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Question: What happens first:
New ATH - 43 (69.4%)
<$60,000 - 19 (30.6%)
Total Voters: 62

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26366755 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
El duderino_
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November 03, 2017, 08:42:29 AM

this must be the wealthiest forum in history.

 Cool

And if not
Its only a matter of time
According to NIST and ECRYPT II, the cryptographic algorithms used in Bitcoin are expected to be strong until at least 2030. (After that, it will not be too difficult to transition to different algorithms.)
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600watt
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November 03, 2017, 08:46:11 AM

this must be the wealthiest forum in history.

 Cool

And if not
Its only a matter of time


saturday? or monday?
rjclarke2000
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November 03, 2017, 08:49:55 AM

not a bad morning.


Will we see a temporary dump as we did yesterday?

$32k by the weekend?
Arriemoller
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November 03, 2017, 08:54:54 AM

Actually most of people on this planet are broke and just worry about daily sustenance.  So even if they knew something about bitcoin, they probably would buy very little, if at all, and had get out as soon as they need the money for something else.  

So even if Mircea Popescu type of elitism is repugnant, he is right in that Bitcoin does NOT give a fook whether it sees widespread use as payment or the masses adopt it.  It's going to go up if enough elites see it as a hedge against central bank experimentalism or as a new method of exerting controls.  As I stated before, I got in in late 2012 mostly as a hyperdeflationary experiment, i.e. I want to see whether we can trigger the first recorded case of hyperdeflation in human history.  

Since bitcoin is highly deflationary by design, it is irrational to spend it when you have fiat alternatives readily available, e.g. Visa/Master/Paypal/Alipay/Debit-card/Fiat-Cash.  If any kind of S curve adoption occurs, then BTC would be hoarded to oblivion.  Gresham's law would tell you that people always want to spend the "bad money", e.g. fiat, before spending "good money" like gold or BTC.  So eventually just as in hyperinflation, people try to spend the toilet paper confetti before it becomes worthless, people would hoard BTC before it becomes even more valuable.  The end game would be the same, they lose their function as a medium of exchange, because one has zero function as storage of value, and the other because it is just too valuable to be spent.  

If one just look at BTC in fiat term, going from sub $1 to $7000+ in 7+ years is pretty hyperdeflationary.  It's even worse if one looks at it in "purchasing power parity" terms, i.e. Laszlo's pizza, 2 pizza for USD$70 million, an increase of at least 7,000,000 times.  Naturally the implication would be that if BTC undergoes hyperdeflation, any charting/wave-theory/fibonacci/TA would be meaningless.  That's like applying TA to Weimar stock market or the IBVC (Venezuela stock index), which is up like 20x in 2017 alone and 50x in 1 year.  

^^
This.
JayJuanGee
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November 03, 2017, 08:58:08 AM

not a bad morning.


Will we see a temporary dump as we did yesterday?

$32k by the weekend?



Oh my!!!!  $32k, oh my!!!  I am not sure whether I am psychologically ready?  another 4.3x - ish.  Oh my!!!
ghandi
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November 03, 2017, 08:58:34 AM

Is there still somebody out there, trying to trade this madness? Cheesy
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November 03, 2017, 09:01:06 AM

This ratio.
Quote
Bitstamp | Total bids: 106610570 USD. Total asks: 1930 BTC. Ratio: 55232.55661 USD/BTC. | Data vintage: 0.0227 seconds
El duderino_
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November 03, 2017, 09:05:02 AM

this must be the wealthiest forum in history.

 Cool

And if not
Its only a matter of time


saturday? or monday?

Talking hours not days ;-)
philip2000uk
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November 03, 2017, 09:07:28 AM

Is there still somebody out there, trying to trade this madness? Cheesy
I lose when i buy and sell so i'm holding.
Heater
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November 03, 2017, 09:07:48 AM

This ratio.
Quote
Bitstamp | Total bids: 106610570 USD. Total asks: 1930 BTC. Ratio: 55232.55661 USD/BTC. | Data vintage: 0.0227 seconds

Wow. The ratio is getting out of hand. Looks like we still have a way to go in this one.

Just went out for a quick walk and made a years salary. Not so easy to comprehend this atm.
Asrael999
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November 03, 2017, 09:15:09 AM



Guys, i can´t comprehent my sudden wealth, please help me.

This no joke. It´s probably, because i have no use of lambos, don´t know . . .




If u'r in your prime, you have 50 years left to live. What is your desire?? (Be greedy with your cravings if they make you feel better, healthy, happy, relaxed and make you live longer!) Smiley

I just wanna go surfing  Smiley

My ultimate dream is a sign in front of my business:  "Gone swimming" !



Move somewhere with good waves , but an existing surfing business, pay someone else to run it, and go surfing then.


Investing in something that might be burdensome and for something like 'waves' that are for free is not a good business. Smiley

True but being the guy/gal that owns the surf shop and spends their days on the beach definitely comes with perks. Smiley
realsteelboy
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November 03, 2017, 09:17:49 AM

7500 on Stamp

Life is good.  Grin
Arriemoller
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November 03, 2017, 09:22:34 AM

Sometimes it helps to look at a log scale chart. Here is Bitstamp daily bitcoin log scale with a reasonable pitchfork drawn:



The pitchfork suggests we may reach roughly $8000 before a sharp correction down to about $5000 before new all time highs greater than $10,000 by year end. The sell off might occur during the fork drama and rather than the end of the world present just another buying opportunity.



Any chance we can see that chart extended to 2018?
philip2000uk
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November 03, 2017, 09:28:07 AM

I have 1.2 BTC

So I think realistically £166,000 would be enough for me to live out of my parents house for 10 years living basic in my own private room in a warm country.

With other money coming in from some online work which only brings in $6 a day.

Perhaps i should let it go a bit higher
LFC_Bitcoin
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November 03, 2017, 09:33:25 AM

this must be the wealthiest forum in history.

 Cool

Haha I’ll bet, thoroughly enjoyable fellow gentlemen.

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November 03, 2017, 09:36:22 AM

We might reach $8000 this weekend with this unstoppable hype in bitcoin, i dont have bitcoin which is sad for me.
I put it on alts and theyre still dumping, bitcoin eating the alts are unbelievable BTC Dominance: 61.4%
I still have faith that bitcoin will give little mercy to alts  Smiley
Elwar
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November 03, 2017, 09:39:04 AM

Actually most of people on this planet are broke and just worry about daily sustenance.  So even if they knew something about bitcoin, they probably would buy very little, if at all, and had get out as soon as they need the money for something else.  

So even if Mircea Popescu type of elitism is repugnant, he is right in that Bitcoin does NOT give a fook whether it sees widespread use as payment or the masses adopt it.  It's going to go up if enough elites see it as a hedge against central bank experimentalism or as a new method of exerting controls.  As I stated before, I got in in late 2012 mostly as a hyperdeflationary experiment, i.e. I want to see whether we can trigger the first recorded case of hyperdeflation in human history.  

Since bitcoin is highly deflationary by design, it is irrational to spend it when you have fiat alternatives readily available, e.g. Visa/Master/Paypal/Alipay/Debit-card/Fiat-Cash.  If any kind of S curve adoption occurs, then BTC would be hoarded to oblivion.  Gresham's law would tell you that people always want to spend the "bad money", e.g. fiat, before spending "good money" like gold or BTC.  So eventually just as in hyperinflation, people try to spend the toilet paper confetti before it becomes worthless, people would hoard BTC before it becomes even more valuable.  The end game would be the same, they lose their function as a medium of exchange, because one has zero function as storage of value, and the other because it is just too valuable to be spent.  

If one just look at BTC in fiat term, going from sub $1 to $7000+ in 7+ years is pretty hyperdeflationary.  It's even worse if one looks at it in "purchasing power parity" terms, i.e. Laszlo's pizza, 2 pizza for USD$70 million, an increase of at least 7,000,000 times.  Naturally the implication would be that if BTC undergoes hyperdeflation, any charting/wave-theory/fibonacci/TA would be meaningless.  That's like applying TA to Weimar stock market or the IBVC (Venezuela stock index), which is up like 20x in 2017 alone and 50x in 1 year.  

This all assumes that you get paid in fiat and convert some to bitcoin.

If you can get paid 100% in bitcoin and live 100% off of bitcoin, why would you choose to ever use fiat as per Gresham's law?

Even a poor person being paid in bitcoin and spending only bitcoin will be better off for it.

Once you hit that, you can only "hoard" it up to a point. You still have to spend money to survive.

If everyone used 100% Bitcoin then the only deflationary pressure would be population growth which is hardly hyperdeflationary.
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November 03, 2017, 09:53:17 AM

New day, new ATH. Boring.
fragout
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November 03, 2017, 10:03:37 AM

Wtf is going on in bitstamp. seems some bot is buying fractions of bitcoin every couple of seconds.  Turn on sound for effect:)  https://www.bitstamp.net/market/tradeview/

Edit, seems to have stopped now
mike4001
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November 03, 2017, 10:04:15 AM

New day, new ATH. Boring.


Only a messed up hardfork can do us any harm now Cheesy
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