I may be dense, but I do notice you've conveniently ignored the question of your own involvement with the icbit scamsite.
I didn't ignore it, I described it in all details.
As you're dense, I can repeat: my involvement is limited to:
1. Being a customer, I played with ICBIT a bit since last Friday. With sum less than 5 BTC.
2. I had a discussion with Fireball more than 1 year ago, in summer of 2011. We have considered making futures exchange together. But I abandoned this idea, and we were not communicating up to last Friday.
That's all, there is no other involvement. I've answered your question, please mark it in your notebook, you seem to be forgetful.
Just because you want to uncover scam it doesn't mean scam exists, OK?
Nope. If the order made it then it's on the books. If it didn't make it then it's on the customer, it's his job to get his order to MPEx, not MPEx's.
Same is true for ICBIT: it's customer's job to get his order to ICBIT. There is no evidence that smickles coped with it, all we know that he clicked some button in his browser, but that's not enough. There is no tcpdump log.
There's in no case absolutely anything to investigate: if MPEx is down (which hasn't happened yet) then nobody is getting orders through. If MPEx is up and the customer fails to talk to it he picks up his phone and talks to his ISP support hotline or w/e.
It looks like you have very vague ideas about network and software engineering.
ALL sorts of problem are always theoretically possible, and moreover they happen all the time, even with very important servers.
If MPEx is not made out of pixie dust it might be vulnerable too. Denying this just shows your ignorance.
Here's an example of network problem which can happen: http://mina.naguib.ca/blog/2012/10/22/the-little-ssh-that-sometimes-couldnt.html
There was a problem with one of routers several hops away to a data center. Connections which were routed via it predictably failed. But even if you repeatably try to connect, sometimes it works. And, of course, if you're connecting from a different location there is no problem.
So it is an undeniable fact that site might be down for some people, and not down for others. Moreover, problem might be stochastic, i.e. one out of 100 connections fail. Moreover, problem might be somewhere between customer's ISP and your ISP, usually there are many hops.
These are basics, if you understand it you know nothing.
And exactly same kind of unpredictability can happen on server side. I won't bother explaining it to you in all details, but it is very well possible that overloaded server will drop some connections while processing other. E.g. check SPECweb2005 benchmark, as you see there is such thing as "tolerable error level", even when people run it in controlled environment and can retry as many times as they want: http://www.spec.org/web2005/results/res2009q2/web2005-20090520-00138.html
This is quite different from the scamsite behavior, wherein customer can see his account, can see the volume move, can see other orders for "other customers" being executed but his orders are ignored. Repeatedly. For the obvious reason that if the scamsite allowed actual customers to place orders in that magical interval it wouldn't be able to fix absurd prices. Duh.
I agree that people should demand more transparency from ICBIT, but that does not mean that MPEx is made out of pixie dust, OK?
Do not make bold statements like "we can never fail", they simply show your incompetence, and that's all.
Notice the difference here. MP checked out the icbit.se site, has proof that it's a scamsite. You're talking theories about your understanding about how things may be. Quite a very different thing (not that I'm not impressed you sometimes use ssh, don't take this the wrong way).
I was simply replying to your statements that MPEx cannot fail. It can. It doesn't mean that it DOES fail, I never claimed that. I simply outlined how it is possible, so your statement is provably false.
You do not understand how technology works and you are boasting and making invalid statements. I'm trying to correct you. This is totally unrelated to ICBIT being a scamsite.
No, they're both necessary for trading and impossible for a scamsite.
Yet another bullshit statement from you. It is possible to implement a scam site which would give PGP-signed receipts.
It is not a slightly misleading statement, you're implying that if if PGP receipts are given then site is definitely not scam, which can mislead people into believing to scam sites which use crypto.
It is only secure when it is done via blockchain.
Alternatively, I need to stop entertaining pompous shills.
That's a good idea, actually.