Analysis

[vapourminer]

And, by the way, weren't you (@bitmover) working on some tweaks to a new fuck you status page/tool that we might be able to agree to go public with? or maybe I missed some of the latests tweaks to such new tool that might be in my court...

I am expecting your reviews to make it public! Do you think we can make it public already?

That URL is working, we can already share it.

I was waiting for you to respond to our latest interactions.. Maybe we can take this to PMs..

bumped for the curious

[bitmover]

And, by the way, weren't you (@bitmover) working on some tweaks to a new fuck you status page/tool that we might be able to agree to go public with? or maybe I missed some of the latests tweaks to such new tool that might be in my court...

I am expecting your reviews to make it public! Do you think we can make it public already?

That URL is working, we can already share it.

I was waiting for you to respond to our latest interactions.. Maybe we can take this to PMs..

bumped for the curious

We are cooking something new related to the jjg bitcoin strategies 

I will @mention you when we publish it

[bitmover]

Although you "may" be right, BUT currently, Bitcoin's Four-Year-Cycle is STILL INTACT. Why make decisions because you "believe" that you're absolutely right and the market is wrong, or you "feel" that something different is going to happen?

That's how "investors" lose their precious capital.

Cylces are not "intact".
We had for the first time an ATH before the halving. The bear market started earlier than expected (in October).

A MINOR difference of one or two months does NOT make the Cycle broken. I would be the first person to say that the Cycle is broken IF the bear market continues throughout Q2/Q3 2027, OR if a surge to another All Time High happens this year.

In the current state of the Cycle, we might see the actual bottom in October or November.

What about now? 20% in the last 7 days in August..

Cycles  "still intact"? Did anyone see that coming?

[Wind_FURY]

Hi Tzupy. Because if the current price surge across the majority of markets in crypto, you probably have new lines drawn in your graphs, no?

 

I'm very curious, and I would absolutely want to see them and what your current projection is.

Plus what probability would you give Bitcoin to surge in a seven digit valuation per coin during the next Bull Cycle?

Although you "may" be right, BUT currently, Bitcoin's Four-Year-Cycle is STILL INTACT. Why make decisions because you "believe" that you're absolutely right and the market is wrong, or you "feel" that something different is going to happen?

That's how "investors" lose their precious capital.

Cylces are not "intact".
We had for the first time an ATH before the halving. The bear market started earlier than expected (in October).

A MINOR difference of one or two months does NOT make the Cycle broken. I would be the first person to say that the Cycle is broken IF the bear market continues throughout Q2/Q3 2027, OR if a surge to another All Time High happens this year.

In the current state of the Cycle, we might see the actual bottom in October or November.

What about now? 20% in the last 7 days in August..

Cycles  "still intact"? Did anyone see that coming?

We'll know in October, although currently the "Bear Cycle bottom" is being front-ran by entities with large wallets.

[Wind_FURY]

It's probably the time to admit that I'm wrong about the October/November bottom of the Bear Cycle, and it's probably a new sort of long-term "Market Pattern" for Bitcoin. Although, I believe that there was probably a group of "whalecumulators" that front-ran the "expected" October/November bottom and bought the DIP before it could happen.

   ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

[Tzupy]

Hi Tzupy. Because if the current price surge across the majority of markets in crypto, you probably have new lines drawn in your graphs, no?

 

I'm very curious, and I would absolutely want to see them and what your current projection is.

Plus what probability would you give Bitcoin to surge in a seven digit valuation per coin during the next Bull Cycle?

Although you "may" be right, BUT currently, Bitcoin's Four-Year-Cycle is STILL INTACT. Why make decisions because you "believe" that you're absolutely right and the market is wrong, or you "feel" that something different is going to happen?

That's how "investors" lose their precious capital.

Cylces are not "intact".
We had for the first time an ATH before the halving. The bear market started earlier than expected (in October).

A MINOR difference of one or two months does NOT make the Cycle broken. I would be the first person to say that the Cycle is broken IF the bear market continues throughout Q2/Q3 2027, OR if a surge to another All Time High happens this year.

In the current state of the Cycle, we might see the actual bottom in October or November.

What about now? 20% in the last 7 days in August..

Cycles  "still intact"? Did anyone see that coming?

We'll know in October, although currently the "Bear Cycle bottom" is being front-ran by entities with large wallets.

There were no new major signals for all this time, so I had nothing important to say. But now I believe the BTC price action formed a wedge pattern, and should decide, up or down, in about a week. So far, we just saw a rejection at 85k, which is major resistance, and I am expecting to see this tested again. If it will break up, the target is 98k, but if it will break down, the target is between 70k and 75k. The rising wedge that broke down on the 7th October had a target of 75k. Finding support below 70k would likely trigger a wave B scenario, in which we are in a very large bear flag.
I am aware of the 4 year cycle theory, but even if it were true, it would be useless for my trading, so no comment on it.
I have a different theory, that we are painting wave 5s, so the price action shows diminishing returns, and after completing the final subwave, a very long bear market will follow. But so far, I have been unable to fit this theory well with previous market moves, so I am waiting to see more price action. In a final wave 5, we could reach about 140k in about a year.

[Wind_FURY]

Hi Tzupy. Because if the current price surge across the majority of markets in crypto, you probably have new lines drawn in your graphs, no?

 

I'm very curious, and I would absolutely want to see them and what your current projection is.

Plus what probability would you give Bitcoin to surge in a seven digit valuation per coin during the next Bull Cycle?

Although you "may" be right, BUT currently, Bitcoin's Four-Year-Cycle is STILL INTACT. Why make decisions because you "believe" that you're absolutely right and the market is wrong, or you "feel" that something different is going to happen?

That's how "investors" lose their precious capital.

Cylces are not "intact".
We had for the first time an ATH before the halving. The bear market started earlier than expected (in October).

A MINOR difference of one or two months does NOT make the Cycle broken. I would be the first person to say that the Cycle is broken IF the bear market continues throughout Q2/Q3 2027, OR if a surge to another All Time High happens this year.

In the current state of the Cycle, we might see the actual bottom in October or November.

What about now? 20% in the last 7 days in August..

Cycles  "still intact"? Did anyone see that coming?

We'll know in October, although currently the "Bear Cycle bottom" is being front-ran by entities with large wallets.

There were no new major signals for all this time, so I had nothing important to say. But now I believe the BTC price action formed a wedge pattern, and should decide, up or down, in about a week. So far, we just saw a rejection at 85k, which is major resistance, and I am expecting to see this tested again.

If it will break up, the target is 98k, but if it will break down, the target is between 70k and 75k.

The rising wedge that broke down on the 7th October had a target of 75k. Finding support below 70k would likely trigger a wave B scenario, in which we are in a very large bear flag.

  ?

What needs to break down? $80,000?

I am aware of the 4 year cycle theory, but even if it were true, it would be useless for my trading, so no comment on it.

I have a different theory, that we are painting wave 5s, so the price action shows diminishing returns, and after completing the final subwave, a very long bear market will follow. But so far, I have been unable to fit this theory well with previous market moves, so I am waiting to see more price action. In a final wave 5, we could reach about 140k in about a year.

Personally, I believe that the "worst case" for Bitcoin during 2027 to 2029 would be a "worse" Bull Cycle than 2023 to 2025, WHICH corresponds with your theory about "diminishing returns". BUT there's also a probability that it surges to seven digits if the Federal Reserve and the Central Banks around the globe pivots to Q.E.

[Tzupy]

The wedge has currently support around 81k and resistance around 85k, and getting tighter. If it will break down, then find support at around 70k, and then quickly pump at least 40%, to 98k, it would suggest that we are in a wave 5, like the 2023 to 2025 one. Which would put the top around 450k in 2029.

[bitmover]

Hi Tzupy. Because if the current price surge across the majority of markets in crypto, you probably have new lines drawn in your graphs, no?

 

I'm very curious, and I would absolutely want to see them and what your current projection is.

Plus what probability would you give Bitcoin to surge in a seven digit valuation per coin during the next Bull Cycle?

Although you "may" be right, BUT currently, Bitcoin's Four-Year-Cycle is STILL INTACT. Why make decisions because you "believe" that you're absolutely right and the market is wrong, or you "feel" that something different is going to happen?

That's how "investors" lose their precious capital.

Cylces are not "intact".
We had for the first time an ATH before the halving. The bear market started earlier than expected (in October).

A MINOR difference of one or two months does NOT make the Cycle broken. I would be the first person to say that the Cycle is broken IF the bear market continues throughout Q2/Q3 2027, OR if a surge to another All Time High happens this year.

In the current state of the Cycle, we might see the actual bottom in October or November.

What about now? 20% in the last 7 days in August..

Cycles  "still intact"? Did anyone see that coming?

We'll know in October, although currently the "Bear Cycle bottom" is being front-ran by entities with large wallets.

There were no new major signals for all this time, so I had nothing important to say. But now I believe the BTC price action formed a wedge pattern, and should decide, up or down, in about a week. So far, we just saw a rejection at 85k, which is major resistance, and I am expecting to see this tested again.

If it will break up, the target is 98k, but if it will break down, the target is between 70k and 75k.

The rising wedge that broke down on the 7th October had a target of 75k. Finding support below 70k would likely trigger a wave B scenario, in which we are in a very large bear flag.

  ?

What needs to break down? $80,000?

I am aware of the 4 year cycle theory, but even if it were true, it would be useless for my trading, so no comment on it.

I have a different theory, that we are painting wave 5s, so the price action shows diminishing returns, and after completing the final subwave, a very long bear market will follow. But so far, I have been unable to fit this theory well with previous market moves, so I am waiting to see more price action. In a final wave 5, we could reach about 140k in about a year.

Personally, I believe that the "worst case" for Bitcoin during 2027 to 2029 would be a "worse" Bull Cycle than 2023 to 2025, WHICH corresponds with your theory about "diminishing returns". BUT there's also a probability that it surges to seven digits if the Federal Reserve and the Central Banks around the globe pivots to Q.E.

Nobody knows anything.

Just avoid buying near ATH. Try to sell near a new ath if you wish to trade.

Nobody knows when will the Bull market ends or a bear markets will start/end.

Wind_FURY just made a wrong bottom predictio in October and we are about 25% up from the bottom in july/August.

Predictions are mostly wrong because bitcoin is impredictable.

[Wind_FURY]

Hi Tzupy. Because if the current price surge across the majority of markets in crypto, you probably have new lines drawn in your graphs, no?

 

I'm very curious, and I would absolutely want to see them and what your current projection is.

Plus what probability would you give Bitcoin to surge in a seven digit valuation per coin during the next Bull Cycle?

Although you "may" be right, BUT currently, Bitcoin's Four-Year-Cycle is STILL INTACT. Why make decisions because you "believe" that you're absolutely right and the market is wrong, or you "feel" that something different is going to happen?

That's how "investors" lose their precious capital.

Cylces are not "intact".
We had for the first time an ATH before the halving. The bear market started earlier than expected (in October).

A MINOR difference of one or two months does NOT make the Cycle broken. I would be the first person to say that the Cycle is broken IF the bear market continues throughout Q2/Q3 2027, OR if a surge to another All Time High happens this year.

In the current state of the Cycle, we might see the actual bottom in October or November.

What about now? 20% in the last 7 days in August..

Cycles  "still intact"? Did anyone see that coming?

We'll know in October, although currently the "Bear Cycle bottom" is being front-ran by entities with large wallets.

There were no new major signals for all this time, so I had nothing important to say. But now I believe the BTC price action formed a wedge pattern, and should decide, up or down, in about a week. So far, we just saw a rejection at 85k, which is major resistance, and I am expecting to see this tested again.

If it will break up, the target is 98k, but if it will break down, the target is between 70k and 75k.

The rising wedge that broke down on the 7th October had a target of 75k. Finding support below 70k would likely trigger a wave B scenario, in which we are in a very large bear flag.

  ?

What needs to break down? $80,000?

I am aware of the 4 year cycle theory, but even if it were true, it would be useless for my trading, so no comment on it.

I have a different theory, that we are painting wave 5s, so the price action shows diminishing returns, and after completing the final subwave, a very long bear market will follow. But so far, I have been unable to fit this theory well with previous market moves, so I am waiting to see more price action. In a final wave 5, we could reach about 140k in about a year.

Personally, I believe that the "worst case" for Bitcoin during 2027 to 2029 would be a "worse" Bull Cycle than 2023 to 2025, WHICH corresponds with your theory about "diminishing returns". BUT there's also a probability that it surges to seven digits if the Federal Reserve and the Central Banks around the globe pivots to Q.E.

Nobody knows anything.

Just avoid buying near ATH. Try to sell near a new ath if you wish to trade.

Nobody knows when will the Bull market ends or a bear markets will start/end.

Wind_FURY just made a wrong bottom predictio in October and we are about 25% up from the bottom in july/August.

Predictions are mostly wrong because bitcoin is impredictable.

Yes I was, and I already admitted to that, BUT people don't admit to the right point I made - Bitcoin will revert to the mean, and that it will be a GOLDEN OPPORTUNITY to buy the DIP when Bitcoin goes down near or below its 200-Weekly SMA line.

What months did that happen?