Dragonkiller
Sr. Member
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Activity: 378
Merit: 250
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March 03, 2014, 02:07:53 AM |
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Confirmed by multiple people that the support line is pretty much only up to tell people to check to website later for further information. Bizarre.
Maybe setting up a callcenter is a legal obligation in the case of insolvency. yes, it is
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derpinheimer
Legendary
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Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
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March 03, 2014, 02:10:19 AM |
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Confirmed by multiple people that the support line is pretty much only up to tell people to check to website later for further information. Bizarre.
Maybe setting up a callcenter is a legal obligation in the case of insolvency. yes, it is So, in this case.. they list a number to call on their website, just to tell you to check the website for details? LOL wut.
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Dragonkiller
Sr. Member
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Offline
Activity: 378
Merit: 250
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Available Now!
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March 03, 2014, 02:12:45 AM |
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Confirmed by multiple people that the support line is pretty much only up to tell people to check to website later for further information. Bizarre.
Maybe setting up a callcenter is a legal obligation in the case of insolvency. yes, it is So, in this case.. they list a number to call on their website, just to tell you to check the website for details? LOL wut. yeah lol, i don't really know what people were expecting/hoping for. the operators are probably paid a minimal wage and were just hired recently and given basic training (i.e. told to refer people to the website etc), i doubt they even really know what's going on.
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JorgeStolfi
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March 03, 2014, 02:18:36 AM |
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Checking the Chinese Slumber Method predictions for Mar/02(It is called Chinese Slumber Method because it can put half of China's propulation to sleep.) The last prediction was not bad but a bit too bullish, again. Prediction posted on: Saturday 2014-03-01, 23:37 UTC Prediction was valid for: Sunday 2014-03-02, 19:00--19:59 UTC Huobi's predicted price: 3515 CNY Huobi's actual price (L+H)/2: 3427 CNY Error: 88 CNY Bitstamp's predicted price: 572 USD Bitstamp's actual price (L+H)/2: 561 USD Error: 11 USD The Huobi prediction in question is the rightmost blue rectangle on the chart below. The light blue-gray rectangles are the previous predictions. The orange and grey dots are the True and False Slumber Points, the mean Huobi prices at 19:00 UTC every day. The orange line is the trend that was assumed for the prediction. ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ic.unicamp.br%2F%7Estolfi%2Ftemp%2F2014-03-02-prediction-check-HUBI-annotated.png&t=665&c=vnGZid2IB6Zk7Q) The following chart shows the Bitstamp prices and predictions. The orange and grey dots are Huobi's prices at 19:00 UTC every day, divided by R = 6.12. The orange line is the trend used in the prediction, which is Huobi's trend divided by R (6.40 for Feb/07--09, 6.12 for all other times). ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ic.unicamp.br%2F%7Estolfi%2Ftemp%2F2014-03-02-prediction-check-BSTP-annotated.png&t=665&c=SVExr_ZuU1egzg)
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ThatBitcoinGuy
Newbie
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Activity: 36
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March 03, 2014, 02:21:10 AM |
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Antifragile:_Things_That_Gain_from_Disorder Worst. Pyramid. Category. Ever. ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif)
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niothor
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March 03, 2014, 02:21:23 AM |
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I like how the second one was started by a new user named goxxie Reddit is a credible source of information like the price on gox was relevant.
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jojo69
Legendary
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Activity: 3276
Merit: 4514
diamond-handed zealot
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March 03, 2014, 02:31:55 AM |
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Serious academics shouldn't make such statements
Keep in mind that Jorge is more than just an academic. He's a counter-revolutionary. Anything that does some kind of damage to Bitcoin is a straw of hope at which to snatch. Anything to forfend a future in which your children are not slaves of the fiat system. I'm afraid I rather agree
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JorgeStolfi
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March 03, 2014, 02:34:50 AM |
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Chinese Slumber Method prediction for Monday Mar/03Trade volume V d for today Mar/02 was ~41 kBTC, and volume V h in the official Slumber hour (19:00--19:59) was 52 BTC; so, by the new rule V h/V d < 0.005, it is definitely a True Slumber Point. The price at the official Slumber hour today (Mar/02 19:00--19:59) was 3427 CNY. There is now a clear decreasing trend among the last four True points (Feb/27--28, Mar/01--02). Therefore, it seems better to abandon the constant trend that I had been assuming for the last segment, starting Feb/20, and assume a new linear trend starting at Feb/27. The least-squares line of those four points is p(d) = 3521.20 - 30.30*(d - 27), where {d} is the day number since Feb/01. (This line also happens to fit the Feb/26 point, even though it is nominally a False one). Thus Prediction valid for: Monday 2014-03-03, 19:00--19:59 UTC (not before, not after) Huobi's predicted price: 3400 CNY. Bitstamp's predicted price: 556 USD. In retrospect, is not worth fitting any trend to the entire Empty Gox Chaos period that followed the Second Karpeles Catastrophe (namely, the six days Feb/20--25). The prediction is the blue rectangle almost outside the right margin in the chart below. The orange and grey dots are the True and False Slumber Points, and the orange line is the new trendline. ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ic.unicamp.br%2F%7Estolfi%2Ftemp%2F2014-03-02-prediction-make-HUBI-annotated.png&t=665&c=jWyyfvm15ZEVjQ) The price ratio between Huobi and Bitstamp was 6.11. That is so close to the factor R = 6.12 that I have been using, that I prefer to stick to the latter. Thus, the prediction for Bitstamp is simply that for Huobi, divided by R = 6.12. NOTE: I stand by my predictions, but I am not responsible for any errors that the market may make.
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niothor
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
March 03, 2014, 02:37:56 AM |
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Serious academics shouldn't make such statements
Keep in mind that Jorge is more than just an academic. He's a counter-revolutionary. Anything that does some kind of damage to Bitcoin is a straw of hope at which to snatch. Anything to forfend a future in which your children are not slaves of the fiat system. That's why I enjoy reading his postS. If he isn't able to find flaws ( thinking and acting rationally , unlike fonzie and mah) in the system , the system is one step close to being a success.
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JorgeStolfi
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March 03, 2014, 02:46:22 AM |
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If you guys don't stop picking on my person, I will have to take an extremely harsh punitive measure that you will not ever forget. You have been warned.
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pedrohrcunha
Newbie
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Activity: 10
Merit: 0
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March 03, 2014, 02:48:07 AM |
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If you guys don't stop picking on my person, I will have to take an extremely harsh punitive measure that you will not ever forget. You have been warned.
Jorgie don`t leave us.
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KeyserSoze
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March 03, 2014, 02:49:03 AM |
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If you guys don't stop picking on my person, I will have to take an extremely harsh punitive measure that you will not ever forget. You have been warned.
More slumber posts?
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JorgeStolfi
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March 03, 2014, 02:49:38 AM |
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Jorgie don`t leave us.
It will be MUCH worse than that.
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JorgeStolfi
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March 03, 2014, 02:50:51 AM |
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More slumber posts?
Ha! You just can't imagine.
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simonk83
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March 03, 2014, 02:56:46 AM |
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Jorgie don`t leave us.
It will be MUCH worse than that. You'll repost everything 3 times instead of twice?
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JorgeStolfi
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![](https://bitcointalk.org/Themes/custom1/images/post/xx.gif) |
March 03, 2014, 03:01:54 AM |
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Daily volumes of BTC trade to/from USD and other national currencies (in kBTC): ! Sat ! Sun ! Mon ! Tue ! Wed ! Thu ! Fri ! Sat ! Sun ! EXCHANGE ! 02/22 ! 02/23 ! 02/24 ! 02/25 ! 02/26 ! 02/27 ! 02/28 ! 03/01 ! 03/02 ! Currencies considered
Bitstamp | 18.08 | 20.87 | 51.84 | 115.76 | 49.11 | 17.05 | 22.63 | 14.30 | 6.44 | USD BTC-e | 18.68 | 14.24 | 20.78 | 73.86 | 33.61 | 14.60 | 12.74 | 9.55 | 4.58 | USD,EUR,RUR BitFinEx | 14.73 | 15.80 | 27.16 | 94.55 | 37.71 | 12.04 | 15.29 | 8.62 | 3.13 | USD Kraken | 1.08 | 1.06 | 1.06 | 2.23 | 1.87 | 0.89 | 1.34 | 0.39 | 0.32 | EUR Bitcoin.DE | 0.61 | 0.50 | 0.73 | 2.23 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.70 | 0.31 | 0.32 | EUR CaVirtEx | 0.20 | 0.23 | 0.30 | 2.15 | 0.32 | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.15 | 0.19 | CAD CampBX | 0.26 | 0.22 | 0.37 | 0.42 | 0.36 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.07 | USD
SUBTOTAL | 53.64 | 52.92 | 102.24 | 291.20 | 123.98 | 45.44 | 53.10 | 33.40 | 15.05 |
Huobi | 154.12 | 185.15 | 163.47 | 352.76 | 250.64 | 123.38 | 122.00 | 104.12 | 40.64 | CNY OKCoin | 87.71 | 141.90 | 84.03 | 275.68 | 150.41 | 83.60 | 129.17 | 73.29 | 34.99 | CNY BTC-China | 9.29 | 10.42 | 13.12 | 27.72 | 14.72 | 6.71 | 7.17 | 5.02 | 2.64 | CNY Bter | 0.48 | 0.62 | 0.53 | 1.10 | 0.53 | 0.31 | 0.29 | 0.30 | 0.24 | CNY
SUBTOTAL | 251.60 | 338.09 | 261.15 | 657.26 | 416.30 | 214.00 | 258.63 | 182.73 | 78.51 |
TOTAL | 305.24 | 391.01 | 363.39 | 948.46 | 540.28 | 259.44 | 311.73 | 216.13 | 93.56 |
All numbers were collected by hand from the site http://bitcoinwisdom.com. Beware of possible errors. For each exchange, the numbers include only the trade volume to/from the currencies listed in the rightmost column. Trade between BTC and other cryptocoins, such as LiteCoin, is NOT included. Dates on the header line are UTC. Specifically, "01/15" means "from 01/15 00:00:00 UTC to 01/15 23:59:59 UTC". (Beware that Bitcoinwisdom uses your local time, so the date may appear to be off by 1 day. For example, if you are 2 hours west of Greenwich, it may show "01/14 22:00" when the UTC time is "01/15 00:00".)
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billyjoeallen
Legendary
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Activity: 1106
Merit: 1007
Hide your women
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March 03, 2014, 03:03:30 AM |
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If you guys don't stop picking on my person, I will have to take an extremely harsh punitive measure that you will not ever forget. You have been warned.
More slumber posts? ROTFL! I put Jorge on "ignore" because I like to think well of people and could no longer extend to him the benefit of the doubt. Now I want him to carry through with his threat because that would give me reason to respect him. Give us your worst, you ivory-towered fraud. I'm pretty sure I deserve a come-comeuppance, but I highly doubt it's going to come from you.
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jojo69
Legendary
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Activity: 3276
Merit: 4514
diamond-handed zealot
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March 03, 2014, 03:06:30 AM |
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If you guys don't stop picking on my person, I will have to take an extremely harsh punitive measure that you will not ever forget. You have been warned.
consequences will never be the same
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derpinheimer
Legendary
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Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
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March 03, 2014, 03:08:21 AM |
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If you guys don't stop picking on my person, I will have to take an extremely harsh punitive measure that you will not ever forget. You have been warned.
More slumber posts? ROTFL! I put Jorge on "ignore" because I like to think well of people and could no longer extend to him the benefit of the doubt. Now I want him to carry through with his threat because that would give me reason to respect him. Give us your worst, you ivory-towered fraud. I'm pretty sure I deserve a come-comeuppance, but I highly doubt it's going to come from you. Im really confused, I checked back a couple pages and didnt see any conflict. Whats goin on suddenly?
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