swiatek, but the crowd will be on her side.

Well it was easy enough for Ons beating Ostapenko, 0-6 and 4-6. Same for Swiatek,
easy day out even when broken in her first game....and immediately broken back,
6-1 and 6-0. Haddad Maia also got the better of Sakkari.

Quarter final time tomorrow with Swiatek v Haddad Maia, I cant see Swiatek losing this though.

Ons has a tricky match up against Keys, I dont see odds on this one yet, hard to pick
a winner.



Just watching Sinner v Kotov and its in the second set with Sinner not having an easy
one. He looks to have a problem with his hip for the last few games which is a bit worrying
but he is looking good now to win the match after breaking back Kotov.
12  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Freedom of speech in the Zionist infested United Dictatorships of America on: April 29, 2024, 07:38:08 AM
Actually, there is freedom of speech in America. What there isn't is the knowledge of how to maintain it in court.

In America, if you want to maintain your freedom of speech when they take you to court - and loads of other freedoms - you have to stand as a man (or woman).

I don't mean macho. I mean unrepresented by an attorney or even by yourself. Stand present, not represented, and the other side can't be represented either.

A simple example is, if the IRS takes you to court, when you stand present, you can require to face your accuser... get him on the stand where you can question him under oath about the accusations he has accused you with. Since the IRS always takes a man/woman to court as THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA on the indictment, get the THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA on the stand so that you can question your accuser.

When there isn't any representation, they can't do it. There isn't any man or woman who is THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA. Case dismissed. But require that it be discharged. And know what you are doing before you do it this way.

Cool

Expressing your right to freedom of speech shouldnt land you up in court.

It looks like the US is very much uncomfortable with its own citizens taking issue
publicly with what is going on in Gaza and how they are on one hand voicing their call
for restraint from Israel and on the other hand supplying arms to carry out the genocide.



One is not supposed to underestimate the influence the State of Israel can have over the government of Joe Biden and the amount of lobbyist who are likely spending much time in the halls of the US capitol, pressuring lawmakers to move faster with the approval of weapons for Israel and minimize the covering of the Palestinian casualties in the news.
 

Its not just over the government of Joe Biden, its US every government that they have influence
over. They are a powerful and very successful lobby group


It is not about being conspiratorial but rather about staying alert on the human right violations being carried out by either side on this conflict.

Well there is plenty of reports about the human rights violations but there is damn
all being done about it.
13  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: April 28, 2024, 09:56:48 PM
...
What were the odds on Rafa today?
...

Rafa Nadal odds against De minaur was @2.50 but lowered up to @2.20 during pre-market.
I wasn't able to follow the match but the result surprised me a bit.
It is obvious that in his home tournament he wants to achieve maximum results and visibility, but I don't know up to what match his physical condition can be satisfactory.

Rafa announced he is going to play doubles together with Carlos Alcaraz at the Olympics in Paris this summer. Very interesting decision, I wonder who initiated this: Rafa or the Spanish tennis federation? Rafa is known to be an average doubles player with rather poor performance at the net. Spain, on the other hand, have one of the longest rosters in sport and can choose from at least a dozen of top level players. What do you think? Is Rafa the right candidate?  

I dont think I have ever seen Rafa play doubles so I'm not sure if he is the right candidate
to pair up with Alcaraz. They better start getting a few tournaments under their belts!

A lot of big matches tomorrow, Sinner, Nadal, Medvedev, Ruud, also interesting to see
both Bublik and Felix AA put in decent performances to reach the round of 32! but
they are in a very tough side of the draw with Ruud, Medvedev and Sinner.

On the Womens side I'm surprised to see names come up that have been absent for a
while especially in the round of 16 stage,  Haddad Maia, Soribes Tormo and Jabeur.
14  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Rugby] Union / League / Super / Sixes Sevens Pro14 / Cups & Tours / Olympics on: April 28, 2024, 02:37:18 PM

I'm going with a 4 match parlay in todays matches, total 2.83.

Zebre to be beaten at home by Glasgow Warriors
Bulls at home to beat the Ospreys
Cardiff to be beaten at home by Edinburgh
Lions to be beaten at home by Munster

Happy to say my parlay is in the Green! two weeks in a row -  this is getting easy! I jest

As I eluded to earlier in the week, table toppers Leinster got hammered again in South Africa
by the Stormers, this weekend coming is the big one so all their top players will be in action.

Leinster have been overtaken by Glasgow Warriors who will certainly have their eye on some long
overdue silverware.

Connacht are only coming good at the end of the season and are now up to 6th in the table.



The Tigers got applauded as they left the field at half time (they had a try disallowed and, like the other games this week, the commentators are saying this is a game for the ages).


In an hour, the beleaguered Cowboys will try to stare down the Panthers.  (The game is being played in Townsville, so the Cowboys may have a home ground advantage)

Broncos up to 6th now on the ladder!

Cowboys v Panthers - ah the damage was done in the first half, Cowboys came back into it in
the second but not enough time to win!

15  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Will cash become a premium product? on: April 28, 2024, 02:28:48 PM
Well it certainly seems like the banks and possibly governments in Europe anyway are creating
ways for us not to use cash.

Credit and debit cards with "convenient" tap and go facilities make it easy for us to pay but it
really only plays into the hands of those two entities. They can track our every expenditure
for example.

Cash on the other hand is untraceable so I believe there should be and possibly could be a premium
on using cash, how that would work out is another question.

If I am paying with cash should I get a discount?
16  Economy / Speculation / Re: Post halving investing strategy. on: April 28, 2024, 02:07:28 PM
With the halving event come and gone,  we are now left to determine if the market now is going as predicted or not,

There is nobody who can "determine" what way the market is going to go. The general consensus is that
we are in a Bull market and the market will continue to rise for at least a number of months.


investors can take advantages of this and adopt long positions

I hope you dont mean long positions in term of trading because without trading knowledge and experience
long positions will get liquidated every time there is a pull back in the market and the inevitable
"flash crash" designed specifically to liquidate longs.


So in summary investing in BTC at this point in time should be our priority and other promising altcoins.

Bitcoin should be a priority, forget about $hitcoins, the idea of a promising one is an illusion.

So a post halving strategy should be buy now, and again when the market dips and whenever you can
afterwards.
17  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Can a seed phrase on steel or titanium sheet survive this flood? on: April 28, 2024, 01:59:40 PM
Steel or Titanium?

If its Steel it needs to be Stainless Steel and there are different grades of SS available for different
applications but generally SS does not corrode like mild or carbon steel.

Any other steel wouldnt be recommended because of corrosion.

The same goes for Titanium, it doesnt corrode so a seed phrase stamped onto either of those two
metals will survive a flood, i.e Water!

Normally what has been suggested in other threads is that a "seed plate" should be attached to
something in your house or garage, something kind of inaccessible or hard to reach and out of
plain view obviously so if that is the case it wouldnt get swept away by the receding current.
18  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: April 27, 2024, 04:58:57 PM
Yeah, let's see Rafa against de Minaur today.
They played recently in Barcelona and de Minaur won easily, it will be a good match to compare and check Nadal's progress.

I expect de Minaur to win again, but if Nadal means business on RG he needs to do a lot better than 2 weeks ago.

Not this time!
Rafa probably learned more from that previous meeting than de Minaur did, first set
wasnt easy though. He plays Cachin next and if he gets past him I recon it will be a
good enough performance for Rafa to decide to play RG...

Nadal vs de minaur its interesting also for the high odds for both player. Despite the previous loss the Australian player has a nice odd @1.60 ...

Meanwhile Sinner has won easily against Sonego.
He continue a strong progression during this year, lets see what he can achieve from the tournament... This is not his best surface where to play ...

What were the odds on Rafa today?

Yea Sinner had an easy day out against his best friend.

Next up in a few minutes is Norrie v Fonseca, the odds on this one are 1.5 v 2.5, small
bet on Fonseca!
19  Economy / Speculation / Re: When do we really note it for Bitcoin ATH on: April 27, 2024, 01:53:32 PM


So, exactly when can we have declare an ATH to be?
Is it really subjected to any price that just broke the previous ATH even when we know it ain’t going to hold for long? Because we just might have way too many ATH in the previous!

After the Bull market has ended.

Historically 12 months approximately after the halving is when the Bull market has ended
and the Bear market begins, its has been part of Bitcoins 4 year cycle.

or when the market falls for a certain length of time. ATM we can refer to Bitcoins ATH as
~$73,000

If you want to know specifically when that happens - nobody is going to be able to
tell you that. There are only two certainties in life 'Death and Taxes'
20  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Rugby] Union / League / Super / Sixes Sevens Pro14 / Cups & Tours / Olympics on: April 27, 2024, 08:17:50 AM
Broncos have started brightly 0-16 at half time, Tigers have a fair bit of catching up to
do now in the second half...



URC

We had two matches last night and between those two matches 131 points were scored!
I watched the highlights and both matches were just action packed in terms of scoring.

Scarlets 27 - 32 Sharks
Ulster 38 - 34 Bennetton

I'm going with a 4 match parlay in todays matches, total 2.83.

Zebre to be beaten at home by Glasgow Warriors
Bulls at home to beat the Ospreys
Cardiff to be beaten at home by Edinburgh
Lions to be beaten at home by Munster
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