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Author Topic: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A)  (Read 757584 times)
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March 28, 2023, 06:07:17 PM
 #47041

What Juventus experienced was due to their own actions trying to provide a report that was not in accordance with what happened, and the consequence was that they had to be sanctioned in such a way by the federation. I wonder why a club as big as them do things they shouldn't do. To say they don't know the rules is ridiculous because they are a very experienced club.
This is a lesson for other clubs to comply with existing regulations, otherwise their own team will suffer losses later. Things that actually can be avoided, but with "stupidity" will be very detrimental to them.
The root causes must be sought not in the team, but in its board of directors. This is not the first time something like this has happened to the team, but apparently no one wants to learn these lessons. I am not pleased to see that this is happening to the team, when they were sent to Serie B because of fixed matches, I was a little shocked, as a fan of the team I could not understand why Juventus needs it.

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March 28, 2023, 06:34:35 PM
 #47042

Obviously AC Milan needs a win more than Napoli, but will Napoli just let AC Milan win? Of course not. Since Napoli will also want to claim the title long before the season ends, it will be very profitable for them. By claiming the title early they could rest a lot of players and give a chance to players who haven't played much this season.
both teams are aiming to win every game in the rest of the season, but for Napoli if they lose it certainly won't have a bad impact on their ranking in the standings table but if Ac Milan loses they will be quite pressured in maintaining ranking top 4 this week. This is the main difference between the Napoli vs Ac Milan match in the 28th Serie A match this season.

Ac Milan and Atalanta points are quite close in the standings table because they are only two points ahead of Atalanta, so Atalanta opportunities are wide open if Ac Milan loses against Napoli which will provide an opportunity for Atalanta to shift Ac Milan ranking in the top 4.

exactly, both teams have the goal of winning this big match, but unfortunately for Milan they are facing a truly ruthless Napoli who want to win at all costs in order to conclude this championship as soon as possible, Milan are not great form but still have to fight to keep their pursuers away, more than Atalanta Milan's thoughts are to keep Juventus away who have been traveling like a train with no brakes lately

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March 28, 2023, 07:26:16 PM
 #47043

And I believe that Juventus will continue to do very well in the remaining matches of the season. because Juventus' current performance is actually above Milan, Inter and Lazio. we can see the proof in their winnings this season, namely 17 wins, 5 draws and only five defeats from a total of 27 matches.

the number of wins that Juventus have in Serie A is in second place. while the sequence with the first most wins is certainly Napoli with 23 wins.

Even if only Juventus did not get a point deduction sanction. so currently Juventus will be ranked 2nd.
That is true and they will continue to be great but there is no guarantee that they will win all their games. I think it is important to also remember that Milan and Inter has been not so great recently and that doesn't mean that they will continue to be bad neither, maybe that was then and it's over now and they are going to be better soon? Maybe those teams will end up beating everyone else as well.

We do not know that and I believe that Juventus, even if they end up winning most of their games, or even all of their games, could still end up not inside the top four because the top teams may end up winning their games as well, which would make Juventus fifth instead.

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March 28, 2023, 07:33:57 PM
 #47044

One of the matches this week will bring Monza against Lazio and it seems that Lazio's position will be more comfortable if they manage to win this match. The last meeting of these two teams was won by Lazio with a narrow score and Monza, who as the host in this week's match, might have a slight advantage to provide resistance so that Lazio cannot steal points at home. If we look at the odds offered by the bookie, Lazio is favored with odds @2.14 and for Monza with odds @3.70 I think it's clear here who the bet is for, surely Lazio will win this match with a narrow score again 0-1.

this will be a somewhat problematic game to predict the result, lazio in the last few games has had a good defense, they hardly concede goals in serie A, this has become their biggest and best weapon, although their style of play annoys me and I prefer not to watch their games, this strategy is proving to be very efficient, so much so that Lazio is now in second place in the table, something unbelievable, if before this season started they asked: "which team do you think will be in second place or at least throughout the games will the second position be played? " I doubt that anyone would answer " Lazio ". and something very hard to believe.

now about monza, at the beginning of the season I even thought monza had good potential, they were doing very well, but out of nowhere they started to become much more inconsistent, but at least in the last few games they also conceded few goals, but it's the same problem that lazio does not have a good attack, in the last 4 games monza scored only 4 goals, and playing against lazio that has had a strong defense in the last serie A games, i think that if i were to make a bet i would bet on " CA Monza Total
Under 1.5 " but the odd is too low, something like @1.29, that's not worth it unless I put it in some parlay, that's something I'll think about

exactly, both teams have the goal of winning this big match, but unfortunately for Milan they are facing a truly ruthless Napoli who want to win at all costs in order to conclude this championship as soon as possible, Milan are not great form but still have to fight to keep their pursuers away, more than Atalanta Milan's thoughts are to keep Juventus away who have been traveling like a train with no brakes lately

the odds for napoli to win the game dropped from @182 to @1.78 this could be an indicator that the bookmakers are still watching the results of the games that are taking place for euro, concacaf to see if there will be any players injured and then you will place the odds based on that, but I think that in this game napoli has a better chance of winning the game, milan does not have a good attack, in the last 2 games milan only scored 1 goal in each game even playing against weak teams and conceded 4 goals even playing against weak teams. I bet on napoli to win

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March 28, 2023, 07:42:20 PM
 #47045

That is true and they will continue to be great but there is no guarantee that they will win all their games. I think it is important to also remember that Milan and Inter has been not so great recently and that doesn't mean that they will continue to be bad neither, maybe that was then and it's over now and they are going to be better soon? Maybe those teams will end up beating everyone else as well.

We do not know that and I believe that Juventus, even if they end up winning most of their games, or even all of their games, could still end up not inside the top four because the top teams may end up winning their games as well, which would make Juventus fifth instead.
I don't know how Juventus became this bad that, winning games looked as though they've done something really great. They've gathered a little momentum lately but, there are chances that they could still encounter some loses on the way. I  don't see Juventus to be doing any better than Inter Milan, they are leveled as per performance to me.
Napoli remains the only team that has distinguished themselves in the league as we have it now and no other team. Can't say I expected them to put same energy in the rest of there games though as, the league looks already won. They just need to win few games more gto seal the league.

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March 28, 2023, 08:21:25 PM
 #47046


Nevertheless, Juventus' performance this season has been very poor. There are only a few matches left, but Juve have no hope of qualifying for the champions this season. At least they should be able to reach the target to qualify for the UCL.

Of course, with their better performance than the clubs above it, it makes their chances of entering the UCL Zone even greater. Their point difference is also not much, nine points is not impossible. But of course they have to work hard for the rest of the game. The rest of their games are indeed against teams that are not easy. But indeed they deserved to enter the UCL zone, they managed to win 0-1 from Inter. They will also play in the Coppa Italia semi-final against Inter.
If Juventus stays on a winning track for the rest of the season, of course they still have a chance to get into the top 4, I think this is a good chance for Juventus even though they are penalized with a 15 point deduction and no chance to win the Italian league this season. at least being able to qualify for the UCL next season is good enough.
With the previous point reduction which was worried about disturbing them in terms of position, I think for now with the recovery of the players, the things that are worried about will not have too much of an impact, especially with the entry of several injured players such as Chiesa, Dusan and even Pogba, making their performance real. Chiesa's presence is something that has impressed me the most so far because with him in midfield with his movement he is always the difference and I like that.

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March 28, 2023, 08:21:51 PM
 #47047

One of the matches this week will bring Monza against Lazio and it seems that Lazio's position will be more comfortable if they manage to win this match. The last meeting of these two teams was won by Lazio with a narrow score and Monza, who as the host in this week's match, might have a slight advantage to provide resistance so that Lazio cannot steal points at home. If we look at the odds offered by the bookie, Lazio is favored with odds @2.14 and for Monza with odds @3.70 I think it's clear here who the bet is for, surely Lazio will win this match with a narrow score again 0-1.

Wow, it seems interesting to bet on Lazio's win, because in fact Lazio so far this season has chosen very good results for away matches. But in this match Lazio still gets odds @ 2.14, obviously these are very good odds for a team that is guaranteed to win because after all, Monza doesn't have a good record when Monza plays at home.

This will be very interesting because even though Lazio are the favorites because they get lower odds than Monza, but basically with such a difference in odds Lazio is still in doubt to win. That's what I think is something interesting, because even though Lazio is in second place in the Serie A standings, but Lazio is not fully projected to win for the match against Monza later.
Indeed, basically getting odds at these numbers sometimes invites doubts to bet on Lazio. But if you see Lazio's enthusiasm in their last few matches in Serie A they have proven that they can achieve quite good results, it's no doubt that later in this match they have more enthusiasm so they can secure a place for the champions league zone next season and won't let other competing teams in standings to be able to shift its position

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March 28, 2023, 08:29:14 PM
 #47048

Indeed, basically getting odds at these numbers sometimes invites doubts to bet on Lazio. But if you see Lazio's enthusiasm in their last few matches in Serie A they have proven that they can achieve quite good results, it's no doubt that later in this match they have more enthusiasm so they can secure a place for the champions league zone next season and won't let other competing teams in standings to be able to shift its position
In probability I think Lazio is still ahead of Monza. Of course you can still consider a draw for this match because Monza is playing at home, but Lazio's performance seems more promising to win.

My focus in Serie A is Napoli vs Milan which will be held at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. It was the first Champions League pre-leg match between the two teams, of course it attracted a lot of attention. I think Napoli are the favorites to win but Milan will have to try something to keep their chances of staying in the top 4.

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March 28, 2023, 08:32:14 PM
 #47049

Sounds a complicated problem inside juventus  Cheesy
I think the case that happened to Juventus also have a bad impact on the players' confidence in being able to become champions. Before getting the point deduction, they can compete in the top 3 of the standings already. Starting the season with injured players but getting into the top 3 is a great achievement. Unfortunatelly, they are getting a point deduction, this can make Juventus players worried about the future of Juventus. Because previously sanctioned by relegation, the fear of getting the same sanction must be in the players' feelings. Hopefully current sanction is the final for Juventus. So we can see Juventus competing for scudetto again next season.
Inside have 15 points deduction still not stopping yet about new rumor and new punishment will get by Juventus and have impact for their player mentality keep stay with Juventus or move to other team have participants in Champion League exactly. Beside Juventus chance for getting Champion League spot not close yet but several players worried about next punishment from FIGC.

Lets waiting until the end this season will Juventus received new punishment after points deduction or all have been final and clear about previous punishment with points deduction. I worried if have sanction with relegation to Serie B will not have opportunities for several player keep extended until their contract expiry, based on what happen last several season when Juventus dropped to Serie B have many players left Juventus and move to other team can exist in Serie A.

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March 28, 2023, 08:39:02 PM
 #47050

What Juventus experienced was due to their own actions trying to provide a report that was not in accordance with what happened, and the consequence was that they had to be sanctioned in such a way by the federation. I wonder why a club as big as them do things they shouldn't do. To say they don't know the rules is ridiculous because they are a very experienced club.
This is a lesson for other clubs to comply with existing regulations, otherwise their own team will suffer losses later. Things that actually can be avoided, but with "stupidity" will be very detrimental to them.


obviously there are rules and the rules must be respected
otherwise it would be anarchy
using this kind of punishment when you transgress are excellent
fines are also excellent for making it clear that the rules must be respected

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March 28, 2023, 08:39:22 PM
 #47051

In probability I think Lazio is still ahead of Monza. Of course you can still consider a draw for this match because Monza is playing at home, but Lazio's performance seems more promising to win.
Lazio is better for sure but they are fluctuating a lot so better to be cautious. Monza made good surprise for some better teams. The outcomes of the game is on Lazio side but we shouldn't underestimate Monza a lot.

My focus in Serie A is Napoli vs Milan which will be held at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. It was the first Champions League pre-leg match between the two teams, of course it attracted a lot of attention. I think Napoli are the favorites to win but Milan will have to try something to keep their chances of staying in the top 4.
In 2 weeks, Napoli will have to face Milan three times, twice in home and once in San Siro. Odds for the Serie A and 1st leg Champions League games are in favour of Napoli. Milan will have hard time defying it since the overall performance of Milan dropped considerably comparing to the beginning of the season.

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March 28, 2023, 08:48:18 PM
 #47052

Truthfully a really tough match is waiting for Inter on next week of the league. They are going to be hosting Fiorentina in Giuseppe Meazza.

First of all I'm aware of the big point gap between these teams now. However the reason why I pointed it out like that is that Fiorentina are in a much better form than Inter these days. In addition to their unbeaten series in the league they have been maintaining a winning streak of four matches also. This is a point that Inter should really be careful about. They won't find a weak team against themselves most probably. Besides there has been a serious level of drop in Inter's performance and results lately. I'm still favouring Inter for the win but it would be by a small gap.

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March 28, 2023, 09:32:13 PM
 #47053

In 2 weeks, Napoli will have to face Milan three times, twice in home and once in San Siro. Odds for the Serie A and 1st leg Champions League games are in favour of Napoli. Milan will have hard time defying it since the overall performance of Milan dropped considerably comparing to the beginning of the season.
Napoli with the run of form they are at the moment I see them winning Milan in both leg of the champions League, I don't see AC Milan surviving winning any of those fixtures, Napoli are really in a good run of form, they are even the favourite to win the champions League this season, because i have not see any team that is  going to give them much trouble at the moment, I think they are already in the finals, waiting for who ever is going to make it to the final in the other group.

R


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March 28, 2023, 09:49:37 PM
 #47054

In probability I think Lazio is still ahead of Monza. Of course you can still consider a draw for this match because Monza is playing at home, but Lazio's performance seems more promising to win.

My focus in Serie A is Napoli vs Milan which will be held at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. It was the first Champions League pre-leg match between the two teams, of course it attracted a lot of attention. I think Napoli are the favorites to win but Milan will have to try something to keep their chances of staying in the top 4.
I'm not sure that Monza is able to provide resistance against Lazio because Lazio are in their best condition against Monza.  even though playing at home, it is not certain that Monza will be the favorite in this match. Lazio will continue to focus on every future match as a final for them because Lazio big target is to close the season in the top 4 places.

Ac monza in their last 2 matches found it difficult to win even when facing Cremonese they were unable to maximize the opportunities to seek victory. but lazio in the previous match they played quite impressively against roma where overall they were able to suppress roma which in the end victory belonged to lazio at the end of the match.

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March 28, 2023, 10:34:44 PM
 #47055

I'm not sure that Monza is able to provide resistance against Lazio because Lazio are in their best condition against Monza.  even though playing at home, it is not certain that Monza will be the favorite in this match. Lazio will continue to focus on every future match as a final for them because Lazio big target is to close the season in the top 4 places.
Exactly, If we look at the statistics of their game lately, I still believe and believe that Lazio will still excel and win 3 full points. Moreover, they are also in a motivated condition to be at least in 2nd place. They have excelled in several previous matches, and they began to leave the other big clubs. Even though Monza also has a pretty good game, based on lineup statistics, Lazio still has a bigger chance. Unless it's already in the field.

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March 28, 2023, 11:43:47 PM
 #47056

If Juventus stays on a winning track for the rest of the season, of course they still have a chance to get into the top 4, I think this is a good chance for Juventus even though they are penalized with a 15 point deduction and no chance to win the Italian league this season. at least being able to qualify for the UCL next season is good enough.
Juventus is still having 2 ways to be qualified for UCL next season.

1. Winning europa league
2. Entering into the top 4 by winning the rest of matches.

The problem is juventus is still having a scandal that has not ended yet. This is related to the Ronaldo's transfer. There was a private agreement between the club and ronaldo has been bringing juventus to another stage. juventus may be probably get another sanction again. Im really amazed with the performance of juventus. Despite so many problems that happened with juventus and its players are still able comeback strong. I think that if this gonne be a very interesting thing for sure.

Juventus may have managed to comeback again to the top 4. There are only 7 points to surpass ac milan. I expect napoli to beat ac milan and juventus to win the game. That will make the gap only 4 points.

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March 29, 2023, 12:44:13 AM
 #47057

If Juventus stays on a winning track for the rest of the season, of course they still have a chance to get into the top 4, I think this is a good chance for Juventus even though they are penalized with a 15 point deduction and no chance to win the Italian league this season. at least being able to qualify for the UCL next season is good enough.
In terms of the opportunity for the top four positions, it is still very possible for Juventus in terms of achieving it, because in the near future Juventus will not meet such a strong team, namely Verona, except for Lazio. Because the most difficult opponent for Juventus in the remaining matches in this season in Serie A is Napoli, and apart from that Juventus still have to hope that three other teams such as Atalanta, Roma and Milan can lose their matches. So that the victory obtained by Juventus is not in vain (if Juventus gets it).
In my predictions for the three teams you mentioned, such as Atalanta, AS Roma and Milan, it looks like indeed it will be difficult for them to get consecutive wins. Also, if for example Juventus can finish in the top four then it's not a pretty good result, but a very good result because to come back from a slump like that is not easy.
So, in the remaining Serie A matches, if Juventus can consistently win or don't lose, then the chance for Juventus to be able to continue to rise in the Serie A standings is very likely to happen.

I agree that if Juventus was not penalized by 15 points, they probably would have not been satisfied with the results. But honestly, The way Juventus has performed even after being penalized was such a great performance. Now if they can finish in the top four, it is going to be a great achievement for them.

What I am interested to see is Juventus has two options. One is to go for the top four position and the other is trying to win the Europa League. I am interested to see which they will go for.



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March 29, 2023, 02:45:25 AM
 #47058

I agree that if Juventus was not penalized by 15 points, they probably would have not been satisfied with the results. But honestly, The way Juventus has performed even after being penalized was such a great performance. Now if they can finish in the top four, it is going to be a great achievement for them.
Juventus did have a good season in Serie A and I expect them to be a strong candidate for Scudetto in Serie A 2023 - 2024. I believe they will have some new players come and go away in the summer transfer but generally they will try to improve their squad. This together with likely some departures of star players in Napoli and uncertainty in other big clubs, will help Juventus to become more competitive in a next season. Other clubs must worry a lot about Juventus in a next season.

Quote
What I am interested to see is Juventus has two options. One is to go for the top four position and the other is trying to win the Europa League. I am interested to see which they will go for.
I think they will aim at both because no guarantee that they can win Europa League if they sacrifice Serie A and only focus on Europa League. It is too soon to sacrifice Serie A but if they see chance there is smaller in next month and manage to go far in Europa League, maybe decision will be made.

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March 29, 2023, 04:34:07 AM
 #47059

Indeed, basically getting odds at these numbers sometimes invites doubts to bet on Lazio. But if you see Lazio's enthusiasm in their last few matches in Serie A they have proven that they can achieve quite good results, it's no doubt that later in this match they have more enthusiasm so they can secure a place for the champions league zone next season and won't let other competing teams in standings to be able to shift its position
In probability I think Lazio is still ahead of Monza. Of course you can still consider a draw for this match because Monza is playing at home, but Lazio's performance seems more promising to win.

My focus in Serie A is Napoli vs Milan which will be held at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. It was the first Champions League pre-leg match between the two teams, of course it attracted a lot of attention. I think Napoli are the favorites to win but Milan will have to try something to keep their chances of staying in the top 4.
Lazio in recent weeks they have continued to show an increase in the quality of their game which is quite extraordinary. they have even managed to beat Napoli and Roma in the past few weeks. so I don't think Monza will be able to hold Lazio to a draw in the match. even though Monza became the year of the house. I think it won't change anything.

for the Napoli vs Milan match as well. with Napoli's consistency this season coupled with those playing at home. it is very clear that the advantage is on the side of Napoli.

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March 29, 2023, 04:44:47 AM
 #47060

Quote from: rendravolt
One of the matches this week will bring Monza against Lazio and it seems that Lazio's position will be more comfortable if they manage to win this match. The last meeting of these two teams was won by Lazio with a narrow score and Monza, who as the host in this week's match, might have a slight advantage to provide resistance so that Lazio cannot steal points at home. If we look at the odds offered by the bookie, Lazio is favored with odds @2.14 and for Monza with odds @3.70 I think it's clear here who the bet is for, surely Lazio will win this match with a narrow score again 0-1.

Since Lazio coach has worked on their defense, I think they will score more than three goals in this match to defeat Monza to maintain the second position in the Italian league table and to alert other teams that they have what it takes to win this title. I don't think, Lazio players will allow what happened in their last match that made the match to ended up 1-0 to happen in this match than to apply their new skills to play the match to embrace victory again. Lazio will be my favorite in this match, because they will do everything possible to ensure they display wonders that will make them to achieve the three points at the end of the match.

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