Test Cricket Prediction and Discussion Thread [self - mod]

[FIFA worldcup]

@ragavancoin, not sure if you have placed bet for Sri Lanka but if you do then congratulations! You won the bet. 10% of the investment is not bad :-)

Also congratulations to Sri Lankan fan. This was an unexpected performance from the team. I did not follow the match but I thought Sri Lanka will lose this series but now it seems they found themselves in a good position to win the series. They just do let the NZ team to win the 2nd Test.

Back to the Aus Vs Eng Test. Man! I hate the rain.

Rain dlays start to mounthwatering final day

This is the current headline in cricinfo.

The rain in the last day means that this test will end in a draw now. There is no way any team can win now and also there is an almost 1 hour lost in this rain-every-day test match. England should bat the whole day ,buttler and strokes are capable to do so and end the test in a positive note.

[AB de Royse777]

~snip~

The rain in the last day means that this test will end in a draw now. There is no way any team can win now and also there is an almost 1 hour lost in this rain-every-day test match. England should bat the whole day (buttler and strokes are capable to do so) and end the test in a positive note.

The match has started and both Buttler and Stokes are trying to manage some quick runs. We all know the excitement of this Test has gone unless Australia can take all wickets of England before the lunch and I do not think it will happen. Rain will be the winner of this Test.

The dominance percentage of this match so far is (calculated by my broken calculator :-P):
Rain: 50%
Australia: 30%
England: 20%

[erikalui]

^Why Australia has more chances from here? I feel it should be this:

Rain: 70%
England: 20%
Australia: 10%

And LOL

Live Report - Rain delays start to mouthwatering final day

What's mouthwatering here? England looked comfortable compared to Australia who showed how much they depend on Steve. England deserve to be the winners now and they can easily put up another 150-180 runs and declare.

[onrise]

England have fought back well in the second test match as it looked like Australia would take a lead in the match but thanks to some great bowling by Broad and Woakes England are back in the match. I think if they get a lead of 180 runs that should be enough and if England really want to win the match they should try and get to that lead and put Australia in to bat and see what happens. We can still see a result in this match but it all depends on what England do and if they want to try and go for the win or just take their time and play for a draw.

Considering the last day of the play and rain could also hit the match . Most likely it could end up in a tie. If full 90 overs of the match just happen and OZ can take 6 quick wickets of England then they have chance to even win this test match. For me Tie is the most likely outcome of this match and second chance OZ winning it. Very unlikely England winning this test match.

[AB de Royse777]

What's mouthwatering here?

My interpretation is that:
Having the whole 5th day and England having 6 wickets in hand the match could go anywhere.

England could score quick runs, play the innings like ODI match and give a good target to Australia. Australia would either go for a win or a draw or if England bowling was too good then may be England would win from there.

On the other side, Australia could take 6 wickets very quickly and get an easy target to win and either win from there or draw the match.

But, now it seems too obvious that it will be a draw match.

[UmerIdrees]

What's mouthwatering here?

My interpretation is that:
Having the whole 5th day and England having 6 wickets in hand the match could go anywhere.

England could score quick runs, play the innings like ODI match and give a good target to Australia. Australia would either go for a win or a draw or if England bowling was too good then may be England would win from there.

On the other side, Australia could take 6 wickets very quickly and get an easy target to win and either win from there or draw the match.

But, now it seems too obvious that it will be a draw match.

This was only possible if we have the full 5 days for this test. Since we are having the 4 day test match, it is going towards the draw quickly.

Just a though creeping in my mind, if we have rain in the one day or T20, we reduce the overs for both the teams. Similarly something should be done for  test matches too to get the results.  For example every 20 overs lost in the test will mean that the both the team will have one batsmen less to bat or something like this 

[AB de Royse777]

This was only possible if we have the full 5 days for this test. Since we are having the 4 day test match, it is going towards the draw quickly.

I think it turn out to be a 3 day match :-P Two days were completely wasted if you sum up the wasted time so far.

Just a though creeping in my mind, if we have rain in the one day or T20, we reduce the overs for both the teams. Similarly something should be done for  test matches too to get the results.  For example every 20 overs lost in the test will mean that the both the team will have one batsmen less to bat or something like this  

LOL this will be hilarious. Take off Smith from Australian team :-P

On a serious note, I do not see there will be even any thought about it at all. Weather (Rain, wind, sunshine, cold) is a part of cricket match. May be in the future we can see indoor stadium with a huge roof above so that rain can not stop a match than again we will see balls will not swing much because of less windy surface.

[UmerIdrees]

This was only possible if we have the full 5 days for this test. Since we are having the 4 day test match, it is going towards the draw quickly.

I think it turn out to be a 3 day match :-P Two days were completely wasted if you sum up the wasted time so far.

Just a though creeping in my mind, if we have rain in the one day or T20, we reduce the overs for both the teams. Similarly something should be done for  test matches too to get the results.  For example every 20 overs lost in the test will mean that the both the team will have one batsmen less to bat or something like this 

LOL this will be hilarious. Take off Smith from Australian team :-P

Nope seriously it will work. We would have max of 5 players removed from the batting in case 100 overs are lost. ( as in this match case). Since we lost almost 100 overs in the very first day, this means each team can now bat with 5 batsmen only and we would easily have the result by now. 

[AB de Royse777]

~snip~
Nope seriously it will work. We would have max of 5 players removed from the batting in case 100 overs are lost. ( as in this match case). Since we lost almost 100 overs in the very first day, this means each team can now bat with 5 batsmen only and we would easily have the result by now. 

Test cricket will lose it's glory :-D

[Haunebu]

I think it turn out to be a 3 day match :-P Two days were completely wasted if you sum up the wasted time so far.

Yeah. This seriously sucks. Draw for the win. On the other hand, Sri Lanka seems to be a better test match team these days when compared to their performances in other formats.

Nope seriously it will work. We would have max of 5 players removed from the batting in case 100 overs are lost. ( as in this match case). Since we lost almost 100 overs in the very first day, this means each team can now bat with 5 batsmen only and we would easily have the result by now. 

Lol. This is a crazy idea. It would not be a proper match-up and lead to super over style matches which itself is not the best way to determine a winner. I don't think ICC will ever implement something like this in the future.

[erikalui]

I still have hope to see the match result as England have lost  wickets and have 197 runs on the board. Once Stokes is out, no other good batsman will be able to stay on the field for long. Let's say if England manage to make 50 more runs in 15 overs (going by the run rate), Australia will have 40+ overs to chase the runs. Game is still ON!

[AB de Royse777]

I still have hope to see the match result as England have lost  wickets and have 197 runs on the board. Once Stokes is out, no other good batsman will be able to stay on the field for long. Let's say if England manage to make 50 more runs in 15 overs (going by the run rate), Australia will have 40+ overs to chase the runs. Game is still ON!

Well you have noticed that the lead is now 217. 56 overs remaining.

Let's say England even dared to declare the innings now. Still taking 218 runs is not going to be an easy task for Australia. It's a test match, not ODI. This is a dead Test and there are no way for any team to win :-P

[erikalui]

^Test matches can also have the ODI spirit and now both teams need to buck up. Stokes is playing very well now hitting 4s and 6s so I guess declaring is on their mind and they can't take chances with Australia without putting up atleast 280 runs (now 223). See the run rate now: from 3.0 to 3.23 in less than 3 overs.

Edit: Stokes scored a century...Excellent! :-D

[AB de Royse777]

^Test matches can also have the ODI spirit and now both teams need to buck up. Stokes is playing very well now hitting 4s and 6s so I guess declaring is on their mind and they can't take chances with Australia without putting up atleast 280 runs (now 223). See the run rate now: from 3.0 to 3.23 in less than 3 overs.

They are trying to make it an entertaining one. If it works then may be (chances are low) we can see a good ending. To take the lead to 280 runs or 300, England will need to play at-lest more 15 to 20 overs. If they do then Australia will have only 30ish over to chase the run.

Impossible to have a result unless England find themselves taking 10 wickets of Australian in this 30ish over :-P

[BitSat19]

^Test matches can also have the ODI spirit and now both teams need to buck up. Stokes is playing very well now hitting 4s and 6s so I guess declaring is on their mind and they can't take chances with Australia without putting up atleast 280 runs (now 223). See the run rate now: from 3.0 to 3.23 in less than 3 overs.

They are trying to make it an entertaining one. If it works then may be (chances are low) we can see a good ending. To take the lead to 280 runs or 300, England will need to play at-lest more 15 to 20 overs. If they do then Australia will have only 30ish over to chase the run.

Impossible to have a result unless England find themselves taking 10 wickets of Australian in this 30ish over :-P

Right now England is in good position and they can take chance just need to have some aggressive inning from Stoke and Baristrow for next 7 or 8 overs and then give chance to bowlers with full powers still draw is favorite but right now this can create some interest in last few hours.

[FIFA worldcup]

^Test matches can also have the ODI spirit and now both teams need to buck up. Stokes is playing very well now hitting 4s and 6s so I guess declaring is on their mind and they can't take chances with Australia without putting up atleast 280 runs (now 223). See the run rate now: from 3.0 to 3.23 in less than 3 overs.

They are trying to make it an entertaining one. If it works then may be (chances are low) we can see a good ending. To take the lead to 280 runs or 300, England will need to play at-lest more 15 to 20 overs. If they do then Australia will have only 30ish over to chase the run.

Impossible to have a result unless England find themselves taking 10 wickets of Australian in this 30ish over :-P

England declared. Australia need 268 runs in 48 overs. This is achievable in ODI but this is a different game all together.  Can Australia make it ? If they do not lose early wickets, who knows.

[bryant.coleman]

England declared. Australia need 268 runs in 48 overs. This is achievable in ODI but this is a different game all together.  Can Australia make it ? If they do not lose early wickets, who knows.

It was a brave decision by England, as Australia now needs just 5.58 runs per over to win this match. But then, it was more or less expected. Australia is up 1-0, so England can't afford this match to end in a draw. It is perfectly achievable, if the Australians bat sensibly. But all depends on whether the other 10 batsmen will be able to give at least passive support to Steve Smith or not (reports indicate that Smith may not play today, but if he is needed, then I am sure that he can spare a couple of hours). Can anyone tell me who captained Australia today? Their strategy was appalling, as Nathan Lyon bowled 26 wicketless overs and conceded 102 runs. I thought that they could have given more overs to Cummins, Siddle and Hazlewood.

[Indymoney]

^Test matches can also have the ODI spirit and now both teams need to buck up. Stokes is playing very well now hitting 4s and 6s so I guess declaring is on their mind and they can't take chances with Australia without putting up atleast 280 runs (now 223). See the run rate now: from 3.0 to 3.23 in less than 3 overs.

They are trying to make it an entertaining one. If it works then may be (chances are low) we can see a good ending. To take the lead to 280 runs or 300, England will need to play at-lest more 15 to 20 overs. If they do then Australia will have only 30ish over to chase the run.

Impossible to have a result unless England find themselves taking 10 wickets of Australian in this 30ish over :-P

England declared. Australia need 268 runs in 48 overs. This is achievable in ODI but this is a different game all together.  Can Australia make it ? If they do not lose early wickets, who knows.

Australia can achieve this as they have some good and match winning batsmen but this is last day of test match and we have rain so lest see how they start I can bet for Australia to win because Warner and Smith both need to stay on.

[erikalui]

This match is getting even more interesting as as I said earlier, England did declare it and Aussies got less than 50 overs to defend a huge score. If they can get Smith's wicket, the match is won.

England declared it at 258 and made 258 in the first innings as well.

Chances of rain now?

2 down already. Aus under pressure.

[AB de Royse777]

Chances of rain now?

If not rain anymore then we are looking at a very interesting ending of this Test. Australia will already lost one wicket and I see they are attacking. If they will lose few more wickets then they will change strategy and will defense obviously.

Let's hope for some twist  and see who wins till the end.