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Question: When will BTC get back above $70K:
7/14 - 0 (0%)
7/21 - 1 (1%)
7/28 - 11 (11.1%)
8/4 - 16 (16.2%)
8/11 - 7 (7.1%)
8/18 - 5 (5.1%)
8/25 - 7 (7.1%)
After August - 52 (52.5%)
Total Voters: 99

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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26456825 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 3 users with 9 merit deleted.)
ChartBuddy
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July 17, 2021, 10:01:25 PM


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OutOfMemory
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July 17, 2021, 10:34:28 PM





Cool red wine

Pasta truffel

Saturdays

Cheers

I admit thinking of you while listening to the (bad) news about Belgium.
But apparently you are enjoying life with Italian primitivo! (Tasted that bottle. I liked that!)
Well done!

Nothing to crazy, but perfect to drink cold imho

Me=the other side of Belgium

I hope those peeps get well fast

Briefly visited Belgium last week... so what is the bad news about it?  Cool

I guess it's about Verviers.
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July 17, 2021, 10:35:02 PM
Last edit: May 15, 2023, 11:27:23 PM by fillippone
Merited by JayJuanGee (3)

I assume this is fake as far as "proof of destruction" goes, but you never really know with China.



A bit like when a big burn up of tons of captured illegal drugs is staged for the press cameras.
While the majority of the haul is quietly moved to the markets or sold back to the cartel.



It’s not China, it’s Malaysia:

Malaysia destroys an array of mining equipment




https://twitter.com/BTC_Archive/status/1416412459573948418

would be nice to see the us-dollar note also Grin Grin Cool

Are you kidding me right?


https://howmuch.net/articles/rise-and-fall-dollar



Been busy IRL aka meatspace.. so what have I missed?

1. New noob bear trolls (that weeeee reminds me of someone...)
2. El Dude back to fine dining again?
3. Bitcoin still stuck in $30k+ range
<…>

What  is this? A recap for ants? A proper recap goes back at least 10 pages!



<…>
Briefly visited Belgium last week... so what is the bad news about it?  Cool

Flooding in Germany and Belgium. Lots of people still missing.

Death toll rises to 170 in Germany and Belgium floods
ChartBuddy
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July 17, 2021, 11:01:27 PM


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El duderino_
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July 17, 2021, 11:37:26 PM
Merited by Hueristic (1), OutOfMemory (1)

Please

The boys season 3

ASAP
philipma1957
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July 17, 2021, 11:43:58 PM

Please

The boys season 3

ASAP

2022 I think I read it


 which is too long.









oh the diff just hit so I get to mine more  corn for 2 weeks.


-4.807%


https://www.bitrawr.com/difficulty-estimator


Last adjustment was really big this one not so much

I projected 5% 2 weeks ago I was close.


Lets say I wished for -5% maybe honey badger does care Grin

Difficulty drop and price bump. You love to see it

As a miner..


diff has dropped from

25.3 to 14.4 in last 2 months

price has dropped

64k to 34k

If you do the math in terms of collecting and stacking coins it means more coins and if you are just selling to cash (I am not). you are making about 5% less in terms of cash

14.4/25.3 x 64k = 36k and price  is 34.6k

I am concerned with the new diff adjustment coming in 2 weeks


Quote
https://diff.cryptothis.com/

Latest Block:   689509  (31 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   85.3997%  (38 / 44.50 expected, 6.5 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   19932791027262.74                            
Current Difficulty:   14363025673659.96                            
Next Difficulty:   between 12521597367956 and 14284579252675
Next Difficulty Change:   between -12.8206% and -0.5462%
Previous Retarget:   Today at 2:25 AM  (-27.9427%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   July 17, 2021 at 4:33 AM  (in 13d 18h 43m 44s)
Next Retarget (latest):   July 19, 2021 at 11:51 AM  (in 16d 2h 1m 39s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 2h 8m 42s and 16d 9h 26m 37s

 
...

We are down about 14%
It is very early but a 14% drop on top of the 27.94% drop is more than I thought would happen.

If we drop 14% and go from 14.3 to 12.29 we are well under 50% of the gear online

That could be a real security issue.  I advise all to check the diff  and see what it does. this adjustment is important how does that go "the next 2 weeks are critical"


https://diff.cryptothis.com/

is easy to understand.  I really do not want any drop over 10% in 2-2.5 weeks I would prefer a drop of 5% or less.
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July 17, 2021, 11:57:09 PM
Merited by Farmer Bill (1)

Well, my bitcoins are now worth less then they were six months ago, and yet I'm not particularly worried, why?
Because the 60K top does not look like a proper blow of top, it didn't go up sharp enough, it plateaued on 60ish K for a while and it didn't have a dead cat bounce, hence it wasn't a real super top.

Just my 25 öre.

I'm weeping into my milk at the current price. Only 450X up on my original coins..which I still have.

And 2X on the most recent.

Disappointed with Billy nocoins investment advice and sure prediction of 30k the other day.

Have fiat ready to go for such an opportunity (along with millions of others).

May have to content myself with a purchase mid 31k before that window closes.

Looking back 64k will have been that little bulge on the charts that signals the start of the proper run up to the top of a cycle, which this one has not yet completed.

In the whole history of Bitcoin the situation has never looked so good.

I suppose officially (or would that be "technically"?) it is more accurate to divide your coins in terms of each time that you bought some and then you would have an open and a close for when you sold them (if you did).

Sometimes I do not necessarily want to go into that level of detail in regards to what my own situation and systems of classification are, and technically the lowest amount that I have ever bought any BTC is at $182 in January 2015, and likely I bought a relatively low quantity of BTC at that particular price because, I had been buying all the way down from $1,201 in November 2013, and yes you might proclaim that BTC had never gotten all the way up to $1,201 in November 2013, but it did for me when I met someone to make a direct transaction at the outside metal chairs outside of a grocery shopping location... Yes, the official BTC price on Bitstamp peaked out at $1,163 for that particular part of the cycle.

So, gosh, I did buy the vast majority of my BTC stash in through out that year (of 2014), and looking back seeing my cashflow kind of steadily being available, but also having some lump sum periods of availability of funds during that time that got channeled into bitcoin.. and so yes, I suppose that I was behaving with some level of irresponsibility in terms of having some target ideas in my head about BTC accumulation levels that I wanted to reach, but a lot of that is a kind of fog in my memory - absent looking back at some of the transactions and considering whether I might have been aggressive enough given my whole financial situation... and geez it looks like a lot of coins (relatively speaking about getting to 0.21 BTC and all that) were acquired in the $500 to $700 range because I was kind of considering the drop from  the lower 4 digits and into the mid-ish 3 digits was such a "great deal".. and the fact that my average cost per BTC was about $560-ish by the end of 2014, did not really feel bad at all, even if the price still went down and then ended up staying down for the vast majority of 2015 - so like largely in the a bit lower than 50% off of my average cost per BTC range. 

So, great deals in the mid-3 digits were not really seeming like great deals until many years later.. and sure of course, there might be some ways of considering the whole matter in such a way that  maybe it does not matter so much whether I might have been able to achieve 450x returns or merely just 30x-ish --- which is kind of easy to calculate - even while generally outlining that "bitcoin has been berry berry good to me.".. but take current BTC prices (at $31,500-ish), for example, I still remain inclined to generally refer to my situation as either 31.5x-ish (not sure if it is just easier to calculate in that way), even though I might sometimes want to proclaim a higher number such as 42x in profits.. and maybe it depends on the general point that I am wanting to make, and neither of the numbers is really untrue.. it's just a kind of short hand attempt to make some points... ..

And, so for sure, if part of the point is to show - "how the fuck could I really be bothered with some of my coins at a mere 450x in profits versus their 927x peak profits in mid April?  Is there any real and/or meaningful difference in that level of profits, so if I get back to my lowest purchase of $182, then I could proclaim that lowest purchase of coins ever to currently be about a measly 175x profits, but at one point, it had a profit level of a wee bit more than 356x... .. Either way, I suppose depending on the point (emphasis) being attempted to be made.
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July 18, 2021, 12:01:35 AM


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July 18, 2021, 01:05:44 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

Bitcoin is starting to feel like a coiled spring. Bears have gotten some balls to short these levels and the big boys are accumulating. I don’t think we’ve seen the end yet. One more quick dive down might be helpful in the long run to close out some leveraged longs before taking the next step, but a flash downward met with heavy buying would be a signal to me that $100K+ is still in the cards for 2021.
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July 18, 2021, 01:38:01 AM

Observing $32340.
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July 18, 2021, 01:40:32 AM
Last edit: July 18, 2021, 01:56:33 AM by marcus_of_augustus
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

I assume this is fake as far as "proof of destruction" goes, but you never really know with China.



Looks photoshopped to me but we need some expert's opinion... xhomer?  Roll Eyes

... it's real. Some gang in Malayasia was stealing electricity to mine bitcoins (~$2million) so the local police chief decided to set an example by steam-rolling the bitcoin mining equipment.

... kind of an idiot considering he could have sold them to recover losses for the electricity company or even used them to mine some of the money back

edit: fillipone beat me to it ..
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July 18, 2021, 01:56:57 AM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

I assume this is fake as far as "proof of destruction" goes, but you never really know with China.



Looks photoshopped to me but we need some expert's opinion... xhomer?  Roll Eyes

... it's real. Some gang in Malayasia was stealing electricity to mine bitcoins (~$2million) so the local police chief decided to set an example by steam-rolling the bitcoin mining equipment.

... kind of an idiot considering he could have sold them to recover losses for the electricity company or even used them to mine some of the money back

 The article said they also "razed" 3 homes that were used in the operation.  That'll learn those criminals.
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July 18, 2021, 01:58:40 AM

Quote
Bitcoin is in a 4-year cycle. Bitcoin finds support at the 1.618 Fibonacci in July of 13, 17, 21 (4 years apart!). The trend would show that Bitcoin will have a top in December of 21 at ~300k

https://twitter.com/MASTERBTCLTC/status/1416426996645597187

... of course it is, the fourth yearly July Fibonacci window, who doesn't know that??
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July 18, 2021, 02:01:26 AM


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July 18, 2021, 02:12:18 AM

Bitcoin is starting to feel like a coiled spring. Bears have gotten some balls to short these levels and the big boys are accumulating. I don’t think we’ve seen the end yet. One more quick dive down might be helpful in the long run to close out some leveraged longs before taking the next step, but a flash downward met with heavy buying would be a signal to me that $100K+ is still in the cards for 2021.

In the midst of a pennant snap for sure I would say. Its going to have to break $35,000 to get to $38,000 and going the other way it will need to get past $28,000 to get to $25,000. A flash crash under $27,500 would close that shoulder and certainly add fuel to the fire for aother all time high potentially this year. It could go the other way as well, the dip under $30,000 is not recovered from and we slide into a prolonged bear market until the next halving. Its a thin flip either way in my opinion. Where the train is going long term should be obvious to any who care to take a look.
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July 18, 2021, 02:40:53 AM

Bitcoin is starting to feel like a coiled spring. Bears have gotten some balls to short these levels and the big boys are accumulating. I don’t think we’ve seen the end yet. One more quick dive down might be helpful in the long run to close out some leveraged longs before taking the next step, but a flash downward met with heavy buying would be a signal to me that $100K+ is still in the cards for 2021.


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July 18, 2021, 03:14:42 AM

From 60K+ to now, I though it was going down, and it did. Now, it is resisting so much and it's so hard to make it go down sub 20K$ that I am turning bullish. I am close to capitulating so maybe it is actually a bearish sign and it will end up going down.

If there are terrible economic news and a credit crunch, it will go down.

The non transitory inflation will get worse in the US and the FED is likely to keep kicking the can down the road to save time and the system rather than to fight it but if it does fight inflation with huge interest rates, it will be ugly and a blood bath. Make your bets.
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July 18, 2021, 03:23:40 AM

How often do you actually get a YT recommendation that you actual like? Said never until tonight.
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I thought this place had a DJ and a tiki bar. WTFO?  Anyway, nothing left to do but hang on bitches and see what tomorrow brings.
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