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Question: What happens first:
New ATH - 43 (69.4%)
<$60,000 - 19 (30.6%)
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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 26368684 times)
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Richy_T
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January 31, 2022, 04:51:22 PM

Because there will always be nodes trying to draw traffic, so there is always a fee sale somewhere. See what I mean? Since pathfinding is markets on FAST FORWARD there will not be choke points like there are in the current system.

A lot of the problem is that due to the lack of a full Bitcoin "ecosystem", payments tend to go in one direction. If you're having fee sales to rebalance channels, they are likely to also only be in one direction also. This also means you'll probably just be eating someone else's lunch who will have to rebalance on-chain (however that's achieved). Though that may still be a better financial option than having fire sales.

In a way, it's not unlike the current issue with unavailability of u-haul trucks out of California (up to something like 10x the usual cost in some areas). I wonder if there are meaningful lessons to be drawn from that.
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d_eddie
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January 31, 2022, 04:55:27 PM



Some stats for context, 67% population of Crimea were ethnic Russians, 80% of population spoke Russian as their primary language, and naturally this is how they voted, Yanukovych (blue) was the pro Russian president that ended up winning

Current military conflict is in the two regions that voted 91% and 93% for pro Russian president.

So Hm: based on the voting patterns one could make a pretty reasonable assumption that the area of "land" just above Ukraine, to the right of Poland, and below Lit/Latvia/Estonia would probably be pretty highly "Pro someone other than Russia". Would Russia be ok in ceding that territory in exchange for the areas that voted Russian in the Ukraine?

I think they secretly would, although they won't admit it, ever.

The problem is, Putin (or Russia in general) DGAF what "the people" want. Do any rulers ever? What Russia very, very badly wants is a sea port in "warm" waters. Crimea's Black Sea is a good start.
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January 31, 2022, 04:57:48 PM
Merited by Arriemoller (1)

Well they were kind of forced to do that. Ukraine was not willing to let Crimea be independent, and there would have been a lot of bloodshed. And by law, the Crimean give-away was legally void. So either Russia took Crimea or would have watched Crimea turn into a bloodbath. As I said, I have yet to hear a single Crimean complain about the annexation.

Crimea giveaway - 1954
USSR collapse - 1988-1991
Crimea annexation by Russian Federation - 2014

I'd say "by law" didn't have too much to do with it by that point. Same old rule of conquest. If you can keep it, it's yours.
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January 31, 2022, 05:01:21 PM


Explanation
cAPSLOCK
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January 31, 2022, 05:30:57 PM

I am making no Predictions, just showing what actually is going on BTC/USD Chart at Weekly Timeframe.



Do not worry, sir.  I know we here have spooked you.  But you are bringing good data (usually!), so keep it up.
OutOfMemory
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January 31, 2022, 06:00:06 PM
Merited by BobLawblaw (2), vapourminer (1), JayJuanGee (1), d_eddie (1)


Short answer:
Not sure.

Long answer:
You see, here around they (MCD) try to keep the price as long as possible, but the size of the Big Mac got reduced slightly several times.
I remember they started by making the patties thinner, then they reduced their diameter, followed by the diameter of the buns. Also, if you just ate a whole BM, less salad was remaining in the box when you held your burger over it while eating.

So your coin might buy you a full Big Mac, even if it's half the size of today in the future.
Additionally, they just need to rename the burger, which would be like an exit scam, imho.

The MCD way of quantitative easing.
Am i loving it?



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January 31, 2022, 06:01:10 PM
Merited by BobLawblaw (2), vapourminer (1), OutOfMemory (1)



As long as McD allows audits to check their Big Mac vaults so they don't rehypothecate the burgerz.

Maybe some of our moles temporarily flippin them burgerz (wen moon?) can tell us if they hear rumors of audits...
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January 31, 2022, 06:01:27 PM


Explanation
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January 31, 2022, 06:05:39 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (4)

Does anyone else feel like we are about to see a HUGE MOVE in the price... but do not know which way it is going to go?

I almost hope I just doomed us to a month of crab walking...

(oh, and barring a big ass move, I suppose this would be a last stop before we test the channel top.  Barring a big ass move...)



OK!  We are inching up, but the volume is still underwhelming.  But if we are to break through TODAY 39450(6H)-39650(1D) looks to be the magic number with 40k being a nice definitive break! (Bulltrap?)



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January 31, 2022, 06:09:45 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (4), JayJuanGee (1)

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January 31, 2022, 06:09:50 PM

They can also do a classic switch-a-roo by making a big mac basically a mini-mac and then coming out with a Grand Big Mac which would basically be an old big mac.  You just got devalued Argentina style.
Oh wait  Grin  How you lovin' it now ?
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January 31, 2022, 06:11:05 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (4)

Don't give it attention: don't read it, don't comment on it, and don't share it. Any attention leads to more people jumping the wagon hoping for a quick profit.

Meh it’s not sharing it….

Just as it’s best they burn there selves asap… the sooner they burn, the sooner they understand and become bitcoiner


Or stay slaves of the system

Either way please read it and please act on it, hopefully they just decide wise enough….

This things build mindrusters or satoshis

They just don't get it, because the cognitive dissonance and delusion run so deep that they can't see the forest for the trees.

OutOfMemory
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January 31, 2022, 06:11:55 PM

OK!  We are inching up, but the volume is still underwhelming.  But if we are to break through TODAY 39450(6H)-39650(1D) looks to be the magic number with 40k being a nice definitive break! (Bulltrap?)


Same thoughts here, but i also kind of remember that when we creeped up rather slowly with low volume, a red candle out of the sudden puts the price back near lower boundaries of most "channels". *Fingers crossed*
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January 31, 2022, 06:18:10 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)


Short answer:
Not sure.

Long answer:
You see, here around they (MCD) try to keep the price as long as possible, but the size of the Big Mac got reduced slightly several times.
I remember they started by making the patties thinner, then they reduced their diameter, followed by the diameter of the buns. Also, if you just ate a whole BM, less salad was remaining in the box when you held your burger over it while eating.

So your coin might buy you a full Big Mac, even if it's half the size of today in the future.
Additionally, they just need to rename the burger, which would be like an exit scam, imho.

The MCD way of quantitative easing.
Am i loving it?

Why do people think that McD eventually wants to replace the real meat patty with a plant derivative? Because ItS MOrE goOD fOr YoUR HeALth? Lol
OutOfMemory
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January 31, 2022, 06:28:31 PM
Merited by JimboToronto (1), cAPSLOCK (1)


Short answer:
Not sure.

Long answer:
You see, here around they (MCD) try to keep the price as long as possible, but the size of the Big Mac got reduced slightly several times.
I remember they started by making the patties thinner, then they reduced their diameter, followed by the diameter of the buns. Also, if you just ate a whole BM, less salad was remaining in the box when you held your burger over it while eating.

So your coin might buy you a full Big Mac, even if it's half the size of today in the future.
Additionally, they just need to rename the burger, which would be like an exit scam, imho.

The MCD way of quantitative easing.
Am i loving it?

Why do people think that McD eventually wants to replace the real meat patty with a plant derivative? Because ItS MOrE goOD fOr YoUR HeALth? Lol

While the meat patty is not the most unhealthy component of their burgers. Fructose loaded buns, sweetened salad, not to speak of the "sauces".
It's the carbs that do most of the harm, not the meat.
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January 31, 2022, 06:37:31 PM
Merited by OutOfMemory (1)



Some stats for context, 67% population of Crimea were ethnic Russians, 80% of population spoke Russian as their primary language, and naturally this is how they voted, Yanukovych (blue) was the pro Russian president that ended up winning

Current military conflict is in the two regions that voted 91% and 93% for pro Russian president.

So Hm: based on the voting patterns one could make a pretty reasonable assumption that the area of "land" just above Ukraine, to the right of Poland, and below Lit/Latvia/Estonia would probably be pretty highly "Pro someone other than Russia". Would Russia be ok in ceding that territory in exchange for the areas that voted Russian in the Ukraine?

I think they secretly would, although they won't admit it, ever.

The problem is, Putin (or Russia in general) DGAF what "the people" want. Do any rulers ever? What Russia very, very badly wants is a sea port in "warm" waters. Crimea's Black Sea is a good start.

But the thing is, they always had that Black Sea sea port, it was theirs to loose. They didn't gain a new port, the options in front of them was to either do nothing and loose their black sea fleet, or keep their fleet and suffer the consequence. A blind person wouldn't be surprised by the outcome, but US conveniently first gave out cookies and then cries how Russia is a bully.

As far as the war drums, Ukraine's west clearly doesn't like Russia (where 90+% voted against them, and don't want to speak their language) invading them would be a political suicide. So nothing happens (beyond small localized conflicts like they've been having for the past 8yrs), west gets to claim how they stopped invasion of a big bad bear and playing on that fear push more nations to join and get more NATO bases on Russian border.  
savetherainforest
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January 31, 2022, 06:49:11 PM
Last edit: January 31, 2022, 07:30:06 PM by savetherainforest



Some stats for context, 67% population of Crimea were ethnic Russians, 80% of population spoke Russian as their primary language, and naturally this is how they voted, Yanukovych (blue) was the pro Russian president that ended up winning

Current military conflict is in the two regions that voted 91% and 93% for pro Russian president.

So Hm: based on the voting patterns one could make a pretty reasonable assumption that the area of "land" just above Ukraine, to the right of Poland, and below Lit/Latvia/Estonia would probably be pretty highly "Pro someone other than Russia". Would Russia be ok in ceding that territory in exchange for the areas that voted Russian in the Ukraine?

I think they secretly would, although they won't admit it, ever.

The problem is, Putin (or Russia in general) DGAF what "the people" want. Do any rulers ever? What Russia very, very badly wants is a sea port in "warm" waters. Crimea's Black Sea is a good start.

But the thing is, they always had that Black Sea sea port, it was theirs to loose. They didn't gain a new port, the options in front of them was to either do nothing and loose their black sea fleet, or keep their fleet and suffer the consequence. A blind person wouldn't be surprised by the outcome, but US conveniently first gave out cookies and then cries how Russia is a bully.

As far as the war drums, Ukraine's west clearly doesn't like Russia (where 90+% voted against them, and don't want to speak their language) invading them would be a political suicide. So nothing happens (beyond small localized conflicts like they've been having for the past 8yrs),
west gets to claim how they stopped invasion of a big bad bear and playing on that fear push more nations to join and get more NATO bases on Russian border.  

I think that's a great idea!!! Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

All bears belong in a cage or a fence at the Z00!!! Cheesy Cheesy


*edit(0):   Any country that chose anything else then a Bull/Cow/Camel/Horse/Bovine, Eagle, Scorpion or Snake to represent them should not be allowed into "The Earth Club". Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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January 31, 2022, 06:56:35 PM

All bears belong in a cage or a fence at the Z00!!! Cheesy Cheesy

Bear Lives Matter.
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January 31, 2022, 07:01:20 PM


Explanation
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January 31, 2022, 07:15:33 PM
Merited by JayJuanGee (1)

Looks like we're slapping the top of the recent trading range here.  I would assume a breakout above $39K would lead to a retest of $43K.  I'd probably trim a little at that point of whatever you grabbed at the bottom at $33K if you're a trader.  If not, this is still an exciting level as a breakout above $43K would be extremely bullish and I think would probably move us up over $50K.  There's a couple resistance points around $53K & $57K after that, but then we'd pretty much be looking at retesting $69K at that point...  I'm not sure if we've got the momentum for all of that yet, but I do think we'll probably retest $43K as soon as this week.  We might be dependent upon the news cycle to go any further than that.  All eyes on Biden regulation as we see where this market wants to go.
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