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Author Topic: NBA 2024-2025 betting  (Read 120622 times)
stadus (OP)
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February 16, 2024, 11:31:48 AM
 #14781

Updated record 15-11 (58%) ---got 0-2 since the Suns pick ended as push. Big drop on the winning percentage as well, so let's bounce back.

Pick 1 Cavaliers -9.5 - loss
They loss to Sixers on their first game back at home, now it's time for them to start winning. The spread is high but they have been covering the high spread when they are winning.

Pick 2 Indiana -4 - loss
Loss to charlotte, I'm expecting them to beat the Raptors on the road.

Pick 3 Denver -5 - loss
Also coming from 2 losses on the road, one from the team that they'll be hosting the Sacramento Kings. Nuggets are fresh here while Kings are on a back to back game. Murray is listed as doubtful, I think if he will not play they'll be fine as there are lots that would step up on a must win game.

Pick 4 Warriors -3 - loss
Warriors has been hot and are on a winning streak. Clippers though needs to bounce back but since they are without Kawhi Leonard. I like to continue following the Warriors hoping their win streak will continue, they are on 5 win streak now.

Updated record 15-15 (50%) ---loss all my 4 picks. 0-4

I guess it's timely to rest for now after that 4 losses. My win rate now is at 50% but that's a losing rate since the odds are -110 and below on my picks. I guess I'm just gonna enjoy the all star break without a bet, will be back fresh and will try to start winning again.

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February 16, 2024, 01:09:24 PM
 #14782

Only one game with close odds and that is Utah Jazz vs Golden State Warriors. Both the teams playing back to back games and both teams lost their game. Warriors are slightly fav in this game with 1.8x odds but are the away team. Still 1.8x looks tempting enough to go for it. Just need Curry to show up at crucial moments and we are good.

Yes, ML will be enough for this game, I will also go with this one (I'm back betting on the NBA again).

I'm looking at the Bucks vs Memphis game, initial handicap is -9.5 for the Bucks, maybe this is a trap, so I'm taking Memphis +11.5 @1.91, seems appealing to me.

Wolves vs Portland, Minnessota beat them the last time and cover the spread, but it was close game till the 4th quarter when Timberwolves pour everything and win by a huge margin, -7.5 @1.68.

Great bet on this one mate, 3/3 perfect.

The big upset here is the Bucks, they try to make a comeback and avoid this upset. But they fell short.

In the Warriors game, I thought that they are going to choke, they allow the Jazz to make a comeback and they almost force a OT in this game. The Jazz has a lot of chance to tie the score but they can't make that important 3 point shot.

Just got lucky there, there were moments when I think that the Warriors are going to lose that game and choke again. As I remember there were games in the past at least 2 or 3 games for them that they have a good lead and then let their opponent put a comeback.

I didn't see the game because I just watch the Warriors game, but yes, Bucks under coach River is still struggling and trying to figure everything. For sure Doc Rivers will be criticized in this game. Congrats also to those who win tonight, I think majority ride on the Warriors to win ML or even -2.5 might do it for them.

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February 16, 2024, 02:14:11 PM
 #14783

Just got lucky there, there were moments when I think that the Warriors are going to lose that game and choke again. As I remember there were games in the past at least 2 or 3 games for them that they have a good lead and then let their opponent put a comeback.

The warriors could have keep their win streak if they didn't allow the Clippers to come back and win. Despite that, I think the Warriors is a decent team and they still good to back, especially now that they are climbing in ranking, they'll continue to climb as being in the play-in tournament might be too risky for thme.

I didn't see the game because I just watch the Warriors game, but yes, Bucks under coach River is still struggling and trying to figure everything. For sure Doc Rivers will be criticized in this game. Congrats also to those who win tonight, I think majority ride on the Warriors to win ML or even -2.5 might do it for them.
You can avail and NBA league pass, you can watch games at the same time with 4 windows so you will not miss the action. I just recently subscribe, it's possible to watch but I can't focus, maybe you can if you'll try.

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February 16, 2024, 05:55:21 PM
 #14784

Here are the results of the games yesterday.
Utah Jazz - Golden State Warriors - Golden State Warriors (-1.5) - Win! Sadly, I got greedy and made one more bet @-7.5 for the Warriors and I lost it. The Jazz were proving they were not to be underestimated and fought well in the 4th quarter.
Memphis Grizzlies - Milwaukee Bucks - Milwaukee Bucks (-10.5) - Loss! I guess I am underestimating the Grizzlies a lot of times now. I only trusted them once and I won that game. Will keep this in mind from now on.
Portland Trail Blazers - Minnesota Timberwolves - Minnesota Timberwolves (-10.5) - Win! Too easy for the Timberwolves. Another big performance for Anthony Edwards. It seems like that guy has rare off nights. He is always ready to shoot the ball with confidence or attack the paint.

So, we have All-Star later.
Here are the Panini Rising Star challenge lines.

Sadly, the handicaps are not available. I don't know if there will be.
I am rooting for Team Pau but I want to add some spreads for better profit but there's none.
Anyway, I am still betting for them and will just have to take that 1.28.
On the other side, I think Team Jalen is better so I will be rooting for the underdogs.

Good luck guys and have a great All-Star entertainment. Wink

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February 17, 2024, 02:53:06 PM
 #14785

Stephen Curry vs. Sabrina Ionescu who's your pick?

As for the betting odds, Curry was the heavy favorite.

https://www.covers.com/nba/stephen-curry-vs-sabrina-ionescu-3-point-challenge-odds-rules-picks-predictions-february-17-2024
Quote
Stephen Curry   -250
Sabrina Ionescu   +200

In case you miss , you can watch her highlights where she scored 37 points in the final round. AFAIK, no one has ever done that in the NBA.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DquTVwX4njo


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February 17, 2024, 03:28:55 PM
 #14786

WOW! We got the same picks for yesterday's game and congrats on making 2 out of 3 wins for your bets, here are the results I was busy yesterday which is why this is late as this is yesterday's game however I really think this is OK as we are entering an All-Star Game on February 19, but here are the result of my picks

Memphis Grizzlies VS Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks (1.15) - LOST - It was a big loss for the Milwaukee Bucks as this should be a winning game for them as this is a Grizzlies team that doesn't have Ja Morant, Desmond Bane, Marcus Smart, Luke Kennard, or even Derrick Rose and Brandon Clarke in the team for sure the Bucks could surely win this one but what has happened to the Milwaukee Bucks for sure it was Ziaire Williams and GG Jackson II have outsmart the Bucks and played well for sure the Milwaukee Bucks just underestimated the Memphis Grizzlies in this game.

Utah Jazz VS Golden State Warriors

Golden State Warriors (1.79) - WIN - This game at 1st was a great game for the Golden State Warriors, and they completely dominated the Utah Jazz, and dominated the Jazz in the 1st half but the Utah Jazz held on to their momentum and got the lead in a little while it was all thanks to Draymond Green and Klay Thompson they have played a deep role for the Warriors squad that led them to victory I thought that the Utah Jazz would turn the tables around but Sexton missed the 3 to make it an overtime for the Warriors to win.

Portland Trail Blazers VS Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves (1.22) - WIN - From start to finish the Minnesota Timberwolves are hitting the Portland Trail Blazers really hard and were on the lead in the remainder of the game until the game ends, it was the Timberwolves that are a solid team and no wonder that they will surely win against the team that is in the bottom of the lineup, it surely was not surprising as it is really common for Minnesota Timberwolves winning in this game and against the Trail Blazers.
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February 17, 2024, 07:18:05 PM
 #14787

Stephen Curry vs. Sabrina Ionescu who's your pick?

As for the betting odds, Curry was the heavy favorite.

https://www.covers.com/nba/stephen-curry-vs-sabrina-ionescu-3-point-challenge-odds-rules-picks-predictions-february-17-2024
Quote
Stephen Curry   -250
Sabrina Ionescu   +200

In case you miss , you can watch her highlights where she scored 37 points in the final round. AFAIK, no one has ever done that in the NBA.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DquTVwX4njo

I might go for Ionescu here. I am a fan of these two players and I am also a fan of NBA and WNBA. I think Ionescu has a touch that will give her the win in this game although I don't doubt Steph Curry will keep the game as close as possible.

Anyway, here is my bet line for the All-Star events later and tomorrow.

NBA All-Star 2024 - Three-Point Challenge Shootout - Winner
Ionescu, Sabrina @2.80

NBA All-Star - Slam Dunk Contest - Winner
McClung, Mac @1.36

NBA All-Star - Three-Point Contest - Winner
Haliburton, Tyrese @5.50

NBA All-Star 2024 - Skills Challenge - Winner
All-Starts, Team @2.60 Tyrese Maxey, Trae Young, and Scottie Barnes.

And for the All-Star MVP.
NBA All-Star - Most Valuable Player
Haliburton, Tyrese @9.00

Well, we are playing in Indiana so I am expecting they will feed the ball to Hali most of the time and try to shoot those awkward-style three-pointers.

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February 17, 2024, 11:27:15 PM
 #14788

I don't see much competition for Mac McClung in the slam dunk contest. He should be able to defend his title. I wish i had taken him at 1.60, odds have dropped a lot since it first opened, making it almost unplayable now.

My only bet for tonight is Lauri Markkanen to score 20+ in R1. I might even sprinkle some on him to win the contest, why not? Lauri is shooting 40% on the season, /L5 at 42%. He did compete in Utah last year and finished with 20 despite missing both deep balls and going 1/5 on his moneyball rack. He needs to move the moneyball rack from being at the end though, you get there in rhythm and all but also fatigued. It should be placed on the left wing or at the top of the key, where Lauri shoots best.


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February 18, 2024, 03:09:48 AM
 #14789

I don't see much competition for Mac McClung in the slam dunk contest. He should be able to defend his title. I wish i had taken him at 1.60, odds have dropped a lot since it first opened, making it almost unplayable now.

My only bet for tonight is Lauri Markkanen to score 20+ in R1. I might even sprinkle some on him to win the contest, why not? Lauri is shooting 40% on the season, /L5 at 42%. He did compete in Utah last year and finished with 20 despite missing both deep balls and going 1/5 on his moneyball rack. He needs to move the moneyball rack from being at the end though, you get there in rhythm and all but also fatigued. It should be placed on the left wing or at the top of the key, where Lauri shoots best.


Right on the money for you again, I was going to go for KAT anyways but one nap too long for me, yet again, I only met Malik Beasley shooting in the first round.

However, it was Dame time yet again, he defended his title, KAT was only able to make the final round.


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February 18, 2024, 09:01:58 AM
 #14790

However, it was Dame time yet again, he defended his title, KAT was only able to make the final round.

KAT and Trae Young both reached the Finals; bettors could have cashed in big money if one of them had won the competition. If I recall correctly, the odds were around x6.5 for Trae Young and x7.00 for KAT. This big man is more reliable than the other bigs; I mean, he has done it before, so there's always the confidence in him. Still, a fun competition to watch. I just miss Curry; things could have been different or easier for him.

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February 18, 2024, 10:27:26 AM
 #14791

However, it was Dame time yet again, he defended his title, KAT was only able to make the final round.

KAT and Trae Young both reached the Finals; bettors could have cashed in big money if one of them had won the competition. If I recall correctly, the odds were around x6.5 for Trae Young and x7.00 for KAT. This big man is more reliable than the other bigs; I mean, he has done it before, so there's always the confidence in him. Still, a fun competition to watch. I just miss Curry; things could have been different or easier for him.

I'm not sure if there was a line movement as this article show a different odds.

https://www.cbssports.com/nba/news/2024-3-point-contest-picks-odds-field-nba-all-star-weekend-predictions-best-bets-by-expert-on-163-99-run/

Quote
2024 NBA 3-Point Contest participants, odds
See who to back at SportsLine
Damian Lillard +450
Tyrese Haliburton +480
Trae Young +550
Donovan Mitchell +650
Jalen Brunson +650
Karl-Anthony Towns +700
Lauri Markkanen +700
Malik Beasley +850

Lillard was the heavy favorite and he indeed won the competition, it wasn't a dominant performance, just enough to get a back to back title. KAT could tied with Lillard, but he miss the last shot with 2 points score. I would say the bet almost won if it's on KAT but still fall short. Does anyone here able to predict the winner?

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February 18, 2024, 02:58:12 PM
 #14792

With the NBA All-Stars coming within the next few hours, what is your bet?

Mine is WEST ALL-STARS -3

The West vs. East format in the All-Star game is back after several years of using the Team Captain format. West is the heavy favorite to win this game. West is loaded with talents, with LeBron leading the way, Luka and Shai at the backcourt, and Durant and Jokic as forward and center. Before doing the Team Captain format, West is dominating the All-Star with a record of 6-2 against the East since 2010 up to 2017. With that, I think the West All Stars can win this all the way. 
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February 18, 2024, 03:30:38 PM
 #14793

Betting one way or another is too hard.  I'm hitting the under on 364.  Most years have hit the under and while the first 3 quarters have been a free for all with no defense the 4th quarter tightens up.  For whatever reason the over under on Luka points is 10.5 I hit that over hard.  He should be showcased here now this year.  And haliburton with 9.5 assists I banged the over.  He is gonna be lobbing the ball for dunks all game.  Took some other overs, 23.5 on Tatum (he dropped 50 last year). 
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February 18, 2024, 03:38:18 PM
 #14794

With the NBA All-Stars coming within the next few hours, what is your bet?

Mine is WEST ALL-STARS -3

The West vs. East format in the All-Star game is back after several years of using the Team Captain format. West is the heavy favorite to win this game. West is loaded with talents, with LeBron leading the way, Luka and Shai at the backcourt, and Durant and Jokic as forward and center. Before doing the Team Captain format, West is dominating the All-Star with a record of 6-2 against the East since 2010 up to 2017. With that, I think the West All Stars can win this all the way. 
I am betting the other way. The underdogs.

East All-Stars - West All-Stars - East All-Stars ML @2.11
And my All-Star MVP will be...
NBA All-Star - Most Valuable Player - Haliburton, Tyrese

Yeah, we are back to the old format. I guess the NBA management has realized that their new format is not working and it's too damn confusing, especially for the betting lines. Grin
While they cannot think of something new again, it's better to just put it back to old school.

I don't see much competition for Mac McClung in the slam dunk contest. He should be able to defend his title. I wish i had taken him at 1.60, odds have dropped a lot since it first opened, making it almost unplayable now.

My only bet for tonight is Lauri Markkanen to score 20+ in R1. I might even sprinkle some on him to win the contest, why not? Lauri is shooting 40% on the season, /L5 at 42%. He did compete in Utah last year and finished with 20 despite missing both deep balls and going 1/5 on his moneyball rack. He needs to move the moneyball rack from being at the end though, you get there in rhythm and all but also fatigued. It should be placed on the left wing or at the top of the key, where Lauri shoots best.


Good one! I didn't notice there was that kind of line in the All-Star.
Anyway, I don't want to miss anything now so I checked if there's a player props but sadly there's none yet in my favorite sports bookie.
I checked sportsbet and they have something else available.
Here they are.
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/basketball/usa/nba-all-star-game/west-all-stars-v-east-all-stars-65cc8a383b5f150001345cce

I am hoping they can add more to the player statistics. It will be nice to predict the numbers of each player will record since we are back in the old way.
Anyway, the over total score is 359.5. Seems reachable since we know they won't play hard defense in this event. It will be another highlights after highlights.

Good luck with your bets everyone and enjoy the show.

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February 19, 2024, 07:58:19 AM
 #14795

They don't have the momentum and they are quite inconsistent recently, so it wasn't surprising at all. The last shot attempt could have force the game into overtime but there was a miscommunication on the screen and Lillard loss the ball and just throw the last shot without a clean look. That's a lesson to learn for them, if they can't beat an undermanned team, how much more the stronger teams.


It really feels like the Milwaukee Bucks betrayed their fans in this game, that was really an upsetting game many believed that the Milwaukee Bucks could surely win that night but because of the inconsistent play of Damian and Giannis it ended up in a lost and against a very outnumbered and no all-star players team, it was really hilarious for the Milwaukee Bucks losing that game, and I admit if I bet on that game I also have lost to that because certainly, I will go with the team that surely have a 100% chance on winning, that is why this is absurd when they lost to the Grizzlies.


I might go for Ionescu here. I am a fan of these two players and I am also a fan of NBA and WNBA. I think Ionescu has a touch that will give her the win in this game although I don't doubt Steph Curry will keep the game as close as possible.

Anyway, here is my bet line for the All-Star events later and tomorrow.

NBA All-Star 2024 - Three-Point Challenge Shootout - Winner
Ionescu, Sabrina @2.80

NBA All-Star - Slam Dunk Contest - Winner
McClung, Mac @1.36

NBA All-Star - Three-Point Contest - Winner
Haliburton, Tyrese @5.50

NBA All-Star 2024 - Skills Challenge - Winner
All-Starts, Team @2.60 Tyrese Maxey, Trae Young, and Scottie Barnes.

And for the All-Star MVP.
NBA All-Star - Most Valuable Player
Haliburton, Tyrese @9.00

Well, we are playing in Indiana so I am expecting they will feed the ball to Hali most of the time and try to shoot those awkward-style three-pointers.

Well, I haven't made a bet for the All-Star games but watching it surely was enjoyable, and in the Special 3 point Challenge against Stephen Curry VS Sabrina Ionescu it was Stephen Curry who got the Goat Belt, while the G League Mac McClung was the one that wins the Slam Dunk Contest for sure he was very entertaining to watch in the Dunk Contest, Tyrese Haliburton lost because Dame time defended his title in the Regular 3 point Challenge, the Skill Challenge was a win for the Indiana Pacers Team and the East with Giannis Antetokounmpo winning the All-Star games and lastly Damian Lillard won the Kobe Bryant All-Star Game MVP, sorry man all your bet lost.
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February 21, 2024, 11:25:42 PM
 #14796

This is interesting now that the All-Star games have been settled it is time for us to get back into the regular games and for the start of the games we have 12 games going into the NBA for tomorrow's games, so here are my picks for tomorrow's NBA games.

Philadelphia 76ers vs. New York Knicks

Philadelphia 76ers (1.87) - For this game, I think this will be a close game, or maybe not but because Joel Embiid, De'Anthony Melton, and Robert Covington can not play for the 76ers while Julius Randle, OG Anunoby and Mitchell Robinson can not play for the Knicks this is going to be a hard pick, but for this one I really like the Philadelphia 76ers my pick goes to them as there are many questionable players for the New York Knicks that has a chance of not playing so my pick is the Philadelphia 76ers.

Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Lakers

Los Angeles Lakers (2.52) - For this game, Chris Paul still has a hand injury and can not play for the Warriors while Gabe Vincent and Jarred Vanderbilt can not play for the Lakers, I think even though the Golden State Warriors is a great team that can surely win a game right now because of Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski, and Trayce Jackson-Davis against the Los Angeles Lakers extra team, and I am talking about the referee's that could give the Lakers an edge with the Free Throws that is for sure, that is why my pick is the Los Angeles Lakers.

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February 22, 2024, 06:28:37 AM
 #14797

Well, I haven't made a bet for the All-Star games but watching it surely was enjoyable, and in the Special 3 point Challenge against Stephen Curry VS Sabrina Ionescu it was Stephen Curry who got the Goat Belt, while the G League Mac McClung was the one that wins the Slam Dunk Contest for sure he was very entertaining to watch in the Dunk Contest, Tyrese Haliburton lost because Dame time defended his title in the Regular 3 point Challenge, the Skill Challenge was a win for the Indiana Pacers Team and the East with Giannis Antetokounmpo winning the All-Star games and lastly Damian Lillard won the Kobe Bryant All-Star Game MVP, sorry man all your bet lost.

Nah, I still won two. Mac McClung won the dunk contest and the East All-Star team won the game.
I may have not been delighted at how the All-Star game ended but the three-point shootout was definitely something worth watching again.

Finally, the long rest is over. We have 12 games tomorrow. Wow!
The Golden State Warriors and the LA Lakers are on the lineup. But, it won't be the same as what happened the last time they met where Lebron and Steph went crazy and the game was so intense and it ended with just a 1-point difference, that I may say was one of the best games in the season.
Lebron James is listed to not play because of an ankle problem and I think it happened during the All-Star where he rested in the whole 4th quarter because of it.
What a waste, I was looking forward to both super veterans clashing one more time.

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February 22, 2024, 05:45:21 PM
 #14798

We have a lot of exciting games to watch later.

I'm listing the games that I'm interested in betting and my possible picks which are bolded.

Clippers +2 vs OKC
Lakers +4.5 vs Warriors
Suns +3 vs Dallas

These three games look like playoff matchups; this should end up as close games, and I love the underdog here taking a few points that could lead to a win if indeed it's going to be close. Also, just for fun, I'm taking a parlay on all moneyline of my bets.

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February 22, 2024, 05:50:51 PM
 #14799

Here's my parlay for the day...

Cleveland Cavaliers - Orlando Magic
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Cleveland Cavaliers

Indiana Pacers - Detroit Pistons
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Indiana Pacers

New Orleans Pelicans - Houston Rockets
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
New Orleans Pelicans

Chicago Bulls - Boston Celtics
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Boston Celtics

Utah Jazz - Charlotte Hornets
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Utah Jazz

Denver Nuggets - Washington Wizards
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Denver Nuggets

Odds
3.37

That's a lot of games for pretty bad odds so follow at your own risk.  I wanted to try and hit a big parlay today though since there were so many games.  Smiley  I also picked Phoenix in a side bet over the Mavericks who are the favorites.

..Stake.com..   ▄████████████████████████████████████▄
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..PLAY NOW..
Kelvinid
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win lambo...


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February 22, 2024, 06:29:02 PM
 #14800

Here's my parlay for the day...

Cleveland Cavaliers - Orlando Magic
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Cleveland Cavaliers

Indiana Pacers - Detroit Pistons
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Indiana Pacers

New Orleans Pelicans - Houston Rockets
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
New Orleans Pelicans

Chicago Bulls - Boston Celtics
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Boston Celtics

Utah Jazz - Charlotte Hornets
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Utah Jazz

Denver Nuggets - Washington Wizards
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Denver Nuggets

Odds
3.37

That's a lot of games for pretty bad odds so follow at your own risk.  I wanted to try and hit a big parlay today though since there were so many games.  Smiley  I also picked Phoenix in a side bet over the Mavericks who are the favorites.


The ticket looks good. This should hit, all the good teams might likely win since they have a good break, no more back to back games or playing 3 games in 4 nights schedule that could lead to the fatigue factor. Here, nothing to consider a lot since the break was long and they are back fresh. I will follow the parlay. Thank you for sharing it here, last time I checked, you hit your parlay bet so I trust you.
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