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Author Topic: @RogerVer lets make a deal. At least 60k, my BTU for your BTC.  (Read 64844 times)
notthematrix
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March 22, 2017, 06:11:17 PM
 #181

From my perspective at least, this is not a bet, it's a business transaction. My motivations are 90% profit and 10% because I do not foresee BU as it exists today succeeding with the lack of code review and still unsolved EC divergence. Nothing prevents a miner from switching to the Core chain and orphaning the entire BU chain if it becomes profitable to do so.

As for big vs small, I supported 2MB last year when there was no working implementation of LN. Today SegWit + LN appears to be ready to go. I believe that the BU miners are not looking at the bigger picture. On chain fees can continue to rise even while a large number of transactions move to LN. There is no issue paying a $10 fee to open a reusable channel, while the same fee for a single transaction is extreme. SW already offers 2MB, the only difference seems to be where the signatures are stored.

Let me ask you a question just to satisfy my own curiosity and discover the reason for your recent "business transaction" proposition to Ver. You are "loaded". I assume you live in a beautiful home with all the modern appointments. Surely you must have fine automobiles at your disposal and take worldwide vacations with the same frequency that other people change their underwear. In essence, you want for nothing. You're stake in the "business transaction" you're proposing is worth upwards of $60 million. With that kind of money, why would you not simply cash out, retire, and enjoy everything the world has to offer? Instead, you leverage your millions to prove a point? I don't get it.

I guess loaded wants to test if ver puts the money where is mouth is Smiley
verry simple notting more notthing less.

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2dogs
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March 22, 2017, 06:11:50 PM
 #182

With that kind of money, why would you not simply cash out, retire, and enjoy everything the world has to offer? Instead, you leverage your millions to prove a point? I don't get it.

Because with traders, it is all about being in the game.


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March 22, 2017, 06:15:00 PM
 #183


Let me ask you a question just to satisfy my own curiosity and discover the reason for your recent "business transaction" proposition to Ver. You are "loaded". I assume you live in a beautiful home with all the modern appointments. Surely you must have fine automobiles at your disposal and take worldwide vacations with the same frequency that other people change their underwear. In essence, you want for nothing. You're stake in the "business transaction" you're proposing is worth upwards of $60 million. With that kind of money, why would you not simply cash out, retire, and enjoy everything the world has to offer? Instead, you leverage your millions to prove a point? I don't get it.

Why does anyone with a high net worth continue to work? I'm in it to protect and grow my investment.

I am only entering this from a win-win-win perspective.

If a fork occurs are things are, the vast economic majority is with Core and those coins will be more valuable. Win.

If it pressures BU into not forking, win, because the combined value of the post-fork coins is very likely to be below the pre-fork value.

If it pressures BU to make improvements, I reserve the right reevaluate the transaction. Win because at least the combined value will be higher.

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bitcoind signmessage 1BqcwhKevdBKeos72b8E32Swjrp4iDVnjP "I am 'Loaded' of bitcointalk.org."
Hw6QbEy+Z5BNwiv0kPTyizzgU5T1H88RnPRvk7730VoGTReJndKzZ4Jnn1JjIkNiVwBIXsx19RwXQWVfWrZjW+M=
rizzlarolla
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March 22, 2017, 06:44:44 PM
 #184

The only way Roger can "lose" in this chain split swap is if BU forks with too low hash power.
(Roger must be sure that BU will not activate before "hash power is high enough", and will not be "activated" by rogue actors with ill intent)

To illustrate, if a chain split occurred with BU having 99% hash power support at activation, Core 1%, there is no conceivable way Roger can "lose".
A 1% chain is insecure and untrustworthy, right, that is how Bitcoin works?

Now, a 99% / 1% split is "unrealistic" IRL for any consensus mechanism, so Roger may well assess hash % with achievability IRL, and decide 80% hash power supporting BU is both achievable and workable consensus. (and in a fight, 80% hash power should beat 20% hash power, no?)

If BU never achieve 80% and therefore never activate, no split will occur, bet is void.


I guess loaded wants to test if ver puts the money where is mouth is Smiley
verry simple notting more notthing less.

Yes maybe, but is now putting in "no further development" opt out clauses?

BU as it exists today

Is Loaded now saying BU must launch "as it exists today" seemingly because "today SegWit + LN appears to be ready to go".
Shouldn't it be "BU must split the chain before segwit adoption" as "SegWit + LN appears to be ready to go"?
That is fair consensus timescale. I thought this bet was about whenever BU split the chain, Core btc would still be more valuable?

All bitcoiners have to trust the miners to not activate dodgy code, weather that be BU or Segwit.
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March 22, 2017, 06:52:28 PM
 #185


The only way Roger can "lose" in this chain split swap is if BU forks with too low hash power.  


Well , not exactly.  OP believes Core will have economic majority even if the miners disagree.
Roger presumably thinks otherwise.


rizzlarolla
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March 22, 2017, 06:58:21 PM
 #186


The only way Roger can "lose" in this chain split swap is if BU forks with too low hash power.  


Well , not exactly.  OP believes Core will have economic majority even if the miners disagree.
Roger presumably thinks otherwise.


That maybe what Loaded thinks, but is not true.

As i have shown in my example situation of 99% / 1% hash power. Does Loaded still think he can win?
(i know it wont happen like that)

If Loaded is correct, then we don't need miners anymore?
muyuu
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March 22, 2017, 07:01:34 PM
 #187

...

Here's my attempt at making the terms of my bet with RHavar unambiguous:

1. A "network upgrade event" is defined to have occurred if the blockchain (or one side of the blockchain should a split occur) contains a block larger than 1 MB and at least 72 blocks have been built on top of it.  These blocks must be built using the current PoW algorithm and with no reset or fork-based reduction in the difficulty.

2. Conditions where RHavar wins the bet:

   - A "network upgrade event" occurs, resulting in a blockchain split, and at least 2100 blocks are built on the "small block" side of the split (i.e, the blockchain branch that contains no blocks larger than 1 MB) within 4 months (120 days) of the splitting point.  The blocks must be built using the current PoW algorithm and with no reset or fork-based reduction in the difficulty.
  
3.  Conditions where Peter R wins the bet:

   - A "network upgrade event" occurs and the blockchain contains at least one block larger than 1 MB and no blockchain split occurs.
   - A "network upgrade event" occurs and the blockchain contains at least one block larger than 1 MB and 2100 full-difficulty regular-PoW blocks are not built on the small-block chain within the 120 day window.
   - Should the minority chain become unusable for whatever reason prior to reaching 2100 regular-PoW/full-difficulty blocks, thereby requiring a change in PoW or a reset or reduction in difficulty in order to keep it alive, then Peter R wins the bet provided the big-block side of the blockchain contains a block larger than 1 MB.    

4. Conditions for a draw (Peter R and RHavar receive their wagers back)

   - No "network upgrade event" occurs between now and 31 December 2017.  


 Cheesy Grin

HAHAHA dream on.

If BTC trades as BTC and it's understood to be BTC, it's BTC.

So this is what they are going to use to backtrack?

Unsurprising I guess.

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forum tea fund BTC 1Epv7KHbNjYzqYVhTCgXWYhGSkv7BuKGEU DOGE DF1eTJ2vsxjHpmmbKu9jpqsrg5uyQLWksM CAP F1MzvmmHwP2UhFq82NQT7qDU9NQ8oQbtkQ
jonald_fyookball
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March 22, 2017, 07:02:57 PM
 #188


The only way Roger can "lose" in this chain split swap is if BU forks with too low hash power.  


Well , not exactly.  OP believes Core will have economic majority even if the miners disagree.
Roger presumably thinks otherwise.


That maybe what Loaded thinks, but is not true.

As i have shown in my example situation of 99% / 1% hash power. Does Loaded still think he can win?
(i know it wont happen like that)

If Loaded is correct, then we don't need miners anymore?

I guess they would need to define what constitutes a network split.  Conceivably 1% could keep mining, fork their own PoW to
adjust difficult and and create some kind of peon coin.  But even then, who knows, it could get popular later.



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March 22, 2017, 07:07:12 PM
 #189

If Loaded is correct, then we don't need miners anymore?

Miners don't set the rules. Miners choose the longest chain within the same rules.

If it's listed in exchanges as BTC it's BTC. I'd base it on the conditions from BitFinex, but with a provision that they both have to exist to execute, and the exchange is 1:1 rather than by traded price. I think that would make it fair. If only one exists, making swaps won't be possible.

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Thatstinks
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March 22, 2017, 07:09:42 PM
 #190

This sounds like a great deal for both of us.  I look forward to ironing out the exact details and terms.  I'm super busy for the next 48 hours,  but would love to connect after that.

But not 150 spare coins for BTUCoin.com and BTUCoins.com ?

Those are no brainers, I hope core doesn't see them.
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March 22, 2017, 07:09:51 PM
 #191

Loaded fair play to you man, this is really putting your money where your mouth is, and that takes balls.  Hats off.  i have a very small amount of bitcoin and i wouldn't have the balls to do this with them.   Roll Eyes
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March 22, 2017, 07:14:30 PM
 #192

Loaded fair play to you man, this is really putting your money where your mouth is, and that takes balls.  Hats off.  i have a very small amount of bitcoin and i wouldn't have the balls to do this with them.   Roll Eyes

He's not doing it with his BTC, he's getting more BTC for his future BTU. After the deal, he will have no BTU and double the BTC.

Which sounds like brilliant business to me.

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March 22, 2017, 07:18:33 PM
 #193


Maybe busy making up some excuse to backtrack like a bitch.  Cheesy
He hasn't said anything he will feel he will need to back track on and the community let's him get away with lying deceit bribery coercion ignorance greed malice etc on a daily basis so he's not going to get held to anything here.


I can understand those questioning Roger's sanity (I wouldn't want to risk that). But those that doubt his veracity would be well-served to review this first:

http://www.coindesk.com/entrepreneur-roger-ver-1m-bitcoin-donation/

Anyone with a campaign ad in their signature -- for an organization with which they are not otherwise affiliated -- is automatically deducted credibility points.

I've been convicted of heresy. Convicted by a mere known extortionist. Read my Trust for details.
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March 22, 2017, 07:19:15 PM
 #194


The only way Roger can "lose" in this chain split swap is if BU forks with too low hash power.  


Well , not exactly.  OP believes Core will have economic majority even if the miners disagree.
Roger presumably thinks otherwise.


That maybe what Loaded thinks, but is not true.

As i have shown in my example situation of 99% / 1% hash power. Does Loaded still think he can win?
(i know it wont happen like that)

If Loaded is correct, then we don't need miners anymore?

I guess they would need to define what constitutes a network split.  Conceivably 1% could keep mining, fork their own PoW to
adjust difficult and and create some kind of peon coin.  But even then, who knows, it could get popular later.


I assume a "split" occurring simply because no split would mean no bet would mean no point discussing.

They could do that, and roger has also threatened to fork Bitcoin with a low hash rate.
But the whole security principle of Bitcoin is the hash rate.
1% hash security cannot split away from the 99% hash security, and hold a higher valuation.
Hash power is what makes bitcoin secure and believable and valuable. That is the entire foundation of Bitcoin.

Roger could just buy into that peon coin cheaply, anytime.
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March 22, 2017, 07:22:33 PM
 #195


1% hash security cannot split away from the 99% hash security, and hold a higher valuation. 


realistically, no, it couldn't.  I agree.

But 25% could fork off and conceivably be favored in the marketplace.  This is apparently
what the OP believes will happen.


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March 22, 2017, 07:37:22 PM
 #196

Let me ask you a question just to satisfy my own curiosity and discover the reason for your recent "business transaction" proposition to Ver. You are "loaded". I assume you live in a beautiful home with all the modern appointments. Surely you must have fine automobiles at your disposal and take worldwide vacations with the same frequency that other people change their underwear. In essence, you want for nothing. You're stake in the "business transaction" you're proposing is worth upwards of $60 million. With that kind of money, why would you not simply cash out, retire, and enjoy everything the world has to offer? Instead, you leverage your millions to prove a point? I don't get it.

That's precisely why you're not rich. No offense, but people who don't have money often don't understand why people who have money don't just up and walk away from work, the reason is why they're rich in the first place, they don't quit. The same can be said for Roger, why doesn't he just sell his Bitcoin and buy and island?
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March 22, 2017, 07:49:57 PM
Last edit: March 23, 2017, 02:16:06 PM by Carlton Banks
 #197

Here's a way that Roger could change the deal, and try to force Loaded into the "same" position he/she is forcing Roger into....


Roger could say this:

"The thing is, BU is a more valuable system than Bitcoin, so I will only exchange 1 BTU for 2 BTC. i.e sell me 65,000 BTU for 130,000 BTC

What's wrong Loaded, can't put your money where your mouth is?"

Vires in numeris
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March 22, 2017, 07:56:49 PM
 #198

With that kind of money, why would you not simply cash out, retire, and enjoy everything the world has to offer? Instead, you leverage your millions to prove a point? I don't get it.
The answer to this question lies in your reply itself,he can choose what he wants with his assets and so is the reason he chooses to leverage his millions to prove a point ,there wont be a substantial response from Roger and he wont accept the challenge because he knows he will loose in the end,but will talk his way out for sure. Cheesy
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March 22, 2017, 08:15:12 PM
 #199

Ver lets meet up bro.

When you coming back to the key?
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March 22, 2017, 08:21:56 PM
 #200

Thought:

I would also like to trade Roger Ver my BTU for BTC 1:1 if there is a fork. Is it possible to take up a collection and find out how many of us think the same way?
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