Legendary one day?

[Lauda]

What if my potential activity is 854 :
-snip-

31.25% to be exact. You should just read what Shorena has posted and you're going to figure it out without having to do any math.

[Xialla]

what all you can do is wait

thanks for valuable input.

[shorena]

-snip-
Lauda      966   75.00%

Thanks for the update and for adding me. Looks like I'm going into the extremely unlikely category.

What is my %?

A little less than 20%.

What if my potential activity is 854 :



User Id: 78720
Name: ruggedman_dan
Posts: 821
Activity: 821
Potential Activity: 854
Post Quality: Fair
Trust: Positive, Dark Green Trust
Estimated Price: 0.60300000


~30% ?

Added you.

Code:

name		act	prob.
master-P	840	25.78%
ruggedman_dan	854	31.25%
EAL		868	36.72%
Blazed		896	47.66%
Mitchell	910	53.13%
notlist3d	938	64.06%
Lauda		952	69.53%
defaced		980	80.47%

What if my potential activity is 854 :
-snip-

31.25% to be exact. You should just read what Shorena has posted and you're going to figure it out without having to do any math.

The math behind it is not that hard though.

Its (activity-774)/256

[ruggedman_dan]

-snip-
Lauda      966   75.00%

Thanks for the update and for adding me. Looks like I'm going into the extremely unlikely category.

What is my %?

A little less than 20%.

What if my potential activity is 854 :



User Id: 78720
Name: ruggedman_dan
Posts: 821
Activity: 821
Potential Activity: 854
Post Quality: Fair
Trust: Positive, Dark Green Trust
Estimated Price: 0.60300000


~30% ?

Added you.

Code:

name		act	prob.
master-P	840	25.78%
ruggedman_dan	854	31.25%
EAL		868	36.72%
Blazed		896	47.66%
Mitchell	910	53.13%
notlist3d	938	64.06%
Lauda		952	69.53%
defaced		980	80.47%

What if my potential activity is 854 :
-snip-

31.25% to be exact. You should just read what Shorena has posted and you're going to figure it out without having to do any math.

The math behind it is not that hard though.

Its (activity-774)/256

Thank you shorena.

[defaced]

So unlucky lol

Still nope!

[Blazed]

Still no luck for me! Looks like we need to update this once again. I bet I will be one of the unlucky ones who do not change until the last possible time.

[mexxer-2]

Still no luck for me! Looks like we need to update this once again. I bet I will be one of the unlucky ones who do not change until the last possible time.

Well, seem notlist3d hit it, Lauda hasn't made a post since activity update, defaced and rugged as well. So those guys still have a chance. As for the unluckiest title, it still belongs to: https://web.archive.org/web/20151009120828/https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=71557

[notlist3d]

Still no luck for me! Looks like we need to update this once again. I bet I will be one of the unlucky ones who do not change until the last possible time.

Well, seem notlist3d hit it, Lauda hasn't made a post since activity update, defaced and rugged as well. So those guys still have a chance. As for the unluckiest title, it still belongs to: https://web.archive.org/web/20151009120828/https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=71557

It happened sooner then I had in my mind.  I thought I would be close to end ... and out of blue it's a good surprise .

It's been a fun few years.  Lot of time when I look back into it.

[Lauda]

Well, seem notlist3d hit it, Lauda hasn't made a post since activity update, defaced and rugged as well. So those guys still have a chance. As for the unluckiest title, it still belongs to: https://web.archive.org/web/20151009120828/https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=71557

Lauda is not among the lucky persons who walk this world, so I'm assuming that I might not even get it at the next update. Congratulations notlist3d.

[mexxer-2]

Lauda is not among the lucky persons who walk this world, so I'm assuming that I might not even get it at the next update. Congratulations notlist3d.

What happened to optimism? Still seeing the glass as half empty? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OXuxJaYsIvs
You still have 30 mins before your "fate" is decided I believe.

[Mitchell]

Well, seem notlist3d hit it, Lauda hasn't made a post since activity update, defaced and rugged as well. So those guys still have a chance. As for the unluckiest title, it still belongs to: https://web.archive.org/web/20151009120828/https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=71557

Oh man. The gods do not like him, at all.

[justspare]

You are just unlucky. You're losing on a 85% win chance roll

*Press reroll key at the bottom of the screen*

[shorena]

Update, now with links to make future updates easier.

Code:

name			act	prob.
Xialla[9]		 798	 9.38%
minifrij[11]		 812	14.84%
master-P[1]		 868	36.72%
ruggedman_dan**[2]	 868	36.72%
EAL[3]			 896	47.66%
OnkelPaul[10]		 924	58.59%
Blazed[4]		 924	58.59%
Mitchełł[5]		 938	64.06%
notlist3d[6]		 952	hit it
Lauda[7]		 980	80.47%
defaced[8]		 994	85.94%
mprep[12]		1022	96.88%
* = has not made a post in the current period
** = has pottential activity to unlock, the number given is the estimated maximum pot. activity.

[1] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=89329
[2] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=78720
[3] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=140584
[4] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=134378
[5] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=113670
[6] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=105355
[7] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=101872
[8] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=5567
[9] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=103451
[10] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=115339
[11] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=138940
[12] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=51173

[justspare]

Update, now with links to make future updates easier.

Code:

name			act	prob.
master-P[1]		868	36.72%
ruggedman_dan[2]	868	36.72%
EAL[3]			896	47.66%
Blazed[4]		924	58.59%
Mitchełł[5]		938	64.06%
notlist3d[6]		952	hit it
Lauda[7]		980	80.47%
defaced[8]		994	85.94%

[1] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=89329
[2] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=78720
[3] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=140584
[4] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=134378
[5] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=113670
[6] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=105355
[7] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=101872
[8] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=5567

May I ask how are the probabilities calculated? Is there some kind of formula?

[mexxer-2]

-snip-

Notlist3d(as said in two posts above yours) is already a legendary member aand.. well lets not repeat here

Still no luck for me! Looks like we need to update this once again. I bet I will be one of the unlucky ones who do not change until the last possible time.

Well, seem notlist3d hit it, Lauda hasn't made a post since activity update, defaced and rugged as well. So those guys still have a chance. As for the unluckiest title, it still belongs to: https://web.archive.org/web/20151009120828/https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=71557

May I ask how are the probabilities calculated? Is there some kind of formula?

If you're not much lazy, go on the other pages of this thread, it was already explained.

[Xialla]

@shorena: add me to list please, I want to win this:)

(thanks)

[justspare]

Yeah, you're pretty unlucky, you can get it anywhere from 775-1030. So you will definitely get it soon. You have a 1% chance of getting it at 1030 and I think only 1 guy has gotten to legendary at 1030.

[OnkelPaul]

@shorena: add me to list please, I want to win this:)

(thanks)

Me too! Me too, please!
Didn't make it in this activity interval, let's see whether I've got better luck next time (would be a nice Christmas present)

thanks,
Onkel Paul

[The Sceptical Chymist]

This forum, in discussions like this, reminds me of when I was a drooly-chinned kid level grinding on sunny afternoons when I should have been outside playing.  Years later and it seems I've learned nothing because I do look forward to hero status, which is my next stop.

[minifrij]

Throw me on there too if you don't mind, I didn't realize my activity as almost 800.