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Author Topic: FreeBitco.in-$200 FreeBTC⭐Win Lambo🔥0.2BTC DailyJackpot🏆$32,500 Wager Contest  (Read 360018 times)
boumalo
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March 27, 2014, 07:11:25 AM
 #821

Just out of interest anyone ever hit 10000 on Freeplay?
I guess it's 1 time over 10000 times you roll.
Without interruptions of sleep and such, without counting the luck you have, it would take 416 days straight to win the 10K prize.
I calculated the probability in another thread (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=319540.msg5483640#msg5483640), and it's ~ 1/20000 with current algorithm, so you need at least 20000-40000 rolls. Here's the formula for probability of rolling "10000" at least once in Wolfram Alpha (for 40000 rolls, feel free to insert other value):

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=1-%281-0.00005000014789402484893798828125%29^40000

P.S. You will get only 63% after 20000 rolls.

63% after 20,000rolls means the probability is greater than 1/20,000

If you look at the statistic page you may be able to guess the probability

***People that have a lot of affiliates don't even get one of their affiliate to roll 10,000 :
Amount won-number of affiliates
6-0.25252830 BTC   7748   
7-0.20269780 BTC   1059
8-0.20220446 BTC   1182
9-0.19664634 BTC   575

***2 000 000 games played and only 1.8BTC awarded everyday, does a multiply btc game counts as a game?

***WON BY USERS
153.23314610 BTC
GAMES PLAYED
280,577,455
10-0.19556508 BTC 2059

The website is great anyway but it would be nice to know the odds of rolling 10,000

Yes, each Multiply BTC roll counts as a game. Luror is right about the odds of rolling a 10,000

Oh ok, I guess there is not so many rolls played everyday

I thought you couldn't make a profit if you pay 0.35 every 20,000 in average but I should do my calculations again and I will find that you make a 2% profit or something Wink

Congrats on the website, are you developing other websites or does this one take all your free time?

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wetsuit
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March 27, 2014, 07:21:26 AM
 #822

Just out of interest anyone ever hit 10000 on Freeplay?
I guess it's 1 time over 10000 times you roll.
Without interruptions of sleep and such, without counting the luck you have, it would take 416 days straight to win the 10K prize.
I calculated the probability in another thread (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=319540.msg5483640#msg5483640), and it's ~ 1/20000 with current algorithm, so you need at least 20000-40000 rolls. Here's the formula for probability of rolling "10000" at least once in Wolfram Alpha (for 40000 rolls, feel free to insert other value):

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=1-%281-0.00005000014789402484893798828125%29^40000

P.S. You will get only 63% after 20000 rolls.

63% after 20,000rolls means the probability is greater than 1/20,000

If you look at the statistic page you may be able to guess the probability

***People that have a lot of affiliates don't even get one of their affiliate to roll 10,000 :
Amount won-number of affiliates
6-0.25252830 BTC   7748   
7-0.20269780 BTC   1059
8-0.20220446 BTC   1182
9-0.19664634 BTC   575

***2 000 000 games played and only 1.8BTC awarded everyday, does a multiply btc game counts as a game?

***WON BY USERS
153.23314610 BTC
GAMES PLAYED
280,577,455
10-0.19556508 BTC 2059

The website is great anyway but it would be nice to know the odds of rolling 10,000

Yes, each Multiply BTC roll counts as a game. Luror is right about the odds of rolling a 10,000

Oh ok, I guess there is not so many rolls played everyday

I thought you couldn't make a profit if you pay 0.35 every 20,000 in average but I should do my calculations again and I will find that you make a 2% profit or something Wink

Congrats on the website, are you developing other websites or does this one take all your free time?

Haha yeah, I do make a profit but it is quite small. This takes up all my free time, I had a couple of other ideas but they have been moved to the back burner for now. I try to keep adding features to the site, have a big update coming in a couple of weeks.

alani123
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March 27, 2014, 07:26:16 AM
 #823

Are you guys trying to "earn" from faucets?

You migh want to  reconsider.
 
Read this thread https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=509107.0

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wetsuit
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March 27, 2014, 07:52:53 AM
 #824

Are you guys trying to "earn" from faucets?

You migh want to  reconsider.
 
Read this thread https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=509107.0

Here is an excellent post from Portnoy about why faucets are not as much of a waste of time as many people may think : https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=74046.msg1088930#msg1088930

Of course, working for Bitcoins or buying them directly is the best way to get a lot of coins fast but I don't think people who used to do Gavin's original faucet (which gave out 5 bitcoins every dispense back in the day) regret spending a couple of minutes a day doing it. If you believe in Bitcoin and think that it's value will only appreciate in the long term, spending a couple of minutes a day doing faucets may end up to be well worth your time in a couple of years.

deisik
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March 27, 2014, 08:26:05 AM
 #825

wetsuit, could you please implement a feature that would allow automatic sharing? Once I almost forgot to share the commissions. The time had run out but you hadn't yet sent the money, so I was just in time... Grin

wetsuit
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March 27, 2014, 09:10:00 AM
 #826

wetsuit, could you please implement a feature that would allow automatic sharing? Once I almost forgot to share the commissions. The time had run out but you hadn't yet sent the money, so I was just in time... Grin

Sure, i'll add that in the next update.

Luror
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March 27, 2014, 01:27:54 PM
 #827

63% after 20,000rolls means the probability is greater than 1/20,000
I calculated "63% after 20,000 rolls" exactly from 1/20,000 probability Smiley It's how probabilities work: if probability of an event is 1/n, and you perform n trials (and n is a big number), usually you'll get ~ 63% probability of getting an event at least once, because 1 - 1/e ~ 0.63 (if you would do the math, it's easy to show this is the limit when n->infinity).

***People that have a lot of affiliates don't even get one of their affiliate to roll 10,000 :
Amount won-number of affiliates
6-0.25252830 BTC   7748   
7-0.20269780 BTC   1059
8-0.20220446 BTC   1182
9-0.19664634 BTC   575
The important number here is a total amount of rolls by all affiliates, if most of those 8000 affiliates done just a few rolls, this isn't so strange.

BTC: 1DzAEtLoFxqmJoNH5ZYHyWxaSNYUGKf2S6
boumalo
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March 27, 2014, 03:34:44 PM
 #828

63% after 20,000rolls means the probability is greater than 1/20,000
I calculated "63% after 20,000 rolls" exactly from 1/20,000 probability Smiley It's how probabilities work: if probability of an event is 1/n, and you perform n trials (and n is a big number), usually you'll get ~ 63% probability of getting an event at least once, because 1 - 1/e ~ 0.63 (if you would do the math, it's easy to show this is the limit when n->infinity).

***People that have a lot of affiliates don't even get one of their affiliate to roll 10,000 :
Amount won-number of affiliates
6-0.25252830 BTC   7748   
7-0.20269780 BTC   1059
8-0.20220446 BTC   1182
9-0.19664634 BTC   575
The important number here is a total amount of rolls by all affiliates, if most of those 8000 affiliates done just a few rolls, this isn't so strange.

It is possible that those affiliates only did a few rolls each but my affiliates still do more than 1roll/each/week after 2months so I presumed they got similar stats but all affiliates may not be created equal

You are right for the 63% I remembered it being 53-58% but your math is correct here; 1/20,000 is pretty good, let's roll!

Can you calculate how much he get from publicity per roll compared to how much he gives away?

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March 31, 2014, 03:13:56 PM
 #829

Can you calculate how much he get from publicity per roll compared to how much he gives away?
Too many unknowns, do you want to start a similar faucet? Smiley I can tell you probabilities of payouts, and therefore average payout from one roll (without referrals):

[0 - 9885]: ~ 1/20000 + 9885/10000 = 0.98855
[9886 - 9985] ~ (9985-9886+1)/10000 = 0.01 (~ once per 100 rolls)
[9986 - 9993] ~ (9993-9986+1)/10000 = 0.0008 (~ once per 1250 rolls)
[9994 - 9997] ~ (9997-9994+1)/10000 = 0.0004 (~ once per 2500 rolls)
[9998 - 9999] ~ (9999-9998+1)/10000 = 0.0002 (~ once per 5000 rolls)
[10000] ~ 1/20000 = 0.00005 (~ once per 20 000 rolls)

sanity check: 0.98855+0.01+0.0008+0.0004+0.0002+0.00005 = 1

average payout (using values right now): (0.98855*0.00000438)+(0.01*0.00004376)+(0.0008*0.00043764)+(0.0004*0.00437637)+(0.0002*0.04376368)+(0.00005*0.43763676) =  0.00003750 BTC

Whoa, that's much bigger than I thought, but math checks out, it seems.

BTC: 1DzAEtLoFxqmJoNH5ZYHyWxaSNYUGKf2S6
saif92
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March 31, 2014, 03:36:57 PM
 #830

This week I have pay on Sunday thanks for fourth payout  Cheesy

boumalo
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March 31, 2014, 05:55:56 PM
 #831

Can you calculate how much he get from publicity per roll compared to how much he gives away?
Too many unknowns, do you want to start a similar faucet? Smiley I can tell you probabilities of payouts, and therefore average payout from one roll (without referrals):

[0 - 9885]: ~ 1/20000 + 9885/10000 = 0.98855
[9886 - 9985] ~ (9985-9886+1)/10000 = 0.01 (~ once per 100 rolls)
[9986 - 9993] ~ (9993-9986+1)/10000 = 0.0008 (~ once per 1250 rolls)
[9994 - 9997] ~ (9997-9994+1)/10000 = 0.0004 (~ once per 2500 rolls)
[9998 - 9999] ~ (9999-9998+1)/10000 = 0.0002 (~ once per 5000 rolls)
[10000] ~ 1/20000 = 0.00005 (~ once per 20 000 rolls)

sanity check: 0.98855+0.01+0.0008+0.0004+0.0002+0.00005 = 1

average payout (using values right now): (0.98855*0.00000438)+(0.01*0.00004376)+(0.0008*0.00043764)+(0.0004*0.00437637)+(0.0002*0.04376368)+(0.00005*0.43763676) =  0.00003750 BTC

Whoa, that's much bigger than I thought, but math checks out, it seems.

Thanks for the calculation! Average return of 3750 per roll and people may do 10 banner impressions in average because of the multiply game and 1000impressions need to earn him 0.00375 not counting what he gets back with the multiply game, what he gives to refs and costs, that's a lot to get from 1000impressions

1.5millions impressions get them 5.5BTC on bitcointalk atm : https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=526958.0

MoneyGod
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March 31, 2014, 08:56:06 PM
 #832

My luck turning in good for me today I have some good pay from this faucet thanks OP for this great opportunity in free for us

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April 02, 2014, 07:01:34 AM
 #833

The website went down today for about 3.5 hours because a datacenter employee accidentally switched off the server while moving some other servers that I own. I wasn't online to fix this immediately and so the downtime was much longer than what it should have been. Please accept my apologies for the inconvenience. Everything should be back up and working fine now.

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April 02, 2014, 08:29:14 PM
 #834

1F6CHfvBv9D1jv2bRvQ7hbp3vD4xchZZTQ
saif92
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April 03, 2014, 08:42:27 PM
 #835

1F6CHfvBv9D1jv2bRvQ7hbp3vD4xchZZTQ
this is not giveaway go to site and take your coins every hour its really one of best faucet freebitco.in

rikkie
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April 05, 2014, 06:17:25 PM
 #836

Love this faucet as well. Uses this one very often.
MoneyGod
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April 05, 2014, 06:35:01 PM
 #837

Love this faucet as well. Uses this one very often.
I am also in Love with this because last week have some little amount but this week its going very good for me  Wink

rasungan
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April 07, 2014, 05:37:12 AM
 #838

1EXHQ2FZ4PsDsafvmWHYktXhGF6zfXg6JF
Holdaaja
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April 07, 2014, 07:21:26 AM
 #839

1EXHQ2FZ4PsDsafvmWHYktXhGF6zfXg6JF

No giveaway at here. Go to freebitco.in.

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boumalo
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April 07, 2014, 11:46:23 AM
 #840

Love this faucet as well. Uses this one very often.
I am also in Love with this because last week have some little amount but this week its going very good for me  Wink

I bet you got lucky playing the multiply btc game

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