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Author Topic: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A)  (Read 762766 times)
OcTradism
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March 29, 2023, 02:45:25 AM
 #47021

I agree that if Juventus was not penalized by 15 points, they probably would have not been satisfied with the results. But honestly, The way Juventus has performed even after being penalized was such a great performance. Now if they can finish in the top four, it is going to be a great achievement for them.
Juventus did have a good season in Serie A and I expect them to be a strong candidate for Scudetto in Serie A 2023 - 2024. I believe they will have some new players come and go away in the summer transfer but generally they will try to improve their squad. This together with likely some departures of star players in Napoli and uncertainty in other big clubs, will help Juventus to become more competitive in a next season. Other clubs must worry a lot about Juventus in a next season.

Quote
What I am interested to see is Juventus has two options. One is to go for the top four position and the other is trying to win the Europa League. I am interested to see which they will go for.
I think they will aim at both because no guarantee that they can win Europa League if they sacrifice Serie A and only focus on Europa League. It is too soon to sacrifice Serie A but if they see chance there is smaller in next month and manage to go far in Europa League, maybe decision will be made.

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March 29, 2023, 04:34:07 AM
 #47022

Indeed, basically getting odds at these numbers sometimes invites doubts to bet on Lazio. But if you see Lazio's enthusiasm in their last few matches in Serie A they have proven that they can achieve quite good results, it's no doubt that later in this match they have more enthusiasm so they can secure a place for the champions league zone next season and won't let other competing teams in standings to be able to shift its position
In probability I think Lazio is still ahead of Monza. Of course you can still consider a draw for this match because Monza is playing at home, but Lazio's performance seems more promising to win.

My focus in Serie A is Napoli vs Milan which will be held at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. It was the first Champions League pre-leg match between the two teams, of course it attracted a lot of attention. I think Napoli are the favorites to win but Milan will have to try something to keep their chances of staying in the top 4.
Lazio in recent weeks they have continued to show an increase in the quality of their game which is quite extraordinary. they have even managed to beat Napoli and Roma in the past few weeks. so I don't think Monza will be able to hold Lazio to a draw in the match. even though Monza became the year of the house. I think it won't change anything.

for the Napoli vs Milan match as well. with Napoli's consistency this season coupled with those playing at home. it is very clear that the advantage is on the side of Napoli.

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March 29, 2023, 04:44:47 AM
 #47023

Quote from: rendravolt
One of the matches this week will bring Monza against Lazio and it seems that Lazio's position will be more comfortable if they manage to win this match. The last meeting of these two teams was won by Lazio with a narrow score and Monza, who as the host in this week's match, might have a slight advantage to provide resistance so that Lazio cannot steal points at home. If we look at the odds offered by the bookie, Lazio is favored with odds @2.14 and for Monza with odds @3.70 I think it's clear here who the bet is for, surely Lazio will win this match with a narrow score again 0-1.

Since Lazio coach has worked on their defense, I think they will score more than three goals in this match to defeat Monza to maintain the second position in the Italian league table and to alert other teams that they have what it takes to win this title. I don't think, Lazio players will allow what happened in their last match that made the match to ended up 1-0 to happen in this match than to apply their new skills to play the match to embrace victory again. Lazio will be my favorite in this match, because they will do everything possible to ensure they display wonders that will make them to achieve the three points at the end of the match.

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March 29, 2023, 05:17:32 AM
 #47024

Quote from: rendravolt
One of the matches this week will bring Monza against Lazio and it seems that Lazio's position will be more comfortable if they manage to win this match. The last meeting of these two teams was won by Lazio with a narrow score and Monza, who as the host in this week's match, might have a slight advantage to provide resistance so that Lazio cannot steal points at home. If we look at the odds offered by the bookie, Lazio is favored with odds @2.14 and for Monza with odds @3.70 I think it's clear here who the bet is for, surely Lazio will win this match with a narrow score again 0-1.

Since Lazio coach has worked on their defense, I think they will score more than three goals in this match to defeat Monza to maintain the second position in the Italian league table and to alert other teams that they have what it takes to win this title. I don't think, Lazio players will allow what happened in their last match that made the match to ended up 1-0 to happen in this match than to apply their new skills to play the match to embrace victory again. Lazio will be my favorite in this match, because they will do everything possible to ensure they display wonders that will make them to achieve the three points at the end of the match.
At present, Lazio seems to be a favorite in most predictive exchanges and seems to have an advantage over Monza for this fight. Lazio has a pretty good capital to bring home three points from the Monza cage. Currently Lazio sits in second place in Serie A standings and performs well as a whole.

The last five matches as a whole are also good for Lazio and see them win four times and draw once. In addition, Lazio also defeated Monza 1-0 at Olimpico when both sides met in the previous match.
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March 29, 2023, 05:46:56 AM
 #47025

Indeed, basically getting odds at these numbers sometimes invites doubts to bet on Lazio. But if you see Lazio's enthusiasm in their last few matches in Serie A they have proven that they can achieve quite good results, it's no doubt that later in this match they have more enthusiasm so they can secure a place for the champions league zone next season and won't let other competing teams in standings to be able to shift its position
In probability I think Lazio is still ahead of Monza. Of course you can still consider a draw for this match because Monza is playing at home, but Lazio's performance seems more promising to win.

My focus in Serie A is Napoli vs Milan which will be held at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. It was the first Champions League pre-leg match between the two teams, of course it attracted a lot of attention. I think Napoli are the favorites to win but Milan will have to try something to keep their chances of staying in the top 4.
Sometimes Lazio has difficulty winning and it can be said that this match was quite even. But what is certain is that Lazio will always have a moment to win the game through 1 or 2 chances to score.

For Napoli vs Milan, I think this match will be completely controlled by Napoli, it's not without reason that I say this but Napoli has proven its consistency against all of its opponents this season in Serie A, including one of the big teams like Milan. Moreover, Napoli wants to continue to win all the remaining matches and it is very small for Milan to be able to win against Napoli.

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March 29, 2023, 05:49:15 AM
 #47026

Indeed, basically getting odds at these numbers sometimes invites doubts to bet on Lazio. But if you see Lazio's enthusiasm in their last few matches in Serie A they have proven that they can achieve quite good results, it's no doubt that later in this match they have more enthusiasm so they can secure a place for the champions league zone next season and won't let other competing teams in standings to be able to shift its position
In probability I think Lazio is still ahead of Monza. Of course you can still consider a draw for this match because Monza is playing at home, but Lazio's performance seems more promising to win.

My focus in Serie A is Napoli vs Milan which will be held at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. It was the first Champions League pre-leg match between the two teams, of course it attracted a lot of attention. I think Napoli are the favorites to win but Milan will have to try something to keep their chances of staying in the top 4.
I agree, because if we check recent performance from all top six teams just Napoli and Lazio are the consistent teams in the table with all others are struggling but here Monza is also having good record at home with on their day they can beat any big team at home, so things could be not easy for the both teams but if Lazio able to win this match then surely we can expect good challenging situation for others to bring them down from this second spot because all others are struggling badly even have 3 or 2 defeats in their accounts which is clearly giving how it will be fight in last few weeks for the top four spots.

Even things are not clear for this match but for the betting I have feeling going with under 2.5 is safe because Lazio in last five games never have 2 goals in their game and Monza is also had not good attack which creates too many opportunities.

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March 29, 2023, 06:06:39 AM
 #47027

I agree that if Juventus was not penalized by 15 points, they probably would have not been satisfied with the results. But honestly, The way Juventus has performed even after being penalized was such a great performance. Now if they can finish in the top four, it is going to be a great achievement for them.
Juventus did have a good season in Serie A and I expect them to be a strong candidate for Scudetto in Serie A 2023 - 2024. I believe they will have some new players come and go away in the summer transfer but generally they will try to improve their squad. This together with likely some departures of star players in Napoli and uncertainty in other big clubs, will help Juventus to become more competitive in a next season. Other clubs must worry a lot about Juventus in a next season.
Juventus was clearly rival of title with Napoli injuries and then deduction of points bring them down badly but good thing now they are still having good chance in these both competitions with most chances they will go for the better results into Serie A because things are not easy for them in UEFA Europa Cup too many teams are having enough quality and performance to stay into hunt for the Europa Cup which is never been predictable who could be winner until last minute game but in Italian League as they are having their performance and few top teams poor run this is surely positive point for them.

And they have fair chance for the reaching into last four because all are struggling badly and few are still had matches against tough teams which will give them benefit and chance for having top four chance and spot into Champions League for the next season specially teams like Milan, Roma and Atlanta are currently on worst run.

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March 29, 2023, 06:18:19 AM
 #47028

Indeed, basically getting odds at these numbers sometimes invites doubts to bet on Lazio. But if you see Lazio's enthusiasm in their last few matches in Serie A they have proven that they can achieve quite good results, it's no doubt that later in this match they have more enthusiasm so they can secure a place for the champions league zone next season and won't let other competing teams in standings to be able to shift its position
In probability I think Lazio is still ahead of Monza. Of course you can still consider a draw for this match because Monza is playing at home, but Lazio's performance seems more promising to win.

My focus in Serie A is Napoli vs Milan which will be held at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. It was the first Champions League pre-leg match between the two teams, of course it attracted a lot of attention. I think Napoli are the favorites to win but Milan will have to try something to keep their chances of staying in the top 4.



Lazio are currently in second place if I'm not mistaken, there must be a reason.
Although it is a team that has an uneven performance, it is very dangerous and certainly, in my opinion, Monza is not up to it.
Surely the victory will go to Lazio. Although since he plays inconsistently, he could also lose.

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giammangiato
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March 29, 2023, 06:26:47 AM
 #47029

Let's do some math.

Napoli has a 19-point lead. We are on day 28 and there are 10 rounds of games left.
There are 30 points up for grabs, so if the gap remains the same for 4 weeks, Napoli have mathematically won.

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March 29, 2023, 07:18:38 AM
 #47030

Let's do some math.

Napoli has a 19-point lead. We are on day 28 and there are 10 rounds of games left.
There are 30 points up for grabs, so if the gap remains the same for 4 weeks, Napoli have mathematically won.
Actually, without this calculation, I was very sure that Napoli would win the Scudetto this season. Even since Napoli's last win against Roma at the end of last January. Even though there are 10 more rounds left, I think Napoli will continue to win this match to the end. They are unstoppable this season and only got 2 defeats, 2 draws in the 27 matches that have been played. Napoli have a winning mentality that is unstoppable compared to other clubs in Serie A and they deserve it.

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Pandu Geddon
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March 29, 2023, 07:26:15 AM
 #47031

Let's do some math.

Napoli has a 19-point lead. We are on day 28 and there are 10 rounds of games left.
There are 30 points up for grabs, so if the gap remains the same for 4 weeks, Napoli have mathematically won.
Actually, without this calculation, I was very sure that Napoli would win the Scudetto this season. Even since Napoli's last win against Roma at the end of last January. Even though there are 10 more rounds left, I think Napoli will continue to win this match to the end. They are unstoppable this season and only got 2 defeats, 2 draws in the 27 matches that have been played. Napoli have a winning mentality that is unstoppable compared to other clubs in Serie A and they deserve it.
because indeed Napoli is maintaining the quality of its game at this time. of course, there is no reason Napoli will be overtaken by other teams. Napoli still has quite a lot of home games left, especially when facing strong teams like Milan, Fiorentina, and Inter. of course it is an advantage for Napoli to remain in unbeaten trend in the remaining matches. maybe Napoli has prepared the party from now on.


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March 29, 2023, 07:41:22 AM
 #47032

Let's do some math.

Napoli has a 19-point lead. We are on day 28 and there are 10 rounds of games left.
There are 30 points up for grabs, so if the gap remains the same for 4 weeks, Napoli have mathematically won.
Actually, without this calculation, I was very sure that Napoli would win the Scudetto this season. Even since Napoli's last win against Roma at the end of last January. Even though there are 10 more rounds left, I think Napoli will continue to win this match to the end. They are unstoppable this season and only got 2 defeats, 2 draws in the 27 matches that have been played. Napoli have a winning mentality that is unstoppable compared to other clubs in Serie A and they deserve it.
Because Napoli are already very comfortable with their current position so any remaining games they have to play they can play with less pressure because is it possible for Napoli to lose more than 10 points with only 10 games remaining, this looks impossible right? unless there is a disaster internally they seem to have many core players injured so that the remaining matches are only played by reserve players, but even if that happens it still seems impossible because when facing the weak team Napoli with their second tier players they still have more quality and victory will be possible for them to reach and become the champion of this season after decades of long waiting.

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EarnOnVictor
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March 29, 2023, 07:59:38 AM
 #47033

Let's do some math.

Napoli has a 19-point lead. We are on day 28 and there are 10 rounds of games left.
There are 30 points up for grabs, so if the gap remains the same for 4 weeks, Napoli have mathematically won.
With the wide gap between Napoli to Lazio which is their closes contender, it's clear that the club has won this season's trophy. Not only because of that, but because their key players are so fit and void of injuries towards the end of the season. They will continue to win most of their matches, at least 75% of them, so nothing could drop them from being the winner of this season.

But I doubt if they will replicate this next season, especially as they are planning to sell Victor Osimhen that has been their most appreciated player for the season.


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March 29, 2023, 08:09:22 AM
 #47034

Truthfully a really tough match is waiting for Inter on next week of the league. They are going to be hosting Fiorentina in Giuseppe Meazza.

First of all I'm aware of the big point gap between these teams now. However the reason why I pointed it out like that is that Fiorentina are in a much better form than Inter these days. In addition to their unbeaten series in the league they have been maintaining a winning streak of four matches also. This is a point that Inter should really be careful about. They won't find a weak team against themselves most probably. Besides there has been a serious level of drop in Inter's performance and results lately. I'm still favouring Inter for the win but it would be by a small gap.
At the current performance level Fiorentina is having the best form which is clearly late but still a good opportunity for them to have better end of this season while they are going to visit Inter which is badly struggling and have just one win from their last four games which is clearly giving review how things are going here in this team for having better spot until end of this season recent defeat against Juventus is big dent for them while now they are going to host Fiorentina which is also at same level of performance and any poor result can create big difference of points for the second spot and others like Roma and Atlanta can also be feeling good for narrowing gape of points as their performance is also not good, but they have matches against weaker sides which are going to give better results to them in their next round matches.

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March 29, 2023, 08:22:33 AM
 #47035

Let's do some math.

Napoli has a 19-point lead. We are on day 28 and there are 10 rounds of games left.
There are 30 points up for grabs, so if the gap remains the same for 4 weeks, Napoli have mathematically won.
Lazio must see Napoli to lose 4 matches in last 10 rounds to start seeing their chance to catch Napoli and win Scudetto. With such winning form from Napoli, imagine that they lose about half of last 10 matches in Serie A looks very unrealistic.

With the wide gap between Napoli to Lazio which is their closes contender, it's clear that the club has won this season's trophy. Not only because of that, but because their key players are so fit and void of injuries towards the end of the season. They will continue to win most of their matches, at least 75% of them, so nothing could drop them from being the winner of this season.

But I doubt if they will replicate this next season, especially as they are planning to sell Victor Osimhen that has been their most appreciated player for the season.
Lazio don't have Ciro Immobile because of injury and despite of their excellent performance last few weeks, they will have problems with Immobile absence. With this own difficulty, Lazio might not think of Scudetto and they will more realistically to protect their second position in Serie A. It's a best ending they can have in Serie A and their position is not safely enough.

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Razmirraz
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March 29, 2023, 08:27:52 AM
 #47036

Let's do some math.

Napoli has a 19-point lead. We are on day 28 and there are 10 rounds of games left.
There are 30 points up for grabs, so if the gap remains the same for 4 weeks, Napoli have mathematically won.
Napoli need 12 more points so that no other team is able to catch up with him and at the same time the Serie A title this season will belong to Napoli. After being 19 behind Napoli, Lazio, who is in second place, has started to focus on maintaining its position in second place. It is impossible for another team to win the title, they will try to find alternatives so they can appear in the UCL next season.

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Plaguedeath
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March 29, 2023, 08:34:26 AM
 #47037

Let's do some math.

Napoli has a 19-point lead. We are on day 28 and there are 10 rounds of games left.
There are 30 points up for grabs, so if the gap remains the same for 4 weeks, Napoli have mathematically won.
You're wrong, there are 11 rounds left in this season, so there are 33 points up to grabs. Currently Lazio points is 52, so if Lazio is win streak their points will be 85. Now Napoli points is 71, which mean Napoli only need to win 5 from 11 matches in order to become a champion.

The possibility is really high, I don't think Napoli will be hard to win another more 5 matches because they will face many mediocre teams.

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tulusikhlas
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March 29, 2023, 09:14:30 AM
 #47038

Let's do some math.

Napoli has a 19-point lead. We are on day 28 and there are 10 rounds of games left.
There are 30 points up for grabs, so if the gap remains the same for 4 weeks, Napoli have mathematically won.
You're wrong, there are 11 rounds left in this season, so there are 33 points up to grabs. Currently Lazio points is 52, so if Lazio is win streak their points will be 85. Now Napoli points is 71, which mean Napoli only need to win 5 from 11 matches in order to become a champion.

The possibility is really high, I don't think Napoli will be hard to win another more 5 matches because they will face many mediocre teams.
4 or 5 wins for Napoli is easy considering their current performance. They are very impressive, so they will finish the season without ending all of their remaining games. 19 points was a distance that would be impossible to catch, and even if one did it would need enormous luck. But which team has such luck? I thought no one would be able to do it.

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Lillominato89
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March 29, 2023, 09:18:24 AM
 #47039


exactly, both teams have the goal of winning this big match, but unfortunately for Milan they are facing a truly ruthless Napoli who want to win at all costs in order to conclude this championship as soon as possible, Milan are not great form but still have to fight to keep their pursuers away, more than Atalanta Milan's thoughts are to keep Juventus away who have been traveling like a train with no brakes lately

the odds for napoli to win the game dropped from @182 to @1.78 this could be an indicator that the bookmakers are still watching the results of the games that are taking place for euro, concacaf to see if there will be any players injured and then you will place the odds based on that, but I think that in this game napoli has a better chance of winning the game, milan does not have a good attack, in the last 2 games milan only scored 1 goal in each game even playing against weak teams and conceded 4 goals even playing against weak teams. I bet on napoli to win

surely the players involved in matches with their national team will influence the odds, but surely there will be something else they take into account, in my opinion it matters little sincerely, Napoli have shown that even the reserve players have been useful and decisive during the championship. this means that even if a holder is missing, they have someone up to the task to replace him with. for me napoli will win 2-1 this match against milan

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March 29, 2023, 09:21:16 AM
 #47040

Let's do some math.

Napoli has a 19-point lead. We are on day 28 and there are 10 rounds of games left.
There are 30 points up for grabs, so if the gap remains the same for 4 weeks, Napoli have mathematically won.
Napoli must be on their winning ways and they must not drop points from the few games remaining until the end of the season, but on the one hand Napoli must also focus on the UCL game against milan in the quarter-finals, obviously their focus is divided but they must be able to overcome that in order to claimed the Italian league championship this season and also stayed in the UCL until the final

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