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Author Topic: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A)  (Read 747177 times)
Pandu Geddon
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March 29, 2023, 07:26:15 AM
 #47121

Let's do some math.

Napoli has a 19-point lead. We are on day 28 and there are 10 rounds of games left.
There are 30 points up for grabs, so if the gap remains the same for 4 weeks, Napoli have mathematically won.
Actually, without this calculation, I was very sure that Napoli would win the Scudetto this season. Even since Napoli's last win against Roma at the end of last January. Even though there are 10 more rounds left, I think Napoli will continue to win this match to the end. They are unstoppable this season and only got 2 defeats, 2 draws in the 27 matches that have been played. Napoli have a winning mentality that is unstoppable compared to other clubs in Serie A and they deserve it.
because indeed Napoli is maintaining the quality of its game at this time. of course, there is no reason Napoli will be overtaken by other teams. Napoli still has quite a lot of home games left, especially when facing strong teams like Milan, Fiorentina, and Inter. of course it is an advantage for Napoli to remain in unbeaten trend in the remaining matches. maybe Napoli has prepared the party from now on.


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March 29, 2023, 07:41:22 AM
 #47122

Let's do some math.

Napoli has a 19-point lead. We are on day 28 and there are 10 rounds of games left.
There are 30 points up for grabs, so if the gap remains the same for 4 weeks, Napoli have mathematically won.
Actually, without this calculation, I was very sure that Napoli would win the Scudetto this season. Even since Napoli's last win against Roma at the end of last January. Even though there are 10 more rounds left, I think Napoli will continue to win this match to the end. They are unstoppable this season and only got 2 defeats, 2 draws in the 27 matches that have been played. Napoli have a winning mentality that is unstoppable compared to other clubs in Serie A and they deserve it.
Because Napoli are already very comfortable with their current position so any remaining games they have to play they can play with less pressure because is it possible for Napoli to lose more than 10 points with only 10 games remaining, this looks impossible right? unless there is a disaster internally they seem to have many core players injured so that the remaining matches are only played by reserve players, but even if that happens it still seems impossible because when facing the weak team Napoli with their second tier players they still have more quality and victory will be possible for them to reach and become the champion of this season after decades of long waiting.

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March 29, 2023, 07:59:38 AM
 #47123

Let's do some math.

Napoli has a 19-point lead. We are on day 28 and there are 10 rounds of games left.
There are 30 points up for grabs, so if the gap remains the same for 4 weeks, Napoli have mathematically won.
With the wide gap between Napoli to Lazio which is their closes contender, it's clear that the club has won this season's trophy. Not only because of that, but because their key players are so fit and void of injuries towards the end of the season. They will continue to win most of their matches, at least 75% of them, so nothing could drop them from being the winner of this season.

But I doubt if they will replicate this next season, especially as they are planning to sell Victor Osimhen that has been their most appreciated player for the season.


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March 29, 2023, 08:09:22 AM
 #47124

Truthfully a really tough match is waiting for Inter on next week of the league. They are going to be hosting Fiorentina in Giuseppe Meazza.

First of all I'm aware of the big point gap between these teams now. However the reason why I pointed it out like that is that Fiorentina are in a much better form than Inter these days. In addition to their unbeaten series in the league they have been maintaining a winning streak of four matches also. This is a point that Inter should really be careful about. They won't find a weak team against themselves most probably. Besides there has been a serious level of drop in Inter's performance and results lately. I'm still favouring Inter for the win but it would be by a small gap.
At the current performance level Fiorentina is having the best form which is clearly late but still a good opportunity for them to have better end of this season while they are going to visit Inter which is badly struggling and have just one win from their last four games which is clearly giving review how things are going here in this team for having better spot until end of this season recent defeat against Juventus is big dent for them while now they are going to host Fiorentina which is also at same level of performance and any poor result can create big difference of points for the second spot and others like Roma and Atlanta can also be feeling good for narrowing gape of points as their performance is also not good, but they have matches against weaker sides which are going to give better results to them in their next round matches.

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March 29, 2023, 08:22:33 AM
 #47125

Let's do some math.

Napoli has a 19-point lead. We are on day 28 and there are 10 rounds of games left.
There are 30 points up for grabs, so if the gap remains the same for 4 weeks, Napoli have mathematically won.
Lazio must see Napoli to lose 4 matches in last 10 rounds to start seeing their chance to catch Napoli and win Scudetto. With such winning form from Napoli, imagine that they lose about half of last 10 matches in Serie A looks very unrealistic.

With the wide gap between Napoli to Lazio which is their closes contender, it's clear that the club has won this season's trophy. Not only because of that, but because their key players are so fit and void of injuries towards the end of the season. They will continue to win most of their matches, at least 75% of them, so nothing could drop them from being the winner of this season.

But I doubt if they will replicate this next season, especially as they are planning to sell Victor Osimhen that has been their most appreciated player for the season.
Lazio don't have Ciro Immobile because of injury and despite of their excellent performance last few weeks, they will have problems with Immobile absence. With this own difficulty, Lazio might not think of Scudetto and they will more realistically to protect their second position in Serie A. It's a best ending they can have in Serie A and their position is not safely enough.

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March 29, 2023, 08:27:52 AM
 #47126

Let's do some math.

Napoli has a 19-point lead. We are on day 28 and there are 10 rounds of games left.
There are 30 points up for grabs, so if the gap remains the same for 4 weeks, Napoli have mathematically won.
Napoli need 12 more points so that no other team is able to catch up with him and at the same time the Serie A title this season will belong to Napoli. After being 19 behind Napoli, Lazio, who is in second place, has started to focus on maintaining its position in second place. It is impossible for another team to win the title, they will try to find alternatives so they can appear in the UCL next season.


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March 29, 2023, 08:34:26 AM
 #47127

Let's do some math.

Napoli has a 19-point lead. We are on day 28 and there are 10 rounds of games left.
There are 30 points up for grabs, so if the gap remains the same for 4 weeks, Napoli have mathematically won.
You're wrong, there are 11 rounds left in this season, so there are 33 points up to grabs. Currently Lazio points is 52, so if Lazio is win streak their points will be 85. Now Napoli points is 71, which mean Napoli only need to win 5 from 11 matches in order to become a champion.

The possibility is really high, I don't think Napoli will be hard to win another more 5 matches because they will face many mediocre teams.

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March 29, 2023, 09:14:30 AM
 #47128

Let's do some math.

Napoli has a 19-point lead. We are on day 28 and there are 10 rounds of games left.
There are 30 points up for grabs, so if the gap remains the same for 4 weeks, Napoli have mathematically won.
You're wrong, there are 11 rounds left in this season, so there are 33 points up to grabs. Currently Lazio points is 52, so if Lazio is win streak their points will be 85. Now Napoli points is 71, which mean Napoli only need to win 5 from 11 matches in order to become a champion.

The possibility is really high, I don't think Napoli will be hard to win another more 5 matches because they will face many mediocre teams.
4 or 5 wins for Napoli is easy considering their current performance. They are very impressive, so they will finish the season without ending all of their remaining games. 19 points was a distance that would be impossible to catch, and even if one did it would need enormous luck. But which team has such luck? I thought no one would be able to do it.

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Lillominato89
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March 29, 2023, 09:18:24 AM
 #47129


exactly, both teams have the goal of winning this big match, but unfortunately for Milan they are facing a truly ruthless Napoli who want to win at all costs in order to conclude this championship as soon as possible, Milan are not great form but still have to fight to keep their pursuers away, more than Atalanta Milan's thoughts are to keep Juventus away who have been traveling like a train with no brakes lately

the odds for napoli to win the game dropped from @182 to @1.78 this could be an indicator that the bookmakers are still watching the results of the games that are taking place for euro, concacaf to see if there will be any players injured and then you will place the odds based on that, but I think that in this game napoli has a better chance of winning the game, milan does not have a good attack, in the last 2 games milan only scored 1 goal in each game even playing against weak teams and conceded 4 goals even playing against weak teams. I bet on napoli to win

surely the players involved in matches with their national team will influence the odds, but surely there will be something else they take into account, in my opinion it matters little sincerely, Napoli have shown that even the reserve players have been useful and decisive during the championship. this means that even if a holder is missing, they have someone up to the task to replace him with. for me napoli will win 2-1 this match against milan

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March 29, 2023, 09:21:16 AM
 #47130

Let's do some math.

Napoli has a 19-point lead. We are on day 28 and there are 10 rounds of games left.
There are 30 points up for grabs, so if the gap remains the same for 4 weeks, Napoli have mathematically won.
Napoli must be on their winning ways and they must not drop points from the few games remaining until the end of the season, but on the one hand Napoli must also focus on the UCL game against milan in the quarter-finals, obviously their focus is divided but they must be able to overcome that in order to claimed the Italian league championship this season and also stayed in the UCL until the final

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March 29, 2023, 09:59:09 AM
 #47131

Let's do some math.

Napoli has a 19-point lead. We are on day 28 and there are 10 rounds of games left.
There are 30 points up for grabs, so if the gap remains the same for 4 weeks, Napoli have mathematically won.
Napoli must be on their winning ways and they must not drop points from the few games remaining until the end of the season, but on the one hand Napoli must also focus on the UCL game against milan in the quarter-finals, obviously their focus is divided but they must be able to overcome that in order to claimed the Italian league championship this season and also stayed in the UCL until the final

I think if Napoli saves some potential and gives some rest to the players for the champions league they can have a better chance in both tournaments, they currently have a great advantage, and the gap between them and the second team is really big enough to say Napoli won this title earlier than normal time, the other games after this can be just a chance for them to give chance to other young players and let other players have some rest.

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March 29, 2023, 10:19:53 AM
 #47132

Let's do some math.

Napoli has a 19-point lead. We are on day 28 and there are 10 rounds of games left.
There are 30 points up for grabs, so if the gap remains the same for 4 weeks, Napoli have mathematically won.
Napoli must be on their winning ways and they must not drop points from the few games remaining until the end of the season, but on the one hand Napoli must also focus on the UCL game against milan in the quarter-finals, obviously their focus is divided but they must be able to overcome that in order to claimed the Italian league championship this season and also stayed in the UCL until the final

Napoli is in very good form and more importantly, the Napoli players are now very confident. Because they now have the ability to beat any big team. Dominated most of the matches in Serie A. There is no doubt that Napoli will win the Serie A title. And so now perhaps they are focused on the Champions League match. Napoli will try their best to win the Champions League title. And so Napoli's second-tier squad is likely to perform in Serie A matches. Napoli is likely to drop points in the upcoming matches of Serie A.

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March 29, 2023, 10:48:51 AM
 #47133

4 or 5 wins for Napoli is easy considering their current performance. They are very impressive, so they will finish the season without ending all of their remaining games. 19 points was a distance that would be impossible to catch, and even if one did it would need enormous luck. But which team has such luck? I thought no one would be able to do it.
And what's unique is that in the near future, before Napoli returns to competing in the Champions League this season, Napoli will meet AC Milan in Serie A in early April. And this match is of course very interesting to watch because considering that these two teams are still in the Champions League and they also met in the Champions League Quarter-Finals. Even though AC Milan has been super difficult to catch Napoli's points in Serie A this season.
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March 29, 2023, 11:55:11 AM
 #47134

Let's do some math.

Napoli has a 19-point lead. We are on day 28 and there are 10 rounds of games left.
There are 30 points up for grabs, so if the gap remains the same for 4 weeks, Napoli have mathematically won.

The result from day 28 still remains unknown. The big match will happen and napoli may also lose against ac milan but im thinking if that's impossible to happen.

There are still around 11 matches remaining including this week. If napoli will be winning the match against ac milan and lazio will be losing or draw against monza and napoli will have around 21 - 22 points gap to the second place. Mathematically napoli needs to win three more matches to lock the scudetto. The worst thing must be if napoli loses against ac milan and napoli needs to win at least 5 matches to lock scudetto.

I hope a miracle will happen to the monza to get draw or win against lazio.


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March 29, 2023, 12:20:25 PM
 #47135

Indeed, basically getting odds at these numbers sometimes invites doubts to bet on Lazio. But if you see Lazio's enthusiasm in their last few matches in Serie A they have proven that they can achieve quite good results, it's no doubt that later in this match they have more enthusiasm so they can secure a place for the champions league zone next season and won't let other competing teams in standings to be able to shift its position
In probability I think Lazio is still ahead of Monza. Of course you can still consider a draw for this match because Monza is playing at home, but Lazio's performance seems more promising to win.

My focus in Serie A is Napoli vs Milan which will be held at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. It was the first Champions League pre-leg match between the two teams, of course it attracted a lot of attention. I think Napoli are the favorites to win but Milan will have to try something to keep their chances of staying in the top 4.



Lazio are currently in second place if I'm not mistaken, there must be a reason.
Although it is a team that has an uneven performance, it is very dangerous and certainly, in my opinion, Monza is not up to it.
Surely the victory will go to Lazio. Although since he plays inconsistently, he could also lose.

yes Lazio has always had fluctuating performance, but they play away from home and even if Monza is not a top team they have shown that they know how to stop much better equipped teams! managed to draw against Inter Milan and win twice against Juventus. moreover, Monza has a very specific goal of exceeding 40 points in the standings, statistically in Serie A it has never happened that a team with 40 or more points has been relegated to Serie B, Monza currently has 34 points so a goal its reach

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March 29, 2023, 12:29:29 PM
Merited by giammangiato (1)
 #47136

Let's do some math.

Napoli has a 19-point lead. We are on day 28 and there are 10 rounds of games left.
There are 30 points up for grabs, so if the gap remains the same for 4 weeks, Napoli have mathematically won.
Even if Napoli only have 4 wins from the remaining 11 matches then it is enough to get them the title this season in Serie A. but I'm pretty sure Napoli won't lose much in the remaining matches. their worst result might just be a draw.

The remaining 11 games for Napoli are against the following teams :

-Milan
-Lecce
-Veron
-Juventus
-Salernitana
-Udinese
-Fiorentina
-Monza
-Inter
-Bologne
-Sampdoria

of the 11 matches there are only 3 matches that will make it a little difficult for Napoli, namely against Milan, Juventus and Inter Milan. and for the rest we will definitely see Napoli win.

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March 29, 2023, 12:34:33 PM
 #47137

Let's do some math.

Napoli has a 19-point lead. We are on day 28 and there are 10 rounds of games left.
There are 30 points up for grabs, so if the gap remains the same for 4 weeks, Napoli have mathematically won.
Actually, without this calculation, I was very sure that Napoli would win the Scudetto this season. Even since Napoli's last win against Roma at the end of last January. Even though there are 10 more rounds left, I think Napoli will continue to win this match to the end. They are unstoppable this season and only got 2 defeats, 2 draws in the 27 matches that have been played. Napoli have a winning mentality that is unstoppable compared to other clubs in Serie A and they deserve it.


yes it is true, but if you see the math it proves us right
in the end in four days he will be able to say he won it even if I too think he is 100 percent sure that he will take home this title
I think that in Naples they will party for a whole year

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March 29, 2023, 12:50:04 PM
 #47138

Let's do some math.

Napoli has a 19-point lead. We are on day 28 and there are 10 rounds of games left.
There are 30 points up for grabs, so if the gap remains the same for 4 weeks, Napoli have mathematically won.
Even if Napoli only have 4 wins from the remaining 11 matches then it is enough to get them the title this season in Serie A. but I'm pretty sure Napoli won't lose much in the remaining matches. their worst result might just be a draw.

The remaining 11 games for Napoli are against the following teams :

-Milan
-Lecce
-Veron
-Juventus
-Salernitana
-Udinese
-Fiorentina
-Monza
-Inter
-Bologne
-Sampdoria

of the 11 matches there are only 3 matches that will make it a little difficult for Napoli, namely against Milan, Juventus and Inter Milan. and for the rest we will definitely see Napoli win.

The most interesting match will be against Juventus. Inter Milan is a team at top of the table too and they were in the second position for weeks, obviously, they will try to perform well against Napoli to even decrease the gap but I think Juventus will have an amazing performance against Napoli and there is even a chance for Napoli to lose points at this match against Juventus.

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March 29, 2023, 01:27:39 PM
 #47139

Napoli must be on their winning ways and they must not drop points from the few games remaining until the end of the season, but on the one hand Napoli must also focus on the UCL game against milan in the quarter-finals, obviously their focus is divided but they must be able to overcome that in order to claimed the Italian league championship this season and also stayed in the UCL until the final
Napoli are in the forefront as the team that won the Scudetto this season, so it is very likely that Spalletti will play Serie A matches to rotate his playing scheme to focus more on UCL matches. but that doesn't mean that Napoli will have fun early or look comfortable with the current situation because of their relatively good performance in Serie A and consider every game they play to be obliged to pocket 3 points, that's the criterion that I like from performance they.

the Napoli vs AC Milan meeting was the second Serie A meeting this season where the first meeting Napoli was able to win the match with a score of 2-1. I think they know enough about their opponents that it will be easy for them to take advantage of AC Milan's unstable performance recently.

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March 29, 2023, 01:35:36 PM
 #47140

Juventus started to look like a much more trustworthy team than Atalanta for a while. Because Atalanta have been in a bad form for so many weeks that they barely got a win finally last week. This situation is starting to get really alarming for Atalanta actually. Because Juventus have got quite close to them in the standings - only a distance of four points. I even think Atalanta have a potential to lose points against Cremonese. Normally they should be winning easily but I can't fully trust them.

It would be for the benefit of Juventus of course because I assume they would defeat Verona without big problems. I think they deserve to qualify for a tournament unlike Atalanta now.
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