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Question: What team will win the PBA 2021 All Filipino Conference?
Barangay Ginebra - 16 (44.4%)
SMB - 7 (19.4%)
Magnolia Hotshots - 5 (13.9%)
Talk and Text - 7 (19.4%)
Phoenix Fuel Masters - 1 (2.8%)
Total Voters: 36

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Author Topic: 2026 PBA Governor's Cup  (Read 120297 times)
mirakal (OP)
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May 14, 2026, 02:28:19 PM
 #16481

Especially if SMB is only around -3.5 or less, I think that is worth considering

They are now -4.5, and that is where the challenge starts. Would you still take that spread?

Obviously, what the bookie sees is that SMB is the better team, because even with their lower ranking, they are still giving them this kind of line. And remember, this is still an early line. If more people start betting on SMB, it might increase tomorrow, just like what happened before.

So maybe it is better to take it early, because I don’t really believe this line will drop.

JMF will certainly dominate inside here, and if ROS cannot hit their outside shots consistently, it will be very hard for them to keep up. For me, SMB -4.5 is still playable, but I would not wait too long if I really like that side.

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May 14, 2026, 10:40:19 PM
 #16482

Especially if SMB is only around -3.5 or less, I think that is worth considering

They are now -4.5, and that is where the challenge starts. Would you still take that spread?

Obviously, what the bookie sees is that SMB is the better team, because even with their lower ranking, they are still giving them this kind of line. And remember, this is still an early line. If more people start betting on SMB, it might increase tomorrow, just like what happened before.

So maybe it is better to take it early, because I don’t really believe this line will drop.

JMF will certainly dominate inside here, and if ROS cannot hit their outside shots consistently, it will be very hard for them to keep up. For me, SMB -4.5 is still playable, but I would not wait too long if I really like that side.

That's right, there are factors that SMB have a good edge especially with JMF as ROS don't a good answer with the big man inside though the fresh legs and the quickness of those young stars of ROS might be there own advantaged, but unlike with SMB they can bring the ball to JMF and if there's no double it can be an easy basket to him.

Peronally, I also see that this early line for the handicap is good enoughif you support SMB, it may change just like what you said, if there's a good money movement surely it will affect the bookies, good luck mga Kabayan!

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May 15, 2026, 11:50:16 AM
 #16483


Peronally, I also see that this early line for the handicap is good enoughif you support SMB, it may change just like what you said, if there's a good money movement surely it will affect the bookies, good luck mga Kabayan!

No more SMB, they are already out. ROS hot shooting in the 4th quarter ended SMB’s chance to reach the semifinals.

Nice to see Caracut shooting with so much confidence. He hit those 3s and 4s, and SMB had no real answer for that. Their outside shooting did not work when they needed it most. Now it seems ROS really has a chance to reach the finals. Whoever they face next, I’m sure they will be very confident because they just beat a very strong team.

Now it is Ginebra vs Phoenix. So far, Phoenix is looking good, but we will see if they can really survive for all 4 quarters.

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May 15, 2026, 12:02:32 PM
 #16484


Peronally, I also see that this early line for the handicap is good enoughif you support SMB, it may change just like what you said, if there's a good money movement surely it will affect the bookies, good luck mga Kabayan!

No more SMB, they are already out. ROS hot shooting in the 4th quarter ended SMB’s chance to reach the semifinals.

Nice to see Caracut shooting with so much confidence. He hit those 3s and 4s, and SMB had no real answer for that. Their outside shooting did not work when they needed it most. Now it seems ROS really has a chance to reach the finals. Whoever they face next, I’m sure they will be very confident because they just beat a very strong team.

Now it is Ginebra vs Phoenix. So far, Phoenix is looking good, but we will see if they can really survive for all 4 quarters.

Is him who carried ROS in the final quarter I was in the impression that SMB will upset them when they are down 3 points in the early of 4th quarter but when Coach Yeng made his magic bonut it was Caracut who provides them those outside shots, and the bad habits of SMB they did try to answer back instead of maximizing JMF inside, those missed shots from SMB was converted by ROS giving them comfortable lead in last minute of the game, congrats RoS finally they advance to the semis.

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May 15, 2026, 12:29:39 PM
 #16485

Is him who carried ROS in the final quarter I was in the impression that SMB will upset them when they are down 3 points in the early of 4th quarter but when Coach Yeng made his magic bonut it was Caracut who provides them those outside shots, and the bad habits of SMB they did try to answer back instead of maximizing JMF inside, those missed shots from SMB was converted by ROS giving them comfortable lead in last minute of the game, congrats RoS finally they advance to the semis.

They forgot to use their advantage. Bennie Boatwright III was their top scorer with 24 points, but look at ROS, their top scorer was a local player, Joshua Caracut, with 29 points, 6 rebounds, and 5 assists.

ROS are not the bigger team, but they move the ball very well. When they see an open shot, they take it without hesitation, and that was the big difference here. In their last few games before the playoffs, they even struggled to reach 100 points. But now, they did it against a strong team, so they really deserve this spot.

Meanwhile, on the 2nd game, Ginebra is already leading by 20 points at halftime.
Phoenix really needs a very strong 3rd quarter to come back, which I honestly doubt will happen.

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May 15, 2026, 12:52:29 PM
 #16486

Meanwhile, on the 2nd game, Ginebra is already leading by 20 points at halftime.
Phoenix really needs a very strong 3rd quarter to come back, which I honestly doubt will happen.

7 minutes left in the 3rd quarter and Ginebra is still leading by 20 points. What can we really expect here?

Phoenix’s import is not really an offensive player. He can make an impact on defense, but the problem is Ginebra has good outside shooters, and as usual, no one seems able to stop Brownlee. So for Phoenix to make a comeback, Ginebra would need to struggle badly in the last quarter. Otherwise, this looks almost impossible already.
Easy win so far for bettors who were brave enough to take Ginebra -10.5 pregame.

 
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