If ICO continues for a year and 1000 millions EOS enter the market, don't you think the current price will dump soon to the underground? Please correct me if I'm wrong, but I see EOS as a disastrous investment.
200 million EOS entered the market in the first 5 day period and since then 2 million EOS are entering the market per day, price can go up and down until the end of the "ico" but personally I don't see any reason related to "ico" methodology for a price "colapse"/dump.
If we have an average price of $2 per EOS then we are talking about a total EOS marketcap of 2 billion at the end of the "ico"
How much is the total marketcap of the "problematic" and "obsolete" Ethereum right now?
IF EOS delivers what it promises what will be it's marketcap? Everyone is calculating their risks and placing their bets accordingly...
I agree that buyers set the price, but EOS will be released in 11 months from now.
I do believe price of 2 USD per coin may hold for 11 months straight until the end of ICO.
I also believe that EOS might eventually go up during that period of 11 months because all altcoins are still very attached to our leading coins Bitcoin and Etherum and they will clearly rise.
I don't believe though, that this 11 month of ICO will do much good for EOS. It will be good for their pocket, they will have a lot of money and if they put that money to good use and deliver, good.
But there are projects that offer the same thing, smart contract projects that are out there already working and won't need 11 months before the start.
NEO the Chinese Etherum and Waves. Those projects have same market cap and are already out there to compete with Etherum.
I was going to invest hard on EOS but after doing some research i decided to go with NEO. I still believe in EOS though, Dan Larimer is a smart guy and both Bitshares/Steem are currently one of best blockchains out there in terms of transactions per second. EOS will have the very same thing and is to be able to handle more than Bitshares/Steem. The plan of weakening Etherum by building on it and then splitting from their chain is great too, genius to be said. And if they delivered on their promises then that is some big monster on the horizon, but 11 months of wait time is far too long in my opinion.
I'll make a bold statement and predict the market cap of EOS to be 7.4b$ at the end of ICO in July 2018.
That is a very positive prediction, actually. And even then it won't really matter, because other projects that are targeting Etherum will already be up there with 50b market caps.
And etherum itself probably around 100b alone.
So to sum it up - in my opinion buying EOS will be worth it in a long time hold and will already net a 3.5-4x ROI in a year from now.
Although i do believe, that other projects like NEO/Waves will net a way higher ROI within the same time period.