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Author Topic: Legendary one day?  (Read 102666 times)
Lauda
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November 28, 2015, 11:41:57 PM
 #121

What if my potential activity is 854 :
-snip-
31.25% to be exact. You should just read what Shorena has posted and you're going to figure it out without having to do any math.

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The Bitcoin Forum is turning 10 years old! Join the community in sharing and exploring the notable posts made over the years.
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Xialla
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November 28, 2015, 11:51:59 PM
 #122

what all you can do is wait Smiley

thanks for valuable input. Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes
shorena
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November 29, 2015, 10:48:28 AM
 #123

-snip-
Lauda      966   75.00%
Thanks for the update and for adding me. Looks like I'm going into the extremely unlikely category.

What is my %?
A little less than 20%.

What if my potential activity is 854 :



User Id: 78720
Name: ruggedman_dan
Posts: 821
Activity: 821
Potential Activity: 854
Post Quality: Fair
Trust: Positive, Dark Green Trust
Estimated Price: 0.60300000


~30% ?


Added you.

Code:
name act prob.
master-P 840 25.78%
ruggedman_dan 854 31.25%
EAL 868 36.72%
Blazed 896 47.66%
Mitchell 910 53.13%
notlist3d 938 64.06%
Lauda 952 69.53%
defaced 980 80.47%

What if my potential activity is 854 :
-snip-
31.25% to be exact. You should just read what Shorena has posted and you're going to figure it out without having to do any math.

The math behind it is not that hard though.

Its (activity-774)/256
ruggedman_dan
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November 29, 2015, 05:26:23 PM
 #124

-snip-
Lauda      966   75.00%
Thanks for the update and for adding me. Looks like I'm going into the extremely unlikely category.

What is my %?
A little less than 20%.

What if my potential activity is 854 :



User Id: 78720
Name: ruggedman_dan
Posts: 821
Activity: 821
Potential Activity: 854
Post Quality: Fair
Trust: Positive, Dark Green Trust
Estimated Price: 0.60300000


~30% ?


Added you.

Code:
name act prob.
master-P 840 25.78%
ruggedman_dan 854 31.25%
EAL 868 36.72%
Blazed 896 47.66%
Mitchell 910 53.13%
notlist3d 938 64.06%
Lauda 952 69.53%
defaced 980 80.47%

What if my potential activity is 854 :
-snip-
31.25% to be exact. You should just read what Shorena has posted and you're going to figure it out without having to do any math.

The math behind it is not that hard though.

Its (activity-774)/256

Thank you shorena.
defaced
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December 01, 2015, 04:31:56 PM
 #125

So unlucky lol

Still nope!

Fortune Favors the Brave
Borderless CorpEXPANSETokenlabEXREXP.LIFEFranko Is Freedom
Blazed
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December 09, 2015, 06:57:29 AM
 #126

Still no luck for me! Looks like we need to update this once again. I bet I will be one of the unlucky ones who do not change until the last possible time.
mexxer-2
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December 09, 2015, 07:01:36 AM
 #127

Still no luck for me! Looks like we need to update this once again. I bet I will be one of the unlucky ones who do not change until the last possible time.
Well, seem notlist3d hit it, Lauda hasn't made a post since activity update, defaced and rugged as well. So those guys still have a chance. As for the unluckiest title, it still belongs to: https://web.archive.org/web/20151009120828/https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=71557
notlist3d
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December 09, 2015, 07:33:37 AM
 #128

Still no luck for me! Looks like we need to update this once again. I bet I will be one of the unlucky ones who do not change until the last possible time.
Well, seem notlist3d hit it, Lauda hasn't made a post since activity update, defaced and rugged as well. So those guys still have a chance. As for the unluckiest title, it still belongs to: https://web.archive.org/web/20151009120828/https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=71557

It happened sooner then I had in my mind.  I thought I would be close to end ... and out of blue it's a good surprise Smiley.

It's been a fun few years.  Lot of time when I look back into it.
Lauda
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December 09, 2015, 07:45:08 AM
 #129

Well, seem notlist3d hit it, Lauda hasn't made a post since activity update, defaced and rugged as well. So those guys still have a chance. As for the unluckiest title, it still belongs to: https://web.archive.org/web/20151009120828/https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=71557
Lauda is not among the lucky persons who walk this world, so I'm assuming that I might not even get it at the next update. Congratulations notlist3d.

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mexxer-2
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December 09, 2015, 07:48:06 AM
 #130

Lauda is not among the lucky persons who walk this world, so I'm assuming that I might not even get it at the next update. Congratulations notlist3d.
What happened to optimism? Still seeing the glass as half empty? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OXuxJaYsIvs
You still have 30 mins before your "fate" is decided I believe.
Mitchell
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December 09, 2015, 08:02:52 AM
 #131

Well, seem notlist3d hit it, Lauda hasn't made a post since activity update, defaced and rugged as well. So those guys still have a chance. As for the unluckiest title, it still belongs to: https://web.archive.org/web/20151009120828/https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=71557
Oh man. The gods do not like him, at all. Grin

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.JACKMATE'S...........
.
MAJESTIC..
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.JOIN US - IT'S FREE! .
justspare
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December 09, 2015, 08:07:07 AM
 #132

You are just unlucky. You're losing on a 85% win chance roll Tongue

*Press reroll key at the bottom of the screen*
shorena
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December 09, 2015, 08:11:10 AM
Last edit: December 12, 2015, 04:24:15 PM by shorena
 #133

Update, now with links to make future updates easier.

Code:
name act prob.
Xialla[9] 798 9.38%
minifrij[11] 812 14.84%
master-P[1] 868 36.72%
ruggedman_dan**[2] 868 36.72%
EAL[3] 896 47.66%
OnkelPaul[10] 924 58.59%
Blazed[4] 924 58.59%
Mitchełł[5] 938 64.06%
notlist3d[6] 952 hit it
Lauda[7] 980 80.47%
defaced[8] 994 85.94%
mprep[12] 1022 96.88%
* = has not made a post in the current period
** = has pottential activity to unlock, the number given is the estimated maximum pot. activity.

[1] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=89329
[2] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=78720
[3] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=140584
[4] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=134378
[5] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=113670
[6] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=105355
[7] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=101872
[8] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=5567
[9] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=103451
[10] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=115339
[11] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=138940
[12] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=51173
justspare
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December 09, 2015, 08:13:50 AM
 #134


May I ask how are the probabilities calculated? Is there some kind of formula?
mexxer-2
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December 09, 2015, 08:19:51 AM
 #135

-snip-
Notlist3d(as said in two posts above yours) is already a legendary member aand.. well lets not repeat here
Still no luck for me! Looks like we need to update this once again. I bet I will be one of the unlucky ones who do not change until the last possible time.
Well, seem notlist3d hit it, Lauda hasn't made a post since activity update, defaced and rugged as well. So those guys still have a chance. As for the unluckiest title, it still belongs to: https://web.archive.org/web/20151009120828/https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=71557
May I ask how are the probabilities calculated? Is there some kind of formula?
If you're not much lazy, go on the other pages of this thread, it was already explained.
Xialla
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December 09, 2015, 08:42:55 AM
Last edit: December 09, 2015, 08:54:41 AM by Xialla
 #136

@shorena: add me to list please, I want to win this:)

(thanks)
justspare
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December 09, 2015, 09:29:36 AM
 #137

Yeah, you're pretty unlucky, you can get it anywhere from 775-1030. So you will definitely get it soon. You have a 1% chance of getting it at 1030 and I think only 1 guy has gotten to legendary at 1030.
OnkelPaul
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December 09, 2015, 02:01:23 PM
 #138

@shorena: add me to list please, I want to win this:)

(thanks)

Me too! Me too, please! Smiley
Didn't make it in this activity interval, let's see whether I've got better luck next time (would be a nice Christmas present)

thanks,
Onkel Paul

The Pharmacist
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December 09, 2015, 02:11:43 PM
 #139

This forum, in discussions like this, reminds me of when I was a drooly-chinned kid level grinding on sunny afternoons when I should have been outside playing.  Years later and it seems I've learned nothing because I do look forward to hero status, which is my next stop.

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December 09, 2015, 02:28:06 PM
 #140

Throw me on there too if you don't mind, I didn't realize my activity as almost 800.
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