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Question: 2023/2024 La Liga Champion will be
Barcelona - 29 (24.2%)
Real Madrid - 81 (67.5%)
Atletico Madrid - 1 (0.8%)
Sevilla - 0 (0%)
Valencia - 1 (0.8%)
Villareal - 0 (0%)
Real Sociedad - 0 (0%)
Other - 8 (6.7%)
Total Voters: 120

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Author Topic: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24  (Read 415083 times)
Porfirii
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April 12, 2023, 02:59:37 PM
 #43441

<...>

Hence I believe Sevilla should focus on the La Liga as much as possible to secure themselves. Their player quality isn't bad so they can do something at least from now on to get to a safe position in the standings.

Although they are safer than other teams in the lowest positions of the standings, Sevilla is a team too big and it would be a shame if they get relegated. I still remember when Atlético de Madrid got relegated in 2000, in what they called "a short year in hell".

And I would say the same for Valencia. OK, Sevilla and Valencia are not Atlético, but they are still two of the biggest clubs in Spain, and the fact that both are still in danger at this point of the league is specially dangerous for both.

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April 12, 2023, 03:24:28 PM
 #43442

<...>

Hence I believe Sevilla should focus on the La Liga as much as possible to secure themselves. Their player quality isn't bad so they can do something at least from now on to get to a safe position in the standings.

Although they are safer than other teams in the lowest positions of the standings, Sevilla is a team too big and it would be a shame if they get relegated. I still remember when Atlético de Madrid got relegated in 2000, in what they called "a short year in hell".

And I would say the same for Valencia. OK, Sevilla and Valencia are not Atlético, but they are still two of the biggest clubs in Spain, and the fact that both are still in danger at this point of the league is specially dangerous for both.
Their status as a big team does not guarantee that they will not be relegated. Many big teams have felt that, not only in La Liga, but other leagues have shown the same thing. Like it or not they have to focus on La Liga, I don't mean to forbid them from focusing on the Europa League, but considering their current unsafe position is very dangerous for themselves.

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April 12, 2023, 03:28:17 PM
 #43443

Vallecano will face Osasuna in the opening La Liga match this week. If we look at the standings, these two teams are very even and only 1 point away. But indeed Vallecano as the host will definitely be very favored to win. On the other hand, Osasuna, who got the winning capital in the previous match against Elche, will surely target another win in this match later. Especially if Osasuna manages to steal points in this away match, they will have a big chance to shift Bilbao's position. So I think the match will be quite exciting with a narrow win for Osasuna.
Rayo Vallecano is favored because they are playing as the host. But Osasuna has the ability to steal points in this match. Not without reason because they also have good abilities, especially now that they are a team that will compete in the Copa del Rey final after they got rid of Atletico Bilbao in the semifinals. Indeed, I'm not too sure they can win, but even if they don't win it looks like they will be able to bring home 1 point.
Bringing home 1 point still makes sense in my opinion, especially since Vallecano is also not an easy opponent this time. So, the possibility of a draw could open up if Vallecano could strengthen his defense. On the other hand, Osasuna really wanted these 3 points because after playing against Vallecano, Osasuna's next opponent was also getting tougher, namely Betis and it is almost certain that Osasuna's chances of winning are very slim. But it's better if we just wait for this match later, maybe the two teams won't want to give in and will try their best to get additional points in the standings.

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barisbilgili
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April 12, 2023, 04:04:24 PM
 #43444

<...>

Hence I believe Sevilla should focus on the La Liga as much as possible to secure themselves. Their player quality isn't bad so they can do something at least from now on to get to a safe position in the standings.

Although they are safer than other teams in the lowest positions of the standings, Sevilla is a team too big and it would be a shame if they get relegated. I still remember when Atlético de Madrid got relegated in 2000, in what they called "a short year in hell".

And I would say the same for Valencia. OK, Sevilla and Valencia are not Atlético, but they are still two of the biggest clubs in Spain, and the fact that both are still in danger at this point of the league is specially dangerous for both.
Their status as a big team does not guarantee that they will not be relegated. Many big teams have felt that, not only in La Liga, but other leagues have shown the same thing. Like it or not they have to focus on La Liga, I don't mean to forbid them from focusing on the Europa League, but considering their current unsafe position is very dangerous for themselves.
Sevilla is currently only 5 points ahead of Valencia who are in the relegation zone, of course this is still very dangerous for Sevilla and they really need to stay focused on avoiding the relegation cliff this season.
if you look at their performance I'm sure Sevilla can get out of this problem and keep themselves away from the relegation zone, but the Europa League of course has to be their main focus at the moment because their chances of becoming champions are still quite wide open.
while in Laa Liga they can't expect anything except to avoid the relegation zone.

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April 12, 2023, 04:17:47 PM
 #43445

Vallecano will face Osasuna in the opening La Liga match this week. If we look at the standings, these two teams are very even and only 1 point away. But indeed Vallecano as the host will definitely be very favored to win. On the other hand, Osasuna, who got the winning capital in the previous match against Elche, will surely target another win in this match later. Especially if Osasuna manages to steal points in this away match, they will have a big chance to shift Bilbao's position. So I think the match will be quite exciting with a narrow win for Osasuna.
;oth teams have squads that are quite balanced but that doesn't seem to reduce the intensity of the game from the two teams, in the match I'm actually more on the side for Rayo victory, so far Osassuna's ranking is above Rayo but in terms of scoring goals it's clear that Rayo is still ahead well even without the support of a strong defense, in the last few matches the two teams have always managed to score goals against each other regardless of whether they win or lose so I'm pretty sure we will see a lot of goals that will be scored in the match later.

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April 12, 2023, 04:18:57 PM
 #43446

Rayo Vallecano is favored because they are playing as the host. But Osasuna has the ability to steal points in this match. Not without reason because they also have good abilities, especially now that they are a team that will compete in the Copa del Rey final after they got rid of Atletico Bilbao in the semifinals. Indeed, I'm not too sure they can win, but even if they don't win it looks like they will be able to bring home 1 point.

That game may easily be a draw. It could even be a goalless draw. Both teams have been poor in the league for the past couple of games.
Rayo hasn't won a game in their last seven fixtures. This is the first time this season they have gone this far without a win.
I know they're a mid table team but this kind of form is alarming from them. They usually get a win in at least every 3 to 4 matches.
Osasuna too is not in a very good form despite knocking out Bilboa a few weeks back. They also won Elche last weekend, but that shouldn't be a surprise, Elche is the worst team in the league this season.
I don't think I will bet on that game but if I'm to bet, I'm going with a draw.

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April 12, 2023, 04:21:15 PM
 #43447

Real Sociedad were a really impressive team at the beginning of the season. They maintained a really good effort for a long time in the season as well. But after some point we started to witness a big downgrade in their performance. They were quite away from Atletico Madrid in the third place but now they have changed roles. Because Atletico Madrid have been much more consistent than them for so many weeks. They have even been unbeaten in this time period.

I know that this isn't a very good comparison. Because there is a significant difference between the squad qualities. But Real Sociedad still have had a more successful season than Atletico Madrid actually. Because Atletico Madrid are a team with much bigger goals. But they haven't been able to get very close to those goals especially for two seasons. However Real Sociedad are right behind them despite having a really bad form during the season too.

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April 12, 2023, 04:28:19 PM
 #43448

Even though Barcelona's performance has been a bit down, I think they will be able to secure the La Liga title. Because Real Madrid is far behind. At the same time, the main goal of Madrid is the Champions League. And so I wouldn't be surprised if Madrid dropped points in a few more matches. Barcelona, on the other hand, is now completely pressure-free. Since they are 13 points ahead of Madrid, Barcelona won't face any major problems even if they lose 2/3 matches. Barcelona will win the title this time.
Getting a draw at home cannot be said that Barcelona's performance has decreased slightly, because Barcelona did not lose against Girona. And the pressure is true that Barcelona is now a little more flexible in carrying out the rest of this season because considering that the points are already quite far from Real Madrid. On the one hand, Barcelona is also no longer focused on other competitions and only focuses on La Liga so it is very possible that Barcelona will get a trophy in La Liga this season.

That wasn't a bad performance from Barcelona player's, besides, it was a derby I lean a Catalians derby match so we should have expected such a tough game from Girona. The defenders where really set to take a single point home at the end of the day.
It was a great night for Raphina, he had a good game made good runs and ins, created good chances but then he didn't get to score a goal on that game.

Robert Lewandoski, Gavi, Kessi and Raphina made great impacts, same as the likes of Balde, I love the young talent, I hope any pending contract with him gets finalized immediately. After the game, Club Captain Sergio Busquet was seen fumming about the results and how they're so eager to win the Premier League.

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April 12, 2023, 04:32:06 PM
 #43449

Although they are safer than other teams in the lowest positions of the standings, Sevilla is a team too big and it would be a shame if they get relegated. I still remember when Atlético de Madrid got relegated in 2000, in what they called "a short year in hell".

And I would say the same for Valencia. OK, Sevilla and Valencia are not Atlético, but they are still two of the biggest clubs in Spain, and the fact that both are still in danger at this point of the league is specially dangerous for both.
I don't think Valencia and Sevilla will be relegated this season regardless of their performance in the last 28 matches. Valencia is actually worse than Sevilla, but I still have faith that they will get out of the relegation zone and stay in La Liga next season.

I see Valencia as favorite against Sevilla this weekend, but I tend to think that the two teams will draw. Both teams are both having problems regarding performance, so it would be very risky to choose one of them to win even if Valencia is playing at home. The productivity of the goals of the two teams was very bad, where they were only able to score 30 and 33 goals in 28 matches, while Sevilla was a weaker team in defense than Valencia.

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April 12, 2023, 04:51:40 PM
 #43450

Although they are safer than other teams in the lowest positions of the standings, Sevilla is a team too big and it would be a shame if they get relegated. I still remember when Atlético de Madrid got relegated in 2000, in what they called "a short year in hell".

And I would say the same for Valencia. OK, Sevilla and Valencia are not Atlético, but they are still two of the biggest clubs in Spain, and the fact that both are still in danger at this point of the league is specially dangerous for both.
Can you imagine if Sevilla ended up somehow magically win the europa cup, but also got relegated into second division? I am sure it must have happened in history of football before but I truly do not remember a team that won European competition but also relegated in the league at the same season, has that ever happened?

I am pretty sure that Sevilla will not win the europa this season, there are many better teams than them and they are going to lose to United, that's what I think will happen. However, even the slightest chance of this situation makes it so entertaining to watch. I am not Spanish anyway so I don't really care if they relegate or not, but if they do win Europa and relegate, I would love to see that.
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April 12, 2023, 05:22:04 PM
 #43451

Vallecano will face Osasuna in the opening La Liga match this week. If we look at the standings, these two teams are very even and only 1 point away. But indeed Vallecano as the host will definitely be very favored to win. On the other hand, Osasuna, who got the winning capital in the previous match against Elche, will surely target another win in this match later. Especially if Osasuna manages to steal points in this away match, they will have a big chance to shift Bilbao's position. So I think the match will be quite exciting with a narrow win for Osasuna.
Rayo Vallecano is favored because they are playing as the host. But Osasuna has the ability to steal points in this match. Not without reason because they also have good abilities, especially now that they are a team that will compete in the Copa del Rey final after they got rid of Atletico Bilbao in the semifinals. Indeed, I'm not too sure they can win, but even if they don't win it looks like they will be able to bring home 1 point.

The match against Osasuna, became very important for Rayo to restore their team's confidence after experiencing a series of battles with poor results from 8 matches without a win. recorded, they suffered 3 defeats, 4 other matches with draws. playing at home, it must be an advantage for the home team to overthrow their opponent. yes, like it or not, Andoni Iraola's squad must maximize his team to win the battle.

On the other hand, Osasuna is one rank above Rayo and is only 1 point away. however, in terms of performance in the last few matches. at least, Osasuna is better when compared to the home team. it's just that, Osasuna was not very productive in terms of scoring goals. it was noted, from the 28 matches they played, Jagoba Arrsete's squad team was only able to score 24 goals.
and if we refer to the history of the H2H meeting of these two teams. in the last 3 meetings, Osasuna always dominated the victory.

Well, to be honest, I'm not sure this match will offer a fierce battle from the two teams. most likely, the game will end in a draw. or, a narrow win for the home team.

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April 12, 2023, 05:43:05 PM
 #43452

Can you imagine if Sevilla ended up somehow magically win the europa cup, but also got relegated into second division? I am sure it must have happened in history of football before but I truly do not remember a team that won European competition but also relegated in the league at the same season, has that ever happened?

I am pretty sure that Sevilla will not win the europa this season, there are many better teams than them and they are going to lose to United, that's what I think will happen. However, even the slightest chance of this situation makes it so entertaining to watch. I am not Spanish anyway so I don't really care if they relegate or not, but if they do win Europa and relegate, I would love to see that.

If I remember correctly, the bookmakers rate Sevilla's odds of winning the Europa League as about 1 in 12 (which, by the way, is very generous in my opinion). Interestingly, odds of Sevilla to leave La Liga are almost identical - 11. Thus, the chances that these two events will coincide are approximately equal to 11x12 = 132, that is, if converted into percentages, then this will be a probability of 0.7%. You have little chance of seeing such a funny event.

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April 12, 2023, 05:49:48 PM
 #43453

Real Sociedad were a really impressive team at the beginning of the season. They maintained a really good effort for a long time in the season as well. But after some point we started to witness a big downgrade in their performance. They were quite away from Atletico Madrid in the third place but now they have changed roles. Because Atletico Madrid have been much more consistent than them for so many weeks. They have even been unbeaten in this time period.

I know that this isn't a very good comparison. Because there is a significant difference between the squad qualities. But Real Sociedad still have had a more successful season than Atletico Madrid actually. Because Atletico Madrid are a team with much bigger goals. But they haven't been able to get very close to those goals especially for two seasons. However Real Sociedad are right behind them despite having a really bad form during the season too.

Anyway, when Real Sociedad manages to be in the top four and even though Real Sociedad is only in fourth place, but of course it is a big achievement for Real Sociedad. Because in La Liga you will only have the same team for first, second and third place in each season and therefore, if Real Sociedad can be under Real Madrid, Barcelona and Atletico then of course Real Sociedad can be said to be successful.

But yeah, we can't say Real Sociedad is secure in fourth place either, because if Real Sociedad can't keep it then of course there are still teams like Villarreal and maybe also Betis who are ready to take fourth place at the end of the season.

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April 12, 2023, 06:19:08 PM
 #43454

There is still hope like this, but I never felt this would happen this season. Even though the points are still possible and for sure Madrid have focused on more important things such as the Champions League and Copa del Rey but I still feel they will not let Atletico take their current position in 2nd place in the standings.
In the near future, Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid will both face opponents who are not strong enough in La Liga and I am pretty sure that these two teams will both win so that their position in the standings will remain the same as it is now even with different number of points. Because Real Madrid itself is also still focused on La Liga even though it's starting to look less consistent so far in La Liga due to other competitions that Real Madrid must consider more important besides La Liga.

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April 12, 2023, 06:23:49 PM
 #43455

There is still hope like this, but I never felt this would happen this season. Even though the points are still possible and for sure Madrid have focused on more important things such as the Champions League and Copa del Rey but I still feel they will not let Atletico take their current position in 2nd place in the standings.
In the near future, Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid will both face opponents who are not strong enough in La Liga and I am pretty sure that these two teams will both win so that their position in the standings will remain the same as it is now even with different number of points. Because Real Madrid itself is also still focused on La Liga even though it's starting to look less consistent so far in La Liga due to other competitions that Real Madrid must consider more important besides La Liga.

Definitely, but Real Madrid are making a lot of effort in the Champions League which is certainly more important than in La Liga.
Carlo Ancelotti is very good, I believe in him.
Real madrid is great team

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April 12, 2023, 08:02:04 PM
 #43456

Can you imagine if Sevilla ended up somehow magically win the europa cup, but also got relegated into second division? I am sure it must have happened in history of football before but I truly do not remember a team that won European competition but also relegated in the league at the same season, has that ever happened?

I am pretty sure that Sevilla will not win the europa this season, there are many better teams than them and they are going to lose to United, that's what I think will happen. However, even the slightest chance of this situation makes it so entertaining to watch. I am not Spanish anyway so I don't really care if they relegate or not, but if they do win Europa and relegate, I would love to see that.

If I remember correctly, the bookmakers rate Sevilla's odds of winning the Europa League as about 1 in 12 (which, by the way, is very generous in my opinion). Interestingly, odds of Sevilla to leave La Liga are almost identical - 11. Thus, the chances that these two events will coincide are approximately equal to 11x12 = 132, that is, if converted into percentages, then this will be a probability of 0.7%. You have little chance of seeing such a funny event.
Even though last season it happened to Frankfurt which was indeed surprising by succeeding in becoming a champion but indeed for Sevilla now it is really very difficult and it is clear that the possibility is small.
btw thanks for calculating their probabilities but even if they don't count it's all pretty clear Cheesy

Indeed, all possibilities can still happen, but for Sevilla, with their current condition, which is quite apprehensive and with the condition of their internal problems, which are always changing, it is clearly becoming more difficult, one cannot even imagine it.

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April 12, 2023, 08:04:53 PM
 #43457

There is still hope like this, but I never felt this would happen this season. Even though the points are still possible and for sure Madrid have focused on more important things such as the Champions League and Copa del Rey but I still feel they will not let Atletico take their current position in 2nd place in the standings.
In the near future, Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid will both face opponents who are not strong enough in La Liga and I am pretty sure that these two teams will both win so that their position in the standings will remain the same as it is now even with different number of points. Because Real Madrid itself is also still focused on La Liga even though it's starting to look less consistent so far in La Liga due to other competitions that Real Madrid must consider more important besides La Liga.
Definitely, but Real Madrid are making a lot of effort in the Champions League which is certainly more important than in La Liga.
Carlo Ancelotti is very good, I believe in him.
Real madrid is great team
no one doubts that, Carlo Ancelotti proved it last season but this season the problem of consistency has become a serious problem in the Real Madrid team so at the moment they are 13 points behind Barcelona who are at the top of the table and so of course Real Madrid must focus on the Champions League because it is more likely for them to win it than La Liga.

Real Madrid could have performed consistently well this season if Benzema had not suffered an injury. The Real Madrid team is very dependent on Benzema's performance. Benzema has not been in good form at the start of this season. And several times he faced injuries. This is the reason why the Real Madrid team is far behind in the title fight in La Liga. Now Madrid has no chance of winning the La Liga title. And so Ancelotti should now focus only on the Champions League matches.
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April 12, 2023, 08:32:39 PM
 #43458

Of course it would be an even bigger scandal if Sevilla relegate from the La Liga compared to Valencia. However I think Valencia's relegation would also be shocking for many people.

Valencia are even closer to this incident considering their condition in the standings now. Valencia are also a really good team in the La Liga. They have a decent history as well. Maybe there have been so many years from then but I would like to remind that they won the La Liga title 6 times and the last 2 ones were in the 2001/02 and 2003/04 seasons. Apart from that they won the Copa del Rey title in the 2018/19 season also. They have been one of the solid average teams in the recent years. But now they are in a similar position with Sevilla.

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April 12, 2023, 08:42:05 PM
 #43459

<...>

Hence I believe Sevilla should focus on the La Liga as much as possible to secure themselves. Their player quality isn't bad so they can do something at least from now on to get to a safe position in the standings.

Although they are safer than other teams in the lowest positions of the standings, Sevilla is a team too big and it would be a shame if they get relegated. I still remember when Atlético de Madrid got relegated in 2000, in what they called "a short year in hell".

And I would say the same for Valencia. OK, Sevilla and Valencia are not Atlético, but they are still two of the biggest clubs in Spain, and the fact that both are still in danger at this point of the league is specially dangerous for both.
Their status as a big team does not guarantee that they will not be relegated. Many big teams have felt that, not only in La Liga, but other leagues have shown the same thing. Like it or not they have to focus on La Liga, I don't mean to forbid them from focusing on the Europa League, but considering their current unsafe position is very dangerous for themselves.
Sevilla is currently only 5 points ahead of Valencia who are in the relegation zone, of course this is still very dangerous for Sevilla and they really need to stay focused on avoiding the relegation cliff this season.
if you look at their performance I'm sure Sevilla can get out of this problem and keep themselves away from the relegation zone, but the Europa League of course has to be their main focus at the moment because their chances of becoming champions are still quite wide open.
while in Laa Liga they can't expect anything except to avoid the relegation zone.

Sevilla's performance this season was really poor and they lost many important points in La Liga that is why they are in 13th place in the table where the games against Celta de Vigo especially in the second half Seivvla had no control over the game and Celta de Vigo scored two goals against this team however they had two red cards which affect the performance of this team a lot.

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April 12, 2023, 09:41:46 PM
 #43460

Sevilla's performance this season was really poor and they lost many important points in La Liga that is why they are in 13th place in the table where the games against Celta de Vigo especially in the second half Seivvla had no control over the game and Celta de Vigo scored two goals against this team however they had two red cards which affect the performance of this team a lot.
In the last game, Sevilla managed to defend their position and the match ended in a draw, but Sevilla this season has no hope of competing at the top of the standings. Seville can be said to be a place to look for additional points for those big teams that are competing at the top of the standings. Hopefully only in the next season that will come will Seville manage to improve the performance that is owned and managed to rise from adversity.

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