NFL discussion & predications thread rev

[rdbase]

Congrats on the win ralle14!
Great game with the Bengals yesterday as fumbles & interceptions were a factor to their win.

Tonight we have Bills vs Jets for a Monday Night Football matchup:

https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/new-york-jets-v-buffalo-bills-66fc5709cf1cd000013b5814

No clear winner if you are looking at the odds but Bills should be favored since the Jets just fired their head coach last week. So they are either going to take lead from Rodgers or the new one taking Robert Saleh place.

[ralle14]

Congrats on the win ralle14!
Great game with the Bengals yesterday as fumbles & interceptions were a factor to their win.

Yesterday's SNF was ugly to watch with those turnovers and i'm lucky that the Giants failed to convert those 4th down attempts. The Bengals' offense took so long to score, they almost gave the Giants a way back in the game.

Odds are neck and neck for today's division matchup because the Jets' defense could be a threat against the Bills since they have some injury problems on their offense.

I would've sided with the Jets here if the handicap stayed around 3 points, and now that it's down to a point i'll go with the Bills.

[wheelz1200]

Congrats on the win ralle14!
Great game with the Bengals yesterday as fumbles & interceptions were a factor to their win.

Yesterday's SNF was ugly to watch with those turnovers and i'm lucky that the Giants failed to convert those 4th down attempts. The Bengals' offense took so long to score, they almost gave the Giants a way back in the game.

Odds are neck and neck for today's division matchup because the Jets' defense could be a threat against the Bills since they have some injury problems on their offense.

I would've sided with the Jets here if the handicap stayed around 3 points, and now that it's down to a point i'll go with the Bills.

I'm leaning towards the bills too.  With the jets changing coaches this week and aaron Rodgers losing his personal play caller I'm going towards the bills.  It's a windy night and this game will probably be won on the ground when it comes down to it.  That's my only issue since I think the jets hold the keys to that one.  I'm expecting a low scoring game but either way a division game on Monday night prime time should be fun to watch.

[rdbase]

Game was a close one for the Buffalo Bills and if it wasn't for that last interception it would have been a possible loss.
They only won by 3 points so it killed the spread for those who had them to win in the pick'em pool.
Atleast I won on an all-in I had on them @1.87x but it was a sweat seeing them through for that win.
Jets had 110 yards in penalties by the time the 4th quarter ended.
It felt that after every play there was a penalty for one side or both. Think they said it was the most penalties given in a match in the season so far.

[ralle14]

It's a windy night and this game will probably be won on the ground when it comes down to it.  That's my only issue since I think the jets hold the keys to that one.  I'm expecting a low scoring game but either way a division game on Monday night prime time should be fun to watch.

The wind was surely a huge factor in the match as the kickers missed several field goals and it didn't matter when they had a better field position.

Game was a close one for the Buffalo Bills and if it wasn't for that last interception it would have been a possible loss.
They only won by 3 points so it killed the spread for those who had them to win in the pick'em pool.
Atleast I won on an all-in I had on them @1.87x but it was a sweat seeing them through for that win.
Jets had 110 yards in penalties by the time the 4th quarter ended.
It felt that after every play there was a penalty for one side or both. Think they said it was the most penalties given in a match in the season so far.

The Bills made it too close when they could've been up by two or more possessions and their defense had to bail them out in the end.

We're lucky the Jets blew their chances in the final drive, they'd easily forced an OT if they kept marching instead of throwing a hail mary play. 

[danherbias07]

Later, New Orleans Saints versus Denver Broncos.

I have read some articles saying the Saints have a huge chance to win this game because of their tight defense. But their problem is their offense which is not one of the best in the league, just an average. However, the Broncos have the same problem and have been struggling with their offense too.

Oddsmakers on the other hand are believing the Broncos will win this match as they are the favorite to win @1.69.
And I think this is why the Saints are the underdogs.

Injury Crisis for Saints: Four Players Out for Broncos Showdown!

Four Saints were ruled out for the Broncos game, while two are questionable.

OUT
Cesar Ruiz (knee)
Pete Werner (hamstring)
Rashid Shaheed (knee)
Chris Olave (concussion)
DOUBTFUL
Derek Carr (oblique)
Taysom Hill (rib)
QUESTIONABLE
Lucas Patrick (chest)
Khalen Saunders (back)

https://www.si.com/nfl/saints/news/injury-crisis-final-report-saints-four-players-out-broncos-week-7

I think I am taking the underdog Saints even with that. Taking a risk. Good luck with your bets guys.

[rdbase]

Thursday Night Football has the Saints vs Broncos starting around an hour and a half from now.
New Orleans were at higher odds when I checked them earlier today but have since receded to where they are now.
Denver are the favorites because of their quarterbacks being relatively healthy while the Saint's Carr is on the IR list.

Here are those markets:

https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/new-orleans-saints-v-denver-broncos-67058959cc0e7a0001bd8dbb

[ralle14]

I think I am taking the underdog Saints even with that. Taking a risk. Good luck with your bets guys.

The injuries seem too much for the Saints, so i'll bet on the Broncos to win @1.69. While the Broncos offense isn't as solid the defense will do whatever it takes to keep them in the game by forcing turnovers and limiting the Saints to a few touchdowns.

If only the Saints didn't lose that many players, i'd be willing to take the points. This is also one of the easier matchups that the Broncos need to win since they'll have a tougher matchup in the next few weeks.

[rdbase]

Today we have alot of matches in the NFL and already one that is nearly over with Jacksonville beating New England so one down and around eleven to go:
Here are those markets for choosing which to place your bets on:

https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/matches/today

[ralle14]

Today we have alot of matches in the NFL and already one that is nearly over with Jacksonville beating New England so one down and around eleven to go:

The Patriots looked promising in the early second quarter as they were up 10 points, but the momentum quickly shifted to the Jags after their offense got stopped multiple times.

At least my pickems are finally off to a good start with the Jags and Broncos covering their spread. I'm always struggling with these early matches and it made me waste a few crucial points that could've put me in a higher position.

[rdbase]

Today we have alot of matches in the NFL and already one that is nearly over with Jacksonville beating New England so one down and around eleven to go:

The Patriots looked promising in the early second quarter as they were up 10 points, but the momentum quickly shifted to the Jags after their offense got stopped multiple times.

At least my pickems are finally off to a good start with the Jags and Broncos covering their spread. I'm always struggling with these early matches and it made me waste a few crucial points that could've put me in a higher position.

Always good getting off to a great start in the pickem pool. I was 0-2 coming into Sunday but some how have 5-5 now.
So if the Chiefs keep drilling Purdy in the pocket and sacking him, the 49ers are defenseless especially without Deebo who left the game after just three snaps. He was having oxygen on the sidelines and just seen him leaving the sidelines with a team staffer. Probably to get re-evaluated so to try and return:
https://www.sbnation.com/2024/10/20/24275142/deebo-samuel-injury-update-news-fantasy-football-49ers-vs-chiefs-week-7-game-status
But he seems doubtful and without Christian McCaffrey the 49ers do seem done this game.

[ralle14]

Always good getting off to a great start in the pickem pool. I was 0-2 coming into Sunday but some how have 5-5 now.
So if the Chiefs keep drilling Purdy in the pocket and sacking him, the 49ers are defenseless especially without Deebo who left the game after just three snaps. He was having oxygen on the sidelines and just seen him leaving the sidelines with a team staffer. Probably to get re-evaluated so to try and return:
https://www.sbnation.com/2024/10/20/24275142/deebo-samuel-injury-update-news-fantasy-football-49ers-vs-chiefs-week-7-game-status
But he seems doubtful and without Christian McCaffrey the 49ers do seem done this game.

That's bad news for the 49ers, but the Chiefs are still within arms reach after the 49ers got their first touchdown. I'm surprised the Chiefs are still in it even with the two turnovers while the 49ers are having problems stopping this Chiefs offense that already cashed in two touchdowns.

After the early games I already have six points with three incorrect so far. If the Chiefs, Commanders, and Rams keep their lead until the end to cover the spread i'd have nine points and have a good pace to break my personal best week.  

[rdbase]

MNF just ended with the Cardinals squeaking out a win against the L.A Chargers with a last second field goal.
L.A just couldn't score tonight as their points were from only field goals.

Ravens of course beat on the Buccaneers but lost much more than just the game.
First their wide receiver Evans was injured then with the last minute of the game Godwin with a drive that was pointless.
But losing him for the rest of the season was priceless to them.

[rdbase]

Thursday Night Fight is upon us once again and this time we have Los Angeles Ram against a great Minnesota Vikings team!


Here are the markets for today:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/los-angeles-rams-v-minnesota-vikings-670ee27fd0220b0001a7a7ae

[ralle14]

The odds for today's matchup are a bit weird. The handicap started from 4 points and the line keeps leaning to the Rams now that it's down to 2.5 points. The Rams being this close sounds too good against a Vikings team that got their first loss against the Lions a few days ago.

There is potential for the upset because the Rams took down the 49ers, but I don't see it happening twice when the Vikings don't easily lose to any team.

[rdbase]

Vikings losing was a shocker and the earlier matches are nearly done with the Ravens not destroying the Browns as many had thought they would before these games began.

The later matches of the day are starting in about an hour from now as you can see below:

https://sportsbet.io/sports/american-football/matches/today

Am expecting the Chiefs to extend their perfect record of the season against the Raiders.

[ralle14]

Vikings losing was a shocker and the earlier matches are nearly done with the Ravens not destroying the Browns as many had thought they would before these games began.

The Vikings' loss the other day was overdue and i've heard the Rams got some of their key players back that's why many jumped to their side.

The Ravens' defense needs to fix their issue in closing out these games. They always give up 20+ points in the second half to give the opposing team a chance to force OT or make it a one-possession game.

The underdogs are back at it again to ruin our pickems, I lost a bunch of points from the Jets, Bengals, and Packers thinking the spread was too low against these weaker teams. 

[morvillz7z]

I love this play for MNF.
 
Pickens first game with Russ at QB, 5/111/1 on 9 targets vs. decent Jets defense.

The Giants allow 5.4 YPC which is worst in the league. If they can't stop the run, the Steelers will easily control the game, which will also open up the passing game for them.

WR1's vs. Giants defense L/5:

• A. Cooper - 86 yards (vs. Browns)
• CeeDee Lamb - 98 yards (vs. Cowboys)
• DK Metcalf and T. Lockett - 55/75 yards (vs. Seahawks)
• J. Chase and T. Higgins - 72/77 yards (vs. Bengals)
• A.J. Brown - 89 yards (vs. Eagles)

[rdbase]

@ralle14
That Washington Commanders pass into the endzone was the straw that broke the camels back for that statement you made. The Underdogs were back this past week in the NFL.
If the Bears kept their spread of 3 points would be 6/9 on the pool.
Ah well, so difficult to get to that 500 mark due to the spreads even if your pick wins.

Tonight for Monday night football as mentioned above from a regular on the thread, so welcome back morvillz7z!

In about 45 minutes we have the Steelers vs Giants so here are their markets:

https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/american-football/usa/nfl/pittsburgh-steelers-v-new-york-giants-670ee631d0220b000143f613

I have a selection for a Steelers (ML) win in my acca for tonight.

[ralle14]

@ralle14
That Washington Commanders pass into the endzone was the straw that broke the camels back for that statement you made. The Underdogs were back this past week in the NFL.
If the Bears kept their spread of 3 points would be 6/9 on the pool.
Ah well, so difficult to get to that 500 mark due to the spreads even if your pick wins.

The Commanders' match was one of the few underdogs I had only because the odds shifted to their side until they became the slight favorites before kickoff. 

BOL on your MNF tickets. I'm sitting this match out since I couldn't cash my NBA free bet the other day.

I also dig the Pickens prop from morvillz7z. The Steelers' offense should have more opportunities to score and their defense could easily hold this struggling Giants offense.