🏆Rollbit.com | Champions League Pool | $11,000+ in Prizes ⚽️ Discussion Thread

[arallmuus]

Matchdays 1-6 are Group Stage legs (home + away). 16 games each.
Matchday 7 and 8 are the Last 16 legs. 8 games each.
Matchday 9 will be the QF. 8 games.
Matchday 10 will be SF legs + Final. 5 games.

There are 125 matches in total being played in the Champions League and we have left 96 matches behind with the group stage. We have left nearly 77% of the pool behind if we look at it in terms of Pot A. If I understood the statement above correctly for Pot B we have left only the 60% part behind. Meaning if you are behind in Pot B your chance to climb upwards is much higher compared to Pot A.

Oh wait, Im confused so how is it different between pot A and B? Its the same total of matches being played after the end of the group stage. In terms of catching up I guess it will be alot easier to catch up on pot A compared to pot B if you are way behind the competition. We probably wont get any underdog lucky win again top 16 so even by consistently manage to get atleast 20 points on each round might not be a guarantee to be on top 10 by the end of the UCL

I am waiting to see the draw in few days, but my early favorites to go in next round are Real Madrid and Bayern.

Its going to be interesting if either of these teams are drawn with PSG on top 16.

[1714930285]

1714930285

[buwaytress]

There are 125 matches in total being played in the Champions League and we have left 96 matches behind with the group stage. We have left nearly 77% of the pool behind if we look at it in terms of Pot A. If I understood the statement above correctly for Pot B we have left only the 60% part behind. Meaning if you are behind in Pot B your chance to climb upwards is much higher compared to Pot A.

Oh wait, Im confused so how is it different between pot A and B? Its the same total of matches being played after the end of the group stage. In terms of catching up I guess it will be alot easier to catch up on pot A compared to pot B if you are way behind the competition. We probably wont get any underdog lucky win again top 16 so even by consistently manage to get atleast 20 points on each round might not be a guarantee to be on top 10 by the end of the UCL.

I've arranged Pot B to have the same "matchday" as Superbru -- or at least, how I believe matchday are organised in Superbru based on how I remember last season.

So both pots should involve the same games -- but even if not, it shouldn't matter.

Pot A max points dwindles as it's a hard 3 points max per game + 3 Slam points per MD. There will soon be a point -- likely on MD9 when we will even know many winners. Pot B can still throw up many more points depending on outcomes -- and how people stake. Little will be certain until after the final.

[cryptofrka]

The draw is out:

Porto - Arsenal
Napoli - Barcelona
PSG - Sociedad
Inter - Atletico
PSV - Borussia
Lazio - Bayern
Copenhagen - City
Leipzig - Real

Laggers will put it all on Copenhagen, and for the rest of us there will be many interesting options. I really like this year's draw.
Sociedad is my favorite team for a potential upset, while the odds on Inter and Arsenal should be attractive enough for us near the top.

[tokeweed]

^  City got lucky on the draw like they did last year.  They had pretty soft fixtures on the way to the finals if I remember it right.

Napoli vs Barca is gonna be a good one.  And with Barca losing to lesser clubs in their group stage, we couldn't really rule out Napoli progressing to the quarter finals.

Inter Milan vs Atletico Madrid could obv go either way too.

The rest could give us some surprises but I think mostly the favorites go through.

[casperBGD]

Napoli vs Barcelona, PSV vs Dortmund and PSG against Sociedad should be most interesting matches in this round
and all three without clear favorite IMO

Inter vs Atletico should not have a favorite as well, but I don't think that those matches will be interesting, expect to see one-goal-takes-it-all matches

City, Arsenal, Bayern and Real should not have major troubles to pass through, although Leipzig could make things messy for Real

[Woodie]

Some interesting fixtures to come and my potential fixtures that could produce upsets for that jump we all looking for in pool B:

Napoli - Barcelona
PSG - Sociedad
PSV - Borussia

City, Arsenal, Bayern and Real should not have major troubles to pass through, although Leipzig could make things messy for Real

Football can be funny at times, the very games we all think will be walkovers are the very games that produce shocking results, and provided these guys don't have any injuries along the way or league priorities don't influence them, am for the idea that the teams you have tipped to win should win easily  

[CLS63]

There are 125 matches in total being played in the Champions League and we have left 96 matches behind with the group stage. We have left nearly 77% of the pool behind if we look at it in terms of Pot A. If I understood the statement above correctly for Pot B we have left only the 60% part behind. Meaning if you are behind in Pot B your chance to climb upwards is much higher compared to Pot A.

Oh wait, Im confused so how is it different between pot A and B? Its the same total of matches being played after the end of the group stage. In terms of catching up I guess it will be alot easier to catch up on pot A compared to pot B if you are way behind the competition. We probably wont get any underdog lucky win again top 16 so even by consistently manage to get atleast 20 points on each round might not be a guarantee to be on top 10 by the end of the UCL.

I've arranged Pot B to have the same "matchday" as Superbru -- or at least, how I believe matchday are organised in Superbru based on how I remember last season.

So both pots should involve the same games -- but even if not, it shouldn't matter.

Pot A max points dwindles as it's a hard 3 points max per game + 3 Slam points per MD. There will soon be a point -- likely on MD9 when we will even know many winners. Pot B can still throw up many more points depending on outcomes -- and how people stake. Little will be certain until after the final.

The thing I wanted to tell you was exactly this:

As there are 10 matchdays in Pot B we will be given 100 stakes in total to make predictions in the Champions League. 60 stakes were given for the group stage and there are 40 stakes left. Therefore the 60% part of Pot B has finished.

There are going to be 125 matches to be played in the Champions League and 96 of them have already been played. There are 29 matches left therefore the 77% part of Pot A has finished.

77%>60%

[KTChampions]

The draw is out:

Porto - Arsenal
Napoli - Barcelona
PSG - Sociedad
Inter - Atletico
PSV - Borussia
Lazio - Bayern
Copenhagen - City
Leipzig - Real

Laggers will put it all on Copenhagen, and for the rest of us there will be many interesting options. I really like this year's draw.
Sociedad is my favorite team for a potential upset, while the odds on Inter and Arsenal should be attractive enough for us near the top.

For some reason, I was sure that City would have Copenhagen as its opponent (and not, for example, Napoli). I don’t want to start a conspiracy theory, but when they have problems, they will 100% get the easiest option. But if Bayern or Real Madrid have problems, then we can see them play with City, but not otherwise (yes, I’m still burning from the fact that Real Madrid received only strong opponents during the entire playoffs for two seasons in a row).

Personally, I see Arsenal, PSG, Dortmund (hehe I believe in them), City as the clear favorites.
Napoli - Barcelona is a battle of two losers and here the teams will compete not for who is better, but for who is not as bad as the opponent. I could be wrong but Napoli will be slight favorites.
Inter - Atlético are an incomprehensible pair. Both teams are good but not good enough, Inter has a slightly better “image” due to Serie A, but Atlético is not afraid of image  
Oddly enough, I don’t think that the games with Lazio will be easy for Bayern, although Bayern, according to the bookmakers, will be the clear favorite. There may be something like a draw and a minimal victory. It won't be an easy walk.
Leipzig - Real Madrid is also far from an obvious pairing for me - everything will depend on whether all the injured return to duty or not. And here I am waiting for Total over 3.5. 3-1, 3-2, 4-2 - a very likely score in this pair.

[buwaytress]

I forgot to congratulate freebet winners: Patrick, Ulven, cryptofrka. Many of us took risks, myself included, but it paid to stick to likely outcomes, and Pot A toppers only served to extend their leads. Well done, your freebets should be in your accounts to use, don't forget to share your wins! Thank you Hhampuz for arranging that =)

Some Matchday 6 Pot B observations:

• This was the round where people departed from spreading stakes with over half of submissions going all-in or split between two games.
• The biggest winners bet against Barcelona, and immediately entered prize spots. Barca was the group stage's most generous loser.
• Only 17 participants won more than 10 stakes, the lowest of any matchday.

[LTU_btc]

Napoli vs Barcelona, PSV vs Dortmund and PSG against Sociedad should be most interesting matches in this round
and all three without clear favorite IMO

Inter vs Atletico should not have a favorite as well, but I don't think that those matches will be interesting, expect to see one-goal-takes-it-all matches

City, Arsenal, Bayern and Real should not have major troubles to pass through, although Leipzig could make things messy for Real

For current Barcelona there is no easy opponents. Offcourse, there is lot of time until games, 2 months, so, many things can change.
Agree about City and Bayern, while I wouldn't understimate Porto against Arsenal. Leipzig have chances against Real, not sure how big.
Inter - Atletico and PSV - Borussia is 50/50 completely. And as much as I don't like P$G, Sociedad kicking them out would be huge upset

[ajiz138]

^  City got lucky on the draw like they did last year.  They had pretty soft fixtures on the way to the finals if I remember it right.

Napoli vs Barca is gonna be a good one.  And with Barca losing to lesser clubs in their group stage, we couldn't really rule out Napoli progressing to the quarter finals.

Inter Milan vs Atletico Madrid could obv go either way too.

The rest could give us some surprises but I think mostly the favorites go through.

With the uncertainty in the Premier League now ManCity meet Copenhagen I think it will be easier going, there is no heavy pressure.

Barcelona have lost twice in the group stage to smaller clubs and in LaLiga they are no longer a sure thing as championship candidates, I know Barcelona are currently having problems with some players being sold.

It's an interesting Inter Milan vs Atletico, I think Inter Milan can go back again and step over every team they play against.

[notblox1]

The draw is out:

Porto - Arsenal
Napoli - Barcelona
PSG - Sociedad
Inter - Atletico
PSV - Borussia
Lazio - Bayern
Copenhagen - City
Leipzig - Real

This should be easy win win matches for Real and Bayern, unless they have some major injuries and missing players at that time.
Both Napoli and Barcelona are not on their top level so far, and I think Napoli have solid chances against Barcelona.

Check out early odds on Sportsbet, FC Copenhagen is the biggest underdog right now against Mac City 
https://sportsbet.io/sports/soccer/international-clubs/uefa-champions-league/matches

[arallmuus]

Some interesting fixtures to come and my potential fixtures that could produce upsets for that jump we all looking for in pool B:

Napoli - Barcelona
PSG - Sociedad
PSV - Borussia

Well aside from PSG - sociedad, the other two has pretty close odds though so thats not really an upset that most people will jump into in case if they wanna hit the 'jackpot' upsets. Copenhagen - Manchester City could be the upset we are all looking for  but yeah its City though and in 2 months from now, they should be on their top form again. Porto - Arsenal seems to be a reasonable upset but yeah odds could change in 2 months from now

[tokeweed]

Napoli vs Barcelona, PSV vs Dortmund and PSG against Sociedad should be most interesting matches in this round
and all three without clear favorite IMO

Inter vs Atletico should not have a favorite as well, but I don't think that those matches will be interesting, expect to see one-goal-takes-it-all matches

City, Arsenal, Bayern and Real should not have major troubles to pass through, although Leipzig could make things messy for Real

For current Barcelona there is no easy opponents. Offcourse, there is lot of time until games, 2 months, so, many things can change.
Agree about City and Bayern, while I wouldn't understimate Porto against Arsenal. Leipzig have chances against Real, not sure how big.
Inter - Atletico and PSV - Borussia is 50/50 completely. And as much as I don't like P$G, Sociedad kicking them out would be huge upset

Two legs with Leipzig against Real Madrid, mmmm I don't think Leipzig really stands a chance against a side that has seen what is there to see in European football.  Even with an inferior squad, not even clubs like Man City could ne sure winners against them in a tourney format.

As for BVB at two legs, it's likely not gonna be 50/50.  I think if they play 4 two leg matches between them, BVB progresses to the quarter finals 3 out of 4.  But dunno...  Maybe I should look at these clubs more closely.

[cryptofrka]

I forgot to congratulate freebet winners: Patrick, Ulven, cryptofrka.

Thanks!

Just to confirm, freebets can only be used on a single event?
I usually just go for 50 odds on these but couldn't use it on any combo tickets.

Not really a problem even if that's the case, I'll simply play high odds until I lose it or get 0.1 BTC.

[darxiaomi]

The draw is out:

Porto - Arsenal
Napoli - Barcelona
PSG - Sociedad
Inter - Atletico
PSV - Borussia
Lazio - Bayern
Copenhagen - City
Leipzig - Real

Im the only one who see this draw and think..... this is more like a Europa League draw than a Champions League one.

And also is very difficult to me to see any contender asides of Manchester city and Real Madrid, the other teams doesnt seem strong enough.

This Bayern shows so many difficulties, discarted, Arsenal is Arsenal, Barcelona.... no words this years and the two previous years in europe, Inter.......... the last year they rech the final because of a easy draw, and they do a good final, Atletico? i dont see the fire in this Simeone team like others.

[notblox1]

Just to confirm, freebets can only be used on a single event?
I usually just go for 50 odds on these but couldn't use it on any combo tickets.

Yes it can be used only on single events, but you can use it even with very low odds.
I tried to be smart and I lost everything when I had my free bet used on one risky match, after I saw it is not possible to add two or three matches with free bet.
Maybe you are lucky in this pool because you place bets only when you are on toilet, so you should try it  

[swogerino]

The draw is out:

Porto - Arsenal
Napoli - Barcelona
PSG - Sociedad
Inter - Atletico
PSV - Borussia
Lazio - Bayern
Copenhagen - City
Leipzig - Real

Im the only one who see this draw and think..... this is more like a Europa League draw than a Champions League one.

And also is very difficult to me to see any contender asides of Manchester city and Real Madrid, the other teams doesnt seem strong enough.

This Bayern shows so many difficulties, discarted, Arsenal is Arsenal, Barcelona.... no words this years and the two previous years in europe, Inter.......... the last year they rech the final because of a easy draw, and they do a good final, Atletico? i dont see the fire in this Simeone team like others.

Well I completely forgot about the draw but I see a very difficult and interesting game for Inter Milan who was last time finalist of the Champions League against an Atletico Madrid in super form at the moment,of course Inter is in super form too.I see this that they did not make a huge mistake by letting Sociedad going first as they are facing PSG another one of the strong contenders.

I see all other games easily winnable for Arsenal,Barcelona,Bayern,City and Real Madrid.The game between PSV vs Borussia I don't know what to say as both teams are playing good football overall in their respective leagues and even here they are doing great.For me except Copenhagen all other teams do not look like Europa League draw.

[LTU_btc]

Two legs with Leipzig against Real Madrid, mmmm I don't think Leipzig really stands a chance against a side that has seen what is there to see in European football.  Even with an inferior squad, not even clubs like Man City could ne sure winners against them in a tourney format.

As for BVB at two legs, it's likely not gonna be 50/50.  I think if they play 4 two leg matches between them, BVB progresses to the quarter finals 3 out of 4.  But dunno...  Maybe I should look at these clubs more closely.

Yeah, Real is different beast in knockout tournaments, so Leipzig chances aren't big, but it's not impossible.
Not sure why you understimate PSV so much. They have 16 wins in 16 games, destroying everything in their road, just 6 goals conceded. Ok, Eredivisie isn't EPL, not even Bundesliga, but not often you can see such dominating performances. They had only one bad game in almost half season when Arsenal beat them 4:0.

[cryptofrka]

Yes it can be used only on single events, but you can use it even with very low odds.
I tried to be smart and I lost everything when I had my free bet used on one risky match, after I saw it is not possible to add two or three matches with free bet.
Maybe you are lucky in this pool because you place bets only when you are on toilet, so you should try it  

So far so good, Mudryk's 92nd minute goal for 1-1 made me win the draw bet.
Now I'm putting it all on another draw - LFC vs WH tomorrow