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Author Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion  (Read 27031838 times)
This is a self-moderated topic. If you do not want to be moderated by the person who started this topic, create a new topic. (174 posts by 1 users with 9 merit deleted.)
BTCETFInvestor
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August 12, 2026, 12:40:29 PM
Last edit: August 12, 2026, 01:30:39 PM by BTCETFInvestor

WO sign for the OG’s who know……

Your boy, LFC has been dropping stickers around Europe when visiting out of town, for many years.




10 Merit for whoever names my location today, first.

@LFC_Bitcoin - Your photo was taken on the boardwalk of Playa del Cristo (Calypso Beach), located in the town of Estepona, Spain. More specifically, you are looking down at the Havana Beach Bar.

The exact coordinates where you were standing on the promenade are: 28°04'04.0"N 16°43'53.0"W (or 28.067778, -16.731389)
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August 12, 2026, 01:03:01 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
LFC_Bitcoin
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August 12, 2026, 01:13:29 PM

@LFC_Bitcoin - Your photo was taken on the boardwalk of Las Canteras Beach (Playa de Las Canteras) in Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain. More specifically, you are looking down at the  Monkey Beach Club, located right on Playa de Troya.

Incorrect, sorry.

You got some it right but not Gran Canaria.
fillippone
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August 12, 2026, 01:16:18 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (15), vapourminer (4), xhomerx10 (2), Hueristic (2), JayJuanGee (1), Leahized (1)

I am late!
This morning a received a merit on last month report. A gentle reminder I was lagging behind.
So I put myself to work and produced the obnoxious monthly report!

Wall Observer BTC/USD Report: july 2026



Bitcoin Trend - July 2026

Fig. 1. Market Trend






📈 Historical Post Trend (5 Years)

Fig. 2. Monthly Post Volume in Wall Observer Thread




📈 Historical Merit Trend (5 Years)

Fig. 3. Monthly Merit Volume in Wall Observer Thread




📊 Monthly Comparison
Fig. 4. Monthly Statistics Comparison




💎 Top Merited Content
1. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by JimboToronto (+53)
2. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by BTCETFInvestor (+32)
3. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by JayJuanGee (+28)
4. Re: Coldcard seed generation vulnerability - detailed breakdown by BobClawblaw (+27)
5. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by AlcoHoDL (+27)
6. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by shahzadafzal (+27)
7. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by goldkingcoiner (+27)
8. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by nutildah (+27)
9. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by Paashaas (+26)
10. Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion by LFC_Bitcoin (+24)


📊 Correlation BTC Price ↔ Post Volume
Fig. 5. Correlazione mensile tra variazione prezzo BTC e volume post





🔄 Merit Flow (Chord Diagram)

Fig. 6. Merit transfers between users




🏆 Top Merit Receivers

PosΔ PosUserJulyJuneΔ MeritBPIPBitList
--------------------------------
🥇(5)cAPSLOCK166117(49)
🥈=Hueristic139166(-27)
🥉(-2)vapourminer126187(-61)
4=AlcoHoDL124138(-14)
5🆕 NEWshahzadafzal100🆕
6(24)nutildah9924(75)
7(3)philipma19579781(16)
8(-5)xhomerx1095147(-52)
9(10)OutOfMemory9447(47)
10(-5)Biodom89135(-46)



📤 Top 10 Merit Senders

PosΔ PosUserJulyJuneΔ Merit SentBPIPBitList
--------------------------------
🥇=El duderino_760901(-141)
🥈(2)vapourminer184162(22)
🥉=JayJuanGee169191(-22)
4(-2)Hueristic154206(-52)
5=LFC_Bitcoin120118(2)
6(1)philipma1957100103(-3)
7(-1)BobLawblaw81113(-32)
8🆕 NEWfillippone78🆕
9(-1)AlcoHoDL6291(-29)
10🆕 NEWOutOfMemory49🆕



🏆 Top Posters

PosΔ PosUserJulyJuneΔ PostsBPIPBitList
--------------------------------
🥇=ChartBuddy744713(31)
🥈(2)Hueristic121109(12)
🥉=philipma1957110125(-15)
4(-2)BobClawblaw82171(-89)
5(4)BTCETFInvestor7370(3)
6=vapourminer6480(-16)
7=cAPSLOCK6170(-9)
8(-3)Biodom5382(-29)
9(4)BobLawblaw4735(12)
10(8 )OutOfMemory3828(10)
11(-1)xhomerx103649(-13)
12(-4)AlcoHoDL3570(-35)
13(-2)JayJuanGee3344(-11)
13(21)hypebrother337(26)
15(7)nutildah3218(14)
16(3)BitHodlers2824(4)
17(-2)Lucius2532(-7)
17(16)shahzadafzal258(17)
19(4)goldkingcoiner2014(6)
20(-6)Richy_T1834(-16)
21=d_eddie1219(-7)
21(-5)Gachapin1231(-19)
23(-3)ESG1024(-14)
24(11)asUHWEceyc87(1)
24🆕 NEWsirazimuth8🆕



🏆 All-Time Top 25 Posters
#UserPosts%
----------------
🥇ChartBuddy58,2149.0%
🥈JayJuanGee24,0893.7%
🥉El duderino_16,3212.5%
4adamstgBit8,5231.3%
5Last of the V8s8,2821.3%
6LFC_Bitcoin8,2291.3%
7HairyMaclairy7,6441.2%
8jojo697,4191.1%
9philipma19577,0201.1%
10Biodom6,4121.0%
11JimboToronto6,3851.0%
12Torque6,1791.0%
13xhomerx106,0350.9%
14d_eddie5,6230.9%
15Hueristic5,5260.9%
16bitserve5,2860.8%
17BobLawblaw4,9380.8%
18Fatman30014,8570.7%
19Richy_T4,5760.7%
20cAPSLOCK4,5390.7%
21Toxic20404,4630.7%
22BlindMayorBitcorn4,4600.7%
23OutOfMemory4,3980.7%
24realr0ach4,2280.7%
25jbreher4,2130.6%

🏅 All-Time Top 25 Merit Receivers
#UserMerits
------------
🥇El duderino_13,701
🥈xhomerx109,631
🥉LFC_Bitcoin9,056
4JayJuanGee8,777
5AlcoHoDL6,770
6cAPSLOCK6,026
7Hueristic5,446
8d_eddie5,214
9Paashaas5,106
10Biodom5,081
11JimboToronto5,054
12OutOfMemory4,989
13BobLawblaw4,706
14philipma19574,671
15Torque4,379
16fillippone4,249
17Toxic20404,158
18jojo694,050
19vapourminer4,002
20ivomm3,299
21Last of the V8s3,178
22Gachapin2,974
23BitcoinBunny2,866
24sirazimuth2,695
25bitebits2,655
All-time statistics: 649,404 posts from 6,758 users | 229,360 merits (since Feb 2018)


Data provided by BitList.co - BitcoinTalk Archive by TryNinja
fillippone
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August 12, 2026, 01:20:29 PM
Last edit: August 12, 2026, 01:39:52 PM by fillippone
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (10), vapourminer (1), Hueristic (1), OutOfMemory (1)

WO sign for the OG’s who know……

Your boy, LFC has been dropping stickers around Europe when visiting out of town, for many years.




10 Merit for whoever names my location today, first.

Playa de Torviscas
Santa Cruz de Tenerife
Costa Adeje
 Spain

Here:


No street view available to see the location.
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August 12, 2026, 01:32:14 PM
Last edit: August 12, 2026, 01:57:50 PM by BTCETFInvestor

@LFC_Bitcoin - Your photo was taken on the boardwalk of Las Canteras Beach (Playa de Las Canteras) in Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain. More specifically, you are looking down at the  Monkey Beach Club, located right on Playa de Troya.

Incorrect, sorry.

You got some it right but not Gran Canaria.

Well, I'm not at all familiar with that area, but the coordinates where you were standing on the promenade are close to: 28°04'04.0"N 16°43'53.0"W (or 28.067778, -16.731389)
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August 12, 2026, 02:03:02 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
asUHWEceyc
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August 12, 2026, 02:21:36 PM
Merited by Hueristic (1), JayJuanGee (1)

It seems to me that the threat of the BIP 110 signaling (from last Saturday) at the change of the difficulty was the most uncertain in terms of what was going to happen, and if it is boiling down to simple hardfork nonsense, we have been there and done that, and they are likely losing support for any of that causing any level uncertainty because it becomes easier and easier to completely ignore whatever they are doing, even though surely some of their supporters have already lost time, money and energy supporting their various shenanigans.

In other words, I could have had seen the uncertainty of the BIP 110 signaling going into last Saturday to have had been potentially contributing to market uncertainties, and now there is no real meaningful uncertainties related to the BIP 110 supporters and/or whatever they might choose to do with their lil wannabe fork chain.
Even then, not so much. The blocksize fork had numerous serious supporters on both sides with serious hardcore debate and discussion going on. There were long-term Bitcoin heavyweights on both sides, proposals, clients, mass censorship, forum coups, miner support.

I don't agree with your characterization.

Sure.  There were BIG hitters on both sides, yet many of the 110 supporters were into calling into question their perceptions of the tyrannical behaviors of Core developers and desires to teach a lesson in regards to the power of the people... Yet those 110 supporters were likely ONLY willing to go so far, including that the evidence of actual computing power behind 110 seems to have had been nearly completely absent, to the extent that even 1% to 3% might be willing to continue to hang on, I really doubt that too many of them really want to create a shitcoin when it appears that they do not have even close to as much actual physical and material power of the people support as they were believing might be hidden behind the scenes.


Rather than BCash, BitcoinJr is more like BitcoinXT with a novel PoW twist, and potentially much messier as there isn't a fork asset to sell. BCH was begging to be dumped and attacked immediately by keeping 256d and announcing fork chain air drop plans.

How will it play out?

Seems unlikely the BIP-110 fork finds more than 5 blocks by 9/02. Mostly empty blocks will probably flood in upon algo switch and height will quickly catch up to or surpass the chain like in the case of BCash. And then come the 51% attacks, etc. Obviously any blake2b blocks will be rejected by peers. But you could have lingering semi-interoperable zombie clients peering for years (like XT nodes), but also able to transfer value in parallel via the alternative chain. If you're Knots, you'd be working to prevent blacklisting.



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August 12, 2026, 02:50:55 PM
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (10), El duderino_ (10), fillippone (6), Hueristic (2), vapourminer (1)

WO sign for the OG’s who know……

Your boy, LFC has been dropping stickers around Europe when visiting out of town, for many years.




10 Merit for whoever names my location today, first.

Playa de Torviscas
Santa Cruz de Tenerife
Costa Adeje
 Spain

Here:


No street view available to see the location.

 Nice work Mr. fillippone!
I was a few seconds too late... serves me right for sleeping in.

 here?



edit: I was a little overzealous with the image sizes - fixed that
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August 12, 2026, 03:03:02 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
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August 12, 2026, 03:05:46 PM
Merited by El duderino_ (10), JayJuanGee (1)

To draw an analogy with something current, I think that with the price of Bitcoin we are like Odysseus's crew, going round and round the seas without being able to get out of the 60k funnel, maybe a few more weak hands still need to die before the gods of BTC and the market let us return to Ithaca (100k+).

Maybe our BTC is talking so much with Calypso and the BIP110 with the lotus flower (COLDCard) is not letting us goes free.  Cheesy Grin




But i said to the crew be aware...... is coming another contest from me about price prediction, long time without one....

Still wondering why the price of BTC is trapped in a certain range? I already wrote to you that this is not the first time that people have asked themselves the same question, because such periods have occurred in the past and of course they always occur during bear market periods.

In my opinion, one of the most logical explanations is that most people invest only when they assume that they will make a profit (preferably in the short term), and so far this has always been the time before the halving. I'm not saying the price won't rise before around the end of 2027 or beginning of 2028, but I don't see anything that would trigger a major bull run.

Besides, Mr. I'll Never Sell My BTC sells coins every now and then, and that's why there are over 800 thousand reasons why we wonder every day if there's a chance that instead of a few thousand, they'll start selling tens of thousands of coins? Add to that all those paper coins that circulate through and from various funds/companies that squeeze BTC in all possible ways and ask yourself if the current price is bad or good?

Personally, for me, holding above $60k is a positive thing, but as always if there is no breakout to the upside it wouldn't be surprising if we dive towards a new low.
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Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it


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August 12, 2026, 03:06:47 PM

It seems to me that the threat of the BIP 110 signaling (from last Saturday) at the change of the difficulty was the most uncertain in terms of what was going to happen, and if it is boiling down to simple hardfork nonsense, we have been there and done that, and they are likely losing support for any of that causing any level uncertainty because it becomes easier and easier to completely ignore whatever they are doing, even though surely some of their supporters have already lost time, money and energy supporting their various shenanigans.

In other words, I could have had seen the uncertainty of the BIP 110 signaling going into last Saturday to have had been potentially contributing to market uncertainties, and now there is no real meaningful uncertainties related to the BIP 110 supporters and/or whatever they might choose to do with their lil wannabe fork chain.
Even then, not so much. The blocksize fork had numerous serious supporters on both sides with serious hardcore debate and discussion going on. There were long-term Bitcoin heavyweights on both sides, proposals, clients, mass censorship, forum coups, miner support.

I don't agree with your characterization.

Sure.  There were BIG hitters on both sides, yet many of the 110 supporters were into calling into question their perceptions of the tyrannical behaviors of Core developers and desires to teach a lesson in regards to the power of the people... Yet those 110 supporters were likely ONLY willing to go so far, including that the evidence of actual computing power behind 110 seems to have had been nearly completely absent, to the extent that even 1% to 3% might be willing to continue to hang on, I really doubt that too many of them really want to create a shitcoin when it appears that they do not have even close to as much actual physical and material power of the people support as they were believing might be hidden behind the scenes.


Rather than BCash, BitcoinJr is more like BitcoinXT with a novel PoW twist, and potentially much messier as there isn't a fork asset to sell. BCH was begging to be dumped and attacked immediately by keeping 256d and announcing fork chain air drop plans.

How will it play out?

Seems unlikely the BIP-110 fork finds more than 5 blocks by 9/02. Mostly empty blocks will probably flood in upon algo switch and height will quickly catch up to or surpass the chain like in the case of BCash. And then come the 51% attacks, etc. Obviously any blake2b blocks will be rejected by peers. But you could have lingering semi-interoperable zombie clients peering for years (like XT nodes), but also able to transfer value in parallel via the alternative chain. If you're Knots, you'd be working to prevent blacklisting.


BLAKE2b, what kind of retardeness is this?

BLAKE2b already has fucking Asics!

Ahh, I bet the fuckers pushing this own a bunch of those worthless asics and need a pool of suckers.

If they want their own coin on cpu only then just fork Monero and inherit it's privacy features.

Are these people complete and utter morons or am I too stupid to see something here?

Or is it both??? Cheesy
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what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?


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August 12, 2026, 03:37:32 PM

Seems unlikely the BIP-110 fork finds more than 5 blocks by 9/02. Mostly empty blocks will probably flood in upon algo switch and height will quickly catch up to or surpass the chain like in the case of BCash. And then come the 51% attacks, etc. Obviously any blake2b blocks will be rejected by peers. But you could have lingering semi-interoperable zombie clients peering for years (like XT nodes), but also able to transfer value in parallel via the alternative chain. If you're Knots, you'd be working to prevent blacklisting.

BLAKE2b, what kind of retardeness is this?

BLAKE2b already has fucking Asics!

Ahh, I bet the fuckers pushing this own a bunch of those worthless asics and need a pool of suckers.

If they want their own coin on cpu only then just fork Monero and inherit it's privacy features.

Are these people complete and utter morons or am I too stupid to see something here?

Or is it both??? Cheesy

5D Game Theory
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August 12, 2026, 03:39:23 PM

Seems unlikely the BIP-110 fork finds more than 5 blocks by 9/02. Mostly empty blocks will probably flood in upon algo switch and height will quickly catch up to or surpass the chain like in the case of BCash. And then come the 51% attacks, etc. Obviously any blake2b blocks will be rejected by peers. But you could have lingering semi-interoperable zombie clients peering for years (like XT nodes), but also able to transfer value in parallel via the alternative chain. If you're Knots, you'd be working to prevent blacklisting.

BLAKE2b, what kind of retardeness is this?

BLAKE2b already has fucking Asics!

Ahh, I bet the fuckers pushing this own a bunch of those worthless asics and need a pool of suckers.

If they want their own coin on cpu only then just fork Monero and inherit it's privacy features.

Are these people complete and utter morons or am I too stupid to see something here?

Or is it both??? Cheesy

5D Game Theory

Trying to ruin what little credibility they had left?

How the fuck can those trying desperately to defend them defend this?
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August 12, 2026, 04:03:02 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
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August 12, 2026, 04:38:55 PM
Merited by Hueristic (1)

Seems unlikely the BIP-110 fork finds more than 5 blocks by 9/02. Mostly empty blocks will probably flood in upon algo switch and height will quickly catch up to or surpass the chain like in the case of BCash. And then come the 51% attacks, etc. Obviously any blake2b blocks will be rejected by peers. But you could have lingering semi-interoperable zombie clients peering for years (like XT nodes), but also able to transfer value in parallel via the alternative chain. If you're Knots, you'd be working to prevent blacklisting.

BLAKE2b, what kind of retardeness is this?

BLAKE2b already has fucking Asics!

Ahh, I bet the fuckers pushing this own a bunch of those worthless asics and need a pool of suckers.

If they want their own coin on cpu only then just fork Monero and inherit it's privacy features.

Are these people complete and utter morons or am I too stupid to see something here?

Or is it both??? Cheesy

5D Game Theory

Trying to ruin what little credibility they had left?

How the fuck can those trying desperately to defend them defend this?
They don't defend it with logic, they defend it with heavy bags.

Besides, bold of you to assume they had any credibility left to ruin in the first place. Cheesy
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August 12, 2026, 06:03:02 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
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August 12, 2026, 06:52:24 PM

Seems unlikely the BIP-110 fork finds more than 5 blocks by 9/02. Mostly empty blocks will probably flood in upon algo switch and height will quickly catch up to or surpass the chain like in the case of BCash. And then come the 51% attacks, etc. Obviously any blake2b blocks will be rejected by peers. But you could have lingering semi-interoperable zombie clients peering for years (like XT nodes), but also able to transfer value in parallel via the alternative chain. If you're Knots, you'd be working to prevent blacklisting.

BLAKE2b, what kind of retardeness is this?

BLAKE2b already has fucking Asics!

Ahh, I bet the fuckers pushing this own a bunch of those worthless asics and need a pool of suckers.

If they want their own coin on cpu only then just fork Monero and inherit it's privacy features.

Are these people complete and utter morons or am I too stupid to see something here?

Or is it both??? Cheesy

5D Game Theory

Trying to ruin what little credibility they had left?

How the fuck can those trying desperately to defend them defend this?

Well as far as I know BLAKE2b produces 512bit hashes.

I wonder if they will double the OP_RETURN size to compensate?

-snicker-
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August 12, 2026, 07:00:55 PM
Last edit: August 12, 2026, 09:18:26 PM by BobLawblaw

I think t was too busy making sure it blocked buddy, you know, priorities.

I've been in vLLM hell since yesterday trying to get updated and abliterated versions of DS4F 0731 running across 4 Sparks. (Done)

This morning, my 5090 server decided to take a shit on me, so, haven't had a chance to put my hand up BobC's ass very much lately. Wrestling with infra silliness.

Also, running DS4F 0731 Abliterated feels like a weapons-grade LLM. Kinda scary.
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August 12, 2026, 07:03:03 PM


Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
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