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Author Topic: will the bitcoin reach $1000 one day...?  (Read 112647 times)
Coldcase
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June 29, 2013, 11:52:36 PM
 #121

bitcoin is going to 70$ atm  Grin

no way.
bitbitcoins (OP)
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July 02, 2013, 10:04:18 AM
 #122

With the economy the way it is, I believe it will hit $1000 in 2 years. If not, then definitely by 2018.

Why by 2018 ?

naphto
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July 02, 2013, 10:08:38 AM
 #123

The problem with bitcoin currently is the fact that it has very limited use. Almost anything you can buy with bitcoin can be paid with fiat currency (it's cheaper too), and the only real use for bitcoin is purchasing illegal goods and services. The bitcoin economy needs more goods and service providers to make sense for people to convert their fiat to bitcoin. Also, a major use for bitcoin is to invest it to make more bitcoin, but without things to purchase it will lead to falling valuation. I fear the price will continue to fall until there is a crisis similar to Cyprus or some other event which creates public awareness.


As you pointed out yourself, it is more expensive to buy anything with bitcoins that just buying it with euros.
Bitcoin can provide anonymity, but it will always be more expensive to pay something with bitcoins. Indeed, you have to pay fees to exchanges (banks, mt.gox, bitinstant or whoever....).
pinacolada
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July 02, 2013, 05:15:19 PM
 #124

I don't know how much higher the value can go.
Over time though the value can only go up because there will be less and less bitcoins in circulation.
dalegod
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July 02, 2013, 07:49:53 PM
 #125

The problem with bitcoin currently is the fact that it has very limited use. Almost anything you can buy with bitcoin can be paid with fiat currency (it's cheaper too), and the only real use for bitcoin is purchasing illegal goods and services. The bitcoin economy needs more goods and service providers to make sense for people to convert their fiat to bitcoin. Also, a major use for bitcoin is to invest it to make more bitcoin, but without things to purchase it will lead to falling valuation. I fear the price will continue to fall until there is a crisis similar to Cyprus or some other event which creates public awareness.


As you pointed out yourself, it is more expensive to buy anything with bitcoins that just buying it with euros.
Bitcoin can provide anonymity, but it will always be more expensive to pay something with bitcoins. Indeed, you have to pay fees to exchanges (banks, mt.gox, bitinstant or whoever....).

From my limited use of Bitcoin thus far, I would say the leading advantage it has is the ease with which value can be transmitted anywhere in the world without a central authority.  The few times I've paid for something it's been incredibly convenient.  I don't have a lot of opportunities to do this, and also, the incentive to convert my cash to BTC is not very good since I lose a little on the transaction, as naphto pointed out.  But if I have to get value overseas or to the next town Bitcoin is potentially the best option--like cash, but I don't need to meet anyone face to face.  So in this case, it is far easier to buy something with BTC instead of USD or EUR.

So, I agree with the posts I quote above--as the use of BTC grows so will the demand and so will the price.  If use diminishes so too will the price.  I would frankly use Bitcoin for the pure joy of knowing that I pay no fees to VISA or any of the financial/banking industry.  Rock-solid philosophical foundation: open-source, peer-to-peer + real-world utility = potential to thrive.  All in my humble opinion; I wouldn't trust me to predict the future!

Be that as it may, if Bitcoin doesn't hit $1000 in the next decade, I would assume it'll be because a much better alternative will emerge or civilization will collapse; the latter probably being more possible.  It's all a gamble!
bitbitcoins (OP)
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July 03, 2013, 02:30:39 PM
 #126

I don't know how much higher the value can go.
Over time though the value can only go up because there will be less and less bitcoins in circulation.
Thing seem to go in the other direction right now ....

derebeyi
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July 03, 2013, 02:54:35 PM
 #127

IMO Bitcoin will continue to grow quickly over the next few years as people become more aware about them and more and more services start to accept them but, if governments interfere I think people will go back to regular currency. If they don't however, then I think there is really no limit to the eventual worth of Bitcions.
SirMintALot
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July 03, 2013, 05:09:16 PM
 #128

Just have look at the Goverment Dept of some countries:
Japan   245% of GDP
Greece  179% of GDP
Italy     130% of GDP
USA      108% of GDP
Ireland  119% of GDP
Portugal 123% of GDP
Belgium   98% of GDP
Cyprus    92% of GDP
France    92% of GDP
Spain      91% of GDP
UK          93% of GDP
Canada    87% of GDP
Germany  81% of GDP
Hungary  80% of GDP

If there will be a world wide recession, then there is a big chance that those countries will go into bankruptsy. Then the value of Bitcoin and the other cryptocoins will rise a lot. But lets hope this will never happen.

BTC: 142BHpdq4wey7PC3Cp5QiUoshF19u3yvHN LTC: LbiEUDYjohwpXnv1Gd4LvdGr1Jr1M5Usjc NMC: N3eeYkWqeLFWBJRmS3WyU1zz6WgKkjEVtb
IXC: xtR8uc2EFGWFJgrVEgZZ5yvRsWKhwAg8ZH DVC: 18oVWfSqHjvhJEuHHxsDpCfBeDMuLWyh5p CLR: CGZGWW16sooX69PJBEtJH2Xmo4KFupkow7
PPC: PLJ5uzFw21FkKdSrmfccT3MqubSfSB4soE YAC: Y7FM89AiFhWKBcXh2BzzRaw4eUAYkreXbs LBW: 5ygEWM7dMjeUV2sBeppTvkTTXCkeREKqf2
I0C: jatiogvXJYhK7auegbjPnQRV3kQgFvz482 JPU: JE7fhhPfP1Kjyd1hj8zevNsf7THeMqHo6A NVC: 4Hvecu2fzC2rCwYbKBeYXr8y9pdAZLFZHH
DannyHamilton
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July 03, 2013, 05:24:13 PM
 #129

Just have look at the Goverment Dept of some countries:
USA      108% of GDP

Source?

The last I saw, I thought the USA 2012 GDP was $15.7 trillion and the Federal Budget was $3.538 trillion.  That works out to 22.54% doesn't it?

I suppose you may be including all the state and local budgets in your "Government Dept" number, but I haven't seen a reliable source that provides that total.
SirMintALot
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July 03, 2013, 05:55:42 PM
 #130

Just have look at the Goverment Dept of some countries:
USA      108% of GDP

Source?

The last I saw, I thought the USA 2012 GDP was $15.7 trillion and the Federal Budget was $3.538 trillion.  That works out to 22.54% doesn't it?

I suppose you may be including all the state and local budgets in your "Government Dept" number, but I haven't seen a reliable source that provides that total.

http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fm/2013/01/pdf/fm1301.pdf Page 14

BTC: 142BHpdq4wey7PC3Cp5QiUoshF19u3yvHN LTC: LbiEUDYjohwpXnv1Gd4LvdGr1Jr1M5Usjc NMC: N3eeYkWqeLFWBJRmS3WyU1zz6WgKkjEVtb
IXC: xtR8uc2EFGWFJgrVEgZZ5yvRsWKhwAg8ZH DVC: 18oVWfSqHjvhJEuHHxsDpCfBeDMuLWyh5p CLR: CGZGWW16sooX69PJBEtJH2Xmo4KFupkow7
PPC: PLJ5uzFw21FkKdSrmfccT3MqubSfSB4soE YAC: Y7FM89AiFhWKBcXh2BzzRaw4eUAYkreXbs LBW: 5ygEWM7dMjeUV2sBeppTvkTTXCkeREKqf2
I0C: jatiogvXJYhK7auegbjPnQRV3kQgFvz482 JPU: JE7fhhPfP1Kjyd1hj8zevNsf7THeMqHo6A NVC: 4Hvecu2fzC2rCwYbKBeYXr8y9pdAZLFZHH
DannyHamilton
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July 03, 2013, 06:05:37 PM
 #131

Ah!  You meant Government Debt.  I got confused when you said Goverment Dept..  Yes, the current debt is higher than the current annual GDP.  This could change if the debt were to be reduced or the GDP were to increase.  Regardless, I'm not sure that current debt higher than current GDP a problem in and of itself. Certainly there are a lot of strong opinions on the matter.  As far as I'm concerned, it can be a problem or it can be a good thing, depending entirely on how the money from the loans is spent.
SirMintALot
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July 03, 2013, 06:59:26 PM
 #132

Sorry, english isn't my native language.
It's no problem as long as the economy is healthy. Usualy a state could make 75% back in taxes of the GDP, and if the state is higher in debt it is no problem. But when the economy is unhealthy (high unemployment, people refuse to buy stuff because of low wages or high interest rates) then it will turn into a problem. The states have to pay back the the goverment bonds including interrest rate, which is another way of a state to gain money. If the economy is down and a state has to pay back old bonds, it will try give out new bonds with a higher interrest rate to attract people to buy those bonds. But when nobody buys those bonds (because of to high inflation or deflation) then the state is in deep shit and will go into bankruptsy. The USA probably won't be affected as the first country, but it is an accepted opinion that this might happen to Japan in 3 to 5 years (If I remember right 380% of GDP is the critical value for Japan). This will affect other states too, as banks are holding japanese goverment bonds and when those aren't paid back they are in trouble. They might go into bankruptsy (probably the state will prevent that by pumping lots of money into them, which is then missing in other places) or at least are not that willing to give out credits to companies anymore, which means to most companies they have to fire their employes, which means that there is more unemployment and a more unhealthy economy. And then the next country is in deep shit... Interrest rates in most countries are already very low to get the people to spend their money (value added tax for the state) instead of making savings.
In such circumstances it is good to have some gold, silver or in modern times cryptocoins that will help you to survive those bad times. And with bad times I mean something like the 1920's when your income from the past days isn't even enough to buy a bread.

BTC: 142BHpdq4wey7PC3Cp5QiUoshF19u3yvHN LTC: LbiEUDYjohwpXnv1Gd4LvdGr1Jr1M5Usjc NMC: N3eeYkWqeLFWBJRmS3WyU1zz6WgKkjEVtb
IXC: xtR8uc2EFGWFJgrVEgZZ5yvRsWKhwAg8ZH DVC: 18oVWfSqHjvhJEuHHxsDpCfBeDMuLWyh5p CLR: CGZGWW16sooX69PJBEtJH2Xmo4KFupkow7
PPC: PLJ5uzFw21FkKdSrmfccT3MqubSfSB4soE YAC: Y7FM89AiFhWKBcXh2BzzRaw4eUAYkreXbs LBW: 5ygEWM7dMjeUV2sBeppTvkTTXCkeREKqf2
I0C: jatiogvXJYhK7auegbjPnQRV3kQgFvz482 JPU: JE7fhhPfP1Kjyd1hj8zevNsf7THeMqHo6A NVC: 4Hvecu2fzC2rCwYbKBeYXr8y9pdAZLFZHH
Bananery
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July 03, 2013, 09:46:41 PM
 #133

Yes, it's possible, maybe in 10 years.
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July 03, 2013, 10:36:33 PM
 #134

As soon as you submitted this thread the price is going down. Please lock this thread and let bitcoin go up.
BitCoinNewGuy
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July 03, 2013, 10:39:52 PM
 #135

BitCoin will crash to $0. I sure hope so, I short sold it at $100.
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July 03, 2013, 10:42:38 PM
 #136

Quote
In such circumstances it is good to have some gold, silver or in modern times cryptocoins that will help you to survive those bad times.

If things ever got 'that bad' I wouldn't need gold, silver or bitcoin. If it seriously came down to such drastic measures I wouldn't need any, they would all be useless. My gun collection will give me everything I need, for free.
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July 04, 2013, 12:50:44 AM
 #137

As you pointed out yourself, it is more expensive to buy anything with bitcoins that just buying it with euros.

Really? It's 1% to 2% in fees to use Bitcoin, versus 2.5% to 3% in fees to use VISA. It's just that vendors aren't doing discounts yet.
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July 04, 2013, 02:34:44 AM
 #138

Well, I think when the amount of bitcoins being generated starts going down, price will go up. I don't know if we'll see it during our lifetime, because I think the last coins will be generated by the year 21xx or something around there. So my thinking is that with less bitcoins hitting the market, and people wanting to buy them, the price can go up. Maybe my logic is flawed though, feel free to reply and tell me why it's wrong, I'd appreciate to learn something today. Wink
joe108
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July 04, 2013, 03:31:10 AM
 #139

 Grin i dont think it can reach 1000$... 100$ is good enough.. Tongue
if they dont drop again and agin.. Tongue
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July 04, 2013, 05:11:30 AM
 #140

with LTC and a few other cryptos doing well, BTC might not have the traction we all thought it did in the beginning.

One is supported by a huge network of merchants, developers, and payment infrastructure. The other is supported by printing presses, and a bunch of butthurt miners who think they missed out on being early adopters. Last time I checked, people who use dollars and euros don't care what kind of printing presses their money is printed on, or which banks it goes through first.
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