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Question: What happens first:
New ATH - 43 (69.4%)
<$60,000 - 19 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 62

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26370607 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
Wekkel
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November 25, 2013, 07:47:49 AM
 #49381

The technical picture is deteriorating. I'm with reptilia on this one: buy cheaper coins in about 1-2 days.

Has bitcoin ever rallied to an all-time high and then stabilized right near the top for a few days, and only then crashed significantly lower? That has never been the pattern before. I think the fact that we're consolidating just under the ATH is bullish for another surge to the upside within 1-2 days.

I just look at technicals:
*Failed to exceed previous high
*Lower highs last few days
*Hourly/2 hourly flipping
*MA crosses everywhere

Bitcoin is Bitcoin for neglecting these kinds of things, but that requires buying power. My best guess.is the guns will remain holstered for the next few days.
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freebird
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November 25, 2013, 07:50:14 AM
Last edit: November 25, 2013, 08:01:27 AM by freebird
 #49382

The technical picture is deteriorating. I'm with reptilia on this one: buy cheaper coins in about 1-2 days.

Has bitcoin ever rallied to an all-time high and then stabilized right near the top for a few days, and only then crashed significantly lower? That has never been the pattern before. I think the fact that we're consolidating just under the ATH is bullish for another surge to the upside within 1-2 days.

It's exactly like that.  Smiley

What happened after this?

That chart shows a consolidation at about 50-65% of the ATH in 2011. We are currently sitting at only 10-15% less than the ATH. I think that's a significant difference, from a technical perspective.

But is that difference good (bullish) thing? Wink

I admit we could be forming a double top. However, I believe it's more likely that we're forming a cup and handle, resulting in one more big rally to a new ATH, somewhere above $1000. After that, then probably a more significant correction and consolidation period.

The cup was on Nov. 19-20, and the handle is the last two days. See hourly chart.
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November 25, 2013, 08:01:34 AM
 #49383

We're relatively stable at these levels for about 2 days now. I think that maybe rpietila is right about a stabilized period. Watching... Cool
ChartBuddy
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November 25, 2013, 08:02:09 AM
 #49384

beetcoin
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November 25, 2013, 08:05:01 AM
 #49385

We're relatively stable at these levels for about 2 days now. I think that maybe rpietila is right about a stabilized period. Watching... Cool

it's been the weekend the past 2 days.. volume is usually much lower. that's not a good indicator at all. i'd say we'll have a better feel by wednesday.
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November 25, 2013, 08:27:51 AM
 #49386

All exchanges have their order books looking overbought. The best thing I can hope for is consolidation, and I don't give it more than 20% chance. Probably we'll retest the 600-700$ zone

In the long term (that is, 30 days from now) I'm bullish of course, but the price has absolutely no intention of going up soon.
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November 25, 2013, 08:30:13 AM
 #49387

Anyone else getting a "403 Forbidden" when trying to log in to Gox?
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November 25, 2013, 08:31:27 AM
 #49388

All exchanges have their order books looking overbought. The best thing I can hope for is consolidation, and I don't give it more than 20% chance. Probably we'll retest the 600-700$ zone

In the long term (that is, 30 days from now) I'm bullish of course, but the price has absolutely no intention of going up soon.

That would be great news. I have $30k waiting to be parked in bitcoin...
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November 25, 2013, 08:32:33 AM
 #49389

IMO the latest "crash" was just a correction, the bubble is just getting started.

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November 25, 2013, 08:35:33 AM
 #49390

If it stays this way, it will show in charts as a record +90% week, so hardly a crash Wink
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November 25, 2013, 08:42:10 AM
 #49391

I guess logically speaking the dump would be best timed following new money entering...panic sell. I think that is what happened last time at 850...I think too the moon literally plays out to the new blood as .. 5 digits by jan or zero by december.. lol
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November 25, 2013, 08:42:22 AM
 #49392

If it stays this way, it will show in charts as a record +90% week, so hardly a crash Wink
My thoughts exactly.
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November 25, 2013, 08:42:43 AM
 #49393

+1 we haven't had a real crash for a long time.

Miners, y u no sell?

(They will eventually)
Miz4r
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November 25, 2013, 08:45:19 AM
 #49394

+1 we haven't had a real crash for a long time.

Miners, y u no sell?

(They will eventually)

I sold 1 mined bitcoin recently, and then I bought it back later. Tongue
hmmmstrange
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November 25, 2013, 08:56:26 AM
 #49395

+1 we haven't had a real crash for a long time.

Miners, y u no sell?

(They will eventually)

They have liquidated all their btc in the last 6 months to buy mining rigs and are in the process of rebuilding their stashes.
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November 25, 2013, 08:58:55 AM
 #49396

+1 we haven't had a real crash for a long time.

Miners, y u no sell?

(They will eventually)

Who said miners only mine?
Sold 7 minted coins recently to buy back 9. Wink
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November 25, 2013, 09:06:07 AM
 #49397

+1 we haven't had a real crash for a long time.

Miners, y u no sell?

(They will eventually)

They have liquidated all their btc in the last 6 months to buy mining rigs and are in the process of rebuilding their stashes.

This. Rebuilding their stashes at a loss, which will make them to hold tighter.
nanobrain
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November 25, 2013, 09:09:25 AM
 #49398

Good ol' BTC...all the sages come and forecast gloom....up it goes $30 Cheesy


I know, I know its only temporary
Davyd05
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November 25, 2013, 09:11:59 AM
 #49399

stamps feeling bullish.. decided the waters had become to calm.
zoinky
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November 25, 2013, 09:14:57 AM
 #49400

Today shall be full of rising!  Grin
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