NFL discussion & predications thread rev

[rohang]

I'll be doing -110 on Cowboys vs Raiders today. I'm trying to do 1 bet per day, find a good one haha. Lost so much money on over betting earlier.

bet105 is rolling out the usual -110 on player props for Cowboys vs. Raiders. I think they are usually putting their lines up at 9:30 ET onwards. I guess this is a pretty solid value if you know where to pick your spots for today too.

Let me know guys, if somebody else is going player props?

what about a over 0.5 INT for Geno smith ? haha

Saw this on reddit and X - George Pickens over 64.5 receiving yards - how do you feel about it ?
on stake the line is already at 66 yards

Cant open bet105 so idk whats on there, but seems like a solid play

[rdbase]

I'll be doing -110 on Cowboys vs Raiders today. I'm trying to do 1 bet per day, find a good one haha. Lost so much money on over betting earlier.
bet105 is rolling out the usual -110 on player props for Cowboys vs. Raiders. I think they are usually putting their lines up at 9:30 ET onwards. I guess this is a pretty solid value if you know where to pick your spots for today too.

Let me know guys, if somebody else is going player props?

what about a over 0.5 INT for Geno smith ? haha

Saw this on reddit and X - George Pickens over 64.5 receiving yards - how do you feel about it ?
on stake the line is already at 66 yards

Cant open bet105 so idk whats on there, but seems like a solid play

Couldn't open the site right now where I had a bet on last night's NFL game so can't tell you if your selections were good. But watched the first half and Pickens was on a good run with atleast two big catches so wouldn't doubt he passed that target in the second half.
Geno Smith was playing bad and got sacked a few times. So turned it off before the second half, because I had Raiders to win and knew that wasn't going to happen with all those mistakes Smith was making.

[rdbase]

TNF between Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills but C.J Stroud is out for tonight's game so this will more than likely affect the outcome if you are hoping for an upset.

The second string Davis Mills is going to start for Houston but don't know much about him.
So more than likely another low scoring one unless Josh Allen can have another big night.

[ralle14]

The odds are so unusual, with this Bills offense, it makes me think it'll be like a walk in the park, like the Cowboys game a few days ago.

I do have the Bills spread on my pick'ems, but i'd rather not put money on their spread now that it already shifted to -5.5 and just switched to the under 43.5 points.

[yahoo62278]

The odds are so unusual, with this Bills offense, it makes me think it'll be like a walk in the park, like the Cowboys game a few days ago.

I do have the Bills spread on my pick'ems, but i'd rather not put money on their spread now that it already shifted to -5.5 and just switched to the under 43.5 points.

Houston D is no joke and this is a short week for both teams, but I still took Buffalo and gave 6 points tonight. I can see this being a low scoring game, but if Josh Allen has a game close to what he did Sunday, this will be a blowout.

[ralle14]

Houston D is no joke and this is a short week for both teams, but I still took Buffalo and gave 6 points tonight. I can see this being a low scoring game, but if Josh Allen has a game close to what he did Sunday, this will be a blowout.

You're right, that defense from the Texans was so legit they miraculously saved my under with those punts and turnovers when it had no business surviving after scoring 36 points in the first half.

I almost thought the Bills were about to ruin it in the final minute, but I'm glad Allen panicked and made one more misplay by getting picked near the end zone.

[Renato297]

The odds are so unusual, with this Bills offense, it makes me think it'll be like a walk in the park, like the Cowboys game a few days ago.

I do have the Bills spread on my pick'ems, but i'd rather not put money on their spread now that it already shifted to -5.5 and just switched to the under 43.5 points.

Congrats, I also had Bills covering the spread in 2 pools, they allowed 8 sacks and some turnovers, the missed extra point cost them because on the last play they could have attempted a field goal and force extra time, but good defense Texans

[rdbase]

The odds are so unusual, with this Bills offense, it makes me think it'll be like a walk in the park, like the Cowboys game a few days ago.

I do have the Bills spread on my pick'ems, but i'd rather not put money on their spread now that it already shifted to -5.5 and just switched to the under 43.5 points.

That was a brave bet to take especially how the final two minutes of the first half. The two teams combined to score 17 points with Texans getting an interception which almost scored a pick 6.
Also had the under so was worried since they had 36 points between the two to end the first half.
Unbelievable that they had 8 sacks on Josh Allen which I think said that never happened to him.
Thought after the first one he dislocated him left arm the way he was trying to lift it with his other one.

Mills is undefeated in his last 3 games so I definitely underestimated him as a starter for CJ.

[ralle14]

That was a brave bet to take especially how the final two minutes of the first half. The two teams combined to score 17 points with Texans getting an interception which almost scored a pick 6.
Also had the under so was worried since they had 36 points between the two to end the first half.

Congrats to us. I had no idea it'd be a high-paced game, but i'm glad I didn't cash it out since there were a few opportunities when I had the option to back out. 

I already crossed the bet off after the first half because I expected the Bills to score some points, and then I came back after an hour only to see them still trailing.

The pressure of their defense is just crazy fast. In most of their snaps, Allen barely gets enough hang time to pass the ball, and even with the separation, it's not enough.

[rdbase]

Some really good matchups scheduled for today and these are the ones I am looking forward too:
Colts vs Chiefs, Patriots vs Bengals and Buccaneers vs Rams.

The top teams are surprisingly enough the games I am wanting to see with New England and Denver Broncos both with 9-2 and the Indianapolis Colts 8-2 records.

There are Thursday and Friday night games this week for the Thanksgiving holiday in the states.

[ralle14]

Some really good matchups scheduled for today and these are the ones I am looking forward too:
Colts vs Chiefs, Patriots vs Bengals and Buccaneers vs Rams.

The top teams are surprisingly enough the games I am wanting to see with New England and Denver Broncos both with 9-2 and the Indianapolis Colts 8-2 records.

There are Thursday and Friday night games this week for the Thanksgiving holiday in the states.

I'm also eyeing the Colts-Chiefs game, as this could be the week where their winning percentage can potentially go below 0.500 if the Colts can deliver.

The division game between the Eagles and Cowboys is another one I'm eager to watch because it's so suspicious to see the Cowboys spread only within +4 when they've been getting rolled by weaker teams.

[rdbase]

I'm also eyeing the Colts-Chiefs game, as this could be the week where their winning percentage can potentially go below 0.500 if the Colts can deliver.

The division game between the Eagles and Cowboys is another one I'm eager to watch because it's so suspicious to see the Cowboys spread only within +4 when they've been getting rolled by weaker teams.

For today's matches they started with the underdog teams all leading by the half.
But now they seemed to straighten up expect for the Chiefs, since they are still trailing the Colts.

Eager to see the Dallas game now to see if the Eagles can keep up with the pack and improve on their 8-2 record just like Indianapolis has.

[rand1919]

Anybody aiming for Panthers vs 49ers tomorrow?

i'll most likely do -110 on player props. Again on bet105.

A lot of my friends are eyeing the Panthers vs 49ers matchup and planning to take -110 player props. It’s a good game for targeting props that fit a likely 49ers-lead game script etc... Overall, keeping props simple and sticking to stable player roles tends to work best at standard -110 pricing.

[rand1919]

I'm testing player props on bet105 today.

Young is averaging about 31.4 pass attempts per game this season. He tends to perform better in games where he reaches 31+ attempts, so the volume itself isn’t unusual when Carolina is trailing or in a competitive game.

[ralle14]

For today's matches they started with the underdog teams all leading by the half.
But now they seemed to straighten up expect for the Chiefs, since they are still trailing the Colts.

Eager to see the Dallas game now to see if the Eagles can keep up with the pack and improve on their 8-2 record just like Indianapolis has.

That was too close for the Chiefs. I was hoping they'd close it out with a touchdown in that final drive in the fourth quarter, but they had to play it out in OT, and it sucks that during their drive, a field goal was enough to win the game.

The Cowboys-Eagles game was unreal. The Eagles were up like 21-0 at one point, and they still managed to give the game away to the Cowboys. 

Anybody aiming for Panthers vs 49ers tomorrow?

I'm still undecided on what to take, but my lean is on the Niners -6.5 since I see them starting to get the hang of it after their win against the Cardinals.

[rdbase]

I'm testing player props on bet105 today.

Young is averaging about 31.4 pass attempts per game this season. He tends to perform better in games where he reaches 31+ attempts, so the volume itself isn’t unusual when Carolina is trailing or in a competitive game.

Today's Monday Night Football (MNF) game I was leaning towards the 49ers just like ralle14 but with the way the matchweek has gone so far I am starting to side with what you are saying when teams are trailing.
Never really focused on these quarterback stats before for a props bet, but it does make sense.
Panthers are 6-5 while San Francisco are 7-4 but with just this one win they can get closer to that magical 7th win too.

Think I will make that props bet on Bryce Young on the over 33.5 passing attempts and might take the +6.5 points on the Panthers aswell.

[Renato297]

I'm testing player props on bet105 today.

Young is averaging about 31.4 pass attempts per game this season. He tends to perform better in games where he reaches 31+ attempts, so the volume itself isn’t unusual when Carolina is trailing or in a competitive game.

I think it could be a good bet because I've reviewed the 49ers last 5 games and four opposing quarterbacks made 34 or more attempts. Even though the Panthers are the underdog today but they are close to the playoffs and it's against a direct rival.

[rdbase]

Anybody aiming for Panthers vs 49ers tomorrow?

i'll most likely do -110 on player props. Again on bet105.

A lot of my friends are eyeing the Panthers vs 49ers matchup and planning to take -110 player props. It’s a good game for targeting props that fit a likely 49ers-lead game script etc... Overall, keeping props simple and sticking to stable player roles tends to work best at standard -110 pricing.

So how did this props bet end up?
Completely missed the game since my parlay with the under 49 points fizzled out with the match in the Premier League only having 1 goal.

I'm testing player props on bet105 today.

Young is averaging about 31.4 pass attempts per game this season. He tends to perform better in games where he reaches 31+ attempts, so the volume itself isn’t unusual when Carolina is trailing or in a competitive game.

I think it could be a good bet because I've reviewed the 49ers last 5 games and four opposing quarterbacks made 34 or more attempts. Even though the Panthers are the underdog today but they are close to the playoffs and it's against a direct rival.

These statistics are usually really good to review before placing a bet on these sort of matches. Although they got beat by 11 points.

[Renato297]

I'm testing player props on bet105 today.

Young is averaging about 31.4 pass attempts per game this season. He tends to perform better in games where he reaches 31+ attempts, so the volume itself isn’t unusual when Carolina is trailing or in a competitive game.

I think it could be a good bet because I've reviewed the 49ers last 5 games and four opposing quarterbacks made 34 or more attempts. Even though the Panthers are the underdog today but they are close to the playoffs and it's against a direct rival.

These statistics are usually really good to review before placing a bet on these sort of matches. Although they got beat by 11 points.

Absolutely! You're right that past stats are crucial for making decisions before betting. But sometimes good analysis isn't enough, since he made 29 attempts and didn't even reach his average they had 2 turnovers, maybe he would have reached 34 if that hadn't happened. A low scoring game, good defense by the 49ers.

[rdbase]

I'm testing player props on bet105 today.

Young is averaging about 31.4 pass attempts per game this season. He tends to perform better in games where he reaches 31+ attempts, so the volume itself isn’t unusual when Carolina is trailing or in a competitive game.

I think it could be a good bet because I've reviewed the 49ers last 5 games and four opposing quarterbacks made 34 or more attempts. Even though the Panthers are the underdog today but they are close to the playoffs and it's against a direct rival.

These statistics are usually really good to review before placing a bet on these sort of matches. Although they got beat by 11 points.

Absolutely! You're right that past stats are crucial for making decisions before betting. But sometimes good analysis isn't enough, since he made 29 attempts and didn't even reach his average they had 2 turnovers, maybe he would have reached 34 if that hadn't happened. A low scoring game, good defense by the 49ers.

Saw the highlights of the game the next day and they instantly showed those two interceptions by Bryce.
So disappointing it only was short by a few attempts.

So today has three games scheduled due to it being Thanksgiving and then an unusual match happening on a tomorrow for Black Friday.
@rand1919 So you have anything cooking for today's games perhaps so we can dine along side with our turkey lunch or dinner?

In about three hours from now we will have the Green Bay Packers going up against a hungry Detroit Lions team. Expect them to win at home so they can get home early to enjoy the rest of the day with their families.
Then for the later matchups there are Kansas City Chiefs vs Dallas Cowboys.
Not so sure about this one since Dallas looked solid during that comeback against the Eagles in their last match so they will definitely be riding on the momentum from that.

Then the big one that everybody will be waiting for is the return of Joe Burrow with the Baltimore Ravens will see if they can be the party dampeners against the Bengals for the last match of the day.