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Author Topic: 📯📍Rollbit | 2025/26 Champions League Pool | ⚽️ Discussion | ~$15,000 prizes!  (Read 40511 times)
buwaytress (OP)
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November 29, 2025, 05:25:04 PM
 #4461

Just want to confirm that Hhampuz was the MD5 freebet winner, and he'll collect his own prize. Well done, lucky bastard...

See you all, real soon!

Referencing last season's format in the rules (found in OP and also on its own page on the dashboard, when you check leaderboard: https://talk2tag.com/uclpredictor/rules.php), there should be 17 Matchdays.
We are a long way from the end of the season all thanks to new format system, so things can change a lot in leaderboard.
I think this season is more balanced than previous, and biggest reward per round for one player was 65.40 points, nobody crossed that limit.
We are waiting for someone to set the new record this season, and take more risk with predictions.

And that's even with the regular score prediction points counted in, so yeah, it does look like we've managed to strike a balance here. Now I just need to improve on bug detection and response times (but the good news is, we've really ironed most of them out by now haha, thanks everyone for your patience).

.
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December 05, 2025, 06:28:49 PM
Merited by cryptofrka (2), mv1986 (2)
 #4462

Gentlemen, surprise, surprise, but picks for Matchday 6 are now available for selection!

Be aware, kickoff time is extra early next week (Tuesday, 3.30pm forum time) because of timezones and that the first match takes place in cold and distant Almaty. I've tried something a little different this time with a Goalscorers market, and using probability formulas to give odds on some unusual matchups. Curious to see if this market will have any takers. I've added a small 5%-10% odds boost (based on Rollbit goalscorer odds) to some selections so you know there'll be a nice edge if you pick these. For the interest of fairness, I won't pick these boosted selections.

This could be the market to expand once we get to the semis and final, let's see.

Tagging all participants.

*deadline 9 December 3.30pm UTC/forum time

Code:
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el che
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swogerino
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jayce
Hhampuz
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xLays
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December 05, 2025, 07:27:27 PM
 #4463

Gentlemen, surprise, surprise, but picks for Matchday 6 are now available for selection!

The time to get some solid points on board or give up is gradually approaching and after getting my second penalty of the season in the last round, I think there might not be too many chances left for me if I'm want make a run for the top spots.

Maybe it's time to back some of those 6-8 or double digits odds, there is nothing left to lose, but everything to play for.

.
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December 06, 2025, 10:14:53 PM
 #4464

Gentlemen, surprise, surprise, but picks for Matchday 6 are now available for selection!

Be aware, kickoff time is extra early next week (Tuesday, 3.30pm forum time) because of timezones and that the first match takes place in cold and distant Almaty. I've tried something a little different this time with a Goalscorers market, and using probability formulas to give odds on some unusual matchups. Curious to see if this market will have any takers. I've added a small 5%-10% odds boost (based on Rollbit goalscorer odds) to some selections so you know there'll be a nice edge if you pick these. For the interest of fairness, I won't pick these boosted selections.

This could be the market to expand once we get to the semis and final, let's see.

Tagging all participants.


I don't see why you shouldn't pick the boosted selections. What difference does it make when in the end you are getting it wrong anyway? ;

Thanks for the heads up about that time though, could have missed that one easily. This is probably the only pool where I can at least still see the top from the distance. Just checked the leaderboard and this penalty could have a major impact for those who have to deal with it.

Since @Jayce is at the top now, what is the penalty again that will hit him now per round assuming it remains one penalty only? The -16.00 points is pretty painful. This time taking too much risk comes with an actual burden. Consistency is probably more key than getting a few
big ones while receiving two penalties.

.
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December 07, 2025, 01:23:52 PM
 #4465

<>
Since @Jayce is at the top now, what is the penalty again that will hit him now per round assuming it remains one penalty only? The -16.00 points is pretty painful. This time taking too much risk comes with an actual burden. Consistency is probably more key than getting a few
big ones while receiving two penalties.

The penalty is always 5%. So whatever points you have, 5% is gone. So it will always hit the top guy hardest, so it kinda makes sense in a way to keep the lead with safe picks while others like me keep making dumb picks and getting penalty.

I think the past few seasons always saw the winner and top guys having 0 penalties.

So the penalty I guess works as deterrent for YOLO.

.
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December 07, 2025, 04:22:06 PM
 #4466

~
Maybe it's time to back some of those 6-8 or double digits odds, there is nothing left to lose, but everything to play for.

I haven't checked the options yet, but if the opportunity arises, I'll bet on Real Madrid with a -2 or -3 handicap or a high total for the Real vs. City game. City is a regular victim for Real Madrid, and I think Real Madrid has somewhat exhausted its recent unluck series, so the luck should swing in the other direction.
Wow, I just saw that Inter are playing Liverpool in Milan, the central game of the round given the current circumstances!  Grin

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December 08, 2025, 10:39:09 AM
Merited by slaman29 (1)
 #4467

I used to look forward to these weeks in the CL but for obvious reasons to most of you, my excitement is a little muted these days Sad

Suppose I had better submit my predictions today though. Good luck to everybody, maybe there will be a Christmas Miracle and Liverpool will get something in Milan.

.
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December 08, 2025, 01:40:38 PM
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (3)
 #4468

I used to look forward to these weeks in the CL but for obvious reasons to most of you, my excitement is a little muted these days Sad

Suppose I had better submit my predictions today though. Good luck to everybody, maybe there will be a Christmas Miracle and Liverpool will get something in Milan.

I am still close to the top so not too pessimistic. A Christmas miracle would be nice though.



It is almost tragic your nickname here is "LFC"_Bitcoin Cheesy

@LFC_Bitcoin you must promise something to me (or all of us): please tell me that the fate of Bitcoin is not tied to the fate of Liverpool as your nickname might suggest, haha! Cheesy


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December 08, 2025, 03:41:11 PM
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (3)
 #4469

I used to look forward to these weeks in the CL but for obvious reasons to most of you, my excitement is a little muted these days Sad

Suppose I had better submit my predictions today though. Good luck to everybody, maybe there will be a Christmas Miracle and Liverpool will get something in Milan.

Don't worry. Every big club goes through such things. Its a mark of success. Sometimes it never is the same for us fans. I admit being a Barca fan for the past 10 years is very horrendous, and I think I never get back the same feeling of excitement. It was all because of money. And Liverpool sadly it has now happened. But there is a chance for it to get back on track, because this is just 1 moment, 1 player, 1 coach, and you are still in good Champions League spots.

GL, I always respect teams that played good football and LFC is one of them.

.
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December 08, 2025, 03:55:47 PM
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (3)
 #4470

It is almost tragic your nickname here is "LFC"_Bitcoin Cheesy

@LFC_Bitcoin you must promise something to me (or all of us): please tell me that the fate of Bitcoin is not tied to the fate of Liverpool as your nickname might suggest, haha! Cheesy



Tragically Bitcoin started crashing in price same time Liverpool started dropping bad results too. There's some bit of weird connections between those two I guess  Grin

M. Salah omitted from Liverpool champions league squad for his round- This is Manutd - Ronaldo saga all over  Grin

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December 08, 2025, 04:04:17 PM
Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (3)
 #4471

~
M. Salah omitted from Liverpool champions league squad for his round- This is Manutd - Ronaldo saga all over  Grin

It's strange that Slot hasn't been kicked out of the team yet  Grin
But it is quite possible that Salah will leave the team first, and then Slot, and this will happen with a much shorter time difference than in the case of Ten Hag and Ronaldo.
I have no questions about Salah's legacy at Liverpool, but he has been known to get hysterical even when Klopp substituted him mid-game. He proved too tender to accept the fact that past achievements do not guarantee a place in the starting lineup. An unpleasant situation.

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December 08, 2025, 06:07:45 PM
 #4472

Yeah, I'm going to submit my picks today. With early game tomorrow there is big chance to miss deadline. I don't really want to waste whole round because of one game.

I used to look forward to these weeks in the CL but for obvious reasons to most of you, my excitement is a little muted these days Sad
I understand your feelings. When team is perfroming so poorly, you don't wait games that much as it used to be. I experienced it few years back when Koeman was in Barca.
I read your opinion about Slot, but what do you think about whole this situation with Salah?

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December 08, 2025, 07:01:08 PM
 #4473

Just to say about the penalty, yes, that's correct. 5% penalty PER round incurred, and across TOTAL points. You can read the rules to get the full picture.

LFC_Bitcoin, don't worry, Liverpool had a great decade, and we decided to invoke Roy Hodgson 2.0. One must go through fire and suffering to truly appreciate the highs of conquest. I do wish this didn't come from Salah though.

I don't see why you shouldn't pick the boosted selections. What difference does it make when in the end you are getting it wrong anyway? ;

Thanks for the heads up about that time though, could have missed that one easily. This is probably the only pool where I can at least still see the top from the distance. Just checked the leaderboard and this penalty could have a major impact for those who have to deal with it.

Since @Jayce is at the top now, what is the penalty again that will hit him now per round assuming it remains one penalty only? The -16.00 points is pretty painful. This time taking too much risk comes with an actual burden. Consistency is probably more key than getting a few
big ones while receiving two penalties.

But I will get it right, because I'm special and know everything. I am omniscient. I only choose not to know, so that all you miserable peons will not fall so quickly under my gaze, and you will not feel worthless.


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December 08, 2025, 07:28:36 PM
 #4474

Gentlemen, surprise, surprise, but picks for Matchday 6 are now available for selection!

Submitted and since Im so far from top 3 with 2 penalties so far, there is really no reason for me to play it safe. Gonna gamble 3 points each on two high odds bet, either I make it or I get my 3rd penalty. I was thinking of playing it safe but at this rate, I probably wont make it to top 10 by doing so unless I could get decent points from score prediction but Im pretty bad at those too

It's strange that Slot hasn't been kicked out of the team yet  Grin

Probably not until they found a suitable replacement or atleast until Manchester United is ahead of Liverpool after tonight's game  Cool

 
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December 08, 2025, 07:57:01 PM
 #4475

This time around I am not going to forget like last round although I need some miracles for every remaining match day in here to be able to keep my hopes up. This pool is beautiful in the sense that compared to all other pools it lets you improvise and it gives you more options and more flexibility during your journey in the game.

I am a fan of all big teams, I don't fancy only single one, I like great football though right now I would love this year that Inter Milan after their disastrous final game where they lost 5-0 like they were an amateur team against PSG, to win now or at least to try again in the final, so far they are in the right way and let's hope it stays like that for them.

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December 08, 2025, 08:17:23 PM
 #4476

~
M. Salah omitted from Liverpool champions league squad for his round- This is Manutd - Ronaldo saga all over  Grin

It's strange that Slot hasn't been kicked out of the team yet  Grin
But it is quite possible that Salah will leave the team first, and then Slot, and this will happen with a much shorter time difference than in the case of Ten Hag and Ronaldo.
I have no questions about Salah's legacy at Liverpool, but he has been known to get hysterical even when Klopp substituted him mid-game. He proved too tender to accept the fact that past achievements do not guarantee a place in the starting lineup. An unpleasant situation.

It's really no news that Salah have always been a man with a little lady's ego, he's way too sensitive for the kind of super star he is.. He's always been a individual oriented played and an extremely selfish one, I guess you have to be selfish to be as great as he is, but at the same time that doesn't excuse his behavior and body language on the pitch too, he's rather more concerned about himself and the club only comes secondary, he's got a bad attitude, and that doesn't excuse the fact that Arne Slot is also a clueless coach, these are two truths co-existing, I guess it's better for Liverpool fans to see this happening with Salah being in the club, because it would have been a different narration if this deep in Liverpool's form were happening if Salah had left last season.

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December 09, 2025, 08:29:45 AM
 #4477

It's strange that Slot hasn't been kicked out of the team yet  Grin
But it is quite possible that Salah will leave the team first, and then Slot, and this will happen with a much shorter time difference than in the case of Ten Hag and Ronaldo.
I have no questions about Salah's legacy at Liverpool, but he has been known to get hysterical even when Klopp substituted him mid-game. He proved too tender to accept the fact that past achievements do not guarantee a place in the starting lineup. An unpleasant situation.
Perhaps the Slot will be issued after the defeat at the San Siro. Grin
The situation is uncertain, perhaps in the winter transfer Salah will leave soon, there is a possibility that Arab clubs are ready to accept his offer. Cheesy
Salah became this way because it did not match the initial contract promised but now Arne thinks Salah is no longer good and plays selfishly but this is the fact the club does not lose to 1 player.

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December 09, 2025, 01:37:17 PM
 #4478

This time around I am not going to forget like last round although I need some miracles for every remaining match day in here to be able to keep my hopes up. This pool is beautiful in the sense that compared to all other pools it lets you improvise and it gives you more options and more flexibility during your journey in the game.

I am a fan of all big teams, I don't fancy only single one, I like great football though right now I would love this year that Inter Milan after their disastrous final game where they lost 5-0 like they were an amateur team against PSG, to win now or at least to try again in the final, so far they are in the right way and let's hope it stays like that for them.

I agree. This feels like the most 'beautiful' pool in the sense you can really see the table switch so crazy even with MatchDay7 already here. IIRC I was just doing bottom and bottom and bottom with penalties and suddenly 1 good week and I am fighting for top 10 Smiley

I'm definitely beginning to experiment now with scores that are not 2-1. In Superbru you have no choice, you must do it or you will fall behind. Here, at least if you smash it you can really pick up big points like some idiot did last week with Perfect Score of PSG lol


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December 09, 2025, 03:03:26 PM
 #4479

Final reminder to those who haven't submitted yet. Remember, first game kicks off extra early today. Get your picks in, but whatever you do, don't hope for the best. You'll not get the nice points, the hauls belong to me.

Liverpool, come on, don't get distracted. Come out stronger!

Tagging users yet to submit. Less than a half hour away...

Code:
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el che
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P.S. Snakefrka notified me of an odds error but hey, whoever caught it, good luck to you!


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December 09, 2025, 03:09:56 PM
 #4480

Thanks you as always for the reminder.

I just submited so im now only awaiting to see the start of the games.

I dont know if my choices are really worth the points, but with a little bit of luck they can be a real good ones. Lets climb some positions in this round i really need it.

Come on LAUTORO MARTINEZ. i need you scoring a brace.

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