The only reason we're going under $200 again is because the FPRs haven't attracted a new bear whale yet. as soon as we see a giant ask wall low enough, it's gonna get eaten like fried chicken at Sunday potluck.
This is why I'm only 2.5% margin long right now. Have to keep my powder dry to hunt bear whales.
so who's the sucker gonna be?
I feel like your FPR is simply an explanation for trading ranges, originally outlined by Richard Wyckoff and used by VSA traders. This is how they play out:
1. Selling/buying climax
2. Secondary test(s) of highs/lows
3. Consolidation (up or down)
4. Sign of strength or weakness (a break upward/downward as a clue to the next move)
5. Shakeouts to test for supply/demand
6. Jump across the creek/break through the ice (a backup or spring, to gather strength to penetrate the top or bottom of the range)
7. Markup/markdown